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Post by captainconfident on Dec 29, 2020 18:48:15 GMT
Are you a Gousto customer? Do they offer anything massively different to HelloFresh, MindfulChef, or the similar services from established suppliers like Riverford or Abel & Cole? No, never heard of them before, I just fit your description.
Also nice to see the markets are reacting well on the first day of trading after the trade deal was anounced:
- FTSE 100 currently up 2.5%
- FTSE 250 currently up 3.2%
Are there no limits to the benefits of Brexit?
A better sign of confidence is in the Forex market. £ dropped from 1.3 the moment the Brexit result was announced. What is it today, now that the glorious future has come into focus? Hmmmmmmm?
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 28, 2020 18:52:15 GMT
Any deal is better than no deal. This is the only deal on offer. No one really cares what Labour does because it won't effect the outcome. They should have chosen someone more ballsy like Emily Thornberry if they wanted to get noticed. I have the feeling they'd rather not. Growing tension here. The software to make customs declarations will be 'delivered' on 1.1.2021 by its German writers. We've all watched the videos on how it's supposed to work. But will it? The Gvt has spaffed £168 million on trying to get the ancient CHIEF computer extended to cope with 10x its designed max number of daily submissions. www.theregister.com/2020/10/13/fujitsu_hmrc_contract/This is because the replacement system CDS, in development since 2015 and due in 2019, is still a mess. www.metroshipping.co.uk/news/new-hmrc-border-system-unworkable/Another system, the one supposed to stop lorry drivers queueing in Kent and called "Smart Freight" is also more fantasy than reality www.theregister.com/2020/09/25/brexit_travel_permits_software_beta/Fortunately for everyone, January is usually the quietest month, and every warehouse in the UK is full because of precautionary purchasing so HMRC might pull it off. It's all very exciting.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 28, 2020 1:12:46 GMT
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 22:02:24 GMT
Shall we all shake hands and call it a day? You haven't been reading the Covid thread, shaking hands is not allowed - it might be at some point during 2021 though if there is vaccination alignment You see, this is what moderators are for. Putting a stop to reckless behaviour by negligent board members.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 19:02:58 GMT
Where I'm at: Good/optimistic- Good to see the back of deal/no-deal uncertainty. - Good that the deal sets us on a footing to do further deals with the EU, potentially, and other countries too. - The decks are now potentially somewhat cleared for politicians to actually do something good and useful in this country, which would make a nice change. - If we can frankly just avoid surging into any new crises, perhaps our reputation (and currency indeed) can start to rebuild Bad/pessimistic- Not convinced that we won't just spend 2021 wrangling with the combination of COVID and god knows what consequences come out of the 'great deal'. - Personally inconvenienced, as I'll be one of the first to hit the Schengen day limit and have to leave whilst I'd certainly rather not in the current situation. - Long term financially inconvenienced with the drop of GBPEUR from 1.4 to 1.11 (yes it is 1.11, google is wrong for some reason).- Not convinced that this Government doesn't have even more unpleasant surprises in store, whether it intends them or not. - Not sure they're actually interested in doing something good and useful as opposed to lining their pockets. Hope I'm wrong. Its all part of the project fear conspiracy. Google is a key player in this dark sanitisation of information.... Just kidding Actually agree with most of your points there. Shall we all shake hands and call it a day?
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 18:49:23 GMT
At 4 pm the rate was 111.44 and the forecast for this week is about 1.13.
You're right, but xe.com shows 1.091 median rate at market close today 27th. What's going on? In the meantime, Swedish lorry has arrived. The answer is that xe.com has been wrong all day and is still wrong. I'm going to switch reference sites.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 13:45:15 GMT
I query your vowel choice, but that apart... "This is news?"The chosen word on this board is W***er. If this deal is going to work for us, how come since it was published, the £ has dropped like a stone? Touching 1.09 today. Asking this because I need to pay invoices in Euros and I held over some payments as I expected a deal and a Sterling upwards bounce.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 12:08:35 GMT
I'll ask for these to be updated. Always grateful for the continued engagement from REBS staff on this board. Is all I have to say.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 12:00:00 GMT
Or do the sensible thing and adopt the standards of our largest trading partner. As EU standards are what the rest of the world exporting to the EU conform their products to. In practice, British Standards will inevitably mirror EU standards. So what is the point of putting manufacturers in the UK and abroad through two sets of certification, and necessitate border conformity checks?
