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Post by GSV3MIaC on Mar 11, 2015 18:31:39 GMT
Oh for sure, and lots of others too, a full list would take pages; but nobody can compete with tall*** (for total £, or % or loan bid for) or Baz**** (for volume of bids) .. not by a factor of 20 or more. JCB******* appears to have gone away, he used to be able to give baz***** a run for his money.
p.s. If you are still of the opinion 'they can't be bots because they haven't been shut down by FC' (which I think you alluded to elsewhere), I'd point out a) they are both HUGE FC investors, and b) FC hasn't shut down ANY bots as far as I know (even the SM bot is still cruising around snapping up anything offered at a high rate or discount). It did pause some for a while, but that was rather temporary. FC basically doesn't care as long as it doesn't disrupt the website (which it currently doesn't seem to be doing), and even then I'm sure £1M+ buys some considerable leeway.
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wysiati
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Post by wysiati on Mar 12, 2015 13:29:37 GMT
There does appear to be a long list of new entrants bidding in size at lp sizes up to £100. Whether that activity largely reflects newcomers wanting to put cash to work quickly won't be clear at this juncture.
The other point could be incidental but it is not. In the absence of some data protection breaches/illegal access I don't see how any of us 'non-insiders' can know of what restrictions/sanctions have been applied across the board. FC could confirm whether a user has a bot or not, but would need the permission of the user. There do seem to be fewer active secondary market bots but that could be because pretty much everything I look to move on offers no round trip margin for a flipper bot?
I think platform users would be reassured to know that having a non-trivial balance does not guarantee privileged treatment/access from FC.
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Post by davee39 on Mar 12, 2015 13:41:13 GMT
Does this really matter? After the huge bids on 11443 the loan was not accepted early and a more normal bid spread has emerged bringing down the rate.
We seem to be at a stage where flipping is less likely to be profitable and loans are going at close to MBR, the question then is whether these rates are acceptable after fees and predicted losses, and if better rates are available elsewhere. There appears to be a global lack of activity across the P2B platforms so a lowering of expectations may be needed across the board.
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wysiati
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Post by wysiati on Mar 12, 2015 13:57:22 GMT
A lot of relative newcomers will be anchoring rate expectations off exceptional levels in 2014 and with pretty much all incremental supply (in terms of borrower requests) going into the whole loans market expectations may well need to be lowered.
It is just interesting that some bidders are able to take the Saudi Arabia approach in terms of supply of funds perhaps on the basis that others more reliant on pure flipping are less well positioned to endure a prolonged period of greater competition / lower rates?
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Mar 12, 2015 17:36:52 GMT
There does appear to be a long list of new entrants bidding in size at lp sizes up to £100. Whether that activity largely reflects newcomers wanting to put cash to work quickly won't be clear at this juncture. The other point could be incidental but it is not. In the absence of some data protection breaches/illegal access I don't see how any of us 'non-insiders' can know of what restrictions/sanctions have been applied across the board. FC could confirm whether a user has a bot or not, but would need the permission of the user. There do seem to be fewer active secondary market bots but that could be because pretty much everything I look to move on offers no round trip margin for a flipper bot? I think platform users would be reassured to know that having a non-trivial balance does not guarantee privileged treatment/access from FC. There are lots of indications of botness which can be gleaned without FC's privileged access to HTML headers .. bidding rates in excess of one a second (but that's hard to verify unless the bidding runs for a LOT of bids in the same minute - 10 or 20 bids in a minute are possible manually .. although a really fast bot can get 10 bids in with no intervening bids from anyone else, which is another indication), responses to new auctions, and to being knocked out, in 'very short time' (again, an Indian click farm or someone with lots of time on their hands could do it too), double points for responding to bids knocked out on a 24/7 basis (humans - mostly - sleep sometimes), unintelligent bidding (only a (badly programmed) bot would stick £100k of bids into a £30k auction (because FC was lying about whether it was full yet) .. yep that was the tall one). However FC is pretty open (every time I, or anyone else here, complained about it) about not giving a hoot about whether bidding and buying was manual or scripted, as long as it didn't break the platform. Want to buy 90% of an auction in £960 pieces .. step right this way Sir! I suppose it is possible that JCB****n was 'taken down', but I suspect it is more likely they got fed up with the game and moved elsewhere. Afaik none of the bot operators show up here under their real name (except me, of course) so it' hard to inquire, and FC don't publicise what they are doing in this area. As a platform user I'd be delighted, but amazed, to hear that big players were not getting a special deal .. but the whole WL thing is exactly that. However when it comes to automated bidding / buying, I don't think anyone NEEDS to have a sweetheart deal, because FC basically doesn't have any published/enforced rules at all (despite it having been suggested, requested, and moaned about many times). If you recall when C-s first appeared and were 'desirable' (the 10.5%? rate being way higher than anything else at the time) there were lots of complaints about certain flipper bots buying the whole lot (at MBR, thus unable to be displaced) within 5 or 10 minutes of the auction appearing .. FC's response was basically to ignore it. That problem went away, but only because 10.5% for a C- ceased to be attractive (i.e. guaranteed resale 5 minutes later at 9.x% ceased to happen). The same is happening to most auctions right now - the rates (at the close) are too low to be attractive to flippers (and to many other buyers too), so the two big players are sat hunting for the early closes, which is a rather low yield game. With enough 'real lenders' and fewer auctions, the desirability of flipping (and the need for flippers, or underwriters or whatever you want to call them) goes away.
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chrisf
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Post by chrisf on Mar 13, 2015 8:30:44 GMT
On the occasions when I want to put a lot of bids in, I reckon it takes me 5 seconds to put in 25 bids, and I am definitely not a bot
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blender
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Post by blender on Mar 13, 2015 9:08:39 GMT
I have never managed to do more than three per second through Chrome on a Windows PC. But I only use one 'hand'. Still agreed faster than GSV suggests.
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Post by bonfemme on Mar 13, 2015 10:05:08 GMT
On the occasions when I want to put a lot of bids in, I reckon it takes me 5 seconds to put in 25 bids, and I am definitely not a bot Me too ... using Chrome
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chrisf
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Post by chrisf on Mar 13, 2015 10:09:03 GMT
Update: just timed myself to do 25 bids and took 5.6 seconds, then looked at all bids and saw that JCB****** was bidding at the same time and is slightly quicker than me
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blender
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Post by blender on Mar 13, 2015 11:52:24 GMT
It may be the link to my rural location which makes me slow. Nice tail, Bonfemme.
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coop
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Post by coop on Mar 13, 2015 12:32:06 GMT
The gangly one has just taken out about £33k of the 2% Cashback property loan; in the standard bid size of £960.
£660 Cashback! But one presumes he is going to have to hold it all to term though. Desperate times call for desperate measures perhaps!
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Mar 13, 2015 12:56:48 GMT
On the occasions when I want to put a lot of bids in, I reckon it takes me 5 seconds to put in 25 bids, and I am definitely not a bot OK I stand/sit corrected .. guess I must just have a real slow line out here (and a sticky bid button in Firefox?). "5 a second", huh .. maybe I ought to un-detune the bot a bit, if mere humans can outbid me by that much!
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Mar 13, 2015 12:58:05 GMT
The gangly one has just taken out about £33k of the 2% Cashback property loan; in the standard bid size of £960. £660 Cashback! But one presumes he is going to have to hold it all to term though. Desperate times call for desperate measures perhaps! Yes, that'll teach me to wait until it is nearly full before venturing in .. it went from 'fairly full' to 'closed at MBR' between bites at my sandwich.
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Mar 13, 2015 13:09:06 GMT
Looks like FC have found themselves an underwriter for property loans then, as long as they keep paying the 2% cashback...
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coop
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Post by coop on Mar 13, 2015 13:09:58 GMT
Ddidn't notice that one go up yesterday! Would've slung a couple of quid on it otherwise!
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