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Post by propman on Sept 16, 2019 13:18:21 GMT
Many years since I have worked on this sector, but the story looks a lot less exciting than it appears. basically demand from lesser ranked unis has declined and so there is oversupply in some places. Anyone that thinks there are guaranteed profits for any industry across the board fro a sustained period is very naive. But with individuals privately letting becoming very expensive in tax terms, there may well be increases in rents in many areas that will underpin the student accomodation where there is continuing high demand.
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Post by dan1 on Jan 9, 2020 18:29:04 GMT
This post isn't intended to be political but inevitably it'll be commented on by our regular trolls... I've been known to troll a little myself  Anyway.... I believe the result of the general election will elevate the already high risks of investing in student accommodation. There are a number of factors at play.... the first of which is the size of the majority which allows the govt to push through comparatively unpopular legislation and reduces scrutiny by a weakened opposition. Secondly, the Tories owe nothing to the student population who voted overwhelmingly for the opposition (their vote held up in cities and university towns). Thirdly, and most importantly, is the Cummings factor. Previously a spad for Gove at DfE until Gove was sacked as a liability, i.e. Cummings has unfinished business. Higher Education was moved to DfE by Teresa May following the advice of Gove. If the ERG free-marketeers, of which Johnson is one, are to get their way and transform the UK economy into the Singapore of Europe and reverse the decline in productivity then education is key. Cummings' call for fellow "weirdos and misfits" doesn't bode well for future prospective non-STEM students. I'd expect policies to bias resources towards STEM disciplines at the expense of all others, a concentration of resources focusing on quality rather than quantity, and I'd be surprised if at the end of Johnson's term if the number of students in university hasn't declined significantly. |
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mrk
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Post by mrk on Jan 12, 2020 19:02:25 GMT
May also be worth considering that ~20% of the student population is from abroad, and that percentage has been growing over the years. I live close to a University and see plenty of Chinese young people around. "In 2017/18 there were 2.3 million students at UK higher education institutions." (Source: Higher education student numbers [pdf]) "The total number of non-UK students studying in the UK in 2017-18 was 458,490." (Source: UKCISA) What will be the impact of Brexit on that trend I'm not sure. I guess it might impact those from the EU, but probably not those from the rest of the world like China. |
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Post by bernythedolt on Jan 13, 2020 1:37:21 GMT
[...] I'd expect policies to bias resources towards STEM disciplines at the expense of all others, a concentration of resources focusing on quality rather than quantity, and I'd be surprised if at the end of Johnson's term if the number of students in university hasn't declined significantly. A refreshing outbreak of common sense then. The country can use only so many fashion designers and media studiers...
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Post by bernythedolt on Jan 21, 2020 19:00:06 GMT
... What will be the impact of Brexit on that trend I'm not sure. I guess it might impact those from the EU, but probably not those from the rest of the world like China. Any raising of EU-student fees would have an impact on EU numbers and the affluence of the mix of EU students. I think EU students pay UK domestic fee rates and non-EU pay international rates that are much higher. “Premier League” Universities might have period of a few years of adjustment if there is any drop in student numbers / demand for whatever reason but should be able to adjust relatively quickly by accepting candidates that previously wouldn’t gain a place. The institutions at the bottom of the lowest “division” will have existential problems. Unless they reinvent themselves and there is government support for a more vocational offering then I wouldn’t be surprised if in the next years / decade we see a so-called university fail. Most likely one that is amongst the least academic but passing off as academic or possibly a more academic one that went gang-busters expanding “internationally”. [My bold] Perhaps they should reinvent themselves as polytechnics... Everything goes full circle. 😉
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