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Post by propman on Feb 19, 2016 9:00:07 GMT
From the FT re the new products ... Love the 1% fee to seE LOANS , glad to see MLB changes were part of a wider strategy!
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wapping35
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Post by wapping35 on Feb 19, 2016 9:27:00 GMT
And on Zopa Plus the increased risk taken must be allowing you to sell loans as well..
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Greenwood2
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Post by Greenwood2 on Feb 19, 2016 12:15:48 GMT
Dropping the maximum safeguarded rate again makes Zopa very uncompetitive compared to Ratesetters.
I can't see the point of the access account, it's 1% less interest to avoid paying a 1% fee.
The non-safeguarded offering better give 6%-7% after defaults or there will be mis-selling accusations. And if it pulls in new inexperienced ISA lenders there will be howls of anguish at every default. (Edit: Maybe that's why they closed the forum.)
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oldgrumpy
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Post by oldgrumpy on Feb 19, 2016 13:12:30 GMT
Zopa Classic (4-5%) - Safeguard lending 1-5 year term mixed. Zopa Access (3-4%) - Safeguard lending 1-5 year term mixed with fee free easy access
Zopa must be really stupid. Rhydian and Co must be smirking in their coffees.
Classic - mix the loans so we can no longer even get the current 5% for 5yr. Presumably we get something in between 4% and 5%. 1% exit fee if we want to cash some or all of it. Access - exactly the same, but we pay the 1% exit fee on all of our investment (via a 1% less interest rate) whether or not we cash in all or part or none of it.
I now have a very moderate four figure sum still on loan (was over £25K) since I stopped investing in 2013 (and started withdrawing repayments) when "projected" 5 year rates of 5% were actually giving me 3.8% over six weeks. (Before rate promise).
Zopa has done everything possible to dissuade me from ever putting money in again.
I note that Ratesetter now offers 3-4% on its monthly safeguarded market with zero exit fees. In the last few minutes 4% has been matching. 6.6% has been matching on the 5 year "safeguarded" market this morning.
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Post by takeshi on Feb 19, 2016 15:16:05 GMT
Zopa clearly not that concerned with the historic P2P lenders, rather targeting all that cash ISA money earning less than 1%. Might well be a good business move. On past performance however you've got to wonder a. What 'bugs' will the new Zopa products have? b. Will Access/Classic/Plus still be there in a years time, or will Zopa have yet another revamp?
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Post by propman on Feb 19, 2016 17:15:04 GMT
Zopa Classic ( 4-5%) - Safeguard lending 1-5 year term mixed. Zopa Access ( 3-4%) - Safeguard lending 1-5 year term mixed with fee free easy access Zopa must be really stupid. Rhydian and Co must be smirking in their coffees. Classic - mix the loans so we can no longer even get the current 5% for 5yr. Presumably we get something in between 4% and 5%. 1% exit fee if we want to cash some or all of it. Access - exactly the same, but we pay the 1% exit fee on all of our investment (via a 1% less interest rate) whether or not we cash in all or part or none of it. I now have a very moderate four figure sum still on loan (was over £25K) since I stopped investing in 2013 (and started withdrawing repayments) when "projected" 5 year rates of 5% were actually giving me 3.8% over six weeks. (Before rate promise). Zopa has done everything possible to dissuade me from ever putting money in again. I note that Ratesetter now offers 3-4% on its monthly safeguarded market with zero exit fees. In the last few minutes 4% has been matching. 6.6% has been matching on the 5 year "safeguarded" market this morning. Not sure how the haircut will be applied if rates have risen above those currently on offer, but ignoring this, an investor would be indifferent to instant access of longer loans and monthly loans. Indeed as the dead time between loans may well be shorter (or are you assuming MR for the RS monthly market?), so a lower average rate would give the same return. I see this as an effective product for those who expect to use a substantial portion of their funds at short notice (although they should ideally have a back up plan due to the residual risk) ie if the expected average investment period < 1 year the investor is better off.
So it is down to the haircut. I haven't checked for a while, but on SG, the only loans that needed to be discounted when it was first introduced were those below the rate that any loans were made in that market. This means the vast majority could be sold at no additional cost to the 1%. However, as any such loans were left unsold, such a sale would have cut the investors average returns!
As for the Plus alternative, clearly aimed at those cautious investors who won't invest with an unproven manager. Z is the only P2P with experience of a downturn and has an enviable record on defaults ever since. They have also stuck to genuine P2P which may appeal to some as seen on the RS thread on their PF about concerns re property loans.
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Post by fuzzyiceberg on Feb 19, 2016 19:31:10 GMT
I think it is fair to say Zopa is not really targetting the people who like to micromanage their lending, such as a lot of the original Zopa lenders, and I daresay, most of those who populate this site.
