r00lish67
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Post by r00lish67 on Jun 27, 2018 17:34:08 GMT
You are likely correct, in which case I think Lendy's action is the best course for investors, as it forces their hand, and most probably (hopefully) ensures that this is not a long drawn out affair.About 4 months would be ideal, to maximise the bonus interest Not sure if it was just loose wording, but haven't Lendy already effectively set out their stall to just repay capital not interest to investors? "we will be able to repay all outstanding capital to investors" .Given that "accrued interest and bonus interest" is almost a reflex addition to that phrase for them, it struck me as quite intended.. Also, given that they almost managed to not pay interest on PBL120, by their own standards they'd probably regard that as a good result. NB: admit I'm not sure what the rough LTV is here, just know that PBL120 was especially good..
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nick
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Post by nick on Jun 27, 2018 17:44:50 GMT
My guess is they wanted to start completing on sales to raise further funds and expected Lendy to start releasing security. Or were looking to subordinate Lendy's debt or raise the third party debt on a pari passi basis.
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SteveT
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Post by SteveT on Jun 27, 2018 17:45:10 GMT
Under promise, over deliver.
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Jeepers
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Post by Jeepers on Jun 27, 2018 17:46:23 GMT
It's only last week Lendy were asking investors to plough another £1.7m in, throwing good money after bad.
It wouldn't have solved the problem, just prolonged it and increased the total loss.
But hey, Lendy is confident they can still recover outstanding capital so nothing to worry about.
Best get your binoculars in front of those rose tinted spectacles.
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69m
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Post by 69m on Jun 27, 2018 19:29:35 GMT
An unfortunate but expected turn of events after the 2nd-charge loan fiasco.
Not publicising the latest property valuation and forecast cost figures is understandable and sensible in the circumstances. Hopefully the current normal / restricted Market Values are substantially higher than the amounts stated in the Valuation Report dated 16 February 2018, though.
Lendy should - as a courtesy - provide investors with a summary of the project's build status. Such information has, unsurprisingly, been missing from the recent regular updates. Indeed, the last mention of an Independent Monitoring Surveyor's report actually being received (rather than 'awaited') was at the start of this year.
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Post by loadsamoney on Jun 28, 2018 3:14:33 GMT
Sad to see this one go south. Hard to see how any amount of D/D at the outset could have predicted it, just like DFL004. But, in fairness, I agree that decisive action now is the right thing, although we could have skipped the doomed 2nd charge loan and saved a bit of time. Surely to goodness there is no way a building like this, as far advanced as it is, will not be completed?
I only have a small slice of this, and the few other loans I have left with L, so if there is a haircut at the end of the day I won't be out by much. Fingers crossed for those of you with substantial sums in it.
I've no wish to talk L down. When it was good, it was good. But it was evident to me a year ago that they were intent on growing too fast, and over-reaching themselves in the process. It was bound to result (I hope not end) in tears.
I hope L are, as they say in Liverpool, 'having a word with themselves'. This is a testing time, and they can do one of two things:
1) Just say 'Oh well, that was good while it lasted, but it isn't fun anymore', and walk away, or 2) Get real about recoveries (from my recent experience, they could learn a lot from some other providers like MT); get real about transparency to investors (in which regard they could learn a lot from AC); and altogether make it their mission to restore investor confidence.
I sincerely hope, for them and investors, that they choose the latter. Not much point in them bringing more loans to the platform until they have completely overhauled their business model and lowered their sights a lot.
As someone who knew nothing about property loans 3 years ago, I have learned a lot (mainly, that it isn't for me, just as stocks and shares no longer are). My current estimate is that, at the end of the day (which could be a year or two away), I won't have lost any money, but I won't have made any either. So I will have paid for the lesson with my time only.
Anyway, one should always end on a positive, so I wish L and all investors the best of luck, but, as they say on Dragons' Den, 'I'm out'.
