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Post by lynnanthony on Nov 21, 2016 11:41:51 GMT
When you invest in QAA you hold a fraction of the loan parts that QAA holds. It raises a good question though, should new QAA investors be prevented from holding old defaulted loans? A nice one for me to chew on. To avoid this issue entirely, would it be feasible for the provision fund to "buy out" from the QAA any and all defaulted loans as soon as they default? Thus lenders would be able to invest in the QAA in the sure knowledge that they were not unwittingly investing in defaulted loans.
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Post by andrewholgate on Nov 21, 2016 12:13:03 GMT
Good question. At present, no. The reason for this is unlike on consumer loans were you have a vast array of loans from £1k to £25k, we have loans from £50k to several millions. One loan could easily absorb the full provision fund yet not create a loss because it is well secured. That would leave nothing in the tank for further defaults until the loan was recovered.
We are always looking at ways to improve this position.
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Post by valueinvestor123 on Nov 21, 2016 13:50:33 GMT
Good question. At present, no. The reason for this is unlike on consumer loans were you have a vast array of loans from £1k to £25k, we have loans from £50k to several millions. One loan could easily absorb the full provision fund yet not create a loss because it is well secured. That would leave nothing in the tank for further defaults until the loan was recovered. We are always looking at ways to improve this position. What happens if the security of one loan was miscalculated for whatever reason and the QAA didn't manage to sell out of it in time? If it could only take one loan to absorb the whole of the provision fund (temporarily or not) and lock existing and, worse, future investors in unknowingly, hopefully this paints a clearer picture of the real risks of the QAA and the potential domino effect on other accounts. As a minimum, investors should be given a possibility to check how diversified the QAA is at any one time. Why can Octopus Choice provide absolute transparency for a similar and safer product (and pay a higher rate, which is still too low IMV). I truly wish AC as a company and their lenders no ill, but I continue holding my head in disbelief reading this thread. I hope it all works out in the end.
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Post by andrewholgate on Nov 21, 2016 14:12:37 GMT
Poor choice of words by me. If the QAA bought the whole loan as suggested, this could use up the whole PF. For losses, there is currently at least 3x worst case losses cover in the PF.
As I have said, we are looking at transparency and a better delivery of what we are doing. I'll take a look at the octopus model.
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on Nov 21, 2016 14:33:25 GMT
Good question. At present, no. The reason for this is unlike on consumer loans were you have a vast array of loans from £1k to £25k, we have loans from £50k to several millions. One loan could easily absorb the full provision fund yet not create a loss because it is well secured. That would leave nothing in the tank for further defaults until the loan was recovered. We are always looking at ways to improve this position. In your earlier post you said that The QAA is invested in one loan that is in trouble at present. Then in your next post you wondered should new QAA investors be prevented from holding old defaulted loans? Here is the essence of the problem. Hopefully all p2p investors realise that there is a risk of loss. But a loan might take many months if not years to progress from first signs of trouble to partial repayment after seizing and disposing of the asset. During this time the QAA may have turned over multiple times, and it appears that only those still in it when the music stops will suffer a loss. Furthermore lenders will not all have the same amount of information about the loan in question, enabling some to get out in time. One idea would be to put a loan into suspension at the first sign of trouble. All investors at this point in time would see a proportionate amount of their investment moved into the suspension account and not withdrawable (but possibly tradeable?). AC could remove the suspension if the loan remedied, otherwise when it eventually repaid, fully or partially, the funds could be moved back into the QAA.
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Nov 21, 2016 14:52:33 GMT
That just turns the QAA into something more like the GBBA/GEIA account (i.e. part locked in if part of the fund is invested in a problem loan), so 'why would you' when the other accounts pay ~2x the interest?
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on Nov 21, 2016 15:03:04 GMT
That just turns the QAA into something more like the GBBA/GEIA account (i.e. part locked in if part of the fund is invested in a problem loan), so 'why would you' when the other accounts pay ~2x the interest? AIUI the advantage of the QAA is only liquidity, not preference in terms of security against the other accounts. Are you suggesting that the QAA would unload problem loans to the GBBA/GEIA?
