wysiati
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Post by wysiati on Nov 20, 2015 16:04:40 GMT
Another repeat ‘E’ risk band borrower today (17535) highlights some of the issues for lenders to earlier loans with the same borrowers at different risk bands [Edit: removed by author as inaccurate].
The initial loan (12363) was rated 'C' and [Edit: had a whole loan rate of...] 10.9%, or 1% below the new fixed rate standard of 11.9% for 48 month C loan.
The new ‘E’ loan effectively trebles [Edit: that borrower's] debt outstanding on the FC platform. The borrower's financial strength profile includes a latest stated negative net worth of -£292k, cumulative P&L losses at almost the same level, acid test ratio <0.3 etc, etc.
The FC policy is, AIUI, for multiple loans to the same borrower to rank pari passu in the event of any default and, [Edit: removed by author as inaccurate], the poor sods in the C loan would be left (often unawares) with a below market rate for the old loan risk band when the borrower has been re-assessed to have a much higher risk profile than at the time of the initial loan (2 notch jump in risk band),; meanwhile those taking on those ‘E’ band risks with fuller disclosure were offered an auction fixed rate of 18.1%. One could argue that the ‘C’ risk band assessment would be rendered invalid; apply the annualised expected loss rate for the ‘E’ band from the ‘C’ loan rate and you are looking at a pretty s****y expected buyer rate for the ‘C’ loan lenders. [Edit: As the earlier loan in this example is a whole loan it remains to be seen how 12363 is treated and reflected in the loan book]
[Edit: deleted as no longer relevant]
Disclosure: no exposure to either the existing or the prospective loan.
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Nov 20, 2015 16:06:52 GMT
And the WL folks didn't want it either (even though £19k would be pocket change).
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TitoPuente
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Post by TitoPuente on Nov 20, 2015 16:10:54 GMT
Isn't 12363 a WL?
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wysiati
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Post by wysiati on Nov 20, 2015 16:16:52 GMT
Yes, it is, so not the best example on my part; the general principle remains, however. Even if as a lender one has no interest in 'E' loans, for example, you can still be disadvantaged and an effectively underpaid participant. It makes the platform even more time-consuming for risk management purposes and means that one cannot necessarily lock-down the effective risk band exposure and stick purely to lower risk band loans - obviously more of an issue if you are a 'diversity-criminal'.
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blender
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Post by blender on Nov 20, 2015 16:23:26 GMT
That explains why there are no parts for sale. If it were a partial loan it would be RBRd and downgraded to E, which presumably would mean it could not be traded (2 bands). The poor C WL holder is stuffed and must hold to term. I suppose it is better than defaulting, because it is better to be pari passu with possibly a future something rather than creditor of a present nothing.
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Post by davee39 on Nov 20, 2015 17:04:33 GMT
Still filled in 4 mins. The Bots do not read the financials & the manual bidders have to bid first, dump later.
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wysiati
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Post by wysiati on Nov 20, 2015 19:31:03 GMT
That explains why there are no parts for sale. If it were a partial loan it would be RBRd and downgraded to E, which presumably would mean it could not be traded (2 bands). The poor C WL holder is stuffed and must hold to term. I suppose it is better than defaulting, because it is better to be pari passu with possibly a future something rather than creditor of a present nothing. Thankfully, I now think you are correct. I have checked back over the previous loans (not a quick task) and the other examples I had in mind were not the same as this. Where there are prior loans with a better risk band these tend to be repaid as part of the new loan arrangement, so some of my assumptions were incorrect and I shall go back and update the post or ask for the Mods to delete it. Thanks for the correction.
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blender
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Post by blender on Nov 20, 2015 20:39:52 GMT
That explains why there are no parts for sale. If it were a partial loan it would be RBRd and downgraded to E, which presumably would mean it could not be traded (2 bands). The poor C WL holder is stuffed and must hold to term. I suppose it is better than defaulting, because it is better to be pari passu with possibly a future something rather than creditor of a present nothing. Thankfully, I now think you are correct. I have checked back over the previous loans (not a quick task) and the other examples I had in mind were not the same as this. Where there are prior loans with a better risk band these tend to be repaid as part of the new loan arrangement, so some of my assumptions were incorrect and I shall go back and update the post or ask for the Mods to delete it. Thanks for the correction. If we all deleted posts where we had incomplete or misinterpreted information the board would be much smaller. You can delete your own post but it is better not to because it highlights and discusses a very interesting case with new features. I do not think a borrower has ever had two loans live at the same time with different bands - it should not be possible because the borrower is assessed/ reassessed and cannot be two mutually exclusive bands at once. What is really interesting is the security because when I last read the T&Cs the holders of all loans are on equal footing after default. Presumably both loans would be defaulted together. But if you were the C holder you would expect priority in this case. Of course we hope the repayments will be made, but if not this thread will be valuable in the post mortem.
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jimbob
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Post by jimbob on Nov 21, 2015 1:16:32 GMT
Sounds like a real toxic stew. Not in this one, but I am in 14918 for my sins. Odds on guarantor making Nov repayment ?
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