mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Sept 25, 2014 17:51:18 GMT
The valuer's lack of local knowledge is very evident ... One point in the reports that bothered me was the suggestion that the '90-day marketing' valuation was at only about a 10% discount to the full value, and IIRC that's a lot smaller discount than I've seen on other loans and other platforms. Is it clear to anyone whether any of these 'restaurants' actually are operating at the moment? The valuer seems to think there are no signed leases/tenancies, so I get the feeling they are not. One other thing that surprised me in the valuations was that they focussed completely on the buildings. I couldn't find anything that indicated how big the pieces of land were. Did I just miss that?
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Post by Deleted on Sept 26, 2014 1:07:43 GMT
Don't think you missed it
I looked at the plans attached to the reports and in the one I remember, instead of the site outlined in red it was just indicated roughly by an arrow. This is unusual and suggests to me the valuer was not provided with copies of the title plans. I could be wrong.
That said, I would have expected a visual inspection may have indicated the likely extent of the boundaries and these could have been marked out - albeit with a caveat saying they are a best/likely guess rather than definitive.
As a (non practising) Surveyor I read the reports obtained by SS with interest and some of them impress me while others seem skimpier on detail.
My concern is that the early PBLs seemed quite thoroughly researched and were accompanied by detailed and solid valuation reports which displayed real expertise and dependability. I felt quite confident in the proposals and loans, Some of the more recent paperwork I have seen has been less impressive and a bit less fit for purpose in my opinion. These newest 3 and the recent Dover Hotel one are examples of that.
The latest reports did not seem to deal with any possible alternative uses - the planning enquiries were brief and merely confirmed the existing uses. Noting some are in largely residential areas and the site areas are not stated, is there any potential for residential redevelopment, for example. Or expansion? What we have are existing use valuations but might the market view these premises as redevelopment opportunities, subject to planning consents? They are part residential, part restaurant. How profitable are the restaurants? Are they trading? Have the accounts/profits been taken into account? Might there be some 'hope value' here in terms of possible redvelopment and a more profitable use, especially as some updating/maintenance is required.
To be fair I have not seen the extent of the Valuer's instructions so it would be wrong to criticise the valuers when I do not know their terms of reference. The valuations are prepared by suitably qualified Chartered Surveyors - although the Dover one appeared to have been prepared by a Chartered Quantity Surveyor who would not necessarily be expert in the field of valuation surveying - although he may have added that string to his bow.
If there is a deficiency in this regard it could lie with a lack of property expertise within SS itself. I would say that clients need to give clear instructions and be clear about their needs so that they get exacty what they require. They need to take care to choose suitably qualified surveyors. Problems can occur when a client doesn't fully understand what is needed, or lacks the skill to interpret and understand what has been reported and thus doesn't go back to seek further information or clarification on any points, though hopefully solicitors would pick up a lot.
A 3 month marketing period is not generous when we are dealing with properties such as these restaurants in quite poor order and a forced sale within that tight timeframe may well not allow a sale at just 10or 20% below market value to be achieved. Forced sellers are not in a strong position to negotiate and fully test the market and they lack the time needed to add value to an asset.
Overall I wonder if SS, in their keenness to expand the platform and bring new loans to the table, may be starting to take on slightly higher risk loan business in the property sector. I hope this isn't the case.
It is reassuring however that SS is using the services of Charered Surveyors who are RICS Registered Valuers and not local estate agents or such like who are not required to conform to such standards, ethics and continuing professional development and who may have different agendas and perspectives and be unafamiliar with RICS Professional Valuation Standards.
Property valuation is said by some to be an art rather than a science. Valuations will always vary from valuer to valuer. A 10 to 15% variance is accepted as reasonable. The only way to prove market value is to properly market a property and then agree a price between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arms length transaction. The forced sale scenario takes the willing seller part out of the equation to a large extent so the outcome becomes much less certain.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Sept 26, 2014 15:35:34 GMT
Noting some are in largely residential areas and the site areas are not stated, is there any potential for residential redevelopment, for example. @fastfox: Thanks for your comprehensive reply. I'm glad to see I'm not the only one who thinks the thought of achieving a 90-day sale with a discount of less than 10% may be rather optimistic. With respect to the one sentence I've quoted above, the PBL011 valuation includes... I'm not absolutely sure this refers to a potential development on the site this loan would be secured by because I thought it also could mean a potential development on adjacent land that could affect the value of this property. That's what made me look at the map/plan more closely trying to see if it made clear whether or not the trapeziodal-shaped plot behind the building was part of this property. I learned nothing from that. Perhaps savingstream could clarify the situation for us.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Oct 8, 2014 14:36:29 GMT
Noting some are in largely residential areas and the site areas are not stated, is there any potential for residential redevelopment, for example. @fastfox: Thanks for your comprehensive reply. I'm glad to see I'm not the only one who thinks the thought of achieving a 90-day sale with a discount of less than 10% may be rather optimistic. With respect to the one sentence I've quoted above, the PBL011 valuation includes... I'm not absolutely sure this refers to a potential development on the site this loan would be secured by because I thought it also could mean a potential development on adjacent land that could affect the value of this property. That's what made me look at the map/plan more closely trying to see if it made clear whether or not the trapeziodal-shaped plot behind the building was part of this property. I learned nothing from that. Perhaps savingstream could clarify the situation for us. I note with regret that ten days have passed and savingstream have not provided any clarification here. Meanwhile, I note that there's less than £200 of PBL012 to fund.
