ashtondav
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Post by ashtondav on Nov 15, 2016 15:06:54 GMT
Funds are accumulating to be lent at 5.7%. I will wait til end jan (seasonal surge time). Any money remaining is off to zopa+
Lending @ 5% for 5 years is lunacy, given the risks. Lending at 4% is only for the dumb money.
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james
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Post by james on Nov 16, 2016 9:27:12 GMT
Even government compensation schemes are not unlimited (either they are explicitly capped, such as the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme limit of £75k per institution, or such compensation schemes are capped by economic reality - e.g. promises to guarantee all banking system deposits would most likely turn out to be largely empty if ever called upon). The relevant institutions are (roughly) required to operate on a parent company that does their borrowing and an operating company that holds their deposits. The rescue would transfer the operating company and the deposits to a new holding company while the parent company failed. There are also some more fiddly depositor bail-in provisions that can take effect under some of the schemes, but not within the FSCS limit. So the guarantee is not only not empty, it's likely to be quite easy to carry out, with requirements for the relevant systems to do that also in place and without even a need to invoke the FSCS protection for most depositors. This work isn't quite complete yet but is very advanced, though with some uncertainties about just where limits between pieces of companies have to be placed. For the more complex issues like derivatives contracts for banks engaged in that, there's work being done in the way of record keeping to make those easier to unravel. The big losers will be the equity owners of the banks, then the holders of specifically at risk corporate bonds and finally the rest of the corporate bond holders according to their priority. They could all lose all of their money. However, cash flow is likely to be the issue - as it was for Northern Rock - and in time the ongoing payments from creditors on things like mortgages may well get near total recovery for many of the bond holders. Assuming that there isn't a rescue package to avoid the things in this paragraph. There may be because bond holders means "company and individual pension owners, including annuitants".
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teddy
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Post by teddy on Nov 16, 2016 11:54:18 GMT
5 year rate now lower than the 30 days access account at AC. I can't see this ending well for RS. Had a couple of large "early repayments" AKA provision fund payments this morning. I can't see this ending well for RS. I might even take a hit on the withdrawal fees and get out permanently.
I'm really not liking the smell that's coming off RS.
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nairda
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Post by nairda on Nov 16, 2016 12:45:41 GMT
5 year rate now lower than the 30 days access account at AC. I can't see this ending well for RS. Had a couple of large "early repayments" AKA provision fund payments this morning. I can't see this ending well for RS. I might even take a hit on the withdrawal fees and get out permanently. I'm really not liking the smell that's coming off RS. I am inclined to agree withyou, it is all very worrying. I have already started drawing down my investments with RS and I think SWMBO will be doing the same. Like you, we may even take th hit and get out in one go.
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Post by sayyestocress on Nov 16, 2016 13:19:47 GMT
Personally, I stopped reinvesting when I couldn't reliably get 6% in the 5yr or 3% in access. I've not considered anything as drastic as taking the hit with the withdrawal fees. I personally think RS is a good platform (it's website is the best I have used in the sector) and it has it's place, but it's just not for me anymore with rates this low.
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toffeeboy
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Post by toffeeboy on Nov 16, 2016 17:58:25 GMT
I've just made my first withdrawal from RS as the rates have gone too low for me now. I am planning on leaving my money recycling at 5.5% but if I get a large amount unmatched I am removing it and finding a new home for it within P2P.
There are better rates, admittedly for greater risk, to be had elsewhere especially whilst we are below 5%.
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Nov 16, 2016 20:11:00 GMT
/mod hat off
I've been running down for a while now .. there appear to be some considerable upside risks on market interest rates (with inflation likely to creep up, or maybe more than 'creep'), so locking in ~5% (or less) for 5 years looks like a dumb move. YMMV. With 5 year rate currently less than 1 year rate, and the stupidly high cost of trying to exit early, I think I'll sit on my hands and see what happens next.
Still, at least we don't have RS-Bank (see the ZOPA announcement) quite yet. Not in name, anyway.
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teddy
Posts: 214
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Post by teddy on Nov 16, 2016 23:18:38 GMT
/mod hat off I've been running down for a while now .. there appear to be some considerable upside risks on market interest rates (with inflation likely to creep up, or maybe more than 'creep'), so locking in ~5% (or less) for 5 years looks like a dumb move. YMMV. With 5 year rate currently less than 1 year rate, and the stupidly high cost of trying to exit early, I think I'll sit on my hands and see what happens next. Still, at least we don't have RS-Bank (see the ZOPA announcement) quite yet. Not in name, anyway. Under normal circumstances, I'd agree with you, but Western economies are well past using established economics. Hell will freeze over before Carney raises interest rates. Inflation could easily hit 5%+ next year due to the fall of the £ against the $, but I'll bet my winter hibernation rations that rates won't move up. This is all part of the Bilderburg plan. People with money, who've taken care to provide for themselves, are all being left to burn with the poor. Everyone will be poor and living under the thumb of the rich elite. The future is financial fascism that's way worse than anything we've ever seen.
