Godanubis
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Anubis is known as the god of death and is the oldest and most popular of ancient Egyptian deities.
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 10:34:17 GMT
So use the allowance for P2P and "other stuff" and keep the ISA for shares then. Simples.
ISAs are practically designed for buy & hold, growth and compounding. You'd be nuts to use them for anything else other than shares.
Your broker must love you for all the commission you generate on your annual 'diffusion' games.
Who on earth has £12k capital gains from P2P? you must be buying and selling huge amounts (millions probably) on the few SMs allowing discounts/premiums to get anywhere near that. As for "other" - well, if you have a lot of property investments, and you can bank an annual profit from them without huge costs, fine. I don't. Hard to see what else most people are going to use their CGT allowance on under "other". Currently >£100000 Capital gain in my FS FISA and corresponding loss in Main account to be used as I please to offset CGT anywhere else. S&S always the possibility of 100% loss (impossible on first charge P2P or bling) and if you chose say some of the recent whoppers with > 60% loss in shares in last few months it takes years to recover. Yes they have their place . Use FS and sell before maturity and you have totally TAX free profit. With the current secondary market lull ALL but 2 loans will sell at higher discounts so anything > 60 days will make a profit that gets larger the longer you hold. Selling in last 50 days will make about 10% totally tax free. No brokers required just some reasonable research and effort.
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Godanubis
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Anubis is known as the god of death and is the oldest and most popular of ancient Egyptian deities.
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 10:35:58 GMT
Sometimes you just have to smile and move on. Life's too short. Away come back. We miss you
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r00lish67
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Post by r00lish67 on May 19, 2019 10:46:35 GMT
S&S always the possibility of 100% loss (impossible on first charge P2P or bling) Providing you choose passive index funds, the exact opposite is true. First charges against places no-one wants to buy are worth nothing. First charges that were meant to be first charges but turned out be forgotten to be registered are worth nothing. Bling that somehow vanishes whilst supposedly in the platform's control is worth - wait for it - nothing. In contrast, in circumstances short of the end of the World as we know it, a vanilla S & P 500 or World tracker is not going to go to zero.
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IFISAcava
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Post by IFISAcava on May 19, 2019 10:46:40 GMT
Who on earth has £12k capital gains from P2P? you must be buying and selling huge amounts (millions probably) on the few SMs allowing discounts/premiums to get anywhere near that. As for "other" - well, if you have a lot of property investments, and you can bank an annual profit from them without huge costs, fine. I don't. Hard to see what else most people are going to use their CGT allowance on under "other". Currently >£100000 Capital gain in my FS FISA and corresponding loss in Main account to be used as I please to offset CGT anywhere else. S&S always the possibility of 100% loss (impossible on first charge P2P or bling) and if you chose say some of the recent whoppers with > 60% loss in shares in last few months it takes years to recover. Yes they have their place . Use FS and sell before maturity and you have totally TAX free profit. With the current secondary market lull ALL but 2 loans will sell at higher discounts so anything > 60 days will make a profit that gets larger the longer you hold. Selling in last 50 days will make about 10% totally tax free. No brokers required just some reasonable research and effort. If you buy on primary and sell on secondary, it isn't capital gain, it's trading of simple debt and not subject to CGT AFAIU. It's only a capital gain if you buy on secondary and sell on secondary. To get a £100K capital gain, the theoretical maximum margin is 2% on FS (buy at 1% discount and sell at 1% premium, which would virtually never happen, but anyway) so you would need to trade £5 million. On a more realistic 0.5% margin it would be a £20 million turnover. Of course, you can manipulate it by selling back and forth between ISA and non-ISA, and hope that HMRC doesn't get interested when you try and offset that manufactured loss elsewhere. But that's a different issue to genuine trading capital gains.
