Investor
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Post by Investor on Feb 3, 2015 17:03:41 GMT
Those of us who were around in the early days of SS will remember the scrum to pick up the Boaty Loans as they were launched. Was very much like trying to shop for a new TV at Adsa on Black Friday. SS then started capping the maximum bid for the first 24 hours following launch, if memory serves it was at 2% of loan value. Given the recent loans of up to £622k filling in such a short time, and the continual increase in numbers of investors, I would appreciate any forum views on whether savingstream should look to implement this for all future loans, possibly at 1%, up until 12:00 noon the day after launch. Am sure this will create a different scrum the following day but will at least have given more people an opportunity to pick up some interest in a wider range of loans. Any thoughts or feedback appreciated or if savingstream would care to comment on any plans prior to my arrival at SS HQ with the petition.
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Post by duncandive on Feb 3, 2015 17:18:06 GMT
I'm thinking 'Cats and Pigeons' again... Still there is a lot to be said for fairness, just as there is for a good old 'scrum'. I would be OK with a 1% limit for 24 hours on anything up to say 500k. Then maybe a 0.5% on anything above that. Mind you I can imagine that those with rather LARGER Funds to invest might complain that the little fish will be able to grab their maximum limit even below the % freshold. Where as they would consider such a small % investment as unfair. POWER to the Little Guy I say... They/we deserve the odd break
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oldgrumpy
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Post by oldgrumpy on Feb 3, 2015 17:18:41 GMT
Seeing Loan 24 (622K) fully funded within a few hours and 23 (200K) in a few minutes, I do think SS will please quite a lot of people if they introduce some limits for the first 24 hours. How about £10K limit on loans over £500K, and 2% on loans under £500K so that at least 50 investors have a chance for the first 24 hours? After that .... anything goes? "Mind you I can imagine that those with rather LARGER Funds to invest might complain that the little fish will be able to grab their maximum limit even below the % threshold."
Tough! Why shouldn't they have their whole smaller requirement? This is more a discuaaion* about availability over a longer timescale than actual amounts.
*The banana wedged in my teeth. I meant discussion.
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ramblin rose
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“Some people grumble that roses have thorns; I am grateful that thorns have roses.” — Alphonse Karr
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Post by ramblin rose on Feb 3, 2015 17:43:07 GMT
Those of us who were around in the early days of SS will remember the scrum to pick up the Boaty Loans as they were launched. Was very much like trying to shop for a new TV at Adsa on Black Friday. SS then started capping the maximum bid for the first 24 hours following launch, if memory serves it was at 2% of loan value. Given the recent loans of up to £622k filling in such a short time, and the continual increase in numbers of investors, I would appreciate any forum views on whether savingstream should look to implement this for all future loans, possibly at 1%, up until 12:00 noon the day after launch. Am sure this will create a different scrum the following day but will at least have given more people an opportunity to pick up some interest in a wider range of loans. Any thoughts or feedback appreciated or if savingstream would care to comment on any plans prior to my arrival at SS HQ with the petition. Those of us around in the really VERY early days actually remember getting as many £Ks as we wanted into any and every loan at our leisure over several days . That lasted for quite a few months - they really were the good old days. We've been round this loop several times, and maybe it is time to go round it again. If we were going to continue in the current scheme where it doesn't matter what you invest in, then I'd be reasonably supportive of a low limit, but as we're moving to a scheme where we have to care which loans we get into and which we don't I'm less sure. Of course I can see the fairness of it, and it would get me into more loans on initial offering than I manage at the moment; on the other hand it would be limiting the larger portfolios to only the larger loans which are likely to be much less liquid and possibly have a very particular risk profile. As things stand, it's possible (as attested by new entrants here) to diversify over most loans fairly quickly via the SM, so it isn't necessary to get into new loans at the initial offering, especially when these smaller loans don't have cashback offered any more. As with all sites, the greater the deal flow, the less the problem presents.
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merlin
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Post by merlin on Feb 3, 2015 17:53:08 GMT
Seeing Loan 24 (622K) fully funded within a few hours and 23 (200K) in a few minutes, I do think SS will please quite a lot of people if they introduce some limits for the first 24 hours. How about £10K limit on loans over £500K, and 2% on loans under £500K so that at least 50 investors have a chance for the first 24 hours? After that .... anything goes? "Mind you I can imagine that those with rather LARGER Funds to invest might complain that the little fish will be able to grab their maximum limit even below the % threshold."
Tough! Why shouldn't they have their whole smaller requirement? This is more a discuaaion* about availability over a longer timescale than actual amounts.
*The banana wedged in my teeth. I meant discussion. With you all the way on this issue. I am never likely to bid much more than £1k on any loan. This is because I am in P2P to be able to diversify my investments across a range of loans and to spread the risks. I can afford to lose £1k but losing £50k would sting like hell!