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bugs4me
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Post by bugs4me on Oct 8, 2014 22:11:47 GMT
@fastfox: Thanks for your comprehensive reply. I'm glad to see I'm not the only one who thinks the thought of achieving a 90-day sale with a discount of less than 10% may be rather optimistic. With respect to the one sentence I've quoted above, the PBL011 valuation includes... I'm not absolutely sure this refers to a potential development on the site this loan would be secured by because I thought it also could mean a potential development on adjacent land that could affect the value of this property. That's what made me look at the map/plan more closely trying to see if it made clear whether or not the trapeziodal-shaped plot behind the building was part of this property. I learned nothing from that. Perhaps savingstream could clarify the situation for us. I note with regret that ten days have passed and savingstream have not provided any clarification here. Yes they ( savingstream) do seem to rather quiet of late.
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Post by savingstream on Oct 9, 2014 8:00:07 GMT
PBL011, PBL012, & PBL013: We have been informed that one of the borrowers (initially a couple) has suddenly passed away. Apparently the remaining party still wishes to proceed with the loan however understandably this will cause some delays in completion.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Oct 9, 2014 16:59:01 GMT
PBL011, PBL012, & PBL013: We have been informed that one of the borrowers (initially a couple) has suddenly passed away. Apparently the remaining party still wishes to proceed with the loan however understandably this will cause some delays in completion. That's sad news, but thanks for keeping us informed, savingstream. I hadn't realised that there was more than one borrower. All three of the Loan Particulars documents say "The borrower is...", which gives the distinct impression that the borrower is an individual. More importantly, is SS/Lendy prepared to continue to pay the £15k/month of interest that would be accruing to investors once the loans are fully funded (it's accruing at about £9k/month right now) while waiting for the delayed completion? Would that be paid monthly? Or would it be rolled up until drawdown, which is likely to be some months in the future? Is the secondary market available for any investors who do not wish to proceed with their investment in these loans in view of the probable delays? Can SS -- or anyone else who might have some experience of this sort of situation -- give any guesstimate of how long the delay might be? I'm not looking for an exact number, but I'd like to have a rough idea whether we're likely to see a delay of two months, six months, or a year.
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webwiz
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Post by webwiz on Oct 14, 2014 9:50:21 GMT
Can anyone explain why PBL012, and to a lesser extent PBL013, are so much more popular than PBL011?
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Post by pepperpot on Oct 14, 2014 9:57:50 GMT
Immediate reaction - they are smaller, and therefore will be more sale-able quicker, offering better liquidity.
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ramblin rose
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Post by ramblin rose on Oct 14, 2014 10:10:30 GMT
Immediate reaction - they are smaller, and therefore will be more sale-able quicker, offering better liquidity. That was precisely my thinking when I made my investments - since they are all part of the same loan I allocated an amount to the three as a whole, and in thinking how to spread it between the three I put the lion's share into 012, a smaller amount into 013 and none into 011.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Oct 14, 2014 13:02:04 GMT
Can anyone explain why PBL012, and to a lesser extent PBL013, are so much more popular than PBL011? It depends on how you define "more popular". Looking at the amounts invested, we see... PBL011: £278k PBL012: £341k (fully subscribed) PBL013: £328k ... which looks like a reasonably even spread of investment. Looking at the percentages remaining may be a bit misleading because of the differing sizes. As others have said, though, there is a tendency to want to direct investments into smaller loans because they ought to be easier to exit from should the need arise, since other investors might not already have as much of a particular loan as they'd like, which would make them more willing to buy your part if you should decide you want to sell. PBL005 is an example at the other extreme. Right now -- four months after that loan went live -- there still is £137k of it available for investors. The good news is that if you already have some parts of PBL005 and you wish to sell them, your parts would be placed in the selling queue in front of any parts underwriters still are holding. The bad news is that most existing SS investors already have as much PBL005 as they want, so most PBL005 sales will be to new SS investors. I have no idea how successful SS are being at bringing in new investors, but there seem to be enough PBL005 sales to allow existing investors to sell some parts reasonably quickly.
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sqh
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Post by sqh on Oct 15, 2014 12:35:39 GMT
mike said: I have no idea how successful SS are being at bringing in new investors.
The number of investors is listed at the bottom of the home page, currently 1279. On a previous thread I remember j congratulating SS on their 1000th lender and that was around June/July time. So they are gaining new investors at around 3 per day.
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ramblin rose
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Post by ramblin rose on Oct 15, 2014 13:09:16 GMT
mike said: I have no idea how successful SS are being at bringing in new investors.
The number of investors is listed at the bottom of the home page, currently 1279. On a previous thread I remember j congratulating SS on their 1000th lender and that was around June/July time. So they are gaining new investors at around 3 per day.
It's about now that Investor sometimes pops up with an useful graph on the subject.....................
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Investor
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Post by Investor on Oct 15, 2014 13:22:52 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 15, 2014 13:58:42 GMT
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