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Post by loftankerman on Jun 28, 2018 7:25:49 GMT
I walked into an empty room last night and found the TV had been left on and was playing out Panorama. The title was "Exposed: Northern Dreams, Failed Schemes." It is on BBC iPlayer and should be mandatory watching for anyone considering P2P. I have said before that I don't have too much at risk on Lendy to be greatly unhappy about. Watching this programme made me feel positively light hearted about my position.
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Post by Badly Drawn Stickman on Jun 28, 2018 7:31:15 GMT
I walked into an empty room last night and found the TV had been left on and was playing out Panorama. The title was "Exposed: Northern Dreams, Failed Schemes." It is on BBC iPlayer and should be mandatory watching for anyone considering P2P. I have said before that I don't have too much at risk on Lendy to be greatly unhappy about. Watching this programme made me feel positively light hearted about my position. Not wishing to be pedantic, but if there was a television in the room it could not accurately be described as 'empty'.
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Post by loftankerman on Jun 28, 2018 7:58:21 GMT
I walked into an empty room last night and found the TV had been left on and was playing out Panorama. The title was "Exposed: Northern Dreams, Failed Schemes." It is on BBC iPlayer and should be mandatory watching for anyone considering P2P. I have said before that I don't have too much at risk on Lendy to be greatly unhappy about. Watching this programme made me feel positively light hearted about my position. Not wishing to be pedantic, but if there was a television in the room it could not accurately be described as 'empty'. I regard any room as empty that does not have a member of my loving family in it.
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invester
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Post by invester on Jun 28, 2018 7:59:17 GMT
I suspected that progress here was slow in the previous months, and the second charge stuff was an indication that there is no more cash.
Don't have much faith in Lendy I'm afraid. I believe they will look at the build out option but going on the remaining works the monies to front up are substantial. Do they have £1m to front up, given that customer deposits are ring-fenced (I hope)?
The most likely scenario to me is what we have seen from several borrowers, allow the loan to run into difficulties, let investors and Lendy stew for a couple of months, then offer to buy the whole thing back at a discount.
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Post by Badly Drawn Stickman on Jun 28, 2018 8:07:49 GMT
Not wishing to be pedantic, but if there was a television in the room it could not accurately be described as 'empty'. I regard any room as empty that does not have a member of my loving family in it. I tend to refer to such rooms as sanctuaries.
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puddleduck
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Post by puddleduck on Jun 28, 2018 8:08:34 GMT
The most likely scenario to me is what we have seen from several borrowers, allow the loan to run into difficulties, let investors and Lendy stew for a couple of months, then offer to buy the whole thing back at a discount. It doesn't help that you seem to get people posting stuff like 'I'd be happy to get 70% capital back' etc etc I went to a property seminar recently, one of those 'how to buy property without any money down' - the sort of thing that tries to encourage would be property investors to ask for money from friends, family, business angles etc etc - lets just say that P2P is known to be a soft touch in these circles.
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hazellend
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Post by hazellend on Jun 28, 2018 8:10:00 GMT
Guys I have an idea. Until we know what the plan is let’s endlessly speculate about negative outcomes and berate Lendy (because it is their fault the development has stopped). In the absence of facts, uninformed speculation by anxious investors is the next best thing. Seriously though, this loan is solid
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Post by brightspark on Jun 28, 2018 8:31:11 GMT
It is not solid. In their latest update Lendy gave no assurance of repayment of interest. It did intimate that capital might be repaid. Lending is a risk business and for me because of the poor risk/reward ratio Lendy has been a no go area for around 9 months. It is not something I regret.
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invester
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Post by invester on Jun 28, 2018 8:34:16 GMT
I don't think it is speculative to say that the primary reason behind this project falling behind schedule is that we have run out of money and also that the project looks about 1 year behind schedule now, with interest accruing on c.£10m.
What is wrong with speculating about a negative outcome, if a negative outcome is realistic? To not do so would be suppressing your opinion. The latest development is a very bad one for us, which introduces the additional costs of an administrator plus adds on the inevitable months of interest while they decide what to do.
I think the security is fairly solid, but our interests have been pushed to the back of the queue.
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