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Godanubis
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 11:05:24 GMT
Currently >£100000 Capital gain in my FS FISA and corresponding loss in Main account to be used as I please to offset CGT anywhere else. S&S always the possibility of 100% loss (impossible on first charge P2P or bling) and if you chose say some of the recent whoppers with > 60% loss in shares in last few months it takes years to recover. Yes they have their place . Use FS and sell before maturity and you have totally TAX free profit. With the current secondary market lull ALL but 2 loans will sell at higher discounts so anything > 60 days will make a profit that gets larger the longer you hold. Selling in last 50 days will make about 10% totally tax free. No brokers required just some reasonable research and effort. If you buy on primary and sell on secondary, it isn't capital gain, it's trading of simple debt and not subject to CGT AFAIU. It's only a capital gain if you buy on secondary and sell on secondary. To get a £100K capital gain, the theoretical maximum margin is 2% on FS (buy at 1% discount and sell at 1% premium, which would virtually never happen, but anyway) so you would need to trade £5 million. On a more realistic 0.5% margin it would be a £20 million turnover. Of course, you can manipulate it by selling back and forth between ISA and non-ISA, and hope that HMRC doesn't get interested when you try and offset that manufactured loss elsewhere. But that's a different issue to than genuine trading capital gains. Buying back and forth or from anyone is free market buying as anyone or any group can buy the part. If excluded it would close all trading at positive premium the rules would apply to any part sold. You are about right in the sums re turnover and trading it is always 2% and at least £5 million. The CGT loss was not the reason just a unintentional consequence. Trading is is used to allow selling with no loss of interest so you get full or greater returns with no tax that you would by holding to maturity. It also eliminates all default risk. As said selling will remove all tax liabilities . Your are only liable to report overall CG not the minutiae of how it was made or not made.
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Godanubis
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Anubis is known as the god of death and is the oldest and most popular of ancient Egyptian deities.
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 11:30:07 GMT
S&S always the possibility of 100% loss (impossible on first charge P2P or bling) Providing you choose passive index funds, the exact opposite is true. First charges against places no-one wants to buy are worth nothing. First charges that were meant to be first charges but turned out be forgotten to be registered are worth nothing. Bling that somehow vanishes whilst supposedly in the platform's control is worth - wait for it - nothing. In contrast, in circumstances short of the end of the World as we know it, a vanilla S & P 500 or World tracker is not going to go to zero. You mentioned atypical scenarios few and far between LCF and Carillon and Thomas Cook are things that the average punter put their money. The professional investors of course will have a much better chance of maintaining a profit over time . Over time is the main point most small investors don’t want a 5year plan and if you buy at the top and things fall the 5 years just make you standstill. My small P2P trial at £6000 is still making >15% tax free. I restrict my withdrawal from taxable sources to my allowance and top up from non-taxable sources. I know this is nearly impossible for the majority as they have committed taxable income. It it takes a good bit of work to do this. With first charges the land always has value not the same with a collapsed limited company.
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iRobot
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Post by iRobot on May 19, 2019 11:35:31 GMT
S&S always the possibility of 100% loss ( impossible on first charge P2P or bling) Providing you choose passive index funds, the exact opposite is true. First charges against places no-one wants to buy are worth nothing. First charges that were meant to be first charges but turned out be forgotten to be registered are worth nothing. Bling that somehow vanishes whilst supposedly in the platform's control is worth - wait for it - nothing. In contrast, in circumstances short of the end of the World as we know it, a vanilla S & P 500 or World tracker is not going to go to zero. And don't forget than even when there is some value, costs to extract that value can exceed it, resulting in a zero return to lenders. May not be commonplace, but certainly not "impossible".
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Godanubis
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Anubis is known as the god of death and is the oldest and most popular of ancient Egyptian deities.
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 16:52:59 GMT
What codswallop (both halves of that statement !).
You'd have to be an utter muppet to achieve a 100% loss in S&S !
Even in the darkest days of 2008 nobody with half a brain was anywhere near a 100% loss, especially if they had a half-decent portolio.
Stop spreading FUD. Just look at Funding circle. Lots of plc companies failed. 60% of UK have NO savings . Check rip-off Britain every episode has people loosing their life savings. I have several hundred thousand in S&S and some investments make a loss. Ask jo public the difference between a share a bond and funds (the easy financial products) the don’t have a clue. So instead of calling naive investors muppets from your more experienced position remember not everyone can be brilliant. Over last 30 years return on investment was 3.66 % S and P 500 was 6.73% . Vanguard state 6.6% returns in next 10 years. These are half the current P2P returns and nearly a third of the after tax equivalent.
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Godanubis
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 20:59:29 GMT
Just look at Funding circle. Lots of plc companies failed. 60% of UK have NO savings . Check rip-off Britain every episode has people loosing their life savings. I have several hundred thousand in S&S and some investments make a loss. Ask jo public the difference between a share a bond and funds (the easy financial products) the don’t have a clue. So instead of calling naive investors muppets from your more experienced position remember not everyone can be brilliant. Over last 30 years return on investment was 3.66 % S and P 500 was 6.73% . Vanguard state 6.6% returns in next 10 years. These are half the current P2P returns and nearly a third of the after tax equivalent.
