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Post by carol167 on Oct 2, 2020 7:34:44 GMT
7 x £25 WOOHOO!
I thought they were reducing the prizes from this month's draw ?
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Post by nesako on Oct 2, 2020 7:55:58 GMT
7 x £25 WOOHOO!
I thought they were reducing the prizes from this month's draw ?
From December  still one more draw in November with old 1.4% rate PS. 1x £25 this month for me
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agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,042 
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Post by agent69 on Oct 2, 2020 9:38:45 GMT
3 x £25 and 1 x £50 on £50k
Happy days
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baboonery
Member of DD Central
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Post by baboonery on Oct 2, 2020 9:50:56 GMT
2 x £25. Now had a £50,000 holding in the draw for 3 months and currently showing an annualised return of c1.2%. Very happy with that bearing in mind that the capital is completely ‘safe’.
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registerme
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,624
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Post by registerme on Oct 2, 2020 10:06:14 GMT
Only 1 * £25 for me this month.
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Post by wildlife2 on Oct 2, 2020 13:07:26 GMT
1 x £100 for a change 
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agent69
Member of DD Central
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Post by agent69 on Oct 2, 2020 15:39:47 GMT
Only 1 * £25 for me this month. Lots of people think the R in ERNIE stands for random, but in reality it stands for rigged.
1 x £25 this month balances out the 7 x £25 you won last month.
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registerme
Member of DD Central
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Post by registerme on Oct 2, 2020 15:58:38 GMT
Only 1 * £25 for me this month. Lots of people think the R in ERNIE stands for random, but in reality it stands for rigged.
1 x £25 this month balances out the 7 x £25 you won last month.
I'd be happy to forgo the occasional monthly £25(s) if ERNIE would chuck me a million in November
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travolta
Member of DD Central
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Post by travolta on Oct 2, 2020 18:01:51 GMT
£25 for me . Ditto Husband.  The trend is down. |
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wishy
Posts: 33
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Post by wishy on Oct 2, 2020 19:57:57 GMT
2 x £25 on £50K holding
I guess that's about average
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jonno
Member of DD Central
nil satis nisi optimum
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Post by jonno on Oct 3, 2020 10:31:03 GMT
I held £30k (for many years) up until July and upped it to the max £50k from the August draw. Since then I've had 7 x £25 wins (including 3 this month). Of the seven wins, FIVE have been from the £20k I added from August.
Not too sure what this is telling me yet as the period is short but I'll continue monitoring it and report here every few months.
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Post by bernythedolt on Oct 3, 2020 10:48:43 GMT
3 x £25 and 1 x £50 on £50k Happy days
1 x £100 for a change Nice one. Pretty lucky these days to get a prize above £25. Didn't used to be this way, but nowadays the ratio of £25 to £50 prizes is a massive 125:1. Same for £25 to £100 prizes. Make the most of it, because you'll be rejoining us £25 plebs in no time! 
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agent69
Member of DD Central
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Post by agent69 on Oct 3, 2020 11:01:40 GMT
I held £30k (for many years) up until July and upped it to the max £50k from the August draw. Since then I've had 7 x £25 wins (including 3 this month). Of the seven wins, FIVE have been from the £20k I added from August. Not too sure what this is telling me yet as the period is short but I'll continue monitoring it and report here every few months. I've got 2 x £15k blocks and 2 x £10k blocks. My 3 x £25 prizes this month all came from the same £15k block
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Post by bernythedolt on Oct 3, 2020 13:26:00 GMT
I held £30k (for many years) up until July and upped it to the max £50k from the August draw. Since then I've had 7 x £25 wins (including 3 this month). Of the seven wins, FIVE have been from the £20k I added from August. Not too sure what this is telling me yet as the period is short but I'll continue monitoring it and report here every few months. I've got 2 x £15k blocks and 2 x £10k blocks. My 3 x £25 prizes this month all came from the same £15k block Interesting, but the odds of this happening at random are perhaps not as tiny as you might imagine. By my reckoning:- Prob (first prize comes from a 15k block) = 30k/50k = 3/5 Prob (second prize comes from that specific 15k block) = 15k/50k = 3/10 Prob (third prize comes from same block) = 3/10 again Overall probability = 3/5 x 3/10 x 3/10 = 5.4%, so slightly unusual but it will crop up occasionally. jonno 's case is slightly more likely to arise:- The probability of a prize coming from the smaller 20k block is 20k/50k, or 0.4, so Prob (5 prizes out of 7 coming from the smaller block) = 7C 5 x 0.4 5 x 0.6 2 = 0.0774, or nearly 8%. Perhaps higher than you might think. I've tabulated the probabilities below, for 7 wins, highlighting Jonno's particular case. | Prizes from smaller block | Probability | | 0 | 0.0279936 | | 1 | 0.1306368
| | 2 | 0.2612736
| | 3 | 0.290304 | | 4 | 0.193536
| | 5 | 0.0774144 | | 6 | 0.0172032
| | 7 | 0.0016384
| | Total | 1 |
Interestingly, the most expected split would have been 3 wins from the smaller block and 4 from the larger block. Had that happened, Jonno would not have bothered to post, yet its probability of occurring is still only 29%. The other likely outcome was 2 wins from the smaller block and 5 from the larger. Again, nobody would be surprised by that distribution. But these two outcomes together are only 55% likely to occur. So leaving these two outcomes aside, any other outcome would have appeared "remarkable" - and yet we should expect exactly that for 45% of the time! Aren't numbers beautiful? They never fail to surprise. Or maybe that's just me 
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jonno
Member of DD Central
nil satis nisi optimum
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Post by jonno on Oct 3, 2020 13:36:51 GMT
I've got 2 x £15k blocks and 2 x £10k blocks. My 3 x £25 prizes this month all came from the same £15k block Interesting, but the odds of this happening at random are perhaps not as tiny as you might imagine. By my reckoning:- Prob (first prize comes from a 15k block) = 30k/50k = 3/5 Prob (second prize comes from that specific 15k block) = 15k/50k = 3/10 Prob (third prize comes from same block) = 3/10 again Overall probability = 3/5 x 3/10 x 3/10 = 5.4%, so slightly unusual but it will crop up occasionally. jonno 's case is slightly more likely to arise:- The probability of a prize coming from the smaller 20k block is 20k/50k, or 0.4, so Prob (5 prizes out of 7 coming from the smaller block) = 7C 5 x 0.4 5 x 0.6 2 = 0.0774, or nearly 8%. Perhaps higher than you might think. I've tabulated the probabilities below, for 7 wins, highlighting Jonno's particular case. | Prizes from smaller block | Probability | | 0 | 0.0279936 | | 1 | 0.1306368
| | 2 | 0.2612736
| | 3 | 0.290304 | | 4 | 0.193536
| | 5 | 0.0774144 | | 6 | 0.0172032
| | 7 | 0.0016384
| | Total | 1 |
Interestingly, the most expected split would have been 3 wins from the smaller block and 4 from the larger block. Had that happened, Jonno would not have bothered to post, yet its probability of occurring is still only 29%. The other likely outcome was 2 wins from the smaller block and 5 from the larger. Again, nobody would be surprised by that distribution. But these two outcomes together are only 55% likely to occur. So leaving these two outcomes aside, any other outcome would have appeared "remarkable" - and yet we should expect exactly that for 45% of the time! Aren't numbers beautiful? They never fail to surprise. Or maybe that's just me Great post bernythedolt. But I'm still gonna check'em
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still one more draw in November with old 1.4% rate
The trend is down.