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Grezza
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Post by Grezza on Feb 3, 2015 18:15:30 GMT
Hi, I'm fairly new to SS, and was annoyed to miss out on PBL23 due to missing the notification of it going live. I was lucky to get on PBL24 however. Although there were a few investments of £20,000 or so, many of the bids I saw in 'recent activity' as it was being filled were small investor amounts, indeed, you can see the last 20 successful bids on each loan in 'recent activity', and they are not particularly massive. I just think it filled quick because of the limited opportunities available recently. I do agree though, I think some upper limit should apply up to the first 24 hours, similar to FS, although they are fill quickly these days too!
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sqh
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Before P2P, savers put a guinea in a piggy bank, now they smash the banks to become guinea pigs.
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Post by sqh on Feb 3, 2015 20:08:34 GMT
SS is growing fast and needs lenders with deep pockets, hence the request for underwriters. Large lenders will want to diversify as well. Limiting a large lender to 1% of a £200k loan won't encourage them to invest £50k in a large loan.
The fairest system would be limit the lender in proportion to the size of their overall investment.
For Example: a £10k lender could be limited to 10% of their holding in the smallest loans. That would limit them to £1k on a £200k loan. If they increased their overall investment to £50k, then they would be limited to £5k on a £200k loan.
PS. I can think of another platform that should do the same.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Feb 4, 2015 0:22:33 GMT
The fairest system would be limit the lender in proportion to the size of their overall investment. For Example: a £10k lender could be limited to 10% of their holding in the smallest loans. That would limit them to £1k on a £200k loan. If they increased their overall investment to £50k, then they would be limited to £5k on a £200k loan. This is an interesting idea, but it all depends on deal flow. If that continues at the current low level, any new loans would be dominated overwhelmingly by SS's larger lenders -- just as they are now without bidding limits. The poll regarding investment size shows 7 out of 58 investors (12%) with more than £50k in the platform. Using the example above, it would take less than 40 of those to fully fund the £200k loan. I expect the poll is biased towards larger lenders, but even if it's off by a factor of five, SS's 2,000 member base would include more than 40 £50+k lenders. So if this suggestion had been in place when PBL023 arrived, I don't thoink it would have made much difference. I wasn't around to watch the Recent Activity for PBL024, so I don't know whether there were many huge -- as opposed to large (say, up to £10k) -- bids, so I can't guess how much of a difference this idea might have made to the funding of that loan. It was half full pretty quickly, and available for about three or four hours after that, so it probably wouldn't have been necessary to limit more than a handful of huge bids to allow it to remain available for a few more hours and allow most investors who don't monitor the website constantly a chance to participate. I do, however, feel that some sort of limitation is necessary if SS wish to continue to broaden their investor base, and they do need to make it possible for investors to start small. Even investors who are perfectly capable of funding huge bids may not wish to jump in at the deep end with their first few investments. I expect most would prefer to start small and see how the platform performs before increasing their investment to a substantial level. So IMHO it's neccessary to encourage small investments. One of the drawbacks of sqh's suggestion is that it wouldn't be easy for a new investor to build up a large portfolio. Using the example again -- and presuming the investor base is large enough now to fund nearly any size loan before any investment restrictions are lifted -- the £10k investor could invest only £1k in the next loan to come along. When the loan after that arrived, they'd have an £11k account and be allowed to invest £1.1k. It would take a total of eight new loans to increase the £10k account to £20+k, and a further ten new loans to increase the account size to £50+k. If I assume that the 10% rule wouldn't apply to accounts smaller than £10k, and that their limit would be £1k, it would take ten loans to build the account up to £10k. That makes a total of 28 loans required in order to build up a £50+k account. Unless deal flow increases considerably, I'd guess that many new, potentially large, investors would consider the time required to build up an account to their desired level to be excessive. ISTM that one way around this might be to allocate a certain portion of any new loan to bids of some amount or less, and allow larger bids for the remainder. I'll admit I haven't given this idea a lot of thought, but maybe £50-100k would be reserved for bids of up to maybe £1k, and the remainder open to bids of any size. The numbers obviously would be changeable from loan to loan, and adjusted as experience is gained. The objective might be to set the 'small-bid' portion size and bid limit such that the loan would be available for 12-24 hours. It's just an idea, and I have no idea whether it's feasible to implement within the limitations of SS's current system. Any thoughts/comments/suggestions/criticisms regarding the idea would be most welcome.
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bugs4me
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Post by bugs4me on Feb 4, 2015 9:30:42 GMT
Interesting points made on this thread but they may be or become irrelevant once or if institutional money arrives. It seems to be the circle of the more successful platforms that once they achieve a certain size the institutions arrive with their buckets of cash.
The private investor is of course told that they are as important as the institutions but the reality does not normally translate into this. Why bother with offering say a £2m loan to numerous private investors when you could get the transaction off the ground in one hit. So the deal flow appears to go through one of those famine periods but in the background the platform is doing very nicely thank you.
So whilst you can say 'good luck' or 'well done' to the platform concerned, it's usually time for the private lender/investor to 'move on'. Many lender/investors prefer to hang on hoping for better times and even though there may be several reassurances that things will improve they rarely, if ever, do.
