mikes1531
Member of DD Central
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Q & A
Nov 29, 2015 20:19:05 GMT
Post by mikes1531 on Nov 29, 2015 20:19:05 GMT
I have now had an email reply to my "farm" question but it is not on the website so presumably deemed not useful nor of any benefit to other investors. But I think other investors are the best judge of that. SS don't seem to have cottoned on to the fact that investors are now bearing the primary risk, not Lendy, and they require far more information if they are to adequately assess the level of risk. There have been numerous reports here of people having asked questions via the new Q&A feature, but I have yet to see any that savingstream have deemed useful or beneficial to other investors. Has anyone else? chielamangus: Would you mind reporting here your farm question and the response you received?
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 9:22:28 GMT
Post by chielamangus on Nov 30, 2015 9:22:28 GMT
Would you mind reporting here your farm question and the response you received? I actually started to give the response, then thought I might be breaking some term or condition of SS registration that I had never read, so thought better of it. I also had added an apocryphal story that summed up my opinion of the entire loan, and then decided that would either be deleted by the mods or inflame many on this forum. so I deleted the entire post. I have to limit the number of fronts on which to wage war!
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Post by xyon100 on Nov 30, 2015 10:55:27 GMT
It's a pity you feel like that. I for one want to hear all, good and bad. I suspect I am still at a very naïve stage and I am finding it hard to see how I could lose money here. A true story of how people did would likely cool me down a little, which might not be a bad thing.
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 11:35:53 GMT
Post by chielamangus on Nov 30, 2015 11:35:53 GMT
It's a pity you feel like that. I for one want to hear all, good and bad. I suspect I am still at a very naïve stage and I am finding it hard to see how I could lose money here. A true story of how people did would likely cool me down a little, which might not be a bad thing. You could lose money very easily. You would get your interest because this is taken from the borrower at the outset, but will you get your full principal back? Does the borrower have a clear and good plan for increasing the value of his investment (otherwise what is the point of borrowing)? Is the valuation of the security realistic? How long will it take to realise the security if the borrower fails to repay? How expensive will this process be and how much will be left for repayment of principal? Every P2P website emphasises that your capital is at risk and you ignore this at your peril. In the loan in question, I would put the answers to the above as unlikely, no, no, at least a year, no idea & not enough. There will be others on this forum (and others who read but do not contribute) who can give better examples than I of "secured" loans that have lost them money.
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beechside
Member of DD Central
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Post by beechside on Nov 30, 2015 13:07:47 GMT
You could lose money very easily. I believe this to be an overstatement and one that could damage the platform and the industry. There are many situations that could cause a loss but most are statistically unlikely and certainly don't warrant the "very easily" tag. Threats appear to be of three kinds: Global and economic issues: changes in outlook, interest rates, war, etc. All of these could reduce the likelihood of a loan being repaid. These could affect all platforms and all loans within a platform. However, the same applies to shares. Solution? buy gold - but please don't take that as investment advice ;o) Platform issues: fraud, insolvency, mismanagement etc. These could affect all loans within a platform. When a loans company goes bust, the debtors don't hurry to pay back their loans. Also, you might lose all your interest as well, Over-reliance on a single platform doesn't increase the risk but it does increase the potential impact of failure. Solution? Platform diversification. Loan issues: default, extensions ad nauseam etc. These can result in losses and illiquidity. Solution: loan diversification. There is a fourth threat, of course - ignorance. Educate the living daylights out of yourself before taking on a P2P commitment. To be honest, I have lost far more on stocks and shares than I have on P2P and I've had a lot of blue chips in my time. In short, I know you were trying to be cautious but "very easily" sounds more like one-arm-bandits than P2P, where independent, professional valuations provide the bedrock of a disclosed position. I can't normally get that much out of a PLC whose shares I'm about to buy.
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ablender
Member of DD Central
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 13:17:24 GMT
Post by ablender on Nov 30, 2015 13:17:24 GMT
Thanks beechside. Very informative.
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 17:22:14 GMT
Post by mrclondon on Nov 30, 2015 17:22:14 GMT
I also think the statement "You could lose money very easily" is hard to reconcile with the actual performance of bridging loans in the p2p sector when looking at AC, TC, W&Co, FS as well as SS and that is just mentioning the platforms I have experience of. As of today none of those 5 platforms have written off a single penny of a bridging loan. W&Co have one in default going through recovery with no write off expected. SS have had one default with a full recovery, TC & FS haven't had a single bridging loan default. AC has several defaulted, but most should make close to a full capital recovery (albeit most with loss of some or all accrued interest).
