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Post by mrclondon on May 9, 2017 12:31:50 GMT
Hi From 8th May, it won't be possible to invest in any more loans unless you are a HighNetWorth Investor, Investor Professional or Corporate. I don't quality unless lying, so am gutted as this was my favourite platform to invest with. Just hope all the other platforms don't go down this route, otherwise it will be a disaster. I'm not a LI investor, but this seems a poor move and one that goes against the whole ethos, as I understood it, of P2P lending. I also hope it's not a move repeated elsewhere to squeeze out the small investor and pander to the institutions. Also not a LI investor, but I can't see much alternative for platforms allowing selection of individual loans in the medium term. It will be simply too expensive to provide the level of financial disclosure and analysis on a per loan basis required to provide a defence against retail investors suing for mis-selling. Retail investors will have to be restricted to pooled funds in the long term. Yes this will hurt those of us that don't fit into the HNW/Professional Investor categories, but there is more than enough evidence on the forum of retail investors investing in loans without understanding for example what a residual value valuation is and what it isn't.
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macq
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Post by macq on May 9, 2017 12:58:30 GMT
Me sir,me sir-is it the property is worth less if you get chavs move in next door?
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on May 9, 2017 13:07:53 GMT
Hi From 8th May, it won't be possible to invest in any more loans unless you are a HighNetWorth Investor, Investor Professional or Corporate. I don't quality unless lying, so am gutted as this was my favourite platform to invest with. Just hope all the other platforms don't go down this route, otherwise it will be a disaster. AFAICS all you need to do is invest £20 in 2 Property Moose SPVs and you qualify as a Sophisticated Investor. I doubt that the platform cares how sophisticated you actually are, but by self-certifying you eliminate the possibility of ever complaining of mis-selling to the Regulator or Court.
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rxdav
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Post by rxdav on May 9, 2017 13:20:16 GMT
Pure coincidence but I posted on this site yesterday that I had just managed to fully exit LI - seems they were planning all along to see me off anyway!! I was with LI when it was £5K per investment minimum (the previous £10K was too rich for me) - and thereafter saw smaller and smaller investors tempted in as they lowered the threshold. It does seem a total about turn to adopt what is in many ways a near reciprocal position - although the criteria are different I suspect the new elite will nevertheless constitute the wealthier end of the current spectrum of LI investors.
Like one or two others here I won't miss LI - their loans used to be very tempting but latterly became the lowest interest rates of the eight (now seven) P2P platforms I use. They were useful for diversity but that was before a relative plethora of platforms came along. When they finally admitted they had no intention of initiating a SM (although they made as though they would for quite some while) that was really the final straw for me.
So I'm out and staying out - I can live without loans offering 7% with 75% LTV - and I suspect many others can too!!
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on May 9, 2017 13:54:48 GMT
So I'm out and staying out - I can live without loans offering 7% with 75% LTV - and I suspect many others can too!! Where can you get better that 7% on residential property? I know you can on commercial but residential is much safer than commercial and also the VRs are much more credible due to the ease of finding comparables.
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rxdav
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Post by rxdav on May 9, 2017 14:59:44 GMT
littleoldlady. If you are happy with 7% (with 75% LTV) then good luck to you - you are clearly the kind of lender that LI are now actively seeking. However, I'll stick with the 12 to 16% (mainly commercial property) loans available on MT, FS, Abl, L and others. I accept they may well be higher risk (caveat emptor) but I don't consider they are double the risk (perhaps with the notable exception of the recent L 'borrower in receivership' offerings!?). If you really want to minimise your exposure you could always try your friendly local High Street Bank - they will be delighted to offer you a pittance for near zero risk!