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ramblin rose
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Post by ramblin rose on Feb 4, 2015 10:02:32 GMT
ISTM that one way around this might be to allocate a certain portion of any new loan to bids of some amount or less, and allow larger bids for the remainder. I'll admit I haven't given this idea a lot of thought, but maybe £50-100k would be reserved for bids of up to maybe £1k, and the remainder open to bids of any size. The numbers obviously would be changeable from loan to loan, and adjusted as experience is gained. The objective might be to set the 'small-bid' portion size and bid limit such that the loan would be available for 12-24 hours. It's just an idea, and I have no idea whether it's feasible to implement within the limitations of SS's current system. Any thoughts/comments/suggestions/criticisms regarding the idea would be most welcome. It's one of those situations where you just can't please all of the people all of the time, but your suggestion seems to go a long way towards that. It all depends on the relative numbers of people at each investment level. It would be very difficult keeping the medium sized investors happy - I can imagine them feeling still squeezed out by the big guys, but with whatever the limit was too small to be useful to them - a new variant on the 'sqeezed middle'. If it were easy to try out, then it could be a reasonable compromise though.
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star dust
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Post by star dust on Feb 4, 2015 15:14:44 GMT
Having once been a fan, I'm not so convinced that any kind of capping system is really necessary. Even when there were caps on some of the boat loans people still missed out and complained (I know they were smaller, but there are nearly treble the number of investors now); indeed one even attracted a double GRUMP! I think there were some slightly different circumstances with these particular loans (although guesswork on my part), a rapid increase in SS investors over the last couple of months; Only second lot of SS loans of the new year; a paucity of offerings / and or lowered interest rates on other platforms; monthly interest being paid the same day so more people logging in and noticing (that was how I happened to notice PBL 23, nearly missed PBL 24); a particularly attractive proposition for PBL 24 in terms of LTV and length. PBL 22 took well over a week to fill IIRC, and that only came up a fortnight ago. As someone else mentioned there seemed to be quite a large number of unique investors who did get a slice of the loans, and I'm not convinced it's so much of a problem. With a bit of time and persistence it is usually possible to get into all all loans eventually. Even the ones that haven't drawn down and still have cash-back attached have had parts come on the market. Although this might be hard work for a very large investor, but they probably wouldn't want cap's either. At the end of the day the best 'solution' will be an increased deal flow to go with the increased number of investors. Failing that maybe mikes1531 idea, but with investors restricted to fishing in only one pool, and more advanced notification of when deals will go on the platform.
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max
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Post by max on Feb 4, 2015 15:19:14 GMT
I don’t quite understand the need for a cap to early bids nor its fairness.
• Everyone gets a weekly notification email on the deals that are likely to be activated in the coming week and a mobile txt and email notification when a new loan is activated. So, if one has funds waiting for being invested, then s/he could simply pay more attention to mobile and email notifications.
• There is no need for keeping funds on hold in the SS account waiting for the next investment opportunity as these can be transferred after placing a bid.
• Late comers can buy missed loan portions in the SM at zero fees.
So, why everyone should be limited in the amount that they can invest in the first 24h?
The cap will definitely be at the advantage of investors who don't have time to check emails or txt messages - do they happen to be small investors too? Perhaps. It can be argued that if one plans to invest £50, s/he might have a smaller incentive to pay attention to new investment opportunities as compared to someone who plans to invest £10K. So, the cap will definitely be at the disadvantage of investors who wants to commit a large amount of capital. It would make very slow to invest large amounts of capital. How is this fair?
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Grezza
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Post by Grezza on Feb 4, 2015 16:16:36 GMT
You're darn right big investors will be waiting to pounce! Kapooowww....and it's all gone, and even the subsequent SM liquidity may only offer up more of the same loans that a smaller investor may already be holding, and would be uncomfortable with any increase in exposure. Just a suggestion, and it would vary for loan size, but could the first hour of a new loan be limited to say up to £200 per investor, until a maximum of 20% of the loan value is filled? After the first hour, the remaining 80% + any of the first 20% not taken up would be a bun fight for all, including the larger investors, and also those who had already made a £200 bid in the first hour? eg £500,000 loan, for the first hour £100,000 available to small bids, would give 500 investors @ £200 the chance to get on board, it would probably be more I suspect. There would still be £400,000 available after the first hour for the big boys. Anyway just a thought, I suspect the programming to achieve this could be an issue! Btw, I'm not choosing figures to suit my own bid level, I'd probably be going for £1,000+ myself, but just think it is reasonable and fair to all. Ultimately, more deals needed though, as already pointed out!
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Post by solicitorious on Feb 4, 2015 16:21:42 GMT
Why not a text an hour or two before the loan is released?
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Post by pepperpot on Feb 4, 2015 16:58:06 GMT
Why not a text an hour or two before the loan is released? I find holding thoughts for that long is nigh on impossible (easily ditrac
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