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Post by chris on Nov 25, 2013 20:35:01 GMT
You can add my name to the list of those that prefer secondary market transactions at par. I hate the distortion it causes to the primary market on FC, and secondary market auctions on Thincats (aka SM3 to thincat users) are pretty close to dysfunctional. I'm concerned that after a while all the P2x platforms seem to morph into looking like each other. Secondary market transactions at par is currently a USP of Assetz, please think very carefully before you move away from this. We have a board meeting on Thursday where we're discussing our approach to the secondary market, amongst many other things. I'll raise your concerns then. Can I just clarify if people dislike the concept of selling for a premium or at a discount, or if it is just the premium that people do not like? If someone wanted to offload their loan units quickly, for whatever reason, and wanted to ensure a quick sale is there an issue with discounting their loan units?
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Post by mrclondon on Nov 25, 2013 20:49:16 GMT
I can't think of any immediate concerns to allowing trades at a discount. Given the predominance of sole-trader type companies on the platform for which ongoing lender due-dilligence is almost impossible to achieve, a discount may be required to quickly find a buyer.
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oldgrumpy
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Post by oldgrumpy on Nov 25, 2013 21:11:54 GMT
I think that the facility to mark up by 3% and immediately resell on FC (and FK I suppose) for instant profit with no share of the risk is an abomination*. I hope Assetz do not follow this route. The secondary market should be easily available purely for investors to gain access to their money when required (Assetz 0.35% charge for this seems very moderate to me) and is an essential part of good P2B platforms.
If large investors need to be brought in to ensure big loans are filled without expensive underwriters, maybe this could be done near the end of a slow filling loan, rather than at the beginning, and openly have part (or all) of their 0.35% selling fee waived, rather than being encouraged to just play the system as on FC. Would this be a cheaper way for Assetz than the underwriters?
*Having said that I have occasionally marked up by up to 0.5% on FC to cover selling fees, but mostly recently it has been at par just to rapidly offload low return loan units in order to reinvest (FC charge 0.25%, which is low).
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Post by bracknellboy on Nov 25, 2013 22:06:12 GMT
I think that the facility to mark up by 3% and immediately resell on FC (and FK I suppose) for instant profit with no share of the risk is an abomination*. I hope Assetz do not follow this route. The secondary market should be easily available purely for investors to gain access to their money when required (Assetz 0.35% charge for this seems very moderate to me) and is an essential part of good P2B platforms. If large investors need to be brought in to ensure big loans are filled without expensive underwriters, maybe this could be done near the end of a slow filling loan, rather than at the beginning, and openly have part (or all) of their 0.35% selling fee waived, rather than being encouraged to just play the system as on FC. Would this be a cheaper way for Assetz than the underwriters? While I'm not a huge fan of the SM/aftermarket on FC, in that it has definitely encouraged top slicing by flippers, which in turn has resulted in people having to spend more time actually rebidding, it undoubtedly has helped in the past to fill loans which otehrwise might have failed to get away: back in the days when not all loans were guaranteed to fill. I don't see why anyone would 'overbid' unless there was an incentive to do so either becausea they feel they can make a profit later, or because of upfront fees. Whereas I was reluctant to overbid on FC just because of a 0.5% cashback for example, I have definitely been prepared to overbid on loans which I both like and which are at a relatively premium rate: in the full knowledge that I can hold for a bit and then scale back and make a bit of money on the resale. I would not have been inclined to do so just to get say 2-3 months interest on my 'top slice'. the net of that would be there are circumstances where that both helps to fill a loan and reduce the rate to borrowers: it is in the eye of the beholder whether the latter is a good or bad thing.
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Post by pepperpot on Nov 25, 2013 22:28:30 GMT
I can see how an active secondary market on FC is tempting as an additional revenue stream and given the larger volume of loans appearing on the primary market over there I agree some would not fill without the aid of the flippers. So they have their place, but I have to agree in the principles stated that it distorts the crowd due-diligence, by quite some margin. Maybe limit the mark-up to 0.5%, so anyone wanting to help get a large loan underway can act as a quasi-underwriter without any loss. And no limit to the mark-down side to help with an 'oh my god' moment. That way you would gain from a slightly busier aftermarket without attracting too many flippers to distort the primary.
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Post by mrclondon on Nov 25, 2013 22:28:45 GMT
Confession time - the ability to sell at a premium can lead to the temptation to indulge in unethical practises. Lets say in a FC thread on this site I happen to notice that someone has pointed out a FC loan is about to be repaid by a new FK loan. What is to stop me listing said FC loan on the secondary market at a 2.8% premium ? Absolutely nothing - and that 2.8% is a straight capital loss to the buyer in 10 days time when the loan is repaid in full.
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Post by bracknellboy on Nov 25, 2013 22:45:18 GMT
Thinking a bit more about this. The fact that AC automatically dices and slices your bid into bite size chunks, and add in that the majorty of loans are fixed rate, means there would be a hugely increased risk of a market being cornered for the purposes of SM selling than exists with FC. With FC at least flippers need to make multiple bids (albeit some have mastered the art of this) to get saleable chunks and have to chase rates down to stay at the premium level for resale. If the aftermarket allowed decent premium on AC, I could see that even I would seriously consider massive short term over exposure through single button press in the knowledge that I could do a quick spin at a profit.
On the other hand: discounts: interest rate environment is not a stable thing: I cannot think of a valid reason why allowing discounts to give some one an exit route on what might at that time be an otherwise unattractive rate shouldn't be allowed.
And premiums to at least cover up to the cost of sale: why not ?
