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Post by ratetart666 on Dec 28, 2017 16:32:00 GMT
Yet another loan goes sour. So far, so SSDD (same s*** different day). This time FC admit that the director sold his share in business March 2017, but Companies House not info'd before October (still nearly 3 months since FC should have known and acted). Either we are not being told when FC find out problems, or (more credibly) they don't know themselves. This lot have become totally incompetent since changing their model a few months ago. As with many other investors I have been reducing my holding over the last few months, and will continue to do so until I am left with a few legacy bad debts to collect. What a shame, they were good for a number of years.
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Post by grahamreeds on Dec 28, 2017 18:34:45 GMT
I seemed to have dodged this particular bullet. What was the loan number?
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Post by ratetart666 on Dec 28, 2017 19:37:52 GMT
23911
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markr
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Post by markr on Dec 28, 2017 21:25:31 GMT
It is perhaps even more annoying for the whole loan lender who picked up loan 43239 to the same company, which was taken out in September, after the change of director but before CH were notified.
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adrian77
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Post by adrian77 on Dec 29, 2017 10:01:24 GMT
I don't think the above comment is fair to FC.
Some would say FC were totally incompetent beforehand....I too am down to legacy holdings which is one of my better investment decisions.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 29, 2017 10:57:39 GMT
I don't think the above comment is fair to FC. Some would say FC were totally incompetent beforehand....I too am down to legacy holdings which is one of my better investment decisions. I don't really agree with the above comment (Oh adrian77, what happened to our love?). FC have a more than five year record of returning in a range of 6 - 7% net of everything, to all but the most unlucky investors. However they still have their share of loans which borrow and pay one to three installments of their five year loans before collapsing into administration, which does indeed look like FC overlooked something important. But it has always been this way, right from the start. I seems to me that about the same amount of loans collapse this way as they did years ago, meaning that FC never improved, or that there is a way of hiding facts about your company when taking out a loan which no improvement will stop. Which is it? In the past, in these cases such as 'Breath of Foul Air', a first hurdle faller of yore, as an investor one used to feel that one shared a little bit of the responsibility, having made the decision to buy a part of the loan. These days we feel force fed these poison pills, having had no say in the choice. I am also at this moment massively peeved about being awarded a £100 lump of rubbish in a different loan which was downgraded immediately and all the directors bar one resigned as soon as the cheque cleared. The feeling of powerlessness over investments made on our behalf is also driving me away from FC.
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blender
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Post by blender on Dec 29, 2017 15:53:31 GMT
I agree that the change to 'take what you're given or go elsewhere' has probably not affected the due diligence. The computer has always been susceptible to a good con, and the system is not good at finding those contingent liabilities which may soon materialise, so unexpectedly. They used to take occasional responsibility for their individual loan failures - the refusal to compensate for crappy scrappy was probably the end of that. You are buying the stats, not the loans.
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markr
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Post by markr on Dec 29, 2017 22:19:46 GMT
It's the classic false positive vs false negative problem. FC could do more to prevent bad borrowers getting through, but it would likely result in rejecting more of the good loans and result in increased fees to pay for the additional DD, neither of which is good for FC's business. Far easier to get early failures to as low as reasonably practicable, then price the rates good borrowers pay so as to achieve reasonable overall yield.
Human nature is to be loss averse, and we tend to take losses from dodgy borrowers personally, even though a well diversified lender is almost certainly earning a positive return, and most lenders will be earning at least the target return.
FC have likely improved their processes, but they are in an arms race, as their fraud detection improves, the dodgy borrowers invent new ways to circumvent them. Bear in mind FC have also introduced higher risk bands, with corresponding higher rates, since the early days.
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adrian77
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Post by adrian77 on Dec 30, 2017 10:05:05 GMT
Agree with all of above - projections don't always come true - ask Teresa May!
Personally I am just going to sit back in 2018 ref FC and see what actual returns actually transpire and take it from there. One thing I would say is that FC now have much greater competition for our money so I wonder if all P2P lenders will come under pressure to offer lower rates to borrowers in order to get the business and/or take on ever riskier loans.
Personally I expect a rival platform in the North of England to go under in 2018
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markr
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Post by markr on Dec 30, 2017 23:14:51 GMT
Personally I expect a rival platform in the North of England to go under in 2018 When I first read that, I thought you meant Assetz, but on second thoughts I take it you mean white rose rather than red.
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Post by df on Dec 31, 2017 0:15:09 GMT
Agree with all of above - projections don't always come true - ask Teresa May! Personally I am just going to sit back in 2018 ref FC and see what actual returns actually transpire and take it from there. One thing I would say is that FC now have much greater competition for our money so I wonder if all P2P lenders will come under pressure to offer lower rates to borrowers in order to get the business and/or take on ever riskier loans. Personally I expect a rival platform in the North of England to go under in 2018 I'm quite comfortable sitting back and observing post Sept18. 7.7% annualised return so far is better than I expected. I have no urge to withdraw from FC. AC springs to mind when you mention the North of England . In my personal experience the SME rival lending is up in Scotland. My actual rate of return on LC is 9.4%.
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adrian77
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Post by adrian77 on Dec 31, 2017 17:02:28 GMT
No not Assetz (I am with them) but yes definitely a white rose company although not a very big one!
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brianlom1
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Post by brianlom1 on Dec 31, 2017 22:19:47 GMT
No not Assetz (I am with them) but yes definitely a white rose company although not a very big one! I assume you mean the rogue outfit based in Leeds ... their passing will not be mourned
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adrian77
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Post by adrian77 on Jan 1, 2018 9:24:22 GMT
no comment !
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Post by brightspark on Jan 1, 2018 10:06:54 GMT
It's the classic false positive vs false negative problem. FC could do more to prevent bad borrowers getting through, but it would likely result in rejecting more of the good loans and result in increased fees to pay for the additional DD, neither of which is good for FC's business. Far easier to get early failures to as low as reasonably practicable, then price the rates good borrowers pay so as to achieve reasonable overall yield. Human nature is to be loss averse, and we tend to take losses from dodgy borrowers personally, even though a well diversified lender is almost certainly earning a positive return, and most lenders will be earning at least the target return. FC have likely improved their processes, but they are in an arms race, as their fraud detection improves, the dodgy borrowers invent new ways to circumvent them. Bear in mind FC have also introduced higher risk bands, with corresponding higher rates, since the early days. True as far as it goes. What you haven't mentioned is the pedestrian approach historically adopted by FC towards bad debts which reached its nadir with the dud series of London loans where hundreds of thousands of pounds have been lost. Initially long suffering investors were given every excuse under the sun for doing precisely nothing useful for well over a year. Two years on with the loans in long-term administration and still no resolution. It was mighty convenient for FC to blame a useless now defunct property division of their organisation for the failures when in fact the buck should have stopped where it belonged at the top of the management chain. They were appallingly slow to get a grip on an out of control situation. With investment comes risk but the whole point of secured investments is to hedge against such disasters. FC by presenting such rubbish loans pitched inexperienced investors into quagmires from which no meaningful financial recovery is likely.
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