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Post by carol167 on May 9, 2017 15:09:18 GMT
littleoldlady. If you are happy with 7% (with 75% LTV) then good luck to you - you are clearly the kind of lender that LI are now actively seeking. However, I'll stick with the 12 to 16% (mainly commercial property) loans available on MT, FS, Abl, L and others. I accept they may well be higher risk (caveat emptor) but I don't consider they are double the risk (perhaps with the notable exception of the recent L 'borrower in receivership' offerings!?). If you really want to minimise your exposure you could always try your friendly local High Street Bank - they will be delighted to offer you a pittance for near zero risk! Ouch. Not sure that was warranted....
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on May 9, 2017 15:20:38 GMT
littleoldlady. If you are happy with 7% (with 75% LTV) then good luck to you - you are clearly the kind of lender that LI are now actively seeking. However, I'll stick with the 12 to 16% (mainly commercial property) loans available on MT, FS, Abl, L and others. I accept they may well be higher risk (caveat emptor) but I don't consider they are double the risk (perhaps with the notable exception of the recent L 'borrower in receivership' offerings!?). If you really want to minimise your exposure you could always try your friendly local High Street Bank - they will be delighted to offer you a pittance for near zero risk! It's good that there are different investors with different risk:reward profiles or we would all be after the same thing. But there is no need to be rude patronising. My question was genuine - I though that you might know of a platform paying more that 7% on residential. The difference between 7% low risk and 12% higher risk is not so great. It only takes 10% of loans at 12% to suffer an average 50% loss and the net yield is 7%.
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rxdav
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Post by rxdav on May 9, 2017 15:44:24 GMT
littleoldlady: My apologies as I did not mean to sound patronising - it was meant as a joke, but it seems it missed the mark!? I have done relatively well these past few years with my current appetite for and exposure to risk (more adventurous than averse) - and to date (fingers crossed) have not had any capital or interest losses on my property lending. However, I am highly active and spend considerable time monitoring, churning and undertaking DD on loans etc. (I'm retired so not a problem for me). This approach wouldn't suit someone who didn't have the necessary time and wanted a more passive approach - but it works for me. As for LI I simply don't consider 7% worth the time and effort necessary to mitigate the inherent risk involved in any P2P lending - but that's my viewpoint.
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macq
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Post by macq on May 9, 2017 17:24:29 GMT
I would like to think that these investment companies that only want sophisticated investors make sure their staff are just as sophisticated in investments With regards risk. its the same as any investment you invest at the risk you are happy to take whether its P2P or an emerging market fund verses an footsie 100 tracker.At the end of the day i think there is a place for low and high loan rates and it would appear as time goes on and more companies look for the more mainstream customers the rates will drop anyway.Sometimes the worse thing with investment is hindsight and wishing you had done something different, just ask the people who bought penny shares and were told they could not lose or that timeshare that would always rent and is now worthless. In the end just be happy to make a profit at your comfort level.
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bigfoot12
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Post by bigfoot12 on May 10, 2017 7:03:08 GMT
The difference between 7% low risk and 12% higher risk is not so great. It only takes 10% of loans at 12% to suffer an average 50% loss and the net yield is 7%. Exactly, and if the 50% that is recovered takes a long time (which is common) and doesn't pay interest (the norm if only 50% capital is returned) then the actual return is lower still.
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rxdav
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Post by rxdav on May 10, 2017 8:45:28 GMT
OK - let's bottom this one.
The return from 7% (low risk - theoretically) and 12% (high risk - allegedly) is only 'not so great' IF loans default in the manner described above (and of course that assumes no 'low risk' loans default (they're low risk but not no risk)) - which to date mine haven't (phew) and I've been at this game for some four years now. However, I'd be naïve to think it will/can never happen - indeed I have money in the Assetz Scottish property loan which has defaulted - but I'm confident of a full return of capital and interest eventually given the LTV (actually currently earning 14% in default interest!). The difference otherwise is of course a 5% return (12 -7) - and that's an awful lot of money over a four year period. Let's also remember it's not that long ago that you could get 15% on loans from LI - and I can't recall any defaults - nor were there any shortage of takers.