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Nov 21, 2016 15:31:02 GMT
During this time the QAA may have turned over multiple times, and it appears that only those still in it when the music stops will suffer a loss. But isn't that when the PF is supposed to step in and cover the loss? Presuming it does, none of the investors would suffer a loss -- because there wouldn't be a loss.
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on Nov 21, 2016 15:45:34 GMT
During this time the QAA may have turned over multiple times, and it appears that only those still in it when the music stops will suffer a loss. But isn't that when the PF is supposed to step in and cover the loss? Presuming it does, none of the investors would suffer a loss -- because there wouldn't be a loss. The PF is irrelevant to this discussion. It reduces the chance of an investor loss but does not guarantee that there will not be one and this is all about when there is one. If the PF only covers the QAA/30 day and not the others then this is another reason to be in it rather than the others.
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Nov 21, 2016 17:04:39 GMT
That just turns the QAA into something more like the GBBA/GEIA account (i.e. part locked in if part of the fund is invested in a problem loan), so 'why would you' when the other accounts pay ~2x the interest? AIUI the advantage of the QAA is only liquidity, not preference in terms of security against the other accounts. Are you suggesting that the QAA would unload problem loans to the GBBA/GEIA? No, I'm saying that "One idea would be to put a loan into suspension at the first sign of trouble. All investors at this point in time would see a proportionate amount of their investment moved into the suspension account and not withdrawable (but possibly tradeable?). AC could remove the suspension if the loan remedied, otherwise when it eventually repaid, fully or partially, the funds could be moved back into the QAA." effectively removes that liquidity, (I assume 'not withdrawable' means 'no liquidity') which, as you say, is the main advantage of the QAA. The QAA doesn't need to 'unload problems', since there is a cash buffer and PF, which is supposed to cope with problems, until/unless they become so bad ('run on the bank') that everything goes pear shaped anyway. Liquidity in the GBBA/GEIA is an issue when there are investments in non-performaing loans, but AIUI (which may be wrong) there is no such issue with the QAA (or 30DAA) 'under normal circumstances' (and holding some percentage of dud loans is definitely 'normal').
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on Nov 21, 2016 18:15:11 GMT
AIUI the advantage of the QAA is only liquidity, not preference in terms of security against the other accounts. Are you suggesting that the QAA would unload problem loans to the GBBA/GEIA? No, I'm saying that "One idea would be to put a loan into suspension at the first sign of trouble. All investors at this point in time would see a proportionate amount of their investment moved into the suspension account and not withdrawable (but possibly tradeable?). AC could remove the suspension if the loan remedied, otherwise when it eventually repaid, fully or partially, the funds could be moved back into the QAA." effectively removes that liquidity, (I assume 'not withdrawable' means 'no liquidity') which, as you say, is the main advantage of the QAA. The QAA doesn't need to 'unload problems', since there is a cash buffer and PF, which is supposed to cope with problems, until/unless they become so bad ('run on the bank') that everything goes pear shaped anyway. Liquidity in the GBBA/GEIA is an issue when there are investments in non-performaing loans, but AIUI (which may be wrong) there is no such issue with the QAA (or 30DAA) 'under normal circumstances' (and holding some percentage of dud loans is definitely 'normal'). Right then we are talking about different subjects. I am addressing the situation where a large loan defaults with a large loss which the PF cannot cover. (If such a situation cannot arise then AC could advertise the QAA as guaranteed but they don't, on the contrary they state very clearly that capital is at risk.) My point is that if this occurred nobody, not even AC, seem to know which investors should suffer the loss. I am not talking about Armageddon, just a large loss, which would likely progress over a long period of time from the first signs until final resolution with different investors holding it via the QAA at different times.
