mcfc
I’m invested in Qardus, Loanpad, Proplend, and Crowproperty
Posts: 97
Likes: 65
|
Post by mcfc on Feb 24, 2024 13:36:40 GMT
The ratio of my loans that are significantly overdue / in default (i.e. 12+ Months Overdue) on CP has been growing. We get an insight into this state of affairs in the "Cumulative Paid Back' chart on the CP statistics page where the redeemed amounts have plateaud in recent times despite a huge increase in loans launched. You may have noticed in the CP weekly emails in the last several weeks that they announce the usual several new loans launching the following week but sometimes without a single pay back the previous week. Is this sizeable ratio of loans in long-term default a cause of concern? It is a worrying (and inevitable) statistic that the longer a loan remains overdue, the less likely it is to be redeemed in full (the accumulating loan interest progressively kills the financial motivation to complete a project when the profit margins erode and eventually disappear). I also have an alarming number of loans more that 12 months overdue. I obviously understand that many (if not all) loans that were made immediately before (and during the early days of) the Covid period were inevitably going to overrun due to lockdowns, slowdowns, material supply, et cetera, but they should have ALL worked their way through the project catchup & complete cycle by now so I am really becoming anxious about why the CrowdProperty loan book is still carrying so many overdue projects. I am becoming suspicious that many of these long overdue projects are "lost causes" that CrowdProperty don't want to declare as "investor losses" for the damage it will do to their ability to attract continued investment ... pretending to pursue recovery to keep the loan "active" rather than post investor losses. I’m very, very much inclined to agree. I became rather concerned about CP (for the very reasons you mention above) approximately 18 months or so ago, and so have been winding down my investments since then. To be honest, I’m growing increasingly pessimistic that I’ll ever recover much of my capital, let alone interest owed.
|
|
|
Post by overthehill on Feb 29, 2024 15:46:56 GMT
Two loans now showing as Repaid (read that as interest and/or capital losses) not Repaid in Full.
The bubble has well and truly burst, keep watching.
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Feb 29, 2024 16:03:49 GMT
Two loans now showing as Repaid (read that as interest and/or capital losses) not Repaid in Full.
The bubble has well and truly burst, keep watching.
I think that those are the two that have been discussed here before, nothing new.
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Mar 7, 2024 8:55:16 GMT
Another project is in default, so now 33 in default (60 defaulted, of which 27 have since repaid/settled, 1 of which had a capital loss).
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Mar 13, 2024 7:56:59 GMT
Another project is in default, so now 34 in default (61 defaulted, of which 27 have since repaid/settled, 1 of which had a capital loss).
|
|
|
Post by lotus_eater on Mar 21, 2024 18:23:31 GMT
Ace My latest just in case you're (still) interested? Got a bit more back but that was just stuff that was due. Are you still a believer in these guys? I'm so far gone now I'm wondering if I can take a tax loss on most of this.
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Mar 21, 2024 20:19:26 GMT
Ace My latest just in case you're (still) interested? Got a bit more back but that was just stuff that was due. Are you still a believer in these guys? I'm so far gone now I'm wondering if I can take a tax loss on most of this. Yes, it's interesting to see how others portfolios are faring. Yours looks similar to the one I'm running down, see here. The rundowns are taking longer than I would have liked and expected. There are very likely to be some losses, but yes, I still believe that a well diversified CP portfolio will return a decent profit. I'm still happy to allow all repayments in my ISA account to be reinvested and will likely add further funds to it in the new ISA year. The only adjustment I've made is to reduce the maximum I'm prepared to lend per project. I stupidly lent to much per loan when it was difficult to get funds deployed, but my total profits so far are greater than the outstanding capital on my 4 largest defaulted loans, so I see very little chance of an overall loss. I wouldn't write off any CP loans for tax purposes until the platform declared them, as I prefer to use the platform's figures when completing tax forms to make life simpler.
|
|
|
Post by jono75 on Mar 21, 2024 22:25:48 GMT
Ace My latest just in case you're (still) interested? Got a bit more back but that was just stuff that was due. Are you still a believer in these guys? I'm so far gone now I'm wondering if I can take a tax loss on most of this. Place your bets on what happens to the £100. Perhaps you are right Ace, and I sincerely hope you are. Looking at this, it's only human to be concerned or disillusioned. But with another loss practically confirmed, there are certainly more questions about their due diligence and how they handle late or underperforming loans. This is really the acid test now for them, with things not going smoothly, can they reassure investors and turn things around. Maybe use some of their fees to cushion the blow to investors as a token of good faith? Aren't the fees they charge high.
