|
Post by zeverare on Jan 5, 2018 23:22:23 GMT
American: in the loan description for the first loans they mentioned that the borrower had extensive experience in the US. They did not think enough about what customers in the UK want, they probably still don't know because they did not show up at trade fairs.
|
|
adrian77
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,920
Likes: 4,145
|
Post by adrian77 on Jan 6, 2018 11:56:24 GMT
Interesting quote but I would say to FS that we are not in the US and I suspect the market is very different- for a start these things seem vastly cheaper e.g. Which is a tad less than the £165K TRADE valuation - in the US the profit mark-up seems to be about 25%. If the same in the UK then this means these caravans will each sell for over £200K!
In the UK owning such homes can be very problematical as per below from the Guardian
The first loan was due to complete in 26/02/2017 so the final repayment looks very likely at being a year late with say 20% on £165K x 12 months =£33K interest on non performing assets and possibly not even a site to place them?
My research indicates ,as mentioned elsewhere, the market is really down over winter Despite being of the age to downsize I would not touch one of these things due to all the bad press from dodgy site owners...
Think Smutty Stick!
|
|
james21
Member of DD Central
Posts: 651
Likes: 669
|
Post by james21 on Jan 24, 2018 16:57:15 GMT
All of these park homes I am in are making me nervous...........hope I am wrong in what I am thinking
|
|
james21
Member of DD Central
Posts: 651
Likes: 669
|
Post by james21 on Mar 2, 2018 14:23:29 GMT
Looks like I am the only one holding on here; latest update 2 March not encouraging; a default looming perhaps
|
|
rogerthat
Member of DD Central
Posts: 2,048
Likes: 1,994
|
Post by rogerthat on Apr 30, 2018 13:59:46 GMT
Looks like I am the only one holding on here; latest update 2 March not encouraging; a default looming perhaps You'll never walk alone ..this apparently, is what's called an update .. 5 hours ago Borrower has not been able to yet find a site for the units but has a number of prospective appointments this week. I only put 25squid into it at the outset for entertainment value..221 days..seems I'm going to get value for money
|
|
adrian77
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,920
Likes: 4,145
|
Post by adrian77 on Apr 30, 2018 16:42:39 GMT
What's the problem - when I did new builds I would often order the materials etc and then look for a building plot! So where is the owner going to store these damn things - in America? However much do these things cost to store -they will hardly fit in an average lock-up will they! And I doubt they will fit in the FS secure storage unit!
This is a joke and I wonder what is actually going on here - as Rogerthat said it is entertaining for those of us with a nibble but probably not for those of us with a hefty sum invested.
what for 2 pre-fabricated structures without a site and fitted services- I don't think so and not according to my research where you can buy large units retail for £45K + vat and upwards.
I have just seen an FS quote which said 5 homes were worth 381K trade which I think is high but a lot less than above. Well the manufacturers are going to want paying (if not yet done) and they sure as Hades aren't going to park them on their premises for free
Please don't tell me this chap has 7 park homes to pay for, hasn't sold any and has nowhere to site them!
This chap seems to have loans all over the place (11 active one including renewals and additional loans ?) - I think he has 5 overdue FS loans for £223K but just too busy to decipher what is happening here. Maybe this chap did not realise that planning in the UK is much stricter than some parts of America and America has a vastly lower population density than we do.
And in the unlikely scenario this chap goes bust and returns to the US?
On the plus side this chap is not going to lose as much as The Donald did in Alantic City- he should have listened to his Father who said that one would end in tears...
|
|
adrian77
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,920
Likes: 4,145
|
Post by adrian77 on May 1, 2018 19:27:23 GMT
I was a bit confused about these park homes. I think we have 2 borrowers - one for 2 and one for 5 of these things (I presume they are separate entities?)
I think the American borrower for the 2 units has 5 renewals, an additional loan which has also been renewed Whatever I think he is £132K in arrears and has to find £99K before middle of July
Maybe I am being thick but this strikes me as a huge amount of money for 2 glorified sheds which have not got a site? It is one thing to get shot of a Rolex watch in a quick sale as they hold their value well and don't cost a fortune to store - I just hate to think what these units would command in a fire-sale - 50% of retail?
Another interesting one to follow...if this is yet another FS horlicks due to a gross overvaluation I will invest even less in their property loans.
|
|
rogerthat
Member of DD Central
Posts: 2,048
Likes: 1,994
|
Post by rogerthat on May 1, 2018 19:54:50 GMT
I was a bit confused about these park homes. I think we have 2 borrowers - one for 2 and one for 5 of these things (I presume they are separate entities?) I think the American borrower for the 2 units has 5 renewals, an additional loan which has also been renewed Whatever I think he is £132K in arrears and has to find £99K before middle of July Maybe I am being thick but this strikes me as a huge amount of money for 2 glorified sheds which have not got a site? It is one thing to get shot of a Rolex watch in a quick sale as they hold their value well and don't cost a fortune to store - I just hate to think what these units would command in a fire-sale - 50% of retail? Another interesting one to follow...if this is yet another FS horlicks due to a gross overvaluation I will invest even less in their property loans. Hard day so cant be ar*ed to work it all out but active loans for:- F*ve Pa*k H**es......2305165781..1224974168..1194381346 T*o Pa*k H**es.......5990622557..3197964486..3176218548..3032435320..2187130399..1978148767..1125845670 Make of that what you will
|
|
adrian77
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,920
Likes: 4,145
|
Post by adrian77 on May 2, 2018 8:30:33 GMT
i.e £76.2K each trade or £115.8K retail viz 52% gross profit - I am in the wrong business!
