will
Member of DD Central
Posts: 98
Likes: 57
|
Post by will on Jul 11, 2015 19:46:12 GMT
I'm a little confused how SS can afford to operate the 12% interest rate. Typically with P2P lending the interest rate charged is higher than this interest rate paid, but AFIK the interest rate on a typical bridging loan is a lot less than 12%. Ok, so there are probably fees, but I still don't see how that covers it. 12% would typically be paid on far higher risk loans that what SS appear to be offering.
|
|
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2015 20:35:17 GMT
From the FAQ of saving stream www.savingstream.co.uk/#faq"How do Saving Stream make money? Lendy Ltd t/a Saving Stream makes its profit from the difference in interest rate that is charged to its borrowers and the rate that it pays its investors. We typically lend to borrowers at 1.5% per month and borrow money from investors at 1% per month. This margin may seem excessive however the overheads of a) finding such borrowers and b) ensuring the security of an asset are costly and therefore demand this margin. " I think they also charge a high fee to borrower.
|
|
arbster
Member of DD Central
Posts: 810
Likes: 426
|
Post by arbster on Jul 11, 2015 20:47:32 GMT
12% would typically be paid on far higher risk loans that what SS appear to be offering. It's possible you are underestimating the risk associated with the loans offered by SS.
|
|
will
Member of DD Central
Posts: 98
Likes: 57
|
Post by will on Jul 11, 2015 21:38:31 GMT
@nancelot - thanks for pointing that out. I did a little more research into bridging loans and that would appear to be a rate on the high end of normal, but within reason. arbster - You're probably right, but I'd expect loans with rates of 12%+ to be unsecured. That said, I don't know much about bridging loans. I'm in the process of learning.
|
|
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2015 22:24:27 GMT
12% would typically be paid on far higher risk loans that what SS appear to be offering. It's possible you are underestimating the risk associated with the loans offered by SS. I guess the valuations are inflated, but surely with a secured loan the risk is minimised, ain't it ? (not taking into account saving stream going under)
|
|
|
Post by mrclondon on Jul 11, 2015 22:37:13 GMT
A valuation is a snapshot of what one "expert" thinks the security might realise if there was a willing buyer today. Almost by definition the repayment for a bridging loan comes from either refinancing or selling the security. The risk bridging loan lenders face is that the sale proceeds might be inadequate to repay the loan even if the loan is at say 70% LTV.
There is a bridging loan on AC which when it can be discussed openly in a few years time will make a fascinating case study on the risks associated with security valuations. The security is the land and buildings (including a residential house ) of an essentially defunct garden nursery business. The loan was to refinance an existing bridging loan and to continue to finance a planning application to convert the usage to a holiday park with log cabins. The valuation was done on an as is basis, i.e. no allowance for planning "hope" value, but equally no allowance for land clearance. Since the loan was drawn the planning has been refused, but with reasoning that effectively rules out ANY and ALL commercial development of the land. Whilst the security valuation was as-is, there would have been an expectation in the valuers mind that a change of use permission would be feasible, if not to the scheme put forward by this borrower, by a subsequent purchaser of the land. There is probably months if not years of wrangling before this loan is brought to a closure, but the worse case scenario is the security is essentially worthless - the value of n acres of poor quality agricultural land less the tens of thousands of pounds of clearance costs. That loan offered lenders a 15% rate, and was purchasable at 18% on the AC secondary market early in its default days before the seriousness of the situation became apparent. The original valuation was fine, but circumstances have changed.
SS haven't had a (serious*) loan failure YET, but they will. Maybe the LTV will be adequate to allow no capital loss, maybe it wont. If it doesn't, maybe the provision fund will cover the capital loss, but its unlikely to cope on the larger loans. 12% is IMO barely adequate yield for the risk being taken with some of the SS loans - 13% to 15% would be available to lenders on some of these loans on AC or TC, but equally some of the SS loans would only yield 10% elsewhere, i.e. you are getting a standard yield of 12% on SS irrespective of the risk.
