ilmoro
Member of DD Central
'Wondering which of the bu***rs to blame, and watching for pigs on the wing.' - Pink Floyd
Posts: 11,329 
Likes: 11,549
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Post by ilmoro on Jun 4, 2021 18:14:18 GMT
consistency is what counts , nothing from my £100 for the last 30 years and again nothing this month  Not just me then.
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littleoldlady
Member of DD Central
Running down all platforms due to age
Posts: 3,045
Likes: 1,862
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Post by littleoldlady on Jun 4, 2021 20:36:40 GMT
Right. Well I invest for pseudo interest in small, almost exclusively £25, chunks and the possibility of a larger one is too remote to even be worth the trouble of looking until the whole lot are ready. I'm curious littleoldlady , do you just put £25 in a few times a month say but separately or are you just winning £25 and reinvesting it. I've only just started myself - first draw next month - but since Mrs aju has had a few £25 touches since starting in Jan and all of them are in her 20k single block invested in Nov I've taken a big block approach for myself too. If you don't want to elaborate further I'd understand but it does seem an interesting idea if potentially time consuming. Sorry about the ambiguity. The £25 chunks I mentioned comprise the quasi interest. I have a large stable holding.
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jonno
Member of DD Central
nil satis nisi optimum
Posts: 2,808
Likes: 3,241
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Post by jonno on Jul 2, 2021 8:21:43 GMT
1x£50 for me this month. First time I've won more than a £25 prize for as long as I can remember.
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registerme
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,624
Likes: 6,437
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Post by registerme on Jul 2, 2021 8:48:52 GMT
1x£50 for me this month. First time I've won more than a £25 prize for as long as I can remember. Just checked, same for me. It's been a crappy year for me prize wise.
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aju
Member of DD Central
Posts: 3,500
Likes: 924
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Post by aju on Jul 2, 2021 9:53:54 GMT
1x£50 for me this month. First time I've won more than a £25 prize for as long as I can remember. Just checked, same for me. It's been a crappy year for me prize wise. Mrs Aju got back on the horse with 3x£25 this month but sadly nothing for me (early days yet for me but Mrs Aju's total so far since Jan is £200 for just over 48k with the largest block of 20k). Up till this month all of her wins (all £25) were in her 20k block whereas this month she had her £25 in 3 different blocks of 20k, 6k and 5k. She's reinvesting wins at the moment.
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agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,044
Likes: 4,437
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Post by agent69 on Jul 2, 2021 10:08:39 GMT
1 x £25 on £50k this month.
Strangely, the last 7 wins have all come from the same £10k block, the other £40k hasn't won since February.
The good old reliable 404MF block continues it's winning streak with another £25, plus £25 on one of the other blocks.
That makes £650 over the last 11 months from£50k.
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Post by wildlife2 on Jul 2, 2021 10:32:24 GMT
2 x £25.
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adrianc
Member of DD Central
Posts: 10,015
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Post by adrianc on Jul 2, 2021 12:47:10 GMT
That makes £650 over the last 11 months from£50k.
1.4%, roughly.
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travolta
Member of DD Central
Posts: 1,506
Likes: 1,214
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Post by travolta on Jul 4, 2021 18:02:59 GMT
1/2 £50.00
Me £25.00
Total investment: £100,000
Better than a poke in the eye with a pointed stick ,
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agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,044
Likes: 4,437
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Post by agent69 on Aug 2, 2021 9:04:07 GMT
1 x £25 on £50k this month.
Strangely, the last 7 wins have all come from the same £10k block, the other £40k hasn't won since February.
The good old reliable 404MF block continues it's winning streak with another £25, plus £25 on one of the other blocks.
That makes £650 over the last 11 months from£50k.
I see that one of the £1m winners for August only had £1,001 worth of bonds. Was getting a bit excited when I saw it was Devon and started 404, but all a false alarm.
Roll on tomorrow when the small prizes are anounced.
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rscal
Posts: 985
Likes: 537
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Post by rscal on Aug 2, 2021 16:48:17 GMT
Premium winnings converge to the average over time. Thus when someone reports being on a winning streak, time will turn that back to the average. There is no streak in other words merely a statistical blip. Yet people talk about their luck as though it departs from the average experience. It does intermittently but won't over time.[the same applies to dry periods- they are probably more representative of average winnings]
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jonno
Member of DD Central
nil satis nisi optimum
Posts: 2,808
Likes: 3,241
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Post by jonno on Aug 2, 2021 17:11:10 GMT
Premium winnings converge to the average over time. Thus when someone reports being on a winning streak, time will turn that back to the average. There is no streak in other words merely a statistical blip. Yet people talk about their luck as though it departs from the average experience. It does intermittently but won't over time.[the same applies to dry periods- they are probably more representative of average winnings] Are you sure you're not bernythedolt in disguise 
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agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,044
Likes: 4,437
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Post by agent69 on Aug 2, 2021 18:51:06 GMT
Premium winnings converge to the average over time. Thus when someone reports being on a winning streak, time will turn that back to the average. There is no streak in other words merely a statistical blip. Yet people talk about their luck as though it departs from the average experience. It does intermittently but won't over time.[the same applies to dry periods- they are probably more representative of average winnings] So if you have just won £1m on a £1,000 investment, how long would you expect to wait before your returns returned to average?
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littleoldlady
Member of DD Central
Running down all platforms due to age
Posts: 3,045
Likes: 1,862
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Post by littleoldlady on Aug 2, 2021 22:02:24 GMT
Premium winnings converge to the average over time. Thus when someone reports being on a winning streak, time will turn that back to the average. There is no streak in other words merely a statistical blip. Yet people talk about their luck as though it departs from the average experience. It does intermittently but won't over time.[the same applies to dry periods- they are probably more representative of average winnings] Technically true but not very useful as it will take eternity to happen, and so far at least humans don't live that long. In practice a winning streak early on in your holding will, with average luck thereafter, leave you ahead of the average for the rest of your life. Fortunately the converse is not true. A losing streak early on will have virtually no effect on your long term average winnings with average luck thereafter.
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jonno
Member of DD Central
nil satis nisi optimum
Posts: 2,808
Likes: 3,241
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Post by jonno on Aug 3, 2021 8:30:17 GMT
Oh well..... my usual £50 (2 x £25). Can't complain  |
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