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Post by mead187 on Nov 25, 2013 23:01:26 GMT
Personally I don't like the secondary market on FC and it's influence on bidding. If users are concerned about loans filling up quickly from gold members just wait till the flipper s<snip> move in. It can be difficult to get a deal which serves your own interests and it encourages some exploitative behaviour. Pretty sure some new users have kicked themselves for buying average loan parts at 3% when first trying to understand how the SM works, some people must be chuckling away. There's room for small mark ups/down but I cant see how any loan part is worth +3%, unless someone can convince me otherwise?
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pikestaff
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Post by pikestaff on Nov 25, 2013 23:37:44 GMT
Buyers on the primary market have their money tied up from bid to drawdown, which is usually weeks but can be months. Getting loan parts on the secondary market, with no waiting time, is therefore (in most cases) a relative bargain which may explain why there are usually not many about.
I'd have no issue with premiums being permitted at a level that enabled sellers to cover their selling costs plus a modest return for their dead time. 50% of the loan rate (accrued on a daily basis) might be reasonable. No more than that, because the money is not on risk until it is lent. A difficulty, however, is that the dead time is very variable. As we have seen today, some loans fill and are drawn very quickly. I would not want these to become a flippers' paradise.
A possible solution, if it could be implemented in software, would be for the maximum premium to vary depending on the dead time, calculated either from the end of the auction or (preferably) from when the seller's bid was made. The latter would give some encouragement to early bidding. This could be expressed as a formula:
Max premium = 0.35% + R*t/2
where R is the loan rate and t is the dead time, determined as above.
In order to calculate the premium from when a bid was made, the system would need to retain a permanent record of when bids are made. I've no idea whether it does.
Perhaps this is overcomplicating things, but I think a change along these lines might encourage the development of the secondary market without opening it up to abuse.
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Post by bracknellboy on Nov 25, 2013 23:44:08 GMT
There's room for small mark ups/down but I cant see how any loan part is worth +3%, unless someone can convince me otherwise? Well if a loan has only marginally filled for example - I'm thinking specifcally FC model here - then marginal rates might be at say close to 15%. It may not have filled for all sorts of reasons, but the dominant one would be a mismatch of lender to borrower funds at the time of listing, coupled with a reason why people were turned off/focussed elsewhere: lack of answers on Q&A used to be a regular one. While that situation may have changed, you can also see it potentially starting to come back: the balance of money to lend vs. borrowers definitely seems to have altered again. If that loan performs perfectly well for a while, and the available marginal rates drop back 'cos the balance of matching funds alters, then why would it not be worth a buyer paying a signficant premium to pick up a loan part at a base rate of say 13% ? I can remember one loan - which I decided to not get in on - which fitted that perfectly: it was large, it was asset secured, questions weren't answered, it went at close to max marginal rates, and was a good credit rating.
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Post by bracknellboy on Nov 25, 2013 23:56:24 GMT
I should say that this is particularly a feature of markets which are 'pricing to liquidity' rather than risk, and therefore more of a function of variable rate loans. See other thread on that whole topic.
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duck
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Post by duck on Nov 26, 2013 5:56:22 GMT
Can I add my name to the list of those that would prefer no premium selling on the aftermarket.
Whilst the ability to liquidate loans is very important (I don't disagree with discounting to obtain a faster sale) when I invest my prime intention is to hold. Whilst it has died down now the 'Flippers Market' on FC last year did nothing to encourage me to increase my investment there.
Linking this thread to the 'bridging loans', I was very pleased to see the loans get away (even though I couldn't get parts myself) this has to be good in the long term. With the aftermarket as it stands now if any parts appear the deal is clean and transparent. Sometimes simple is best in my world!
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jimbo
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Post by jimbo on Nov 26, 2013 6:48:27 GMT
I don't see anything wrong with a premium or discount, in principle. This is, afterall, how bond markets function, and I suspect building a functioning bond market for small businesses was one of the aspirations of the founders of Funding Circle. At the end of the day, nobody is forcing buyers to pay a markup, and if sellers get too greedy they will run out of buyers.
You make a good point about the risk of insider trading/unethical practices though, and this is a risk with the current model of what is analogous to a number of private exchanges at which loans can be traded. I suspect the solution is better information sharing between P2B providers when it comes to borrowers seeking funding elsewhere. Possibly, this could be enforced by the regulation. In the present sitution with this particular borrower, I think FC should really downgrade the loan to prevent trading as soon as they know the borrower is seeking funding on a different platform with the intention of clearing their loan. If they aren't aware of this though, they can't take action.
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Post by gingergent on Nov 26, 2013 8:10:25 GMT
Doubtless like some others, I feel more strongly about this having seen the impact on loans at Funding Circle than I did when I first signed up to FC and AC. Flippers do have some value as quasi-underwriters at FC, providing liquidity when there is excess demand in return for a markup 'fee' at a later date. However, the effects of the secondary market ripple back and seem to materially distort aspects of the primary. AC has already taken a different approach here, with actual underwriting, the Gold Club, occasional incentives for large bids, and a different 'style' of loans.
I will add another vote for allowing selling at below par, and I can see a good argument for a mark-up limited to the value of the sale fee. The important thing is that both allow a lender an exit route but no profit; any higher mark-up provides an incentive to take as much volume as possible from the primary to profit in the secondary.
Fixed rate loans mean anyone willing to take that lower rate is unable to do so up front, when they might otherwise have got a better, intermediate rate. The Gold Club pre-bidding means that (absent very high loan volumes) high-volume lenders could sew up a good part of the primary market, pushing the minnows into the secondary and allowing secondary rates to be depressed. Given that AC makes a margin on each secondary market sale this not only impacts the functioning of the market, but also may bring reputation risk.
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Post by jevans4949 on Nov 26, 2013 14:44:23 GMT
If interest rates begin to rise and/or funds become scarce, it may be necessary to allow for sales at a discount, both for lenders needing to liquidate their investment, and more particularly for executors after the lender's death.
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