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james
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Post by james on Nov 17, 2016 2:01:41 GMT
This is all part of the Bilderburg plan. People with money, who've taken care to provide for themselves, are all being left to burn with the poor. Everyone will be poor and living under the thumb of the rich elite. The future is financial fascism that's way worse than anything we've ever seen. I've seen no sign that the UK is going to follow say Russian into a fascist economic approach, which is one where freedom to invest and do business is contingent upon service to the state and with significant state direction. Assuming you mean the Bildergerg group, that was set up to oppose anti-Americanism in Europe by creating more personal relationships between individuals and lack of anti-American sentiment seems particularly useful to the UK at the moment. Not really sure that it's sensible to conclude from their apparent encouragement of Bill Clinton and Tony Blair that they should be regarded as having left-wing political tendencies. Nor am I sure why left-wing political tendencies and support for a Russian-style economic system would be desirable for rich people, who are placed at significant risk by such a system if they don't play ball, which is of course why so many from Russia now live in the UK, bringing their money with them. Meanwhile as a person who's taken care to provide for themself I'm doing quite nicely for myself by investing in P2P and other things.
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Post by BrianC on Nov 17, 2016 2:29:21 GMT
5 year rate at 4.1% with £3M offered below 5%. Crazy! I've built up to £45K in Ratesetter 5 year market but will now start withdrawing all repayments as these rates are a joke. No idea who is lending so cheaply! Having said that, whilst in the Halifax the other day I saw a poster offering loans of £5-15K for just 3.3%. We're in times of cheap money but I'd rather keep mine under my mattress than lend it to strangers for 5 years, unsecured for a measly 4%!!! Seriously I'd rather get 0.1% in a high street bank than risk it on P2P at 4.1% for 5 years. I really hope this is a blip!
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jlend
Member of DD Central
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Post by jlend on Nov 17, 2016 7:13:06 GMT
/mod hat off I've been running down for a while now .. there appear to be some considerable upside risks on market interest rates (with inflation likely to creep up, or maybe more than 'creep'), so locking in ~5% (or less) for 5 years looks like a dumb move. YMMV. With 5 year rate currently less than 1 year rate, and the stupidly high cost of trying to exit early, I think I'll sit on my hands and see what happens next. Still, at least we don't have RS-Bank (see the ZOPA announcement) quite yet. Not in name, anyway I do still have a large amount for me in ratesetter since the early days but have started to move at least some of it out. They have no shortage of funds right now by the look of things so most people are staying in and they are attracting new lenders. I do still like them. Lending doesn't seem to have grown at the same rate of previous years though? I still don't really understand why the ratesetter sellout fees are so much higher than most p2p platforms. At least previously some of the sellout fees went directly into the Provision Fund for the benefit of lenders. Due to a commercial decision alll the fees now go to ratesetter themselves which is a shame with all the previous talk around gaming the system. As well as the lowering rates I can't keep up with all the changes to the lender terms. The wording changes on a regular basis. We hear about some things but not all of them. It would be helpful if ratesetter published and maintained a date stamped log at least every time they tweaked the wording. Like a lot of lenders I also don't know what constitutes a material change that shouldn't be applied retrospectively. I assume there are some things they can't do?
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Post by ruralres66 on Nov 17, 2016 7:52:38 GMT
I second that suggestion. Perhaps we should all make a formal written request for RS to deliver this on a dedicated web page?
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Post by p2plender on Nov 17, 2016 13:09:04 GMT
Like many on here I'm pulling cash out. No way I'm lending at sub 5.7 ish. Enjoying RS Aus though. Not much sub 10% for 5yr lending. www.finder.com.au/personal-loans
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Post by Financial Thing on Nov 17, 2016 13:44:24 GMT
/mod hat off I've been running down for a while now .. there appear to be some considerable upside risks on market interest rates (with inflation likely to creep up, or maybe more than 'creep'), so locking in ~5% (or less) for 5 years looks like a dumb move. YMMV. With 5 year rate currently less than 1 year rate, and the stupidly high cost of trying to exit early, I think I'll sit on my hands and see what happens next. Still, at least we don't have RS-Bank (see the ZOPA announcement) quite yet. Not in name, anyway. Everyone will be poor and living under the thumb of the rich elite. Elites have been running societies for thousands of years. Nothing has changed.
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Post by khampson on Nov 17, 2016 14:11:29 GMT
The issue I have with AC is that if a loan defaults (expected 6%+) then even on the instant and 30 day account, your money becomes locked in, the recovery process could take months or even years, it is only when all avenues have been attempted to recover the loan will the provisional account pay out and that is up to AC if they will on a particular loan.
I am in the rolling RS account and I know a month my money should be back in my holding account although there is no guarantee, I suppose that is why AC pay 3.75% for the instant and 4.25% for the 30 day notice account. Just to add AC diversify your account for you lending up to 20% to a borrower, that is a little high for me, some are ok with that but I'm Not, worst case would be deploying £10000 into the instant account and £2000 going to a borrower that misses a payment and this money becomes locked into the system until it is resolved.
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