michaelc
Member of DD Central
Posts: 4,842
Likes: 2,756
|
Post by michaelc on Sept 14, 2020 14:56:40 GMT
I thought I'd give y'all an early warning I keep an eye on the NHS England Pathways & Online triage data released weekdays on this site... digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/mi-potential-covid-19-symptoms-reported-through-nhs-pathways-and-111-online/latestIf you complete and online assessment, call 111 or require 999 you'll be added to the statistics. Anyway, good news the 999 data shows no uptick, which is consistent with infections running through the younger population. 111 and Online assessments are rising steadily, 111 was last higher on 20 May, Online on 8 June. Btw ignore the downtick in case numbers, they plotted by date of swab and there's a lag in the most recent data (just 22 positive tests were available for 5 Sep as at 9am from the data released yesterday by PHE). That's very interesting and actually useful BUT I wish the Y axis was linear.
|
|
|
Post by dan1 on Sept 14, 2020 15:14:59 GMT
I thought I'd give y'all an early warning I keep an eye on the NHS England Pathways & Online triage data released weekdays on this site... digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/mi-potential-covid-19-symptoms-reported-through-nhs-pathways-and-111-online/latestIf you complete and online assessment, call 111 or require 999 you'll be added to the statistics. Anyway, good news the 999 data shows no uptick, which is consistent with infections running through the younger population. 111 and Online assessments are rising steadily, 111 was last higher on 20 May, Online on 8 June. Btw ignore the downtick in case numbers, they plotted by date of swab and there's a lag in the most recent data (just 22 positive tests were available for 5 Sep as at 9am from the data released yesterday by PHE). That's very interesting and actually useful BUT I wish the Y axis was linear. Just for you, Michael.... The levels now are as per the end of "lockdown" (not that you can tell from the linear chart ). Worth remembering that these numbers don't depend on availabilty of tests (perhaps 111 dependent on staff to answer the phone but you'd hope that wasn't the case for 999).
|
|
|
Post by dan1 on Sept 14, 2020 15:18:15 GMT
Thanks benaj. I'll have a read later but 436,884 equates to 62,412 per day, on average (not sure if it includes AB testing). Consistent with the data in the chart (weeks 35/36).
|
|
michaelc
Member of DD Central
Posts: 4,842
Likes: 2,756
|
Post by michaelc on Sept 14, 2020 16:59:15 GMT
That's very interesting and actually useful BUT I wish the Y axis was linear. Just for you, Michael.... The levels now are as per the end of "lockdown" (not that you can tell from the linear chart ). Worth remembering that these numbers don't depend on availabilty of tests (perhaps 111 dependent on staff to answer the phone but you'd hope that wasn't the case for 999). Thanks Dan! I think also it was worthwhile doing. You still see the ticking up of online and to a lesser extent 111 but you see the context and the dramatic fall in online after the first wave which to my eyes at least is missed with the log scale.
|
|
|
Post by dan1 on Sept 28, 2020 15:46:02 GMT
I found this quite interesting - infection rates increasing fastest in wealthiest areas.... ...and the parallels with the 1918 influenza pandemic... 1918 pandemic morbidity: The first wave hits the poor, the second wave hits the richwww.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5907814/
|
|
benaj
Member of DD Central
Posts: 4,853
Likes: 1,591
|
Post by benaj on Sept 28, 2020 16:29:13 GMT
|
|
IFISAcava
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,664
Likes: 2,988
|
Post by IFISAcava on Sept 28, 2020 16:43:38 GMT
All these cases in students - but are any of them actually ill? Not part of the reporting (and my suspicion that is because none of them have serious symptoms).
|
|
agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 5,586
Likes: 4,181
|
Post by agent69 on Sept 28, 2020 17:09:58 GMT
All these cases in students - but are any of them actually ill? Not part of the reporting (and my suspicion that is because none of them have serious symptoms). I think lots are sick as a parrott
|
|
IFISAcava
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,664
Likes: 2,988
|
Post by IFISAcava on Sept 28, 2020 17:14:28 GMT
All these cases in students - but are any of them actually ill? Not part of the reporting (and my suspicion that is because none of them have serious symptoms). I think lots are sick as a parrott Groan!
|
|
ilmoro
Member of DD Central
'Wondering which of the bu***rs to blame, and watching for pigs on the wing.' - Pink Floyd
Posts: 10,839
Likes: 11,068
|
Post by ilmoro on Sept 28, 2020 17:15:59 GMT
All these cases in students - but are any of them actually ill? Not part of the reporting (and my suspicion that is because none of them have serious symptoms). I think lots are sick as a parrott What John? Didnt know he was ill
|
|
ilmoro
Member of DD Central
'Wondering which of the bu***rs to blame, and watching for pigs on the wing.' - Pink Floyd
Posts: 10,839
Likes: 11,068
|
Post by ilmoro on Sept 28, 2020 17:17:30 GMT
I think lots are sick as a parrott Groan! Particularly the Norwegian ones in Notlob
|
|
|
Post by dan1 on Sept 28, 2020 17:21:35 GMT
I found this quite interesting - infection rates increasing fastest in wealthiest areas.... ...and the parallels with the 1918 influenza pandemic... 1918 pandemic morbidity: The first wave hits the poor, the second wave hits the richwww.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5907814/... but the picture reverses when we look at those who are critically ill...
|
|
agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 5,586
Likes: 4,181
|
Post by agent69 on Sept 28, 2020 17:53:40 GMT
I case anyone doubts what is fueling the current rise in cases, a couple of headlines from the local rag:
- Over half of Devon's 58 cases of coronavirus in the past 10 days can be traced to the university.
- Police officers were forced to break up large groups of drunk students in Exeter during the first weekend of the 10pm curfew for pubs and restaurants across the country
|
|
james100
Member of DD Central
Posts: 983
Likes: 1,190
|
Post by james100 on Sept 28, 2020 18:50:44 GMT
Cambridge is doing a centralized weekly, asymptomatic, testing programme for all students in accommodation link. Voluntary but strongly encouraged. Colleges have individual complementary policies too eg. Trinity forced eviction contracts which hit headlines last week or so. Loads locked down really early...I spotted my first mask being worn start February!
|
|
agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 5,586
Likes: 4,181
|
Post by agent69 on Sept 28, 2020 21:22:43 GMT
An interesting graph just been shown on Sky news regarding the rate of infection for people who have / have not travelled abroad since 2nd August. Those that had travelled were about 6 times more likely to have contracted the virus compared to those that stayed at home.
Food for thought for the travel industry who are constantly complaining that restrictions are too tough.
|
|