mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Nov 29, 2013 19:15:29 GMT
Someone has already started pre-bidding I didn't think pre-bids normally would be placed more than 24 hours before the loan goes live -- two hours seems more normal during my short history with AC -- so perhaps the pre-bid was placed back when the start time still was 1900 today. As for the revised credit report front page, it looks like most of the updates were pretty minor, but two weren't. The most significant change was that the additional charge on a second property "pending completion of tenancy/conversion of upper floors" has disappeared. How significant that is will depend on the valuation -- if the £485k value relates to the property in its current vacant state then the reported LTV should be OK, but if any of the value is attributed to the anticipated leasing of the ground floor and the letting of the upper floors as accommodation then the LTV would be quite optimistic. The notable other change I see is that the first six months of the loan now are interest-only.
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Post by mrclondon on Nov 30, 2013 19:09:21 GMT
Hmm ... a fair few bidders already c. 10% filled after c. 5 mins ... despite the credit report only being avaiable shortly before the start and still partilally anonomised as still awaiting final borrower approval.
Googling redditch restaurant fire may or may not provide further background.
Still digesting this ....
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oldgrumpy
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Post by oldgrumpy on Nov 30, 2013 19:19:17 GMT
"Googling redditch restaurant fire may or may not provide further background"
..................... post deleted ... old news.
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Post by batchoy on Nov 30, 2013 20:14:14 GMT
First flush seems to have ended with 22% being bid in the first hour. Googling Redittch Accountant is more revealing than Redditch Restaurant Fire
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Nov 30, 2013 20:55:58 GMT
Googling Redittch Accountant is more revealing than Redditch Restaurant Fire I tried that, and found myself looking at a list of accountants in Redditch. I looked a bit more closely at the various firms listed, but didn't find one that matched the details in the credit report. What have I missed? Perhaps I'm just thick, but how am I supposed to get from that list to any useful info?
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Post by batchoy on Nov 30, 2013 21:12:22 GMT
Googling Redittch Accountant is more revealing than Redditch Restaurant Fire I tried that, and found myself looking at a list of accountants in Redditch. I looked a bit more closely at the various firms listed, but didn't find one that matched the details in the credit report. What have I missed? Perhaps I'm just thick, but how am I supposed to get from that list to any useful info? There is one that fits based on the office locations, where I possibly have the advantage (and your not thick ) is I have access to a credit rating service which gives me access to a lot of business and director information.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Nov 30, 2013 23:07:22 GMT
I tried that, and found myself looking at a list of accountants in Redditch. I looked a bit more closely at the various firms listed, but didn't find one that matched the details in the credit report. What have I missed? Perhaps I'm just thick, but how am I supposed to get from that list to any useful info? There is one that fits based on the office locations, where I possibly have the advantage (and your not thick ) is I have access to a credit rating service which gives me access to a lot of business and director information. I think I found two that had offices in two of the three locations mentioned in the credit report, but not one that had all three of the locations. And I didn't find one that was established at about the time mentioned in the CR. I'll admit that I didn't go beyond the first page of results, so perhaps I didn't dig deep enough. It probably doesn't matter, though, as I'm not sure what I'd gain by knowing which firm it was unless, like you, I had access to the sort of additional info you do. One thing that did concern me, however, was the possible drawdown delay that might occur. The borrower clearly has access to the property already because the ground floor refurbishment is progressing. Once the loan is funded,the borrower knows they can have the loan whenever they like, so that uncertainty goes away for them. So what incentive does the borrower have to draw down promptly and complete the sale? Since interest starts accruing at drawdown, why shouldn't they want to delay that as long as possible? I've asked a question to that effect, and it will be interesting to see what sort of a response we get.
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Post by mrclondon on Nov 30, 2013 23:18:45 GMT
i think I found two that had offices in two of the three locations mentioned in the credit report, but not one that had all three of the locations. And I didn't find one that was established at about the time mentioned in the CR. I'll admit that I didn't go beyond the first page of results, so perhaps I didn't dig deep enough. It probably doesn't matter, though, as I'm not sure what I'd gain by knowing which firm it was unless, like you, I had access to the sort of additional info you do. One thing that did concern me, however, was the possible drawdown delay that might occur. The borrower clearly has access to the property already because the ground floor refurbishment is progressing. Once the loan is funded,the borrower knows they can have the loan whenever they like, so that uncertainty goes away for them. So what incentive does the borrower have to draw down promptly and complete the sale? Since interest starts accruing at drawdown, why shouldn't they want to delay that as long as possible? I've asked a question to that effect, and it will be interesting to see what sort of a response we get. I sent you a PM earlier - click on messages on the top menu bar (I assume you haven't as yet enabled PM forwards to your email) Re the refurbishment - my guess is the debt offset on the purchase price is the cost of refurbishments to date. Its a 1st charge + 1st debenture so should be relatively quick legals. The timeline appears to be driven by the bank wanting to offload the property from their books [if my id of the property is correct, the previous owner's company was disolved in the last couple of weeks].
