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Post by bingo on Feb 12, 2016 11:00:24 GMT
I've recently started investigating p2p. I've registered with a few of the popular platforms (those recommended in polls on this forum!).
I've noticed that nearly all the available loans on Assetz, FundingCircle and SavingStream seem to be property-based, so I'm wondering about 'sector diversification'. If I invested in the 'average, good-looking' loans available on those sites, then I'm going to be invested nearly 100% into property-based loans, which doesn't sound very diverse.
Is that something you worry about? Do you have a 'sector diversification' strategy with your p2p investments?
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alanp
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Post by alanp on Feb 12, 2016 11:12:39 GMT
Not sure its a strategy as such but I do try and intuitively manage the spread of asset types across all the platforms I use (SS, FC, MT, ABL & FE).
FC and SS are all property for me byt the FC bit is very small and will reduce as loans terminate.
MT is a mixture of things - Property, Art, Cars, managed portfolios of pawned items etc.
ABL - Aircraft, Containers etc.
LC - SME funding.
FE - Asset based against equipment and machinery.
I prefer having quite a broad spread like this to avoid just what you are concerned about and being too reliant on any one sector.
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Post by Butch Cassidy on Feb 12, 2016 11:21:40 GMT
I've recently started investigating p2p. I've registered with a few of the popular platforms (those recommended in polls on this forum!). I've noticed that nearly all the available loans on Assetz, FundingCircle and SavingStream seem to be property-based, so I'm wondering about 'sector diversification'. If I invested in the 'average, good-looking' loans available on those sites, then I'm going to be invested nearly 100% into property-based loans, which doesn't sound very diverse. Is that something you worry about? Do you have a 'sector diversification' strategy with your p2p investments? Largely depends on your view of the property sector & wider economy going forward & the quality/LTV of the property asset in question. However to be fair to FC there are lots of SME loans especially on the SM - the rates are usually better on the older ones, that were issued before the fixed rate change, as virtually everything since has miraculously become A+ or A rated, at rates that no longer reflect the risk IMHO. So the few C/D/E rated stuff is either dire quality &/or only available to the handful of bot operators, who then resell at a premium on the SM, effectively taxing normal investors for access with the tacit approval of FC, which is a very undesirable practice IMO.
Assetz has some decent SME loans too but rates have recently fallen due to now pricing for liquidity instead of risk (which they vehemently deny but the rates speak for themselves) but if you are patient you can accumulate positions via the slickly designed SM on older loans (with decent rates). Abirate does aircraft, currently a decent 13% option available, Moneything has some variety too but is so popular at present is struggling to match demand & has turned to property to help solve the issue.
SS used to do boats but with the exception of the Superyacht is solely property/land now but is a well run & user friendly platform, again getting swamped by demand due to doing a lot of the right things, has nearly £15m of loans in the next week so should present some buying opportunities.
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JamesFrance
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Port Grimaud 1974
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Post by JamesFrance on Feb 12, 2016 11:45:24 GMT
If you want to make loans with asset security it is inevitable that property will be the most secured item, simply because other business assets frequently have little value when a business fails and personal guarantees seem to be almost unenforceable if the person concerned is not one with integrity. The main alternative for P2P is unsecured personal loans and I would always prefer a property charge to nothing if repayment ceases, so at least there will not be a total loss of capital even if values collapse.
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pikestaff
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Post by pikestaff on Feb 12, 2016 11:55:56 GMT
Property seems to be what lenders want, partly because many have been disappointed by poor recoveries on small business loans. It's also easy work for platforms/introducers/sponsors, compared to properly-done business lending. You can't blame them for giving the punters what they want, but yes I do worry.
I take the view that losses are to be expected and you should not expect your long run return to exceed about 7%, regardless of what you invest in. The difference with property is that losses tend to be highly correlated. When the next property crash comes, the losses will all come at once and some of the platforms specialising in them may well fail - particularly those that promise the most today.
There are still plenty of loans to small businesses on FC. I'm not on that platform at the moment because my returns when I started were disappointing, but rates appear to be higher now and I am considering going back. You could also consider TC if their minimum investment of £1,000 per loan does not put you off, although for the last year TC also has been increasingly dominated by property.
Otherwise you have consumer lending (RS and Zopa being the big two), pawnbroking (MoneyThing), invoice finance (MarketInvoice etc, also generally with a high minimum investment) or aircraft and containers (Ablrate). There have also been renewables (mainly on AC and TC) but the end to subsidies means we are unlikely to see many more of them. I think new investors may struggle to accumulate any significant exposure to renewables.
My personal p2p portfolio is concentrated in 3 platforms (TC, RS and AC) with TC being by some way the biggest. I am still lending on property but only with a first charge or senior tranche. Despite being selective I am beginning to think I've got too much. I had a lot of exposure to renewables but many of those on TC have recently been refinanced with mainstream lenders at lower rates. I'd like more if they were available.
Below is a summary of my exposures on TC and AC, plus an overall summary including RS. (I have excluded monthly money on RS, which is a short term investment awaiting a better home.) The distinction between "business" and "property" is a bit approximate. Almost all of my business loans on AC have at least some property backing, and several of them are things like care homes, pubs and hotels. Conversely, quite a few of my property loans on TC are half way to being business loans secured on property.