All the above figures seem optimistic to me
But we have for the 2 park homes
i.e. £165K each which is over twice the above - if we take the same gross profit that means these homes will sell for £250K each. That must be some glorified shed for quarter of a million smackers!
Maybe my logic is wrong and FS have done DD which supports these claims ?
Wonder why I am thinking about NI turbine,Whitehaven, Wimbledon all of a sudden
£250K is less than the budget for my latest renovation which is a 6 bedroomed house (in the frozen North) ...
Yet another one to follow with interest.
|
|
adrian77
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,920
Likes: 4,145
|
Post by adrian77 on May 17, 2018 18:20:04 GMT
Am I the only one who is very worried by this one?
I think despite 2 loans by the same lender we have congflated loans for 2 and 5 Park Homes
This chap has borrowed money for about a year now to have 5 homes built and has not moved them to site let alone got them for sale.
I think he has borrowed £228K + £165 + £33K = £426K and these loans are all in arrears so how on earth is this chap going to settle these loans. As I see it - he won't unless he borrows even more money! if we take 426K over a year that is over 120K interest so say £500K, to be conservative, owing. The security is 5 Park Homes which I don't think will sell for anywhere near £100K each and especially if a distressed sale.
It may seem harsh but I think FS should repossess them NOW and if practical ask the manufacturer to sell them ,whilst they are brand new, from their yard at say cost less 20%.
Or failing that send them straight to auction.
Otherwise this chap has to pay transport costs and plonk them on a site (which he may not yet have) and then try and sell them either with or without services and all the time he is clocking up interest at 2.4% per month on a daily basis. I just don't see how it is financially feasible to borrow money at such a high rate to buy such homes and then sell them at a profit to cover relocation and selling and construction costs... I may be wrong but this looks yet another disaster to me and I will be surprised if there is over 50% recovery.
Any comments?
|
|
bugs4me
Member of DD Central
Posts: 1,845
Likes: 1,478
|
Post by bugs4me on May 17, 2018 21:32:26 GMT
Am I the only one who is very worried by this one? I think despite 2 loans by the same lender we have congflated loans for 2 and 5 Park Homes This chap has borrowed money for about a year now to have 5 homes built and has not moved them to site let alone got them for sale. I think he has borrowed £228K + £165 + £33K = £426K and these loans are all in arrears so how on earth is this chap going to settle these loans. As I see it - he won't unless he borrows even more money! if we take 426K over a year that is over 120K interest so say £500K, to be conservative, owing. The security is 5 Park Homes which I don't think will sell for anywhere near £100K each and especially if a distressed sale. It may seem harsh but I think FS should repossess them NOW and if practical ask the manufacturer to sell them ,whilst they are brand new, from their yard at say cost less 20%. Or failing that send them straight to auction. Otherwise this chap has to pay transport costs and plonk them on a site (which he may not yet have) and then try and sell them either with or without services and all the time he is clocking up interest at 2.4% per month on a daily basis. I just don't see how it is financially feasible to borrow money at such a high rate to buy such homes and then sell them at a profit to cover relocation and selling and construction costs... I may be wrong but this looks yet another disaster to me and I will be surprised if they is over 50% recovery. Any comments? Any comments? - well probably thoughts rather than comments. What you are proposing is basic common sense. The loan has gone sour so it should be bite the bullet asap, take the loss on the chin and move on. The longer it goes on then the units will no doubt depreciate.
Common Sense though seems to be lacking in the world of FS procedures (assuming they have any). So let's can-kick for a few more months. Who knows, maybe this will be another 1000+ day loan like the W***h H***l where investors (including myself) have long given up finding anything new to post. I hope this loan doesn't go the same way but can-kicking is an Olympic sport at FS sadly.
|
|
morris
Member of DD Central
Posts: 272
Likes: 155
|
Post by morris on May 18, 2018 7:11:07 GMT
Having looked at the photographs I'm not surprised they won't sell.
|
|
|
Post by charliebrown on May 18, 2018 10:38:37 GMT
They could sell these to the Lendy Pickering loan DFL019. For me that would kill 2 birds with one stone as I’m in both loans.
|
|
james21
Member of DD Central
Posts: 651
Likes: 669
|
Post by james21 on May 22, 2018 16:16:45 GMT
Taking Adrians figure of the debt being £500k for 5 mobile homes in question, the borrowers business is making them and plenty of them as there is not much to a mobile home. I dont believe for one minute some or all could not have been sold. They have not because the supposed value does not reflect the true market price so if they sold one it would expose the sham. You only have to look on the internet to see how much you can buy one for. FS should have asked to see the books last time they visited the borrower to see just what they are getting for one, I doubt they did. The loans will default, the borrower is not bothered if FS take possession and sell them as he has had his money, in fact he probably hopes they do as it will solve his problem. In the end I can see a 50% loss on this one
|
|
trevor
Member of DD Central
Posts: 557
Likes: 381
|
Post by trevor on May 22, 2018 16:45:54 GMT
50%? And the rest. I think the loss will be almost total once the receiver has had his fees. Compare these things to property and prices of them on the Internet and then try to justify their valuation. Not even close.
|
|