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Post by mellbreak on Jun 26, 2015 21:59:46 GMT
A daily email message stating the current market rate (with the date and time when it applied and when it will next be revised) would be useful, but I would still like to see this information displayed on the web page so that I can see it whenever I am setting or amending the rate at which my offers stand.
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gt94sss2
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Post by gt94sss2 on Jun 26, 2015 23:15:21 GMT
As I indicated on this forum before, the functionality of "Your Rate" is changing. The blog is here: www.ratesetter.com/blog/article/the_way_we_calculate_the_market_rate_is_changing Change to “Your Rate”
“Your Rate” will become exactly that – those lenders who choose to re-invest at “Your Rate” will have their funds put on the market at that rate, with no other change made." An email was sent to all RateSetter customers with the "Your Rate" set today (this has gone to around 3,500 customers, of which I believe around 2,000 to be active lenders each month). As feedback, could I suggest the email should have gone to all lenders. While I don't currently use YR, I have in the past and might do so in the future and don't think its right for RS to only personally inform customers of these changes purely on the basis of who is using YR on once specific day. Some will obviously read this forum (as I do) or your blog (I don't) but not all.
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Post by westonkevRS on Jun 27, 2015 8:34:19 GMT
Perhaps, but I'm going to disagree. This wasn't an oversight but discussed. It was a choice between blanket mail or a targetted mail. It was thought that a blanket mail wouldn't be appreciated by the vast majort of lenders who (if like me) already get enough email and spam. It was specifically chosen to send a targeted email, blog and use social media. In addition it would have been mentioned in the monthly news-letter with reference to the blog. More importantly any intermittent or new users have the following message on the same page when they make the YR choice: " Your Rate For those RateSetters who want more control you can select your own rate to reinvest at. This will not be impacted by the market and offers your money at the exact rate you set. Selecting this option does mean that your money could sit on the market not earning interest if your rate is too high. Similarly, if you set your rate too low you may not get the maximum return that is possible. It does, however, give you complete control.
The way "Your Rate" works was recently simplified. Previously your money was re-invested at the higher of "Your Rate" (i.e. the rate you have specified) or "Market Rate" (i.e. the rate that is worked out daily by RateSetter looking at the whole market). Once re-set to Market Rate it stayed at that rate which resulted in some scenarios where money was sitting at Market Rate unmatched when in actual fact the specified rate was lower. Now, your money will simply be put on the market to be re-invested at your specified rate. " We even personally called a number of customers. So all said and done, I think the communication of the change was correctly done and well implemented. @ westonkevRS
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wapping35
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Post by wapping35 on Aug 3, 2015 6:39:44 GMT
I see the MR in 3 YR has today gone down hugely to 4.8%.
1700 orders & £+200k at 4.8%.
I guess that is the kind of volatility you get when you set the MR according to the prior 24 hours average. When that prior 24 hrs is a v. quiet Sunday with just £12,8k of matching (I assume that was 1 or perhaps just 2 matches).
The new MR setting is just leading to v high volatility. Madness….
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Post by contangoandcash on Aug 3, 2015 8:53:06 GMT
Yes I've always thought that using 24 hours for the average was a very chaotic way to go about things... Previous 7 days would seem fairer and produce rates that are far more relevant.. I suppose when you have a cashback offer then the MR offers would all be dimed, but that's probably the price you should pay for automation... Ultimately rates would return, volatility would be reduced greatly. Current volatility makes RS slightly comical.. there's a unfortunate offering at 5% on the 5 year, several ticks below the next offer, with a laughable request to borrow at 4.8%. Weekend matches were 6%.. this actually shouldn't be possible.
