cb25
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Post by cb25 on Jul 9, 2020 11:26:31 GMT
Many estate agents, and new-build sale offices, right now are only allowing potential buyers to view a property if they can demonstrate they already have a sale agreed on their own house. I know someone currently trying to move house and, even though their own property is on the market, they are barred from even viewing a large proportion of homes they would like to consider. Seems crazy, and I can only put it down to my highlight above. I can't imagine it's Covid related, but I'm stumped. Can anyone offer any other explanation? We have a friend reporting exactly the same thing (she has yet to sell her house but is interested in buying) , and my assumption is it's because of exactly that. No bad thing really, little point in encouraging almost certainly pointless viewings if there are piles of people with ready cash/no chain. bernythedolt Stupidity? The more obstacles you put in a market place, the fewer transactions there are likely to be.
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starfished
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Post by starfished on Jul 9, 2020 13:09:37 GMT
Maybe estate agents are also trying to address a pre-covid problem? Seems disproportionate if so.
All pre covid but...
I am aware of two friends whose sales fell through because people elsewhere lost their buyers. They seemed to suggest it was an increasing problem.
Separately I am also aware of another couple who were advised by estate agents to move into rented accommodation (selling their place first) to show they are serious?!
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Post by dan1 on Jul 9, 2020 13:12:42 GMT
dan1 I imagine this relatively modest (by cost) initiative is going to generate a lot more headlines than it should because of the ability to splat headlines like "go out for a Rishi Dishi". I guess it - along with the cut to VAT on food - might drive a little more traffic to eateries.
I think the cut to SDLT is more questionable. OK, people want to pay less tax, but what problem is that solving? What jobs are being protected/generated - estate agents? Not sure I see buyers who are fearful for their future income are going to buy a property because it might cost less. Any reduction in prices assumes sellers don't simply increase the price of their property, knowing the buyer has more money available. Trying to maintain/increase property prices is a pretty dumb move imo. Better to have put money into a massive house building programme (possibly even social housing) - generates jobs, helps to meet the demand, might stabilize/lower prices a little.
Meal Deal comes to mind! Yes, it'll generate disproportionate coverage in the press but ever was the case. I hope that £0.5bn doesn't end up costing the economy many times more by propagating infection indoors. I was somewhat horrified seeing Sunak laugh and joke while holding plates of food without a mask - I wonder how much of his spittle those customers consumed The SDLT holiday was just a nod to the middle classes, i.e. the Tory voter base. It'll benefit the wealthier more, and indeed the poorest can only dream of home ownership. If mobility really was key then measures aimed at the private rental market would have been more productive - perhaps some interest free loans for deposits or something (I'm no economist so I'm sure there are better measures but you get my point). The poorest in society are hit hardest by high housing costs.
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Post by dan1 on Jul 10, 2020 9:21:51 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2020 9:36:14 GMT
Chatting to my German friends they say they were lucky to be invaded by a group of horny young male Americans, French, Canadians and Brits in around 1944 who spread sexual diseases throughout the country just as the first antibiotics came along, leading to the development of some serious contagion tracking systems. Switching the sexually transmitted tracing system to contact tracing was pretty easy.
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james100
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Post by james100 on Jul 10, 2020 9:49:43 GMT
That's sad...I did cringe at the handwritten tally...surely someone could have lined up those place values better at least! Cheer yourself up with this:
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Post by dan1 on Jul 10, 2020 11:03:20 GMT
That's sad...I did cringe at the handwritten tally...surely someone could have lined up those place values better at least! Cheer yourself up with this: Michel Barnier must have enjoyed that reply immensely. Poor Francois, you can understand his frustration, afterall someone with a much greater intellect than he said this would be the easiest trade deal in history.
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james100
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Post by james100 on Jul 10, 2020 14:09:36 GMT
That's sad...I did cringe at the handwritten tally...surely someone could have lined up those place values better at least! Cheer yourself up with this: Michel Barnier must have enjoyed that reply immensely. Poor Francois, you can understand his frustration, afterall someone with a much greater intellect than he said this would be the easiest trade deal in history. I also have sympathy for him. Michel is truly his arch nemesis. As the loser in comparison to Michel on every level: intelligence; gravitas; professional success; kindness; memory; command of the English language and dare I say it, looks, he must be apoplectic today At least he can take comfort from the one thing they have in common - access to their EU Passports (via his Italian mother). Nice.
