ablender
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Post by ablender on Dec 15, 2015 12:56:16 GMT
I'm assuming the same, but it hasn't happened yet; people keep buying parts from me at 2% premium and 7-8% yield. I've effectively flipped the same £500 about 3 or 4 times since the SM went live, which must give a stupid IRR. People are still buying at 2%!?! Sheesh there's gonna be a lot of burned fingers out there....and a LOT of noise when they eventually realise. Caveat Emptor is one thing but I wouldn't be surprised if there could be a decent argument that FS shouldn't have allowed any sales that would result in a loss, and should have implemented a minimum return from the outset. And even if nothing sticks legally, I have to wonder how many investors they'll hang onto in the longer term, and what that might do for their future.... which is why I'm not touching them with anyone's bargepole right now. I am not selling or buying. I do not want to pay someone else's tax and I do not think it is fair to dump my tax on someone else. HMRC confirmed that the system follows the rules. When I asked about a person dumping loans to an ISA account (thus no tax at all), their answer is that P2P is still new and things may change.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 15, 2015 13:05:10 GMT
I'm assuming the same, but it hasn't happened yet; people keep buying parts from me at 2% premium and 7-8% yield. I've effectively flipped the same £500 about 3 or 4 times since the SM went live, which must give a stupid IRR. People are still buying at 2%!?! Sheesh there's gonna be a lot of burned fingers out there....and a LOT of noise when they eventually realise. Caveat Emptor is one thing but I wouldn't be surprised if there could be a decent argument that FS shouldn't have allowed any sales that would result in a loss, and should have implemented a minimum return from the outset. And even if nothing sticks legally, I have to wonder how many investors they'll hang onto in the longer term, and what that might do for their future.... which is why I'm not touching them with anyone's bargepole right now. SteveT: I haven't worked out how you could sell the same £500 more than once. pom: Whether or not there are a lot burned fingers depends on te tax position of the buyers. If they're non-taxpayers, then they'll be getting exactly the return that's shown on the SM listing pages. Basic-rate taxpayers won't do that well, but they might not be losing money. And there's clearly an opportunity for higher-rate taxpayers to buy parts, hold them for a while, and then sell them on to people paying lower rates of tax. If the parts are sold at par or below, then all the investors should be happy, with the only loser being HMRC. I agree with those who have suggested that FS should have done what other platforms have done and make notes of who held a part how long and apportion the interest among them when it is received at the repayment/renewal of the loan. IMHO that would have avoided the odd tax effect the current system has and that would have been fairer for all concerned -- including HMRC. That system is, however, a lot more challenging technically, and perhaps FS don't have access to the IT skills necessary to adopt such a scheme. As such, while I think FS made a mistake implementing the SM the way they have, I don't see it as a significant risk to the platform's survival, so I see no need to abandon the platform myself as long as I can continue to be able to participate in new loans. Which, I might add, has been difficult of late, though the past few days has been an improvement over that.
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pom
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Post by pom on Dec 15, 2015 13:06:06 GMT
I was thinking more about people potentially threatening to sue etc....rather than HMRC complaining...tho I rather suspect that anyone that's would have sufficient funds to do so would have been less likely to fall into the trap in the first place, so perhaps the bigger risk to FS would be disgruntled investors talking to the Daily Mail etc
Edit - responding to ablender
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 15, 2015 13:17:28 GMT
fundingsecure: Is the new restriction on the SM still working? Last night, when the new rules went into effect, the number of parts dropped significantly when the parts showing returns of less than 4% were removed from the SM. I think that left about 160 parts showing returns of 4+%. At that point, it looked like everything was working as announced. Today, however, sub-4% return parts have reappeared on the SM. I don't know where they came from. When I tested the system by trying to offer a short-dated part at a 1% premium the system told me that the return would have been 3.77% and I couldn't offer it on those terms because the return was less than 4%. So why are there 50 parts being offered right now on the SM showing sub-4% returns?