That said, one of AC's bridging loans has the potential for a significant capital loss (Kent) by virtue of a planning decision after the loan drew down which could not reasonably have been forseen. There remains some ambiguity whether the written planning decision means what it says, but if it does the value of the security is now much lower than when the loan drew, and a significant capital write off on that loan would be inevitable.
I've said numerous times, on different forum threads that to expect more than 6 to 7% return after capital losses is fantasy. Capital losses will occur. But short of global armageddon of the financial services industry, providing adequate diversification of loans and platforms is undertaken it is IMO very hard to see how you could lose money easily.
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Post by Ton ⓉⓞⓃ on Nov 30, 2015 17:22:54 GMT
Also I think it's worth saying; we should in fact expect some losses, so plan for them. It's hard to know which, some would say impossible to know which, will go pop. So lend in such a way that if any one loan goes bad it doesn't knock you out. Many of my limits on loans tend to be equal to one or two months interest payments from that platform. Others do something different.
It's perfectly normal to have some bad loans, prepare for them on all platforms.
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ablender
Member of DD Central
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 20:36:27 GMT
Post by ablender on Nov 30, 2015 20:36:27 GMT
Also I think it's worth saying; we should in fact expect some losses, so plan for them. It's hard to know which, some would say impossible to know which, will go pop. So lend in such a way that if any one loan goes bad it doesn't knock you out. Many of my limits on loans tend to be equal to one or two months interest payments from that platform. Others do something different. It's perfectly normal to have some bad loans, prepare for them on all platforms. For this to work you need to be well established on that platform. If I take SS as an example and limit myself to £100 per loan, how many loans do I need to be invested in to earn £100 in one or two months? Let us say £5,000 or £10,000 which mean 50 or 100 loans. Hemmmm. Have you seen this many loans on SS?
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 21:46:52 GMT
Post by Ton ⓉⓞⓃ on Nov 30, 2015 21:46:52 GMT
Also I think it's worth saying; we should in fact expect some losses, so plan for them. It's hard to know which, some would say impossible to know which, will go pop. So lend in such a way that if any one loan goes bad it doesn't knock you out. Many of my limits on loans tend to be equal to one or two months interest payments from that platform. Others do something different. It's perfectly normal to have some bad loans, prepare for them on all platforms. For this to work you need to be well established on that platform. If I take SS as an example and limit myself to £100 per loan, how many loans do I need to be invested in to earn £100 in one or two months? Let us say £5,000 or £10,000 which mean 50 or 100 loans. Hemmmm. Have you seen this many loans on SS? I'm signed up for SS, but I've not made a single loan. I want to test out one or more of the Aggregators so I think I'll do it that way, but I do need to do some investigation/prep etc. it'll be nice to know how they work & how secure they are. To be honest I don't have 'perfect' diversification; I've made some exceptions where I think it's safer to, I hold about 100 loans on AC. But I'm totally off-topic and an important one to boot.
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mikes1531
Member of DD Central
Posts: 6,453
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Q & A
Nov 30, 2015 21:59:01 GMT
Post by mikes1531 on Nov 30, 2015 21:59:01 GMT
Would you mind reporting here your farm question and the response you received? I actually started to give the response, then thought I might be breaking some term or condition of SS registration that I had never read, so thought better of it. I also had added an apocryphal story that summed up my opinion of the entire loan, and then decided that would either be deleted by the mods or inflame many on this forum. so I deleted the entire post. chielamangus: I don't think you'd be breaking any Ts&Cs, but I understand your caution. However, inasmuch as the question(s) were yours, there should be no issue posting it/them here. Then we can look at it/them and decide whether we'd like to know the answer(s). If we would, then we could ask SS ourselves. Is that a reasonable compromise?
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Post by chielamangus on Dec 1, 2015 8:38:03 GMT
mikes1531 I think the issues on this loan have been teased out by various contributors to this thread and the other one. The difference is that I come to very different conclusions from everyone else. From my various posts you will see that I question why this loan exists at all, and even assuming it is the optimum course for the borrower, it does not pass my tests for investment. I note that my opinion of this loan has been used by some here to denote a general condemnation of P2P platforms. Well, these people really should read the posts more carefully. I am a great supporter of a number of platforms and I suspect my outcomes to date are considerably better than most. But I ain't complacent. Losses can come anytime. When xyon100 said that he/she found it hard to see how they could lose money on this loan, I felt compelled to give a reality check.
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