adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jul 2, 2024 22:41:08 GMT
As for "dog whistling about immigration", yes I've thought about it a lot more over recent years. In the past most people who were against it were indeed likely racists. I don't think there is anything racist at all about wanting to reduce (or not increase) via immigration the total number of people that live here. I mean, is a billion acceptable? 5 billion? At some point you hit a number which is too high - nothing whatsoever to do with the make up of those people. I would say we've already passed that point. Those in the cities and towns probably don't notice it so much but certainly in my "village" (now basically a town) it is evident everywhere you look. Yes mistakes were made around planning for this population as you or Adrian said but if you're not growing at a huge rate you don't need to plan so much. How much of that increase in households is down to migration, and how much to demographic change? Net migration last year was 600k. 1.2m people arrived to live here, 600k left. 85k of them came asking for our protection, 30k of those came on small boats. All the rest of the 1.2m came here with visas issued from the government. 600k of them are students, subsidising UK students in UK universities and providing a sizable export industry for this country. Remember, the migration figures only take account of an intent to stay here for 12 months. But the number of HOUSEHOLDS... that's increased from 23m to 28m since the mid 90s, but only from 26.6m in 2012. In part, that's because the average household size has decreased - from 2.45 in the mid 90s to 2.35 by the early 00s, and it's remained roughly stable since. The people that the anti-immigrant brigade are pointing at are the 30k small boat arrivals. They aren't the ones buying new-build executive detached homes on the edges of villages... They can't even legally work or rent a room.
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michaelc
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Post by michaelc on Jul 2, 2024 23:10:56 GMT
As for "dog whistling about immigration", yes I've thought about it a lot more over recent years. In the past most people who were against it were indeed likely racists. I don't think there is anything racist at all about wanting to reduce (or not increase) via immigration the total number of people that live here. I mean, is a billion acceptable? 5 billion? At some point you hit a number which is too high - nothing whatsoever to do with the make up of those people. I would say we've already passed that point. Those in the cities and towns probably don't notice it so much but certainly in my "village" (now basically a town) it is evident everywhere you look. Yes mistakes were made around planning for this population as you or Adrian said but if you're not growing at a huge rate you don't need to plan so much. How much of that increase in households is down to migration, and how much to demographic change? Net migration last year was 600k. 1.2m people arrived to live here, 600k left. 85k of them came asking for our protection, 30k of those came on small boats. All the rest of the 1.2m came here with visas issued from the government. 600k of them are students, subsidising UK students in UK universities and providing a sizable export industry for this country. Remember, the migration figures only take account of an intent to stay here for 12 months. But the number of HOUSEHOLDS... that's increased from 23m to 28m since the mid 90s, but only from 26.6m in 2012. In part, that's because the average household size has decreased - from 2.45 in the mid 90s to 2.35 by the early 00s, and it's remained roughly stable since. The people that the anti-immigrant brigade are pointing at are the 30k small boat arrivals. They aren't the ones buying new-build executive detached homes on the edges of villages... They can't even legally work or rent a room. And there lies the problem. It seems to me there are very few people looking at this objectively. What we have is on one side a hard core of racists wanting to blame all our problems on immigration. And then on the other, we have those such as the more vocal majority on this forum (rightly) wanting to shout them down. Neither side appears to want to look objectively at whether immigration is a serious issue or not and what if anything should be done about it.