[Image deleted 11/12/20 to save space]
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bigfoot12
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Post by bigfoot12 on Feb 12, 2016 12:20:31 GMT
I've noticed that nearly all the available loans on Assetz, FundingCircle and SavingStream seem to be property-based, so I'm wondering about 'sector diversification'. If I invested in the 'average, good-looking' loans available on those sites, then I'm going to be invested nearly 100% into property-based loans, which doesn't sound very diverse. Whilst AC often has property as security, many of the loans are to SME businesses, but with the company's buildings, or the director's home as security. I see that as being different to the property loans on FC and almost all the loans on SS. Is that something you worry about? Do you have a 'sector diversification' strategy with your p2p investments? Yes, I do worry about it. My P2P investments are roughly split 1/3 in SME (sometimes with property as security), 1/3 in consumer lending (mainly RS) and 1/3 in property loans. I can't really justify that split.
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Post by Butch Cassidy on Feb 12, 2016 14:41:13 GMT
If you want to make loans with asset security it is inevitable that property will be the most secured item, simply because other business assets frequently have little value when a business fails and personal guarantees seem to be almost unenforceable if the person concerned is not one with integrity. The main alternative for P2P is unsecured personal loans and I would always prefer a property charge to nothing if repayment ceases, so at least there will not be a total loss of capital even if values collapse. It all depends on your appetite & tolerance for risk/reward; SS & MT offer loans against secured assets for a 12% return, also AC for 8-12% & Abi 10-13% - assuming valuations/LTV are taken as reasonable & accurate loans can be enforced but often involves lengthy legal delays, FC, Rbes, LC offer SME loans with no security other than PG's upto 18-20% (but I have several RBR/distressed loans that rely only on a PG that still maintain payments).
On the other hand unsecured personal loans rely on keeping overall default rates under control to complement provision funds; RS & Zopa offer upto 6% with proven track records, Bondora used to be 28% but now upto 90% HOWEVER FAILS DISMALLY ON THE DEFAULT FRONT.
Personally I started with P2P to help fund SME lending but did invest in Bondora as the rates reflected the risk but I struggle to see why investors prefer 6% with RS & their peers (although they appear to be a highly professional set up with great communications) as opposed to double that with asset security but I guess it takes all sorts.
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ablender
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Post by ablender on Feb 13, 2016 3:57:06 GMT
There are still plenty of loans to small businesses on FC. I'm not on that platform at the moment because my returns when I started were disappointing, but rates appear to be higher now and I am considering going back. Are you talking about the same FC as anyone else? The general feeling, and mine too, is that rates are lower. Quoting Butch Cassidy above: " However to be fair to FC there are lots of SME loans especially on the SM - the rates are usually better on the older ones, that were issued before the fixed rate change, as virtually everything since has miraculously become A+ or A rated, at rates that no longer reflect the risk IMHO. So the few C/D/E rated stuff is either dire quality &/or only available to the handful of bot operators, who then resell at a premium on the SM, effectively taxing normal investors for access with the tacit approval of FC, which is a very undesirable practice IMO."
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pikestaff
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Post by pikestaff on Feb 13, 2016 8:06:32 GMT
There are still plenty of loans to small businesses on FC. I'm not on that platform at the moment because my returns when I started were disappointing, but rates appear to be higher now and I am considering going back. Are you talking about the same FC as anyone else? The general feeling, and mine too, is that rates are lower. Quoting Butch Cassidy above: " However to be fair to FC there are lots of SME loans especially on the SM - the rates are usually better on the older ones, that were issued before the fixed rate change, as virtually everything since has miraculously become A+ or A rated, at rates that no longer reflect the risk IMHO. So the few C/D/E rated stuff is either dire quality &/or only available to the handful of bot operators, who then resell at a premium on the SM, effectively taxing normal investors for access with the tacit approval of FC, which is a very undesirable practice IMO." By the time I left in early 2014, FC had increased the minimum rates to A+ 6.5%, A 7.5%, B 8.4%, C 9.5%, C- (now D) 11.2%. When I started the rates were lower than that. Almost all C's were being bid down to 9%. To an outsider looking in, even if I assume I can only buy C/D/E on the SM, rates look much higher today. Unless you are telling me that an A today is no better than a C was then.
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mikeh
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Post by mikeh on Feb 13, 2016 8:43:42 GMT
You're both right but talking different time scales. Pre fixed rates, my target rates were A+=10%, A=11%, B=12%, C=13%. You could only get these sort of rates from last minute bidding or from other last minute bidders on the SM. Now most of these loans sell on the SM at 3% premium. It's all relative I guess.
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ablender
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Post by ablender on Feb 13, 2016 9:45:22 GMT
Are you talking about the same FC as anyone else? The general feeling, and mine too, is that rates are lower. Quoting Butch Cassidy above: " However to be fair to FC there are lots of SME loans especially on the SM - the rates are usually better on the older ones, that were issued before the fixed rate change, as virtually everything since has miraculously become A+ or A rated, at rates that no longer reflect the risk IMHO. So the few C/D/E rated stuff is either dire quality &/or only available to the handful of bot operators, who then resell at a premium on the SM, effectively taxing normal investors for access with the tacit approval of FC, which is a very undesirable practice IMO." By the time I left in early 2014, FC had increased the minimum rates to A+ 6.5%, A 7.5%, B 8.4%, C 9.5%, C- (now D) 11.2%. When I started the rates were lower than that. Almost all C's were being bid down to 9%. To an outsider looking in, even if I assume I can only buy C/D/E on the SM, rates look much higher today. Unless you are telling me that an A today is no better than a C was then. I cannot tell you much about C rates or what the situation was in 2014. My experience started in Summer 2015 and I was concentrating on A+ loans. For these I was getting anywhere from 10% to 12% and I know that there are people who were getting even better rates. Also, it has been observed by people who can do better analysis than me, that loans that in summer 2015 would be placed in lower rates are now being rated A or A+.
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Post by bingo on Feb 23, 2016 12:52:13 GMT
Thanks for the input everyone!
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