Godanubis you seem to be taking a leaf out of IFISAcava's book and flying off on a complete tangent whilst failing to provide me with any sort of counter argument.
- Lots of companies failed ? Well sure, companies fail. But do they go bang overnight ? No. The stockmarket will start pricing in trouble weeks, months or years beforehand.
- Me calling people muppets ? Do me a favour and re-read my post. Don't take stuff out of context please.
- "Some investments" in your "several hundred thousand" portfolio making a loss ? Well sure, you cant win all the time. But tell me .. how many of those did you make a 100% loss on ? Hell, whilst you're at it, why not tell me how may you made a 50% loss on ? I would hazard a guess that you, like most other sane people, might have let it go at most 20-30% down before you called it quits ! Hence why only muppets would make a 100% loss, you'd have to have your head firmly in the sand to ignore the all the opportunities you had between -1% and -100% to hit the sell button.
- Your so-called statistics. "Lies, damned lies and statistics". I'm afraid your numbers don't pass the sniff test.
Finally, regarding your "half the current P2P returns" comment. Please can we stop with this stupid illogical bull excrement. As I have already pointed out in this very thread. P2P is, at best (and being generous), comparable to Junk Bonds. P2P is risky, too many people on this forum (including you it seems) underestimate the risk. The money you are receiving from P2P is a risk premium (and a risk for which you are being paid too little in my opinion). It is entirely inapprorpriate to compare P2P to S&P500 or any other part of the stockmarket. The "nearest" thing you can compare P2P to is Junk Bonds.
Other than platform failure covered by FCA approved exit. If you sell before maturity there is no great risk with current SM in FS . I’m not a newbie and been doing this a good few years and you can compare. Actual greater returns wins out no Matter what you like to call it. You are in your high castle again assuming ever invester has on line trading and is frequently assessing the market they don’t. They hand it over to some IFA who sticks a pin in the FT and sits back and takes the commission. The 3.66% returns for average person over 30years is abysmal. Anybody buying an annuity now is royally screwed. Again you mention derogatory terms for those without a half decent portfolio . My point is few understand the markets and for the average saver with <£10000 doesn’t have the options for low trading costs so frequently buying and selling wipes out any profit. They sell and buy at the bank at >£10 a trade to have a decent spread of ten or above shares that’s 10% in fees so they have to rise considerably more to make a profit. There is a higher chance of a huge loss than With P2P. Unless fraud or secondary loans none have made 100% loss and overall loss is 6.8% of capital. With 11.8% returns after losses I would suggest most people would be happy as this could be tax free. Welendus effectively guaranteed no losses as nearing default loans are bout back and accrued interest paid.
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Godanubis
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 21:20:55 GMT
Godanubis yet again you are completely missing the point and spouting back nonsense.
For example you say I am assuming that: "ever invester has on line trading and is frequently assessing the market they don’t"
If you are really "not a newbie and been doing this a good few year" you claim you are, then even you must admit that statement is utter bull excrement.
As for your "The 3.66% returns for average person over 30years is abysmal.". As I said "Lies, damnd lies and statistics". Your numbers simply don't pass the sniff test.
I'm sorry Godanubis . Either discuss this properly or not at all. Don't waste my time with tangiental waffle of a very questionable nature. Read it and weep. link
There are years with overall 30% loss no good if you need the cash. Overall on P2P you make a profit There are highs and lows that need to be ridden out to get the average. I prefer constant positive return. I need more effort to maintain higher returns with market investments. Simple easy to follow table. link
Try and get a large balanced portfolio with these average person savings link
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Godanubis
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Anubis is known as the god of death and is the oldest and most popular of ancient Egyptian deities.
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Post by Godanubis on May 19, 2019 22:51:38 GMT
Godanubis thanks for confirming you gathered your statistics from random sources on the internet. Confirmed exactly what I thought. You've been spending hours on the internet desperately trying to find something that looks like it might fit the line of argument you want to take .... a website called creditdonkey dot com. Seriously ?
As I said. Don't waste my time with "dodgy dossier" style arguments.
So wallstreet and london stock exchange link are random sources, Show me diffrent ones . Average savings prove me wrong . ONS figurs show the same link. of course you won't agrre on them. I'm happy to let others scrutinise and comment and happy to take my profitts,
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SteveT
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Post by SteveT on May 20, 2019 7:52:31 GMT
Thus I have no interest in reading any more of your nonsense Godanubis and this is certainly the last time I reply to it. Simplest just to block his posts from appearing (Members - Godanubis - then click the cog top-right and "Block member").