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pom
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Post by pom on Dec 15, 2015 13:19:00 GMT
People are still buying at 2%!?! Sheesh there's gonna be a lot of burned fingers out there....and a LOT of noise when they eventually realise. Caveat Emptor is one thing but I wouldn't be surprised if there could be a decent argument that FS shouldn't have allowed any sales that would result in a loss, and should have implemented a minimum return from the outset. And even if nothing sticks legally, I have to wonder how many investors they'll hang onto in the longer term, and what that might do for their future.... which is why I'm not touching them with anyone's bargepole right now. SteveT : I haven't worked out how you could sell the same £500 more than once. pom : Whether or not there are a lot burned fingers depends on te tax position of the buyers. If they're non-taxpayers, then they'll be getting exactly the return that's shown on the SM listing pages. Basic-rate taxpayers won't do that well, but they might not be losing money. And there's clearly an opportunity for higher-rate taxpayers to buy parts, hold them for a while, and then sell them on to people paying lower rates of tax. If the parts are sold at par or below, then all the investors should be happy, with the only loser being HMRC. I agree with those who have suggested that FS should have done what other platforms have done and make notes of who held a part how long and apportion the interest among them when it is received at the repayment/renewal of the loan. IMHO that would have avoided the odd tax effect the current system has and that would have been fairer for all concerned -- including HMRC. That system is, however, a lot more challenging technically, and perhaps FS don't have access to the IT skills necessary to adopt such a scheme. As such, while I think FS made a mistake implementing the SM the way they have, I don't see it as a significant risk to the platform's survival, so I see no need to abandon the platform myself as long as I can continue to be able to participate in new loans. Which, I might add, has been difficult of late, though the past few days has been an improvement over that. Do you really think there's that many tax-exempt people investing in p2p? And higher risk platforms like FS? I find that thought very scarey, but I'm naturally risk-averse. It's not so much that I'm abandoning the platform, given I actually decided to cease investing 5+ months ago, more that I'm not prepared to jump back in again until I see how all this shapes up. If the SM had been done well I might well have started actively investing again, even though there were a few other things about the platform that I wasn't too keen on compared to others.
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SteveT
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Post by SteveT on Dec 15, 2015 13:33:05 GMT
mikes1531 Well it's not pure flipping but I added a £500 float when the SM went live. Since then I've sold about £1500 of 13% parts at 2%, bought about £1500 of new PM parts at a mix of 12% and 13% and I still have a £500 float!
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 15, 2015 14:02:52 GMT
mikes1531 Well it's not pure flipping but I added a £500 float when the SM went live. Since then I've sold about £1500 of 13% parts at 2%, bought about £1500 of new PM parts at a mix of 12% and 13% and I still have a £500 float! SteveT: OK, I understand. You've obviously been doing better than I at getting pieces of new loans lately -- though I must admit that I did manage to get a piece of all three that went live today. The one semi-recent loan where I could have made a big investment -- the power boat renewal -- didn't have an investment limit and my finger wasn't fast enough.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 15, 2015 14:06:01 GMT
fundingsecure : Is the new restriction on the SM still working? Last night, when the new rules went into effect, the number of parts dropped significantly when the parts showing returns of less than 4% were removed from the SM. I think that left about 160 parts showing returns of 4+%. At that point, it looked like everything was working as announced. Today, however, sub-4% return parts have reappeared on the SM. I don't know where they came from. When I tested the system by trying to offer a short-dated part at a 1% premium the system told me that the return would have been 3.77% and I couldn't offer it on those terms because the return was less than 4%. So why are there 50 parts being offered right now on the SM showing sub-4% returns? I see that the sub-4% parts have disappeared from the SM again. Let's hope they stay away this time! PS. This indicates to me that FS read and react to forum postings even if they don't actually post a response.
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Investboy
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Post by Investboy on Dec 15, 2015 14:06:19 GMT
If I have read the email message correctly re. tax, I shall not be buying anything at all on the secondary market. Wise words OG and my plan exactly. I love your new avatar
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Post by mrclondon on Dec 15, 2015 15:34:52 GMT
Quoting from yesterday's email from FS regarding the tax situation:
"This can be thought of as similar to the position where you buy shares from someone and a dividend is payable shortly afterwards. You receive all the dividend and (if appropriate) any liability for tax."
Whilst the analogy holds to a certain extent, the more I think about this the more I realise there is an important difference. When a share is bought cum dividend, the amount of the dividend has already been declared, and is virtually guaranteed to be paid on the appointed date. However a FS loan bought at a price to reflect the notionally accrued interest carries no guarantee that any interest will be paid, let alone the notional amount.
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ablender
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Post by ablender on Dec 15, 2015 15:58:24 GMT
Quoting from yesterday's email from FS regarding the tax situation: "This can be thought of as similar to the position where you buy shares from someone and a dividend is payable shortly afterwards. You receive all the dividend and (if appropriate) any liability for tax."
