hazellend
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Post by hazellend on Aug 3, 2018 17:13:30 GMT
Perhaps one of the things we should bear in mind is that although there are undoubtedly a fair number of HNWIs on this forum, Lendy are most definitely not going to be targeting forumites. They're not looking for people who want to manage their own money, but the " asset rich/time poor" who only bother signing up to stuff via introducers only. So I think we have to assume multi millionaires who wouldn't think twice about 50k and who have someone else managing all their investments. Except that IFAs have typically been extremely conservative about p2p - It's probably a couple of years since I last spoke to my IFA - at which point he'd only softened as far as saying he couldn't recommend p2p as it hadn't been through an economic cycle etc but since it was only a small part of my pot there was clearly no real harm for me etc and I can't really imagine him having changed his tune much. So I'm kinda curious as to which introducers Lendy is targetting and what information they'll likely have access to - after all Lendy is super profitable, no lender has lost any money and our experience is likely to make us unlikely to agree on whatever default stats they present. Lendy will be laughing if they can get people to plug it tho - huge influxes of cash to clear out the SM and get rid of a lot of those noisy irksome fickle retail investors ....and if HNWs do lose cash, well they knew that was a risk didn't they? Because p2p is never mainstream, even crypto currency will be in the CFA curriculum next year, but p2p is not, and I doubt will ever. The risk of p2p can’t even be classified as an asset class, it doesn’t have return profile and return is not proportionate to risk. It is more like gambling than investing. It is nothing like gambling. It is definitely investing assuming a sensible diversified portfolio.
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cwah
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Post by cwah on Aug 3, 2018 17:50:39 GMT
If Lendy adds to the offer a BuyBack (like Mintos) from the company. It could become an interesting offer...
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mj
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Post by mj on Aug 3, 2018 18:47:59 GMT
It is nothing like gambling. Agree. It has all the risks but not the returns.
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Post by samford71 on Aug 3, 2018 18:54:25 GMT
Because p2p is never mainstream, even crypto currency will be in the CFA curriculum next year, but p2p is not, and I doubt will ever. The risk of p2p can’t even be classified as an asset class, it doesn’t have return profile and return is not proportionate to risk. It is more like gambling than investing. I would disagree with that. The raw material of P2P is not new. Consumer loans, SME loans, development loans, bridges, invoice financing etc. Institutions, from banks to funds, have been investing in these products for decades (longer for many). These are just fixed income loans. The return to risk proposition in most of these loan classes is historically fairly good. In risk terms most of these products are higher risk than investment grade bonds and more comparable to speculative grade bonds or emerging market sovereign debt. At the high-yield end, some type of lending have risk characteristics more equivalent to private equity but with potential returns to match. The rise of P2P in the last decade is mainly the result of the confluence of three factors: technology (already available), borrower demand (caused by institutional lenders tightening up lending standards and withdrawing from certain forms of lending due to prudential requirements) and retail investor demand (an ageing population, used to abnormally high real deposit rates, seeking out yield). The reason why the return has not been proportionate to risk in some forms of P2P, such as speculative development loans, is due to the platform. First, around 50% of the yield being taken by the platform, halving the return but not reducing the risk at all. Second, these loans are structured with poor risk-reward for lenders. Basing developments loans on LGDV results in the developer having only a small constrained downside. They can walk away from the SPV with little equity loss. Their upside, however, even after paying 20-30% in interest and fees, is hugely levered. Effectively, lenders sell incredibly cheap options to speculators and no speculator ever says no to a cheap option. The few institutional lenders that deal in speculative development loans often base loans on LTC (loan to cost), rather than GDV. This forces borrowers to put far more equity down, resulting in less upside/more downside. Developers are then less inclined to attempt very marginal developments which often fail. The default rates are thus lower. These types of loans, however, don't work well for platforms like SS. The rates charged to borrowers have to be lower to represent the higher equity down and lower default risk. This cuts the platform's margin substantially.
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tx
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Post by tx on Aug 4, 2018 1:52:49 GMT
Because p2p is never mainstream, even crypto currency will be in the CFA curriculum next year, but p2p is not, and I doubt will ever. The risk of p2p can’t even be classified as an asset class, it doesn’t have return profile and return is not proportionate to risk. It is more like gambling than investing. I would disagree with that. The raw material of P2P is not new. Consumer loans, SME loans, development loans, bridges, invoice financing etc. Institutions, from banks to funds, have been investing in these products for decades (longer for many). These are just fixed income loans. The return to risk proposition in most of these loan classes is historically fairly good. In risk terms most of these products are higher risk than investment grade bonds and more comparable to speculative grade bonds or emerging market sovereign debt. At the high-yield end, some type of lending have risk characteristics more equivalent to private equity but with potential returns to match. The rise of P2P in the last decade is mainly the result of the confluence of three factors: technology (already available), borrower demand (caused by institutional lenders tightening up lending standards and withdrawing from certain forms of lending due to prudential requirements) and retail investor demand (an ageing population, used to abnormally high real deposit rates, seeking out yield). The reason why the return has not been proportionate to risk in some forms of P2P, such as speculative development loans, is due to the platform. First, around 50% of the yield being taken by the platform, halving the return but not reducing the risk at all. Second, these loans are structured with poor risk-reward for lenders. Basing developments loans on LGDV results in the developer having only a small constrained downside. They can walk away from the SPV with little equity loss. Their upside, however, even after paying 20-30% in interest and fees, is hugely levered. Effectively, lenders sell incredibly cheap options to speculators and no speculator ever says no to a cheap option. The few institutional lenders that deal in speculative development loans often base loans on LTC (loan to cost), rather than GDV. This forces borrowers to put far more equity down, resulting in less upside/more downside. Developers are then less inclined to attempt very marginal developments which often fail. The default rates are thus lower. These types of loans, however, don't work well for platforms like SS. The rates charged to borrowers have to be lower to represent the higher equity down and lower default risk. This cuts the platform's margin substantially. Why do I feel as if you are agreeing with me that this is more like gambling than investing? P2p in general is just loans with due diligence. But p2p on Lendy seems a different beast. As simple as diversifying in the Market portfolio, my beta should be 1, so if I invest AND reinvest in all Lendy loans and trenches proportionately, I will have nearly half of my funds in default, is that the market beta?! Clearly not, and I think it is much worse than the p2p market beta in general, means your expected relative (to real p2p market) return is negative, with a small chance earning alpha ... The above simply feels like talking about playing casino games.