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Godanubis
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Anubis is known as the god of death and is the oldest and most popular of ancient Egyptian deities.
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Post by Godanubis on May 20, 2019 11:25:15 GMT
Godanubis as I said previously. You claim to have the experience and yet the "arguments" you present are extraordinarily naive. All you seem to be able to do is Google for random links on the internet and come up with data that suits you but is in effect data of either questionable quality or the blatantly the wrong data for the comparison you are seeking to make. Your perspective on P2P is also rose-tinted beyond belief. I am perfectly willing to listen to and consider well reasoned and well considered counter-arguments to my perspective. However you seem to be hell-bent on just opposing whatever I have to say and you don't really care about the facts, let alone providing a logical and well-constructed counter-argument In effect, you are just being difficult and argumentative for the sake of it because you've evidently taken a dislike to me or the stockmarket or both. Thus I have no interest in reading any more of your nonsense Godanubis and this is certainly the last time I reply to it. Usual snowflake runs away and never actually tries to justify their position like Facebook friends if you don’t agree you block them and live in your own bubble ONS and Stock exchanges are not random sources and you provide no others to counter. As a Scientist for over 40 years I am quite aware of reaching sources. Adults have discussion and debate without throwing their dummies out of the prom. i did agree for the right savvy investors you can make a good return on stock market etc. That’s why I have a reasonable sum invested some making 100% PA My arguments waer most people neither have the funds or the acumen to make large profits,and in P2P with a little effort highest returns can be constantly achieved without the larg fluctuations in financial markets.
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bg
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Post by bg on May 20, 2019 13:17:22 GMT
The average annual total return of both the FTSE all share and the S&P 500 over the last 30 years is in excess of 10%.
That is a fact and easy to verify from numerous sources. You do not have to be a sophisticated investor to invest in these indices and receive these returns, there are numerous ETF's and tracker products that will do the job. Of course, there are risks, some years will be down, the return is an average.
To claim that the average return for investors is only 3.6% is selective and completely misleading. The source in question (Credit Donkey) is a US based and is incentivised to get people to invest in its partners products (read the disclaimer at the top "This article contains references to products from our partners. We may receive compensation if you apply or shop through links in our content. You help support CreditDonkey by reading our website and using our links.") and is therefore incentivised to downplay returns that aren't through its advertised products. I can't imagine anyone on this board invests in or even has access to invest in US mutual funds (which it claims average a return of 3.6%). Even then mutual funds invest in products other than stocks and shares (bonds, other assets etc), its really a bad comparison. Even the CreditDonley website itself says the S&P 500 historically returns 10%. Invest in that, not some obscure, niche US mutual fund with high fees that returns.
P2P on average does not return anywhere near 10%. To say its impossible to lose 100% in a first charge loan or bling is also incorrect and absolutely misleading. There is always the risk of misvaluation, unknown legal issues, fraud, receiver fees and platform risk. Ask the many investors in 1st charge loans in Collateral how they are feeling with that one.
The strategy being pedalled is to get in a loan and then sell before maturity so there is no risk. Two problems with that - 1) there is a risk as you can't guarantee you can sell (look at the amount of people stuck in Lendy or FS loans once the market dried up). 2) It's impossible for everyone to follow this strategy...someone has to be left holding the baby at the end, it's like a game of musical chairs (or a ponzi scheme).
One thing I can say for certain. The risk of a 100% loss investing in an ETF or tracker on the FTSE all share or S&P 500 while not zero is pretty damn close to it. In my view if either of these indices hit zero we would be looking at the end of civilisation as we know it, the likes of Lendy, FS, MT would have gone 'puff' long before and the status of our investments would be the least of our worries.
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macq
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Post by macq on May 20, 2019 14:27:10 GMT
For what its worth and it's only a rule of thumb but would say there are more people within the boards on this forum complaining of rates lower then expected,non recovery of loans,legal action worries etc then say the people posting on investing forums such as MSE or Monevator who have gone into funds etc (and i speak as somebody with a small amount of P2P)
P.s speaking of Monevator if you are really into passive investing or investing in general - the last post over the weekend is the chance to put forward a question to prehaps be answered by Lars Kroijer in a Q&A who i know some follow
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