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Post by Butch Cassidy on Sept 27, 2018 4:52:04 GMT
It's now 2 months since I joined so a brief update; Overall 20% profit so far & just benefitted from another 10% bonus promotion & whilst my football knowledge is improving daily it is by no means essential for success. An understanding of markets & trading strategy is by far more useful, there's a dedicated discussion board that can provide sufficient advice & potential player buys for even the complete novice. Just to illustrate the impressive growth that FI is undergoing, if I had invested just in Pogba from Man Utd I would have more than doubled my investment!
For those who regard it as too much like a gamble I would compare it far more to stocks & shares than popping into the bookies & if you are comfortable with P2P investments this is no different a risk/reward profile but the gains can be significantly more. The main drawback is it can be quite addictive & you develop an unhealthy obsession in the result of Spal v Frosinone or whether Neymar has a bruised toe or not.
Overall I'm very happy with my results & can safely say it is by far my best investment decision of the year & I would recommend having a look as the potential is enormous.
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Mike
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Post by Mike on Sept 27, 2018 8:14:44 GMT
I would compare it far more to stocks & shares than popping into the bookies & if you are comfortable with P2P investments this is no different a risk/reward profile but the gains can be significantly more. I know I've been hammering on at this point but it's not like S&S at all. When you own part of a company, the company can grow and increase in value without shares being traded - the company can generate profit itself and increase turnover. Shareholders can get more out than they put in without other shareholders loosing out, simply by owning a company that grows and makes more money. In this case your return isn't tied to the player (who can also increase in value without being traded). To get more out than you put in, the money must come from other gamblers rather than the 'underlying' which you don't own and which the bet is not fully representative of. Subtract from that the margins of the platform and there is less available to withdraw than has been deposited. Overall, a loss must be incurred across all gamblers for this to be a sustainable business model. Contrast to S&S where there is an additional source of money - that from the underlying which has revenue of it's own that can grow. I would like to know how anyone elses maths stacks up - money in is only from gamblers deposits, the platform takes its share, without another source of income what is left for the gamblers to withdraw must be less than what they deposit?
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IFISAcava
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Post by IFISAcava on Sept 27, 2018 8:33:17 GMT
I would compare it far more to stocks & shares than popping into the bookies & if you are comfortable with P2P investments this is no different a risk/reward profile but the gains can be significantly more. I know I've been hammering on at this point but it's not like S&S at all. When you own part of a company, the company can grow and increase in value without shares being traded - the company can generate profit itself and increase turnover. Shareholders can get more out than they put in without other shareholders loosing out, simply by owning a company that grows and makes more money. In this case your return isn't tied to the player (who can also increase in value without being traded). To get more out than you put in, the money must come from other gamblers rather than the 'underlying' which you don't own and which the bet is not fully representative of. Subtract from that the margins of the platform and there is less available to withdraw than has been deposited. Overall, a loss must be incurred across all gamblers for this to be a sustainable business model. Contrast to S&S where there is an additional source of money - that from the underlying which has revenue of it's own that can grow. I would like to know how anyone elses maths stacks up - money in is only from gamblers deposits, the platform takes its share, without another source of income what is left for the gamblers to withdraw must be less than what they deposit? Some people believe in perpetual motion. Some people will insist a pyramid is not pyramid shaped but merely a trick of perspective and that if you look at it from the right angle the walls are straight. I believe a spade is a spade and that you are right. If I were any of the "investors" in this I would take what profits I have and run. Then again, some people (in retrospect) took profits too early with bitcoin; the gamble is when to get out.
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Post by Butch Cassidy on Sept 27, 2018 9:00:03 GMT
Mike you are only partly correct; FI earn money by charging 2% on all sales traded (there is also a spread for instant sell but players can also be market traded directly between investors) they then pay daily dividends for performance & media so money can be earned in the same way as dividends on S&S but paid daily instead of twice/year. So turnover generates revenue for FI & some of this is fed back to investors, any futures are therefore valued for their potential future dividend flow as well as capital growth potential, so whilst technically all money does come from gamblers but the fact that the market is growing for the foreseeable future makes it a self sustaining income model. There will clearly be some losers in the same way there is with S&S & should football suddenly be banned or go out of fashion or FI get closed down via regulation or management incompetence there will be large/complete losses but as with all investments there are risks attached.