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angrysaveruk
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Post by angrysaveruk on Jul 3, 2024 6:24:23 GMT
As for "dog whistling about immigration", yes I've thought about it a lot more over recent years. In the past most people who were against it were indeed likely racists. I don't think there is anything racist at all about wanting to reduce (or not increase) via immigration the total number of people that live here. I mean, is a billion acceptable? 5 billion? At some point you hit a number which is too high - nothing whatsoever to do with the make up of those people. I would say we've already passed that point. Those in the cities and towns probably don't notice it so much but certainly in my "village" (now basically a town) it is evident everywhere you look. Yes mistakes were made around planning for this population as you or Adrian said but if you're not growing at a huge rate you don't need to plan so much. How much of that increase in households is down to migration, and how much to demographic change? Net migration last year was 600k. 1.2m people arrived to live here, 600k left. 85k of them came asking for our protection, 30k of those came on small boats. All the rest of the 1.2m came here with visas issued from the government. 600k of them are students, subsidising UK students in UK universities and providing a sizable export industry for this country. Remember, the migration figures only take account of an intent to stay here for 12 months. But the number of HOUSEHOLDS... that's increased from 23m to 28m since the mid 90s, but only from 26.6m in 2012. In part, that's because the average household size has decreased - from 2.45 in the mid 90s to 2.35 by the early 00s, and it's remained roughly stable since. The people that the anti-immigrant brigade are pointing at are the 30k small boat arrivals. They aren't the ones buying new-build executive detached homes on the edges of villages... They can't even legally work or rent a room. The main problem with people crossing the channel in Boats is they are basically circumventing immigration controls, which are in place for a good reason. For obvious reasons it is important to know the identity of people coming into your country, from what I understand quite a few people entering the country this way have no passports. If I get in a boat, go across the channel and land on a beach in France I will 100% be arrested for breaking the law and then deported - even if I have a passport on me. 30,000 is quite a large number given they have to be housed etc and there are already very limited resources which are needed by UK citizens. At the end of the day most are just people who are trying to improve their life, which is understandable but unfortunately the UK does not have unlimited resources - as is highlighted by the number of ex-service men suffering from PTSD living on the streets.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jul 3, 2024 6:45:11 GMT
The people that the anti-immigrant brigade are pointing at are the 30k small boat arrivals. They aren't the ones buying new-build executive detached homes on the edges of villages... They can't even legally work or rent a room. The main problem with people crossing the channel in Boats is they are basically circumventing immigration controls, which are in place for a good reason. Thank you for such a great example of how people simply do not understand what is happening here. There are two groups of people entering the country via irregular means. One group is entering illegally. They're then hiding under-the-radar, and having nothing to do with the authorities at all. This is absolutely illegal. These people aren't going to be in the 30k figure, either... How many are there? Nobody knows. But they are absolutely ripe for deportation as soon as they're found. The others are the 30k, those seeking asylum. They're immediately surrendering themselves to the authorities, and applying to be regarded as refugees. That means they are in the country perfectly legally. (Most asylum seekers don't come via small boats, btw) They have to provide a shedload of personal information to apply, including who they are, where they're from, and why they think they're entitled to apply, together with all the usual biometrics. (Side point: Before Brexit, those biometrics were compared with other European countries, and people were then passed back to the first country they'd come into contact with the authorities - but that Dublin Agreement no longer applies, because the UK chose to leave it.) Those people are then in the country perfectly legally, and entitled to protection under a number of UN treaties. They're entitled under those treaties and UK law to basic accommodation and money for subsistence. That's currently £50/week - or £9/week if the accommodation includes food. They can't work. www.gov.uk/asylum-support/what-youll-getWhen the government finally gets round to determining if their claim is valid... the VAST majority are accepted into the country, and can then work, rent property, and are eligible to the same benefits as anybody else. If their claim is denied, they are then returned to their home country... unless that country isn't safe. Except this government's policy is to be as slow as they can on that processing. The backlog is well over 100,000 people. Those people are simply in limbo, and their accommodation is costing a fortune. They're the ones the government don't know who they are, or if they're legitimate, simply because they can't be bothered to do the work to determine that. It's entirely possible, because to reach this country like that is not exactly the tidiest and most straightforward path, and it's entirely likely people have misplaced their documents - if they ever had them, given they're running for their lives from their home countries. Not having any paperwork is going to make an asylum application harder, not easier, so nobody WANTS to lose their documentation. Not if you apply for asylum. BTW, the UK is 19th out of 28 European countries for the number of asylum applications per capita.
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angrysaveruk
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Post by angrysaveruk on Jul 3, 2024 7:01:28 GMT
Not if you apply for asylum. BTW, the UK is 19th out of 28 European countries for the number of asylum applications per capita. I think you will find if I get in a boat land on a beach in France and claim asylum I will be sent back on the next ferry by the cops*. * - Especially if the National Rally wins the election.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jul 3, 2024 7:05:56 GMT
Not if you apply for asylum. BTW, the UK is 19th out of 28 European countries for the number of asylum applications per capita. I think you will find if I get in a boat land on a beach in France and claim asylum I will be sent back on the next ferry by the cops*. Not until your claim is determined to be false. That might, of course, be very straightforward... Especially if you produce a UK passport and zero evidence of political persecution. The same would, of course, apply to somebody arriving here and waving a French passport. Why? Are they planning on pulling out of UN treaties? They've already ruled out Frexit, so they'd still be bound by EU rules.