Whilst the analogy holds to a certain extent, the more I think about this the more I realise there is an important difference. When a share is bought cum dividend, the amount of the dividend has already been declared, and is virtually guaranteed to be paid on the appointed date. However a FS loan bought at a price to reflect the notionally accrued interest carries no guarantee that any interest will be paid, let alone the notional amount. Following from this I understand that (apart from the tax issue) If I buy a loan part and pay for 5months interest to the seller and then the loan defaults, I will be out of pocket for the principal and the 5 months interest. But didn't FS say that they are not going to allow sales of loans where the buyer will loose out? I cannot reconcile these two positions. I think it is another reason why FS has to scrap the current SM and design a new one.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 15, 2015 17:37:32 GMT
Quoting from yesterday's email from FS regarding the tax situation: "This can be thought of as similar to the position where you buy shares from someone and a dividend is payable shortly afterwards. You receive all the dividend and (if appropriate) any liability for tax."Whilst the analogy holds to a certain extent, the more I think about this the more I realise there is an important difference. When a share is bought cum dividend, the amount of the dividend has already been declared, and is virtually guaranteed to be paid on the appointed date. However a FS loan bought at a price to reflect the notionally accrued interest carries no guarantee that any interest will be paid, let alone the notional amount. Following from this I understand that (apart from the tax issue) If I buy a loan part and pay for 5months interest to the seller and then the loan defaults, I will be out of pocket for the principal and the 5 months interest. But didn't FS say that they are not going to allow sales of loans where the buyer will loose out? I cannot reconcile these two positions. I think it is another reason why FS has to scrap the current SM and design a new one. Since there's always a possibility that a borrower will default and the security cannot be sold for enough to return investors' capital, there's no way FS can guarantee parts bought on the SM won't cause losses for investors. What they accomplished by stopping sales of parts where the return was shown as negative was to stop the sales of parts where the buyer was guaranteed to make a loss. This week's change means they have stopped the sale of parts where the buyer was guaranteed to make no more than a 4% return before tax. I haven't a clue why 4% was chosen, but if it was an attempt to compensate for the tax situation there might be a better solution, and that would be to ask potential buyers to state what tax rate they pay -- nil, 20%, 40%, 45% -- and for SS to work that into the return calculation so that it takes account of the extra tax the buyer will owe on the portion of interest they receive that they paid for in advance. There is a chance that FS couldn't do that because of the rules regarding exactly what they can and cannot say about taxes before it starting to look like they're giving tax advice. And there's a chance that such a system would be too difficult for FS to implement and explain, and for investors to understand without be bombarding FS with questions -- which FS might have difficulty answering or be prevented from answering by the 'advice' rules. IMHO, FS created a bit of a monster when they adopted the current structure of the SM.
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Post by mrclondon on Dec 15, 2015 18:17:57 GMT
I haven't a clue why 4% was chosen, Possibly as simple as that is the cut off on the FC SM. There is a chance that FS couldn't do that because of the rules regarding exactly what they can and cannot say about taxes before it starting to look like they're giving tax advice. And there's a chance that such a system would be too difficult for FS to implement and explain, and for investors to understand without be bombarding FS with questions -- which FS might have difficulty answering or be prevented from answering by the 'advice' rules. Agreed. And it gets messy when you are near the boundaries between rates, especially with the withdrawal of personal allowance for additional rate tax payers. IMHO, FS created a bit of a monster when they adopted the current structure of the SM. Unfortunately yes. The only other platform where this is an issue due to rollup loans is TC, but there the seller has to ask the buyer for the accrued interest through the premium, there is no automatic assumption that the buyer should pay for accrued interest that may not subsequently be paid. The problem IMO is that too many lenders see secondary markets as more than an emergency exit. I've posted before that most banks/b.socs pay virtually no interest if you withdraw before the investment term is up. That buyers are forced to pay for accrued interest that may not ever be paid is stretching the boundaries of reasonableness / fairness.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Dec 15, 2015 20:07:17 GMT
That buyers are forced to pay for accrued interest that may not ever be paid is stretching the boundaries of reasonableness / fairness. And yet nobody actually is forcing buyers to buy. They're choosing to do it of their own free will. So it could be argued that there's no unfairness involved. Of course, if they don't understand what they're doing...
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Investboy
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Post by Investboy on Dec 15, 2015 20:13:31 GMT
I can see FS SM becoming great deal for flippers and death trap for "average" investor (anyone who is not reading this forum).
One sells a loan with 1-2% premium 2-3 months before maturity. Gains instant return of capital and accrued interests, passing risk of default and tax burden on somebody else.
If this is not a flipper paradise then I don't know what is.
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