spiral
Member of DD Central
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Post by spiral on Jul 28, 2015 9:54:49 GMT
I decided to carry out some crude comparisons between the recent and previous (January) cashbacks.
All figures are generated by comparisons of snapshots I take which may not always be complete so although I consider them to be reasonably accurate, would not stand the test of a full audit trail.
All figures relate to the 5yr market as I don't perform analysis of the other markets.
Where I refer to "Rates" these are Market rates for the days in question not necessarily the best or worst available on those days.
Last CB raised about 1.2m extra funds in 10 days This CB raised about 900K extra in 14 days. 10 days following last CB had deposits on par with same period of other months. 10 days following this CB had deposits about 1.5m lower than same period in earlier months. Rates before Last CB 6.1 Rates before this CB 6.5 Lowest rate during last CB 5.9 (drop of 0.2) Lowest rate during this CB 5.6 (drop of 0.9) Rate 7 days after Last CB ended 6.2 (higher than before CB) Rate 7 days after this CB 5.7 (still 0.8 below before and only 0.1 above during CB)
So despite this CB raising less funds (and less being deposited after), a combination of lower market volume and change in MR calculation has resulted in a marked swing in rates.
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Post by closetotheedge on Jul 29, 2015 9:14:27 GMT
Is the low volume at present perhaps the most decisive factor in the continuing rate slump?
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spiral
Member of DD Central
Posts: 909
Likes: 456
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Post by spiral on Jul 29, 2015 10:32:03 GMT
Is the low volume at present perhaps the most decisive factor in the continuing rate slump? I think it is a major factor. I posted a few weeks back that the new MR calculation was most prone to getting driven lower in low volume. I think that combined with the extra funds brought in by the CB have created a double whammy (for us lenders). If RS normally lend 0.5m per day and the inflow of funds are geared towards this in market equilibrium, if they only lend half of this, enough lenders will drop their rates in order to get their funds lent. This in turn feeds into tomorrows MR and then the cycle repeats itself.
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Post by westonkevRS on Jul 29, 2015 17:35:34 GMT
Is the low volume at present perhaps the most decisive factor in the continuing rate slump? I think it is a major factor. I posted a few weeks back that the new MR calculation was most prone to getting driven lower in low volume. I think that combined with the extra funds brought in by the CB have created a double whammy (for us lenders). If RS normally lend 0.5m per day and the inflow of funds are geared towards this in market equilibrium, if they only lend half of this, enough lenders will drop their rates in order to get their funds lent. This in turn feeds into tomorrows MR and then the cycle repeats itself. But then the borrower APR rates drop to stimulate demand, and the lender rates stabalise until a further catalyst upwards or downwards. A fully formed efficiently functioning market! @ westonkevRS
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