To illustrate from an investors point of view; I bought Pogba @720/future & he has returned £1.41/future in dividends so far & his price is currently £14.50, so I have had a near 20% yield in 2 months but could now also sell for over 100% capital return as well. Can his price be sustained? Well yes if his dividend income remains at recent levels to support it, as 70p/month equates to 5% return on capital monthly but of course that's an uncertain prospect. At the end of the day if you prefer the security of S&S for an uncertain say 10-20% return p.a. great. If you like a bit of extra risk & are willing to back your football judgement there is plenty of money to be made on FI - Will it last forever? Probably not but I see another couple of years longevity at least, so I am going to indulge myself, but if it's not for you then I fully respect that. I certainly wouldn't want to force you to make some easy money
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Post by Butch Cassidy on Sept 27, 2018 9:43:38 GMT
I know I've been hammering on at this point but it's not like S&S at all. When you own part of a company, the company can grow and increase in value without shares being traded - the company can generate profit itself and increase turnover. Shareholders can get more out than they put in without other shareholders loosing out, simply by owning a company that grows and makes more money. In this case your return isn't tied to the player (who can also increase in value without being traded). To get more out than you put in, the money must come from other gamblers rather than the 'underlying' which you don't own and which the bet is not fully representative of. Subtract from that the margins of the platform and there is less available to withdraw than has been deposited. Overall, a loss must be incurred across all gamblers for this to be a sustainable business model. Contrast to S&S where there is an additional source of money - that from the underlying which has revenue of it's own that can grow. I would like to know how anyone elses maths stacks up - money in is only from gamblers deposits, the platform takes its share, without another source of income what is left for the gamblers to withdraw must be less than what they deposit? Some people believe in perpetual motion. Some people will insist a pyramid is not pyramid shaped but merely a trick of perspective and that if you look at it from the right angle the walls are straight. I believe a spade is a spade and that you are right. If I were any of the "investors" in this I would take what profits I have and run. Then again, some people (in retrospect) took profits too early with bitcoin; the gamble is when to get out. I assume that you have invested in some P2P property development loans, often with 70% LTV backed by RICS professional valuation & experienced property developer with many successful projects behind them - How's that worked out?
All investments carry risk but if investors have all the details in front of them they can balance the risk against the rewards; Football Index vs P2P - I know which one offer the best risk/reward balance for me but as you say timing is all important.
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carolus
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Post by carolus on Sept 27, 2018 10:09:16 GMT
For those who regard it as too much like a gamble I would compare it far more to stocks & shares than popping into the bookies & if you are comfortable with P2P investments this is no different a risk/reward profile but the gains can be significantly more. The main drawback is it can be quite addictive & you develop an unhealthy obsession in the result of Spal v Frosinone or whether Neymar has a bruised toe or not. If you view it as an investment, rather than a gamble, I'm curious as to whether you have read the definition of terms, which make it clear that what you are doing is placing a bet. Again, I will note that football index is regulated by the Gambling Commission, not by the FCA. They dress things up in financial terms, like "share", "dividend" etc but that is simply to make it appear less like gambling.
To the best of my knowledge, most stocks and shares based investments also tend not to expire with your money if you don't sell them within three years. I notice too that were a player to retire unexpectedly, your money would also be lost.
I can only reiterate what Mike and IFISAcava have said. There is no underlying asset, this is not an investment.
If you wish to make money from bookmakers or casinos then it is entirely possible to do so, but it requires a clear understanding of the realities of what you are doing. I wouldn't touch Football Index with a bargepole.
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Post by Butch Cassidy on Sept 27, 2018 10:15:33 GMT
Yes I accept that it is a bet which makes any gains tax free & limits it to 3 years but no limit on "bed & breakfasting" it at that point. I also accept that it will not be for everyone so please feel free to ignore or simply not read any of my posts
Thank God it's not regulated by the FCA is all I can say, given how helpful they were in "protecting investors" involved with Collateral.
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Post by bluechip on Jun 15, 2019 7:38:46 GMT
Thought I'd give this a bump - been almost a year since I posted this. (I also notice several of the posts that were critical of the concept and what I was advising have been mysteriously deleted),lol.
The market has more than doubled (Footsie was at 22,000 when i first posted, 11 months later it is now almost 100,000), dividends have increased recently providing even more value and share split has taken place to make it more affordable to get involved. They have just agreed to sponsor Nottingham Forest (upgraded from Bristol Rovers). Trader numbers are through the roof and they are offering a 10% cash back on money invested up until the end of this month (£20k max qualifies for bonus, so £2k return).
If you had followed my suggestions last year then you will have easily doubled your money!