Finally bridging loan rates are typically advertised as something like 0.8% to 1.5% a month. But remember 0.8% a month will only be available on very low LTV security with mininimal risk of variance in security values over the loan term. 70% LTV's are normally 1.5% at best and 2%-3% or more is not unheard of if there is any development risk associated with the security (noting there is almost no bank that will take on board development risk since 2008, which is why p2p platforms see rather a lot of such loans).
I've posted several times on this forum, that based on my ten years of experience in the p2p sector, to expect more than 6% after capital losses on p2p loans across an economic cycle is foolhardy. i.e. lending at 12% you should expect to lose half of all interest earnt to capital losses. You may do better than that, great if so, but equally well you may do worse.
* EDIT: There has been one PBL default thus far (007) but this was a small loan with easily realisable security and there was no loss of capital/interest for lenders or fees for SS.
|
|
|
Post by supernumerary on Jul 13, 2015 15:38:46 GMT
I've posted several times on this forum, that based on my ten years of experience in the p2p sector, to expect more than 6% after capital losses on p2p loans across an economic cycle is foolhardy. i.e. lending at 12% you should expect to lose half of all interest earnt to capital losses. You may do better than that, great if so, but equally well you may do worse. Thank you for posting all this information and for advising caution. I really do appreciate this post. Whilst the provision fund is there to help with defaults, it is in its early days to evaluate its robustness. Hopefully with a proven a track record over time, a real assessment of the overall risk can be fully appreciated. I for one, hope that Saving Stream grow and prosper for everybody's benefit, lender and borrower alike.
|
|
Liz
Member of DD Central
Posts: 2,426
Likes: 1,297
|
Post by Liz on Jul 14, 2015 9:01:34 GMT
I would take 12% here with a provision fund than 13-15% at AC/TC with possible legal costs to pay, as a general rule.
|
|
|
Post by ravado on Jul 16, 2015 18:41:54 GMT
My first reaction to Saving Stream was 12% is too good to be true! Anyway, I've started maintaining a blog on UK Peer to Peer Lending. Its not a commercial site but more a personal diary of my experiences over the last 18 months or so. My latest post features Saving Stream and, while I appreciate there are risks, Saving Stream is one of my favourite platforms. Here is the link <removed by mod> Some of the platform links on my blog were promotional (hence the link removal above). I've now removed them all and put a note in the links title of my blog saying 'no promotional links' so I am compliant with forum rules. My primary goal in writing the blog is to share my PtPL experiences with others rather than making money. Here is the link: prending.blogspot.co.uk/
|
|
|
Post by supernumerary on Jul 16, 2015 19:09:04 GMT
My first reaction to Saving Stream was 12% is too good to be true! Anyway, I've started maintaining a blog on UK Peer to Peer Lending. Its not a commercial site but more a personal diary of my experiences over the last 18 months or so. My latest post features Saving Stream and, while I appreciate there are risks, Saving Stream is one of my favourite platforms. Here is the link <removed by mod> Thank you for sharing, it is VERY much appreciated by me. I shall review your blog that you have kindly posted. When posts like yours appear, it goes to show how really good this P2P Independent Forum is, for those prepared to learn.
|
|
|
Post by ravado on Jul 17, 2015 8:22:38 GMT
My first reaction to Saving Stream was 12% is too good to be true! Anyway, I've started maintaining a blog on UK Peer to Peer Lending. Its not a commercial site but more a personal diary of my experiences over the last 18 months or so. My latest post features Saving Stream and, while I appreciate there are risks, Saving Stream is one of my favourite platforms. Here is the link <removed by mod> Thank you for sharing, it is VERY much appreciated by me. I shall review your blog that you have kindly posted. When posts like yours appear, it goes to show how really good this P2P Independent Forum is, for those prepared to learn.Many thanks for the interest in the blog - I agree with you, this forum is an amazing resource for those exploring PtPL!
|
|