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Post by westonkevRS on Aug 21, 2015 20:25:52 GMT
Has the MR functionality forced lenders to be more active?On this thread and some others, forum lenders have queried aloud if the change to MR methodology (which to be blunt, had to happen) has put non-active, Market Rate lenders at a disadvantage. And if it has forced people to set their own rate, some forum members have even raised the prospect that RS did this on purpose (when actually the optimal business solution would probably be a majority of silent MR lenders with a minority active segment helping set the rates) Anyways, as promised I've performed the analysis across the four markets looking at the lender return by MR vs. actively setting a rate. Unfortunately I can't publish this data here as the split between lender returns isn't available on the web page or on the data-sets to downloadable (which has the loan rate, not the contracts). However I will ask internally. The answer is that there is no discernible difference in the returns achieved between being an active RateSetter and an inactive MR follower (when all active lender strategies are averaged).However this is an average and probably doesn't give an indication on if some lenders can obtain higher returns by following a patient strategy. For example the rates achieved by setting own rates could be lower from lenders jumping the queue to get their money lent faster (i.e. me) versus people always tracking the market and aiming for .02-0.3% higher (e.g. many forum members). However the net result of all these rate setting strategies when averaged just equals the MR returns! @ westonkevRSlink.ratesetter.com/8Ls46js www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=19236219
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Post by westonkevRS on Aug 25, 2015 12:31:43 GMT
A question was asked on the RateSetter web site blog page about the change to the Market Rate calculation, and especially the impact for monthly rates. Just for consistency here is the question and our response:
Question: "these changes to market rate setting for the *Monthly Market* make worse a fundamental problem in your rolling method (it is far less a problem for the 1-yr, 3yr and 5-yr markets). The issue is that new money lent in the monthly market has a one-time incentive to be lent that day (i.e. at a lower rate), or put differently because it is being lent for just one-month and the actual rate achieved for that month is quite insignificant over the whole life that this money is lent out (for mid- to long-term investors that is). Rolling monthly at a personally set rate is time consuming, potentially quite costly via un-deployed funds and therefore not practical, so I would have thought the majority of these lenders choose to roll at the market rate. Thus, the set of achieved intra-day lending rates (YourRate%) are biased downwards, and your method change artificially benefits borrowers by propagating this rate over the life of loans/deployed funds. The net result will be that you are now a less attractive platform for lending. The fundamental problem in your monthly market is that many £millions of existing loans have their monthly rate set based on a relatively small daily volume of new loans (NB you already recognised this when you changed the terms on the monthly contract in the event that insufficient funds were available on the market for rolling loans). By the way, wholesale LIBOR setting has the same fundamental problem and we all know how that scandal ended!"
Answer: "The first thing to clarify is that the market rate is not set based only on new loans – all money in the monthly product rolls over each month, whether it’s invested in new loans or refinancing existing ones, and this influences the market rate for the 30 day product. Additionally contracts matched by both Market Rate and customer set rates are included, i.e. all contracts matched either actively or otherwise. As a result, the market rate is based on a large number of matches and is representative of the market as a whole – not just new loans being written or active lenders. So for example on Friday 21 August 2015, RateSetter matched £4,652,672 (9,663 contracts) which included £3,298,29 in the monthly market (4,505 contracts). We believe that 4,505 contracts is a statistically valid sample from which to draw the market rate.
You’re right that some investors have adopted the strategy of investing at or below the market rate in order to minimise the time that money spends unmatched. However, investors can and do put money in above the market rate – and they’re often able to match it without a delay, earning a higher return and raising the market rate in the process.
Most days RateSetter matches more in monthly sourced loans than the Market Rate set £ value. This "additional" value is therefore lent above the monthly market rate. If this is more than the day’s new lending money, the result is upward pressure on the market rate – basically an efficient market. Looking at the rate trends (https://www.ratesetter.com/lend/statistics ) since the new calculation methodology was introduced in late June 2015, the monthly market Rate has actually increased. Only very briefly in August 2015 has the monthly market rate been below where it sat when the changes came in in late June.
So in summary, the change to market rate has not put additional downward Pressure on lender returns by remaining inactive. In fact the statistical evidence indicates the opposite. "
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Post by pepperpot on Aug 25, 2015 12:48:15 GMT
Agreed! I'm a recent entrant to the monthly, but I got some 4.9% today and my monthly average is now 4%. By being active I'm helping tomorrows MR move upwards No need to thank me, I'm happy to help out.
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Post by fiatlender on Aug 26, 2015 0:25:33 GMT
Answer: " The first thing to clarify is that the market rate is not set based only on new loans – all money in the monthly product rolls over each month, whether it’s invested in new loans or refinancing existing ones, and this influences the market rate for the 30 day product. Additionally contracts matched by both Market Rate and customer set rates are included, i.e. all contracts matched either actively or otherwise. As a result, the market rate is based on a large number of matches and is representative of the market as a whole – not just new loans being written or active lenders. So for example on Friday 21 August 2015, RateSetter matched £4,652,672 (9,663 contracts) which included £3,298,29 in the monthly market (4,505 contracts). We believe that 4,505 contracts is a statistically valid sample from which to draw the market rate.