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jun 15, 2019 19:58:37 GMT
Thought I'd give this a bump - been almost a year since I posted this. (I also notice several of the posts that were critical of the concept and what I was advising have been mysteriously deleted),lol. The market has more than doubled (Footsie was at 22,000 when i first posted, 11 months later it is now almost 100,000), dividends have increased recently providing even more value and share split has taken place to make it more affordable to get involved. They have just agreed to sponsor Nottingham Forest (upgraded from Bristol Rovers). Trader numbers are through the roof and they are offering a 10% cash back on money invested up until the end of this month (£20k max qualifies for bonus, so £2k return). If you had followed my suggestions last year then you will have easily doubled your money! You still appear to be forgetting one important detail. Where is the money coming from?
If it's a P2P dev loan, then it's coming from the increased value of the development work on the project. This is an easy concept to understand. If it's a P2P business loan, then it's coming from the profits of the trading activities of the company. But where the money is totally unrelated to the actual underlying asset? If you "buy" a Manchester United player, Man Utd are not in any way involved in this, are they? No. You're simply paying somebody else to get out of that player. So when you want to get out, there needs to be a buyer, right? Think of it more like an SM premium on a P2P platform, if you want to draw parallels. But even that's flawed. If you want to look at equities, then you're looking more at spread betting on whether XYZ plc is going to rise or fall then on actually buying XYZ ltd shares. Nowt's changed in the last year. In the next...? When the new customer confidence stops...
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Post by bluechip on Jun 16, 2019 10:24:12 GMT
The buyer of last resort is the platform. You can sell to market or you can sell back to FI (Instantly) for a slight premium. The market has 300,000 signed up traders now, so activity/liquidity is much better than it was last year.
I do know that if anybody had put money in and followed my advice with a diverse portfolio they would comfortably have doubled their money, if they knew what they were doing they could have easily trebled their money in 12 months.
Will it always be like that? No of course not, but I was correct and got dogs abuse for pointing out this opportunity (much deleted now).
I still expect good profit this forthcoming year but not the same levels. So I'm not encouraging anybody to spend what they can't afford to lose, but there is still gold in those mines.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jun 16, 2019 11:30:08 GMT
The buyer of last resort is the platform. You can sell to market or you can sell back to FI (Instantly) for a slight premium. The market has 300,000 signed up traders now And how many of them can the platform afford to buy out? Currently. To date.
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Post by bluechip on Jun 16, 2019 12:52:07 GMT
How long is a piece of string? I said earlier in this thread that I'm not talking long term, I'm talking 6-18 months.
I do know that I have money sitting in Lendy that I'll likely never see again and likewise with several others. There are risks everywhere - Football Index isn't perfect and it isn't for everyone. BUT if you had jumped on board when I posted last year you would have made a serious return on investment and could exit with ease right now if you wanted to.
I'ts a missed opportunity for many people, but there is still room for ample growth in the product (expansion overseas as well) - so if you want to make good returns for relatively low risk it might be worth exploring. Especially as they have a 10% deposit bonus offer on for the next 2 weeks.
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bigfoot12
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Post by bigfoot12 on Jun 16, 2019 13:16:16 GMT
good returns for relatively low risk it might be worth exploring I have no idea if bets (not investments) on Football index will be profitable in the next six months, but I find it hard to call low risk. At best it it is like some new coin offering, except that there is always a chance that one of these new coins might actually be useful.
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Greenwood2
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Post by Greenwood2 on Jun 16, 2019 13:17:09 GMT
How long is a piece of string? I said earlier in this thread that I'm not talking long term, I'm talking 6-18 months. I do know that I have money sitting in Lendy that I'll likely never see again and likewise with several others. There are risks everywhere - Football Index isn't perfect and it isn't for everyone. BUT if you had jumped on board when I posted last year you would have made a serious return on investment and could exit with ease right now if you wanted to.I'ts a missed opportunity for many people, but there is still room for ample growth in the product (expansion overseas as well) - so if you want to make good returns for relatively low risk it might be worth exploring. Especially as they have a 10% deposit bonus offer on for the next 2 weeks. Presumably not if you picked players that tanked, surely not everything goes up?
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littleoldlady
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Running down all platforms due to age
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Post by littleoldlady on Jun 16, 2019 14:38:35 GMT
Any scheme which relies on new entrants to pay dividends (or other payments) to current participants is a Ponzi. Everyone makes money except the final tranche who pay for the profits made earlier plus the scheme overheads. It therefore pays participants to encourage new entrants to keep it going. Eventually it must burst, but you can make money if you take profits before then. Just remember that the profit you make is going to be paid by someone less lucky.
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