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Post by pepperpot on Nov 30, 2013 23:27:35 GMT
The security looks about as secure to other similar loans I've invested in, but, my overriding concern though is the current state of health of the borrower. If he's got a nasty bout of flu and been told bed rest for 2 weeks would help, that is one thing but without knowing it's not something more sinister I think I'll wait for the next bridging loan at a higher rate. Given that this could, as indicated, be possibly over in 6 months I'm not overly enthusiastic.
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Post by batchoy on Dec 1, 2013 9:00:34 GMT
Personally I wouldn't read too much into the current state of health of the company director: its the director that is ill and the company that's borrowing the money.
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Post by mrclondon on Dec 3, 2013 18:27:28 GMT
The full credit report is now attached to the loan request along with the Sept 2013 valuation. The credit report largely confirms what I had already deduced with the help of google, but the valuation report makes for rather depressing reading. "Googling redditch restaurant fire may or may not provide further background"
..................... post deleted ... old news.
It may have been "old" news but it was also highly relevant news. The original fire was 2008, yet the property has still not returned to use, indeed a second fire occured in 2012 caused it seems by the builders. And we now read that in Sept 2013 the building was still a shell. Whilst the credit report does state "Assetz Capital has visited the property in November 2013 and found that much of the refurbishment was well on course", this strikes me as being a bit vague. Also the description of the current access to the upper floors sounds as if conversion will not be straightforward. I think the risk of very early refinancing from a mainstream lender is lower than some may perceive. On reflection I think this one may struggle at its current rate of 10.5%, although it has gained new momentum today. I may still contribute but would be happier at 12%.
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Post by batchoy on Dec 3, 2013 19:53:41 GMT
The full credit report is now attached to the loan request along with the Sept 2013 valuation. The credit report largely confirms what I had already deduced with the help of google, but the valuation report makes for rather depressing reading. No surprises in the credit report, and if anything I had discovered more using the tools available, however as you say the valuation report is disappointing but 2 months is along time in the shopfitting business particularly if there is a tenant. Recent interior photos from Assetz November visit would have been nice given the comments in the valuation.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 3, 2013 20:43:13 GMT
No surprises in the credit report, however as you say the valuation reportis disappointing but 2 months is along time in the shopfitting businessparticularly if there is a tenant. Recent interior photos from Assetz November visit would have been nice given the comments in the valuation. In addition to the 'after refurbishment' valuation we have been given, I would have liked to see a 'current state' valuation, as that's what we'll have for security at the time of drawdown. It's encouraging that the refurbishment is already in progress, but until it's complete -- or very nearly so -- all we have is a shell, and I haven't a clue what sort of LTV we really have. Also, why wasn't the valuer allowed access to the second floor? Also the description of the current access to the upper floors sounds as if conversion will not be straightforward. I think the risk of very early refinancing from a mainstream lender is lower than some may perceive. On reflection I think this one may struggle at its current rate of 10.5%, although it has gained new momentum today. I may still contribute but would be happier at 12%. The access above the ground floor also struck me as awkward and unhelpful. And putting five flats into just 2500 square feet strikes me as rather ambitious, especially as some of that space is bound to be lost to internal hall/lobby/stairs. I have no feel for achievable rents -- is £500/month reasonable for a 450 s.f. flat? Today's 'momentum' came nearly all from a single £25k bidder late in the day, though there were four other bids of £1k or more that provided another £8.5k. We'll see tomorrow whether being nearly 50% fulfilled will encourage more participation. If not, then an interest rate increase may be necessary to create some more enthusiasm. General question: If the interest rate were to be increased, would that apply to all bids? Or just those bids made after the increase was announced? Edited to fix one of the quotes.
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Post by mrclondon on Dec 3, 2013 20:48:32 GMT
General question: If the interest rate were to be increased, would that apply to all bids? Or just those bids made after the increase was announced? Interest rate increases have occurred occaisonally in the past, and have always applied to all bids.
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oldgrumpy
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Post by oldgrumpy on Dec 3, 2013 20:50:28 GMT
mikes1531...
When Leeds... had its interest rate increased half way through, all my bids were automatically increased to the new rate.
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