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angrysaveruk
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Post by angrysaveruk on Jul 3, 2024 8:32:29 GMT
I think you will find if I get in a boat land on a beach in France and claim asylum I will be sent back on the next ferry by the cops*. Not until your claim is determined to be false. That might, of course, be very straightforward... Especially if you produce a UK passport and zero evidence of political persecution. The same would, of course, apply to somebody arriving here and waving a French passport. Interestingly enough I have personal experience of what happens in France if you try to land without proper papers. A few years back I was on a sailing boat that entered a French port without the correct documentation (due to the incompetence of the skipper who was also rubbish at sailing/navigation as well as paper work). We were all arrested, roughed up a bit when I complained about belongings being thrown all over the boat while they searched it and detained in a cell. At no point did the Gendarmerie ask me if I was claiming asylum.
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ilmoro
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Post by ilmoro on Jul 3, 2024 8:42:30 GMT
Not until your claim is determined to be false. That might, of course, be very straightforward... Especially if you produce a UK passport and zero evidence of political persecution. The same would, of course, apply to somebody arriving here and waving a French passport. Interestingly enough I have personal experience of what happens in France if you try to land without proper papers. A few years back I was on a sailing boat that entered a French port without the correct documentation (due to the incompetence of the skipper who was also rubbish at sailing/navigation as well as administration). We were all arrested, roughed up a bit when I complained about belongings being thrown all over the boat while they searched it and detained in a cell. At no point did the Gendarmerie ask me if I was claiming asylum. Why would they? What did you do to give them the impression you might need to? Asylum is claimed not offered.
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pikestaff
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Post by pikestaff on Jul 3, 2024 9:06:14 GMT
How much of that increase in households is down to migration, and how much to demographic change? Net migration last year was 600k. 1.2m people arrived to live here, 600k left. 85k of them came asking for our protection, 30k of those came on small boats. All the rest of the 1.2m came here with visas issued from the government. 600k of them are students, subsidising UK students in UK universities and providing a sizable export industry for this country. Remember, the migration figures only take account of an intent to stay here for 12 months. But the number of HOUSEHOLDS... that's increased from 23m to 28m since the mid 90s, but only from 26.6m in 2012. In part, that's because the average household size has decreased - from 2.45 in the mid 90s to 2.35 by the early 00s, and it's remained roughly stable since. The people that the anti-immigrant brigade are pointing at are the 30k small boat arrivals. They aren't the ones buying new-build executive detached homes on the edges of villages... They can't even legally work or rent a room. And there lies the problem. It seems to me there are very few people looking at this objectively. What we have is on one side a hard core of racists wanting to blame all our problems on immigration. And then on the other, we have those such as the more vocal majority on this forum (rightly) wanting to shout them down. Neither side appears to want to look objectively at whether immigration is a serious issue or not and what if anything should be done about it.Yes, immigration is a serious issue. It is absolutely vital. The fundamental economic problem this country faces is an ageing population, caused partly by people living longer and partly by a declining birth rate. The proportion of people of working age is falling and this means that tax rises are inevitable. You mentioned school places in an earlier post. Numbers entering the state school system are already falling and this decline is forecast to continue. Far from there being a shortage of school places (which is always a local issue somewhere or other) there will be a surplus - and some schools are sure to face closure. In recent decades the impact of the ageing population has been mitigated by immigrants - both directly, by them maintaining the numbers of working age, and indirectly, by them having more children. Without immigration our population would soon start to fall, and the economy would go to hell in a handcart. With it, we have at least a chance of rebuilding our economy, restoring decent public services, etc etc. I am not suggesting that we need to grow the population indefinitely but we do need enough immigration to maintain the workforce at a level that can support the population as a whole. We do of course need to build more housing where it is needed (for which we will need workers), and we need to get the planning and infrastructure right. But if we do that I'd like to think that, over time, the noise around immigration will fall.
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angrysaveruk
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Post by angrysaveruk on Jul 3, 2024 9:14:50 GMT
Interestingly enough I have personal experience of what happens in France if you try to land without proper papers. A few years back I was on a sailing boat that entered a French port without the correct documentation (due to the incompetence of the skipper who was also rubbish at sailing/navigation as well as administration). We were all arrested, roughed up a bit when I complained about belongings being thrown all over the boat while they searched it and detained in a cell. At no point did the Gendarmerie ask me if I was claiming asylum. Why would they? What did you do to give them the impression you might need to? Asylum is claimed not offered. You would have to be alot braver than I am to tell those French Cops who boarded the boat I was claiming Asylum and wanted to become a French Citizen. I dont think they would have been interested in the UN conventions.
