bernard
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Post by bernard on Aug 5, 2018 9:33:19 GMT
This development does not stack up when looking at the costs versus current value of the property. As stated in the valuation report:
The analysis of development proposal and costs provided suggest that the
development into two flats does not present a viable proposition when compared with
value as a dwelling house. The Applicant estimates the Gross Development Value
(GDV) as £900,000. Substituting this value into the same analysis and assumptions,
the current value of the site as a development proposition is £322,000. Adding
projected developers profit of £135,000 still concludes that the development is not a
viable proposition for a developer when compared with value as a dwelling house.
So how do we make sense of this one??
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adrian77
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Post by adrian77 on Aug 5, 2018 9:54:12 GMT
Agree with above post - something is not right here. The valuations seem very high to me considering the condition of the property allied with the cooling London housing market - that said the construction costs seem on the high side which is unusual! Interesting one to watch but for me it is time for a thrashing with my Smutty Stick
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Post by charlata on Aug 5, 2018 17:28:15 GMT
So how do we make sense of this one?? The development would lose money, and the borrower is taking the whole 'development costs' up front. As such, the development will not be done, and this is a bridging loan not a development loan.
This begs the question of why the borrower went to the effort of getting PP. I can only assume that it was in the hope of inflating the RICS value for a sale by loan. This doesn't really seem to have worked. The valuer has gone for a £/ft2 at the upper end of the comparables, even though the property doesn't appear to merit it.
I'm going for works don't even start, default in 6 months and sale by auction in 12-15 months. Proceeds to cover most of capital but no interest (if the market doesn't follow BrekSh!t South in the meantime).
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rogerthat
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Post by rogerthat on Aug 5, 2018 20:14:49 GMT
Good to see Project Fear alive and well
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adrian77
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Post by adrian77 on Aug 6, 2018 6:59:28 GMT
on paper I would agree but that is assuming the money is actually spent on the development and does not go down the same route as Whitehaven. If this one was of my sites I would slap a double garage in the corner plot and take it from there..
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rookey123
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Post by rookey123 on Aug 6, 2018 8:11:20 GMT
Valuation looks about £50-100k too high looking at previous sold prices. See very little development uplift. Essentially an 80+% LTV loan on a house.
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