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ozboy
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Mine's a Large One! (Snigger, snigger .......)
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Post by ozboy on Jul 10, 2020 20:05:28 GMT
Chatting to my German friends they say they were lucky to be invaded by a group of horny young male Americans, French, Canadians and Brits in around 1944 who spread sexual diseases throughout the country just as the first antibiotics came along, leading to the development of some serious contagion tracking systems. Switching the sexually transmitted tracing system to contact tracing was pretty easy. V pleased to read that, by omission, the Aussies and Kiwis were hygienic and "clean" then. 😄
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registerme
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Post by registerme on Jul 10, 2020 20:57:38 GMT
Or just didn't get any.
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ilmoro
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'Wondering which of the bu***rs to blame, and watching for pigs on the wing.' - Pink Floyd
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Post by ilmoro on Jul 10, 2020 21:37:55 GMT
Would have been difficult as there were few Anzac troops anywhere near Germany. Aussies redeployed to Far East after North Africa campaign and Kiwis didnt go any further than Italy (Trieste) Id be surprised if any were deployed to occupy Germany, most were involved in Japanese occupation.
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benaj
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Post by benaj on Jul 11, 2020 19:15:19 GMT
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agent69
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Post by agent69 on Jul 11, 2020 20:04:33 GMT
Added deaths/cases for 11/07/2020: 148/820 Not good, big jump in both deaths & cases over figures from 7 days ago Not wise to read too much into a single days figures.
However, I do feel the urge to emigrate to Scotland getting ever stronger.
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Post by dan1 on Jul 11, 2020 21:57:09 GMT
Added deaths/cases for 11/07/2020: 148/820 Not good, big jump in both deaths & cases over figures from 7 days ago The increase in cases is not necessarily a poor indicator. We can compare the deaths now to the number of cases three weeks ago (infection to registration date), and use the 1%-ish fatality rate to see what proportion of infections they're actually detecting. For England only, the 7-day number of deaths is around 80, and the number of cases three weeks ago was around 800, which implies only one in ten infections were being detected. This is obviously over simplistic and there may be a long tail of those infected several weeks/months ago who now make up an increasing proportion of deaths as the infection rate falls but still. Interesting to note that just over three weeks ago on 18th June PHE were estimating 7,000 infections per day (see here). That would fit the current number of deaths we're seeing at present quite well. The question must be how can they find more of these infections? I suspect it's little to do with the testing capacity per se, but that it's about the speed of getting those results (target must be within 24hrs) and track & trace (both forward and backward tracing).
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Post by dan1 on Jul 12, 2020 8:40:18 GMT
Added deaths/cases for 11/07/2020: 148/820 Not good, big jump in both deaths & cases over figures from 7 days ago I am slightly bemused by the 148 deaths in the U.K. I follow also the number of deaths of patients who have died in hospitals in England and there are certainly not 148 deaths reported there, in fact it’s zero. Why? First of all the U.K. figure includes Scotland, Wales & N Ireland though the numbers in S, W & NI are low (just the one in Wales, I think). Second, the U.K. figure is for lab-confirmed positive coronavirus test results reported in any setting and not just hospitals, so possibly there’s a lot of deaths (relatively) outside hospitals. Thirdly, the U.K. figures record deaths on the day when they are announced while the England figures are recorded against the date of death (and are subject to revision going back days and weeks). I’m a little bit cautious about taking the U.K. figures as reflecting the current position (they reflect a pattern of paperwork getting done) and I’m also cautious about taking the last few days of the England figures as reflecting the current position in hospitals in England as these are most likely to be revised. However, both set of numbers are useful and the trends are quite clear. There may have been a change in reporting that may be quietly reported on the PHE site over the coming days (it wouldn't be the first time). The missing piece of the puzzle at the current time is the backlog at coroners. I wonder if a batch of deaths were released as a result of the coroners getting back to work? The person who appears to have the best handle on this is statistician Jamie Jenkins, see his twitter page. He currently estimates 69,500 excess deaths with only about 0.5% being premature deaths:
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