They are clearly trying to come up with a fairly simple proposition as near to a conventional savings account as possible. I guess their target market - which of course is the vast majority of the UK population - will rather like the simple pick your product from the menu of three approach. And Zopa is the biggest, oldest, most credible P2P outfit in the UK. I predict a big success for this move, particularly the 'Access' product, especially with the ISA wrap.
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wapping35
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Post by wapping35 on Feb 19, 2016 19:36:42 GMT
I can see the Zopa Access account being quite popular with new, to P2P, ISA investors seeing it as an instant access account with no exit fees.
The problem will occur when they draw on that perceived instant access and find either:
1) A discount being applied to sell their loans, due to rates rising. (at some point rates will rise, indeed due to P2P ISA's they may fall and then recover to current rates)
and or,
2) A liquidity problem (too many sellers and not enough buyers) meaning they cannot sell quickly.
Eventually a Lender will experience (1) and/ or (2) and at that point the Access Account may encounter some adverse publicity, especially from "newbie" lenders who considered it to be fee free instant access.
In summary I feel the Access account could well be a great initial idea which will be v popular with new lenders, but one that could over the next 12 months get some bad PR...Not helped by the similarity of the name Zopa Access and instant access savings accounts.
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Post by fuzzyiceberg on Feb 19, 2016 19:56:16 GMT
Well maybe. But I think it is fair to say Zopa will have thought of that. Zopa now has huge liquidity from repayments given the size of their loan book - I can only see that being a problem in an armegeddon type scenario where deafults went through teh roof and all lenders wanted to withdraw, and while I rule nothing out, it is pretty unlikely, and my crystal ball says it is particularly unlikely in the next 12 months.
And rates will rise, sometime or other, but again unlikely to be the sort of short term jump (5% in a year) that would cause massive problems on selling loans.
But who knows? You pays your money and takes your chance.
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wapping35
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Post by wapping35 on Feb 20, 2016 9:54:27 GMT
I suspect most or at least many of the newbie ISA investors will be sucked in by Zopa Access's 3-4 % rate v an instant access ISA thinking they can access their monies immediately like the instant access account without any deduction (no fee).
When they see either:
1) A delay in being paid out , it does not have to be a freeze up, just a 3-4 days or weeks delay they will complain to the FCA since that is not instant. And they needed the money instantly, since they thought it was instant "access".
2) Due to the rates increasing they get a discount deduction. Probably only 0.5% but again off to the FCA re. It states on fee access.
I am envisaging a miss selling complaint and a statement that the Terms & Conditions are not clear. And at least to me the current Blog post and Q&A rules are far from clear and transparent. Yes having been with ZOPA for 4 years I pretty much get it, but is that enough for a ISA registered provider ?
I would hope (and suggest to ZOPA) that when the product is formally rolled out each product has a clear and concise set of T&C's with a summary on such issues. i.e. A Health warning as to what fee free Access means and a statement that it is not instant access and a discount (which some may see as a fee) will sometimes be applicable.
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Post by fuzzyiceberg on Feb 20, 2016 11:12:57 GMT
I am sure that even as I write Zopa's lawyers are beavering away coming up with FCA proof T&Cs for the new products.
Wouldn't be surprised if Zopa did a liquidity provision deal with some of its institutional friends as a back up for the access product.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Feb 20, 2016 21:33:10 GMT
Wouldn't be surprised if Zopa did a liquidity provision deal with some of its institutional friends as a back up for the access product. That would solve the instant access issue, but it probably wouldn't solve the 'market adjustment' issue.
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Post by Ton ⓉⓞⓃ on Feb 21, 2016 13:57:48 GMT
As it stands I think I'd be interested to pick up D&E loans as RR's in same way that we can pick up C&Y loans now. I hope they keep that option for C&Y (though these loans are now very limited) and introduce it for D&E. Can Zopa consider this @zopamat?
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james
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Post by james on Feb 21, 2016 22:19:56 GMT
I can't see the point of the access account, it's 1% less interest to avoid paying a 1% fee. That's 1% of interest vs 1% of capital in loans where they say that the expected natural term is in the 18 months or so range. Interesting that they don't mention the potential to lose capital when selling if the market rates at time of sale are higher than the market rates at time of acquisition. Hopefully they didn't just issue a series of misleading financial promotions that fail to mention potentially the largest cost of selling, and which might apply to the product which they are implying has no cost to exit.
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james
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Post by james on Feb 21, 2016 22:30:27 GMT
Interesting to wonder whether a borrower can be allocated money from lenders using all three products. Given the 25% or lower interest rate on the access product they might do something like:
1. Access lends at a 25% lower interest rate, to subsidise... either 2. Higher interest rates for those in the other products 3. Lower interest rates for the borrower 4. Higher fees charged by Zopa 5. some combination.
So who does get the missing 25% of the interest for Access product?
On the idle amusement side, it was amusing to see Zopa describing 25% lower interest as "slightly lower". In my world 25% less isn't "slightly" so I wonder what world the copy writer is living in.
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