Could you clarify a few points in this answer for me. "The first thing to clarify is that the market rate is not set based only on new loans – all money in the monthly product rolls over each month, whether it’s invested in new loans or refinancing existing ones, and this influences the market rate for the 30 day product. Additionally contracts matched by both Market Rate and customer set rates are included, i.e. all contracts matched either actively or otherwise. As a result, the market rate is based on a large number of matches and is representative of the market as a whole – not just new loans being written or active lenders"As most of the existing loans are re-matched overnight and the MR sample is between 6am - 10pm, none of these matches will be included in the MR for that day, will they? If that's the case, then the MR will be based during the day mostly on new loans. "So for example on Friday 21 August 2015, RateSetter matched £4,652,672 (9,663 contracts) which included £3,298,29 in the monthly market (4,505 contracts). We believe that 4,505 contracts is a statistically valid sample from which to draw the market rate."Around £2.5m was re-matched overnight on Friday 21st in the monthly. If £3.298m was matched in total last Friday in the monthly, does that only leave a MR sample of about £800,000?
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Post by westonkevRS on Aug 26, 2015 6:13:46 GMT
Answer: " The first thing to clarify is that the market rate is not set based only on new loans – all money in the monthly product rolls over each month, whether it’s invested in new loans or refinancing existing ones, and this influences the market rate for the 30 day product. Additionally contracts matched by both Market Rate and customer set rates are included, i.e. all contracts matched either actively or otherwise. As a result, the market rate is based on a large number of matches and is representative of the market as a whole – not just new loans being written or active lenders. So for example on Friday 21 August 2015, RateSetter matched £4,652,672 (9,663 contracts) which included £3,298,29 in the monthly market (4,505 contracts). We believe that 4,505 contracts is a statistically valid sample from which to draw the market rate.
Could you clarify a few points in this answer for me. "The first thing to clarify is that the market rate is not set based only on new loans – all money in the monthly product rolls over each month, whether it’s invested in new loans or refinancing existing ones, and this influences the market rate for the 30 day product. Additionally contracts matched by both Market Rate and customer set rates are included, i.e. all contracts matched either actively or otherwise. As a result, the market rate is based on a large number of matches and is representative of the market as a whole – not just new loans being written or active lenders"As most of the existing loans are re-matched overnight and the MR sample is between 6am - 10pm, none of these matches will be included in the MR for that day, will they? If that's the case, then the MR will be based during the day mostly on new loans. "So for example on Friday 21 August 2015, RateSetter matched £4,652,672 (9,663 contracts) which included £3,298,29 in the monthly market (4,505 contracts). We believe that 4,505 contracts is a statistically valid sample from which to draw the market rate."Around £2.5m was re-matched overnight on Friday 21st in the monthly. If £3.298m was matched in total last Friday in the monthly, does that only leave a MR sample of about £800,000? I think your logic is correct, and I'm going to have to eat some humble pie as I helped forumulate the answer. Clearly I hadn't thought through the process in quite as much detail. No excuses but I personally focus on the 5-yr lending market where this is not automatically refillied as per the monthly money. Most of 5-yr money will be based on new loans (there will be some anomalies such as sell-out), whereas monthly will be a mixture of batch overnight and during the day. The daily MR callculation doesn't exclude MR set loans specifically but the timing will exclude the overnight batch process. I haven't checked your numbers but of the £4.6m contracts matched, around £2m or so would have been in the batch or outside the 6am to 10pm window, leaving £2m plus on that busy Friday but a proprtionaly smaller segment of monthly money. I guess the question, is the reduced £800k and approx 2,000 monthly money contracts (rather than 4,505) statistically valid. Either way, the methodology is better based on these actuals than orders, and subsequent MR rates don't indicate the change pushed the rates down. Thank you for you diligence, I'll ask the blog response to be changed. Kevin.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Aug 26, 2015 7:35:47 GMT
Could you clarify a few points in this answer for me. "So for example on Friday 21 August 2015, RateSetter matched £4,652,672 (9,663 contracts) which included £3,298,29 in the monthly market (4,505 contracts). We believe that 4,505 contracts is a statistically valid sample from which to draw the market rate."I guess the question, is the reduced ... approx 2,000 monthly money contracts ... statistically valid. And, if not, what does that say about the 5,158 contracts split between the remaining three markets, averaging 1,719 each...?
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registerme
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Post by registerme on Aug 26, 2015 8:18:46 GMT
Is the number of contracts more important than the number of consecutive months behaviour we get to see?
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