michaelc
Member of DD Central
Say No To T.D.S.
Posts: 5,663 
Likes: 2,971
|
Post by michaelc on Mar 14, 2023 9:48:03 GMT
And yet the Tories are only 4/1 to win. Not 99/1 or 50/1 as the polls might suggest.
|
|
adrianc
Member of DD Central
Posts: 9,950
Likes: 5,126
|
Post by adrianc on Mar 14, 2023 10:07:44 GMT
And yet the Tories are only 4/1 to win. Not 99/1 or 50/1 as the polls might suggest. Don't confuse bookies odds with anything but the amount of money being waved at each option.
|
|
keitha
Member of DD Central
2024, hopefully the year I get out of P2P
Posts: 4,580
Likes: 2,614
|
Post by keitha on Mar 14, 2023 10:37:00 GMT
And yet the Tories are only 4/1 to win. Not 99/1 or 50/1 as the polls might suggest. Don't confuse bookies odds with anything but the amount of money being waved at each option. Quite I find bookies odds much more realistic in terms of chances but it throws up quirks Labour are 1.7 to get an overall majority yet 1.1 for most seats given he's not even nominated Swinney is 6/1 to be next SNP leader Trump evens to be republican nominee, 2/1 de Santis yet to win the presidency Trump 3.4/1 de santis 3.5/1 Republicans slight odds on to win Harris as sitting Vice President isn't even second favourite to be her party nominee As a sceptic I don't believe Erdogan will allow anyone else to win the Turkish election yet he's only 2/1 on to win
|
|
keitha
Member of DD Central
2024, hopefully the year I get out of P2P
Posts: 4,580
Likes: 2,614
|
Post by keitha on Mar 14, 2023 10:54:16 GMT
Does rather show the flaws in the system SNP and PC with 4.5% of the votes between them to get 44 seats yet green with 5.2% 1, and Reform with 6% 0
|
|
|
|
Post by bracknellboy on Mar 14, 2023 12:11:30 GMT
Don't confuse bookies odds with anything but the amount of money being waved at each option. Quite I find bookies odds much more realistic in terms of chances but it throws up quirks Trump evens to be republican nominee, 2/1 de Santis yet to win the presidency Trump 3.4/1 de santis 3.5/1 Republicans slight odds on to win those are not necessarily in contradiction. They perhaps reflect a sense that punters think the Republican base is most likely to select Trump, but that he is likely to be less attractive to the uncommitted voter. In other words, there is less change of de Santis making it to be the nominee, but if he does then the odds on his being voted in are greater than if Trump is. But agreed, none of that sits with having the Republicans slight odds on to win.
|
|
agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,025
Likes: 4,426
|
Post by agent69 on Mar 14, 2023 12:19:54 GMT
At least it will stop the SNP from sniffing around offering to prop up a Labour administration in return for a second independence referendum.
|
|
michaelc
Member of DD Central
Say No To T.D.S.
Posts: 5,663
Likes: 2,971
|
Post by michaelc on Mar 14, 2023 17:10:40 GMT
And yet the Tories are only 4/1 to win. Not 99/1 or 50/1 as the polls might suggest. Don't confuse bookies odds with anything but the amount of money being waved at each option. No confusion. Its the same for all markets such as stocks etc and over the years has proven to be the most reliable method of determination. In this case 4/1 "feels" about right.
|
|
|
|
Post by martin44 on Mar 14, 2023 22:25:42 GMT
Im gonna save this post till after the election.. then ill reply. 
|
|
keitha
Member of DD Central
2024, hopefully the year I get out of P2P
Posts: 4,580
Likes: 2,614
|
Post by keitha on Mar 14, 2023 22:41:28 GMT
In all honesty, given the state of the government finances I really don't think either Labour or the Conservatives want to win.
|
|
adrianc
Member of DD Central
Posts: 9,950
Likes: 5,126
|
Post by adrianc on Mar 15, 2023 7:55:36 GMT
In all honesty, given the state of the government finances I really don't think either Labour or the Conservatives want to win. Another poison chalice being handed over...
|
|
agent69
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,025
Likes: 4,426
|
Post by agent69 on Mar 15, 2023 10:07:02 GMT
In all honesty, given the state of the government finances I really don't think either Labour or the Conservatives want to win. Another poison chalice being handed over... You mean like the one that 'Call me Dave' inherited from uncle Gordon in 2010?
|
|
keitha
Member of DD Central
2024, hopefully the year I get out of P2P
Posts: 4,580
Likes: 2,614
|
Post by keitha on Mar 15, 2023 11:13:36 GMT
Another poison chalice being handed over... You mean like the one that 'Call me Dave' inherited from uncle Gordon in 2010? "uncle Gordon" as in "prudence" the man who kept saying he was putting money aside for a rainy day, and when the rainy day came the money didn't exist
|
|
|
|
Post by martin44 on Mar 15, 2023 21:32:54 GMT
spot the difference.  |
|
keitha
Member of DD Central
2024, hopefully the year I get out of P2P
Posts: 4,580
Likes: 2,614
|
Post by keitha on Mar 15, 2023 21:58:32 GMT
IMHO the removal of the lifetime pension allowance is giving money to the richest while the average struggle, this is going to be taken as another sign of tories supporting the elite, and lessens the chances of them winning the GE
|
|
travolta
Member of DD Central
Posts: 1,504
Likes: 1,214
|
Post by travolta on Mar 15, 2023 22:07:46 GMT
Photo ID , completely useless .
Most white people can't tell one asian from another and probably vice versa.
Finger print or iris recognition is the only way to go .
Seems they have stopped iris recognition at passport control too.
I have very little finger print as its all burn't off with acid ,due to cerain employment .Plays hell 'the border control ,especially US .
My vote is for sale too.
|
|