I really don't understand why LI have reversed their attitude to retail lenders - but that's effectively what they have done. Either retail lenders are now too much hassle (I sent my fair share of 'what's going on' missives), the institutional investors are now pumping in enough to more than float the boat without retail input or a combination of both - who knows?
I will reiterate what I said above though (as a joke initially) - if you extrapolate the low risk loan vs high risk loan argument to its logical conclusion then you end up with your money in the Bank - and we all know what that's worth. P2P is a risky enterprise and the core skill for any lender is an ability and willingness to mitigate that risk - those who 'auto invest' (not many who read and/or participate on forum I suspect) will likely get exactly what they deserve.
Body armour on - visor down!!
Comment?
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macq
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Post by macq on May 10, 2017 9:48:05 GMT
The only thing i would disagree with is the line- if you auto invest you get what you deserve as if it is some how wrong to invest in this way.I would say if you auto invest and get what you expect in returns then you will be happy. My father-in-law will not do anything other then an easy access account and we even had to talk him in to an ISA.But my friend who got me into P2P about a year ago while happy to do mainly 12 & 14% property loans (as do i) thinks i am mad for using investment trusts the last 25 years as he thinks there is to much risk, even when i show him property funds with a 4 or 5% yield and 40% growth over 3 years.So its not about getting what you deserve but where you are happiest being invested.
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littleoldlady
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Post by littleoldlady on May 10, 2017 9:58:21 GMT
OK - let's bottom this one.
The return from 7% (low risk - theoretically) and 12% (high risk - allegedly) is only 'not so great' IF loans default in the manner described above (and of course that assumes no 'low risk' loans default (they're low risk but not no risk)) - which to date mine haven't (phew) and I've been at this game for some four years now. However, I'd be naïve to think it will/can never happen - indeed I have money in the Assetz Scottish property loan which has defaulted - but I'm confident of a full return of capital and interest eventually given the LTV (actually currently earning 14% in default interest!). The difference otherwise is of course a 5% return (12 -7) - and that's an awful lot of money over a four year period. Let's also remember it's not that long ago that you could get 15% on loans from LI - and I can't recall any defaults - nor were there any shortage of takers.
I really don't understand why LI have reversed their attitude to retail lenders - but that's effectively what they have done. Either retail lenders are now too much hassle (I sent my fair share of 'what's going on' missives), the institutional investors are now pumping in enough to more than float the boat without retail input or a combination of both - who knows?
I will reiterate what I said above though (as a joke initially) - if you extrapolate the low risk loan vs high risk loan argument to its logical conclusion then you end up with your money in the Bank - and we all know what that's worth. P2P is a risky enterprise and the core skill for any lender is an ability and willingness to mitigate that risk - those who 'auto invest' (not many who read and/or participate on forum I suspect) will likely get exactly what they deserve.
Body armour on - visor down!!
Comment? You are only extrapolating in one direction. taking it the other way why not go for 100% interest in 60 secs (God knows what that works out to pa - I make it over 50 million % pa). Any Casino will provide this opportunity.
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rxdav
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Post by rxdav on May 10, 2017 10:46:06 GMT
littleoldlady: I think the issue here is that I can not only extrapolate theoretically towards zero interest/risk - but actually do it if I choose - there are no shortage of opportunities to earn a pittance at near zero risk. However, my highest interest rate is currently 16% (with Abl) - and whilst I can theoretically extrapolate the interest rate higher - I can't actually do it. Please let me know if you see any of those 60 second 100% interest loans - I'll certainly have a punt on one of those - if I don't get killed in the stampede to get in!!!
Macq: I agree with your underpinning rationale - you need to be happy with what and where you invest. P2P is not really for the amateur and/or faint hearted - which is why I argue the returns should be fully commensurate with the risk (and 7% doesn't do it for me). Broadly speaking it is true that interest rates in P2P are falling - but this tends to be with the more established companies (there seems to be a negative correlation between interest rates and maturity). However, the new startups will have to compete hard to get market share and that will mean giving a higher percentage of their margin to lenders - so still some happy days ahead yet methinks.
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