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 27, 2020 11:00:18 GMT
The problem here, leaving aside financial services, is that with goods, the UK Gvt has prioritised 'sovereignty' over trade in the area of product standards. It has insisted in "UK standards" which means that products must be made to the specification of a uk standards agency, yet to be set up. Then to export, you need to get your product recertified by the EU standards agency. Crossing the border, it is subject to compliance checks at the whim of border customs. The thing about "British Standards" is that it gives a stiffening feeling in the loins of old colonels and Eton Patriots, but in practice they won't be accepted by any meaningful trading partner. Sure, we can insist that Fiji only export us goods matching our standards, but any larger parties will make our manufacturers accept theirs. So for each such treaty, British exporters must submit paperwork and testing to two standards.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 26, 2020 22:16:09 GMT
All economic reports I've read say that Brexit will be a drag on growth and Britain will be exponentially less prosperous that it might have been. Should the above results come to pass, would you argue this to be so because we erected trade barriers between us and our largest trade partner? What is also going to harm the UK in the long term is in the European psychology, From being generally respected for our culture and history, by announcing a cultural superiority and exceptionalism which means "we are leaving your club", the general regard for the British, for the English in particular has hit rock bottom. We don't get fully get the sense of this in Britain, but five years of Farrage and May and Johnson and the Mail and Express have destroyed respect. The first subject for new acquaintances is "so, you are leaving us..." in a sort of hurt voice or a "Brexit: what kind of fools are you?" statement, demanding an explanation for all the rudeness and petty nationalism, so different from the picture of 'London 2012'. While with our new paper treaty, goods can still get through, the willingness to order from the UK is diminished. Although how much I can't tell as there is nothing to export on our books, (Because the terms of trade haven't been known until this week). But I wonder whether our partners will dump us in favour of EU suppliers where substitution is possible, accelerated by the loss of regard I point to above. As you might when waving off the goose that lays the golden egg. As for the questionable "respect and regard for the British" sentiment above, it seemed in very short supply when Guy Verhofstadt announced in March 2017 that "The UK has shot itself in the foot", before adding, "We intend to shoot you in the other." Where were our "good European friends" rushing to denounce him back then? To him, Junckers, Tusk, Varadkar/Coveney, and their ilk, I'm not sorry to say goodbye. I don't think a single one of those you've named that isn't made to look a giant of the world stage compared to the buffoons our elections threw up, plus they are clearly more witty in their second language than Boz and co are in their first. To the annoyance of the Continentals, Monty Python is made to look less funny and more like modernl life in Britain by Jacob Rees Mog and the Eton Brexit W**kers.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 26, 2020 18:52:08 GMT
"Borris is a total W***er" While I agree with much you say, there is a world of difference between an authoritarian state where expressing opposition is likely to effect your health and the total lack of interest of EU27 citizens in the EU government structures. Are you suggesting that all EU citizens should vote elect the president of the EU? Wouldn't there be issues of cost/ the largest country always getting their candidate elected/ total lack of interest in the issue at base level? Instead of that, you could say if you think the House of Lords should be elected. Or if to be elected to represent a constituency in the UK you should at least have 50% support via AV? Democratically speaking, I think you should clean your own house before criticising the neighbours.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 26, 2020 16:28:16 GMT
Interesting CEBR forecast
All economic reports I've read say that Brexit will be a drag on growth and Britain will be exponentially less prosperous that it might have been. Should the above results come to pass, would you argue this to be so because we erected trade barriers between us and our largest trade partner? What is also going to harm the UK in the long term is in the European psychology, From being generally respected for our culture and history, by announcing a cultural superiority and exceptionalism which means "we are leaving your club", the general regard for the British, for the English in particular has hit rock bottom. We don't get fully get the sense of this in Britain, but five years of Farrage and May and Johnson and the Mail and Express have destroyed respect. The first subject for new acquaintances is "so, you are leaving us..." in a sort of hurt voice or a "Brexit: what kind of fools are you?" statement, demanding an explanation for all the rudeness and petty nationalism, so different from the picture of 'London 2012'. While with our new paper treaty, goods can still get through, the willingness to order from the UK is diminished. Although how much I can't tell as there is nothing to export on our books, (Because the terms of trade haven't been known until this week). But I wonder whether our partners will dump us in favour of EU suppliers where substitution is possible, accelerated by the loss of regard I point to above.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 26, 2020 15:23:41 GMT
Sounds like the Commission (full of folk like my Uncle who has worked there for 30 years being answeable to nobody except his boss whose chain leads to UVDL) is talking to a naughty schoolboy. Hungary is allowed to use Russia's Sputnik vaccine, but it must assume "full responsibility" and liability, a Commission spokesperson said on Monday.
As an aside, couldn't they at least make the president of the commission a directly electable role ? Why, would that have changed your vote for Brexit? The issue of the democratic credentials of the EU governmental structures is something that occupies the mind of practically not one of the citizens of any of the EU-27. Why it is apparently an issue worth sacrificing our trading advantages for, for a part of the UK population, is a mystery to me. I always assumed this argument was a cover for not discussing the real reasons for voting for Brexit, immigration. Not that I mean that of you, michaelc . I think you are 100% authentic worrier about the EU Constitution. I mean the people @conservativehome and Nigel Farrage, giving the game away by lurking with his binoculars on Beachy Head.
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Post by captainconfident on Dec 26, 2020 11:07:41 GMT
I know that won't go down well here. But set against a missing truck and a Swedish national who's had to work some overtime, the few extra lives this new-found flexibility has saved must surely deserve mention. That is why I called the article 'thoughtful' and I'm glad you took the time to read it, expose your mind to the first 3/4 of it that crystalise the folly of Brexit, before you found the few positive words at the end.
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