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upland
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Post by upland on Aug 4, 2018 5:44:59 GMT
I think that these new products are a good thing as it will most likely help me unload the much reduced remainder of my holdings. Its been an interesting experience and I am not totally unhappy with the outcome nor am I totally surprised. Nothing ventured nothing gained.... I feel that Ly is now getting the judgement of the market place and it going to be hard to talk their way out of that one.
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sl75
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Post by sl75 on Aug 4, 2018 7:00:13 GMT
I think that many of Lendy's current investors would love to be able to access their money in 60 days (or even 365 days), but as so many are suspended I find it very difficult to see this working in practice. I think the get out warning "in normal market conditions" really means not anytime soon! "in normal market conditions" is the same phrasing AC use... so looks like these could be based on a clone of AC's "access" accounts, where each investor has a hypothetical holding of the entire loan book, but these are transferred to other investors when some (but not all) investors withdraw funds - either by having new investors in the "access" products take their place, or by selling some of the sufficiently liquid loan parts to "normal" investors. The longer notice period than AC's, and the large investment amount suggests to me something more like a managed investment fund with significant manual involvement by staff rather than some high-tech whizzy system that immediately allocates a few nanopence of each loan for each additional micropenny of investment! Whether these accounts are indeed similar, or the similarity is barely even skin deep, someone who has looked deeper (or even has access to the full promo material if it's restricted?) would need to evaluate. I'd guess there'll be a certain type of investor who is attracted by the exclusivity if nothing else.
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tx
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Post by tx on Aug 4, 2018 8:16:47 GMT
I think not “manual” as such, but more like private equity that you have a commitment period, however it is debt/loan, so no upside of equity.
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rocky1
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Post by rocky1 on Aug 4, 2018 12:12:58 GMT
if lendy could get me back my near 50k that is in my well diversified portfolio across many loans i could have a go at this new scheme.the only problem is none of them are earning a penny and i am unlikely to see a lot of my [investment]returned.never mind 2 years loss of interest and IA just get me back my 50k.the remainder of my funds with lendy trundle along towards IA day.well done lendy and good luck at cowes week.karma will soon come to you in one form or another.
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Post by stanley on Aug 4, 2018 15:33:28 GMT
Dear All,
Adding to the comments and views of the other brave investors in Lendy and contributors to this forum......
It looks to me like Lendy are essentially creating a 'Bad Bank'. Sadly, that's the one where our cash is currently tied up.
They are creating a new shiny investment platform unfettered by all that annoying, possibly unrecoverable, debt.
It's not easy to attract money to a platform that has such a poor recovery rate.... So...... Create a new one.
Ta Da!
Love to all,
Stanley
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rocky1
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Post by rocky1 on Aug 4, 2018 16:05:22 GMT
just received my welcome to lendy wealth email.nice website,easy to navigate,great testimonials.5 stars would highly recommend.OOPS sorry thought i was on TP. how many mugs are going to fall into this scheme of give us 50k and go away and dont worry about a thing.
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james21
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Post by james21 on Aug 4, 2018 19:53:06 GMT
As has been said only £50k to join the party for 6% 30 days notice and no provision fund. Can have any amount in Growth St to example one platform at 5.3% little cash drag, black box, default fund and none so far that have come to light as all kept in house. Think about it
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rocky1
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Post by rocky1 on Aug 5, 2018 12:36:14 GMT
i dont get this at all. what diversified secured property loans with your own dedicated account manager that your 50k minimum is going to be spread across.where is this portfolio of such loans.
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tx
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Post by tx on Aug 5, 2018 13:53:34 GMT
i dont get this at all. what diversified secured property loans with your own dedicated account manager that your 50k minimum is going to be spread across.where is this portfolio of such loans. Could very well be the same set the loans! Half defaulted and half non-performing. Your capital still at risk, I really don’t get it that why my capital still at risk, same kind of risk (loan and platform), while losing the choice of loans, and the return is lower and capped? If I am asset rich and time poor, then it would be such easy decision to make based on my observation.
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Post by df on Aug 5, 2018 23:43:58 GMT
This 6% black box product was proposed a while ago. I didn't think it will ever be implemented, but I was wrong. Good luck to those who will invest in "wealth"
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