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Mar 22, 2024 6:04:27 GMT
Another project is in default, so now 35 in default (62 defaulted, of which 27 have since repaid/settled, 1 of which had a capital loss).
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Mar 22, 2024 6:25:30 GMT
Place your bets on what happens to the £100. Perhaps you are right Ace, and I sincerely hope you are. Looking at this, it's only human to be concerned or disillusioned. But with another loss practically confirmed, there are certainly more questions about their due diligence and how they handle late or underperforming loans. This is really the acid test now for them, with things not going smoothly, can they reassure investors and turn things around. Maybe use some of their fees to cushion the blow to investors as a token of good faith? Aren't the fees they charge high.I don't think that their fees are particularly high. I do have concerns that their fee structure has swung more towards upfront and penalty fees and less towards the interest margin. The current structure seems to reward loan quantity over quality. Take yesterday's loan as an example. The Borrower pays 10.5% and we get 10%. That margin seems too low to me. There used to be a virtually fixed 2% margin. The upfront fee yesterday was 1.5%. So, not much fat if the loan performs. The penalty protection fees for overrunning are an extra 5% margin (of which lenders get 2%) and a 1.5% fee. There's clearly much more work needed when a loan runs over, so not unreasonable, and there sometimes needs to be a stick to get the borrower to pull their finger out, but I'd much rather see more of the fees in the margin to reward the platform for good loans, and perhaps a too of the penalty fees between overrunning and default.
|
|
littleoldlady
Member of DD Central
Running down all platforms due to age
Posts: 3,045
Likes: 1,862
|
Post by littleoldlady on Mar 22, 2024 20:27:09 GMT
I wouldn't write off any CP loans for tax purposes until the platform declared them, If you live that long
|
|
sijfish
New Member
Posts: 1
Likes: 8
|
Post by sijfish on Mar 31, 2024 15:48:44 GMT
Hi, new to this thread but not new to CP. Still figuring out the degree to which I share the concerns expressed here. In my case, 54% of my CP loanbook value is "non-performing" (i.e. overdue), which doesn't sound great. But it occurs to me that's not abnormal compared to other platforms, when you consider most platforms simply extend the maturity date when a loan comes due and report it as "performing". This in itself is expected I suppose, given the nature of the asset class. But it does make CP stand out a bit when they continue to report the original overdue maturity date and don't extend it as readily as other reputable platforms do. For example in Loanpad's pool of 239 loan parts, I calculate 43% of loanbook value has been extended by more than 90 days from the original published maturity date and up to 1 year. They report them as in "Extended" status, so it's explicit. Similarly in Kuflink's autoinvest pool of 422 loan parts, 48% of loanbook value has been extended between 30 days and 2 years. The one that was extended 2 years isn't even reported as in "Default" and a majority of extended loans are reported in "Performing" status. I actually quite like that CP don't extend maturity dates as readily as other platforms, as it's easier to ascertain at a glance how many of them are overdue. In that regard, you could argue it's more transparent rather than less. Certainly there is the trend of a growing number of overdue loans, but I'm not sure we can say with certainty that's peculiar to CP and not a cyclical trend common to all platforms. Perhaps it's for some of the reasons suggested by 4thWay here?
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Apr 11, 2024 7:04:56 GMT
Another project is in default, so now 36 in default (63 defaulted, of which 27 have since repaid/settled, 1 of which had a capital loss).
|
|
|
Post by Ace on Apr 12, 2024 13:01:40 GMT
Another loan in default has just repaid in full will penalty interest (P**t 3, S*********k, K****n), so now 35 in default (63 defaulted, of which 28 have since repaid/settled, 1 of which had a capital loss).
I expect the stats page will be updated accordingly overnight.
|
|
|
Post by Ace on May 14, 2024 7:45:37 GMT
Another project is in default, so now 36 in default (64 defaulted, of which 28 have since repaid/settled, 1 of which had a capital loss).
|
|