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on Nov 21, 2016 18:23:39 GMT
Poor choice of words by me. If the QAA bought the whole loan as suggested, this could use up the whole PF. For losses, there is currently at least 3x worst case losses cover in the PF. As I have said, we are looking at transparency and a better delivery of what we are doing. I'll take a look at the octopus model. You ought to define "worst case". IMO you make it quite clear that capital is not guaranteed, and that the PF is designed to mitigate losses, but cannot guarantee that there will be none, but if you read some of the posts above it seems that some investors are under a different impression.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Nov 21, 2016 20:49:27 GMT
But isn't that when the PF is supposed to step in and cover the loss? Presuming it does, none of the investors would suffer a loss -- because there wouldn't be a loss. The PF is irrelevant to this discussion. It reduces the chance of an investor loss but does not guarantee that there will not be one and this is all about when there is one. If the PF only covers the QAA/30 day and not the others then this is another reason to be in it rather than the others. AIUI, the QAA/30DAA is an incredibly useful source of funding for AC, giving them lots of relatively inexpensive working capital with which to get new loans off the ground. If that's the case, then they have a increased vested interest in ensuring that these accounts are looked upon favourably by investors, so it wouldn't surprise me if they do absolutely everything they can to ensure liquidity and minimise capital losses, which would mean keeping the PF for these accounts well funded and using the PF to minimise any possible losses. As such, I'd expect them to rate the level of PF coverage for the QAA/30DAA as being more important than for the GBBA/GEIA. So, yes, that's a another good reason to invest in the QAA/30DAA in preference to the GBBA/GEIA -- with the interest rate differential being a good reason for doing the opposite. I am addressing the situation where a large loan defaults with a large loss which the PF cannot cover. (If such a situation cannot arise then AC could advertise the QAA as guaranteed but they don't, on the contrary they state very clearly that capital is at risk.) littleoldlady: AIUI, AC cannot say the QAA is guaranteed because, if they did, the PF then would become too much like 'insurance', and insurance providers are heavily regulated in the UK. AC are not licensed to deal in insurance at the moment, and they probably wouldn't even want to be considering the hoops they'd have to jump through to get a licence and the level of reserves they'd have to maintain. It's a similar situation to why QAA/30DAA investments are not 'deposits'. (Because AC isn't a licensed deposit taker and, again, they probably wouldn't want to be for similar reasons.) Because AC don't deal in insurance or banking, AC have to say that the PF is discretionary, and have to say that your capital is at risk. They may have every intention of using the PF to cover all QAA/30DAA losses, but they simply are not allowed say that. To repeat, this is all AIUI.
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on Nov 21, 2016 21:51:29 GMT
littleoldlady : AIUI, AC cannot say the QAA is guaranteed because, if they did, the PF then would become too much like 'insurance', and insurance providers are heavily regulated in the UK. AC are not licensed to deal in insurance at the moment, and they probably wouldn't even want to be considering the hoops they'd have to jump through to get a licence and the level of reserves they'd have to maintain. It's a similar situation to why QAA/30DAA investments are not 'deposits'. (Because AC isn't a licensed deposit taker and, again, they probably wouldn't want to be for similar reasons.) Because AC don't deal in insurance or banking, AC have to say that the PF is discretionary, and have to say that your capital is at risk. They may have every intention of using the PF to cover all QAA/30DAA losses, but they simply are not allowed say that. To repeat, this is all AIUI. I know that. I am not referring to the fact that the PF is discretionary (which does not bother me for the reasons you give), but rather to the fact that a large default could exceed the amount in the PF. I really worry when people disregard platform disclaimers. It is quite apparent from this thread that some investors believe there is no realistic risk to their capital despite clear statements to the contrary on the site. In fact it may be the case that nearly all investors in QAA think this way or else they would surely, like me, clamour to know which investors will suffer the loss if and when there is one.
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Post by khampson on Nov 22, 2016 6:41:10 GMT
I have been lending money in the 30 Day, Instant and GGBA accounts, Does this mean I have an increased risk? I could potentially lend unknowingly to the same buisness in all 3 accounts meaning that if trading gets suspended my money would be locked into the same loan on 3 accounts, Can and does this happen?
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