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benaj
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Post by benaj on Jul 3, 2024 9:27:51 GMT
I only learned recently how easy it was two decades to stay in the UK. One Brazilian man found “love” in the UK with a EU citizen, got married in the UK within 3 months. The only question he had been challenged at the time was “How did you propose?”
The man said, “ we like each other” and that was it, approved, married and stayed in the UK for a few years.🤣🤣🤣
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Post by bracknellboy on Jul 3, 2024 9:38:51 GMT
How much of that increase in households is down to migration, and how much to demographic change? Net migration last year was 600k. 1.2m people arrived to live here, 600k left. 85k of them came asking for our protection, 30k of those came on small boats. All the rest of the 1.2m came here with visas issued from the government. 600k of them are students, subsidising UK students in UK universities and providing a sizable export industry for this country. Remember, the migration figures only take account of an intent to stay here for 12 months. But the number of HOUSEHOLDS... that's increased from 23m to 28m since the mid 90s, but only from 26.6m in 2012. In part, that's because the average household size has decreased - from 2.45 in the mid 90s to 2.35 by the early 00s, and it's remained roughly stable since. The people that the anti-immigrant brigade are pointing at are the 30k small boat arrivals. They aren't the ones buying new-build executive detached homes on the edges of villages... They can't even legally work or rent a room. And there lies the problem. It seems to me there are very few people looking at this objectively. What we have is on one side a hard core of racists wanting to blame all our problems on immigration. And then on the other, we have those such as the more vocal majority on this forum (rightly) wanting to shout them down.Neither side appears to want to look objectively at whether immigration is a serious issue or not and what if anything should be done about it.Actually, I think you'll see that "more vocal majority" don't spend all there time on the racism argument. But whenever they raise the topic of the country being in a demographic death spiral (rapidly aging population, rapidly decreasing workforce) and how immigration not just helps, but is probably a necessity, it just goes quiet. There never is an alternative reasoned solution given, and there is never a proper engagement on the subject. That IS the objective discussion that needs to be had. But all that happens is that a while later we get the normal 'fear' stuff trotted out again about no more immigration, no more houses, NHS pressures etc etc.
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Post by captainconfident on Jul 3, 2024 9:59:47 GMT
Its pretty much a given that Britain's racists voted for Brexit. The result of this was to drive out the mainly white skinned people of the EU and replace them with mainly darker people from the rest of the world. If you are a racist, you must be kicking yourself.
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michaelc
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Post by michaelc on Jul 3, 2024 12:27:11 GMT
And there lies the problem. It seems to me there are very few people looking at this objectively. What we have is on one side a hard core of racists wanting to blame all our problems on immigration. And then on the other, we have those such as the more vocal majority on this forum (rightly) wanting to shout them down. Neither side appears to want to look objectively at whether immigration is a serious issue or not and what if anything should be done about it.Yes, immigration is a serious issue. It is absolutely vital. The fundamental economic problem this country faces is an ageing population, caused partly by people living longer and partly by a declining birth rate. The proportion of people of working age is falling and this means that tax rises are inevitable. You mentioned school places in an earlier post. Numbers entering the state school system are already falling and this decline is forecast to continue. Far from there being a shortage of school places (which is always a local issue somewhere or other) there will be a surplus - and some schools are sure to face closure. In recent decades the impact of the ageing population has been mitigated by immigrants - both directly, by them maintaining the numbers of working age, and indirectly, by them having more children. Without immigration our population would soon start to fall, and the economy would go to hell in a handcart. With it, we have at least a chance of rebuilding our economy, restoring decent public services, etc etc. I am not suggesting that we need to grow the population indefinitely but we do need enough immigration to maintain the workforce at a level that can support the population as a whole. We do of course need to build more housing where it is needed (for which we will need workers), and we need to get the planning and infrastructure right. But if we do that I'd like to think that, over time, the noise around immigration will fall. So the idea is because we're a child unfriendly society ("covid-vector" I believe one of the liberal members of this forum referred to them as apparently that being acceptable language to use whilst we walk on egg shells to get the language right regarding other non-child producing members of society) we need to important people to look after our elderly? That sounds like a pyramid scheme to me as they will in turn age and thus we will need even more people to look after them. We're all getting older. Meanwhile the countries from where they came, will suffer - particularly if we take all their "highly" skilled people. Taking your argument to its logical conclusion surely we would do without countries and borders all together? Maybe that's not so bad but at least lets be honest about where you'd like to see us heading....
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Post by overthehill on Jul 3, 2024 12:33:38 GMT
How much is Kia Starmer's cosmetics and hair gel going to cost the UK taxpayer ?
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