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Post by retired2005 on May 16, 2016 11:26:54 GMT
A lot of this on the SM today - somebody know something I dont, or are people just offloading expecting it to be paid back soon?
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Post by grodecki on May 16, 2016 11:37:36 GMT
Assuming it is probably because of the new loans allowing people to drop out of negative day loans as they are seen as more risky. As interest is paid up front there is much less risk with a loan which is within it's time limit.
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Post by chrisuk on May 16, 2016 15:25:46 GMT
Are negative loans more risky?
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cooling_dude
Bye Bye's for the PPI
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Post by cooling_dude on May 16, 2016 15:30:06 GMT
Are negative loans more risky? You have to read between the lines (by doing some DD ); some are riskier than others, some are quite safe. However, in a less liquid SM it's going to be much harder to get rid of any negative loans, regardless of how safe or risky they are.
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Post by chrisuk on May 16, 2016 15:40:36 GMT
Thanks. You've got me worried now. I'm invested in PBL's 20, 22, &25 which have gone way over their repayment dates. I'll have to think about selling them I guess!!
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ilmoro
Member of DD Central
'Wondering which of the bu***rs to blame, and watching for pigs on the wing.' - Pink Floyd
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Post by ilmoro on May 16, 2016 15:41:25 GMT
Are negative loans more risky? The risk is that the borrower has to cover the monthly interest rather than it being paid from sums retained on drawdown. There is therefore more uncertainty about payment and of course, if the borrower cant make payment the loan will likely default fairly soon afterwards. Edit 25 should be less of a risk as it is due to be repaid/rolled shortly into a DFL.
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Post by chrisuk on May 16, 2016 15:49:36 GMT
I've just put them up for sale and they went in seconds!! Amazing!! Obviously some people are not too bothered.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on May 16, 2016 19:52:23 GMT
I've just put them up for sale and they went in seconds!! Amazing!! Obviously some people are not too bothered. Or not very aware of the situation. There is, however, another factor involved, and that's SS's Ts&Cs. In the early days, SS/Lendy was the intermediate borrower and we were lending to them and they were lending on to the ultimate borrower. SS/Lendy were committed to repaying all their investors and if you had faith in SS/Lendy you didn't worry about the security itself or loans over-running. At some point, the Ts&Cs were changed to make the platform a true P2P model, with SS facilitating loans between investors and borrowers. At that point, investors were better protected in the event of the platform failing, but became much more exposed to the success/failure of individual loans. There's a lot of discussion of the pros and cons of this in the forum archives. According the ilmoro's excellent thread, the new Ts&Cs came into use with PBL064. PBLs with lower numbers were written under the old Ts&Cs, except for 37/38/39 which are believed to have been reorganised under the new Ts&Cs. This might explain why some people are happy to hold early loans that now have negative terms remaining. Whether New Ts&Cs loans will be as saleable on the SM when they pass maturity remains to be seen. My own view is that they won't be, but perhaps there will be enough investors who either don't understand or don't care that it won't make any difference. PS. I should note that AFAIK ilmoro's thread is based on info he has gleaned rather than from any official statement from SS, so while it's probably correct it cannot be guaranteed. SS have been asked to make it clear which Ts&Cs apply to each loan, but we're still waiting for that to happen.
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Post by retired2005 on May 28, 2016 14:19:36 GMT
Oops!!
Sorry, didn't mean to be prophetic when I posted this just over a week ago .....
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cooling_dude
Bye Bye's for the PPI
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Post by cooling_dude on May 28, 2016 14:22:49 GMT
Oops!! Sorry, didn't mean to be prophetic when I posted this just over a week ago ..... You got lotto numbers you want to share There might have been a couple who had a little nudge.... I bet chrisuk was happy by this thread; he got rid of his holdings in PBL20 because of what was discussed!
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Post by retired2005 on May 28, 2016 14:58:58 GMT
.... and my other piece of 'luck' was that neither me nor OH held any of this loan (we're newcomers, only been buying about 6-7 weeks .....)
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Liz
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Post by Liz on May 28, 2016 15:39:16 GMT
Got rid of my fairly large chunk in mid March. I generally hold to redemption, but decided in March to take a more prudent view and started selling older loans and reinvesting in the new ones. I sell older PBL's too. What I didn't get is who would buy loans with negative days left and will possibly default. What surprises me more is that "investors" are buying this defaulted loan. The other question I have is, does the provisos fund cover interest? A £5m loan that defaults and takes 2 years to sell after default(you never know) will have £1.35m of accrued interest.
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Post by earthbound on May 29, 2016 7:11:36 GMT
I sell older PBL's too. What I didn't get is who would buy loans with negative days left and will possibly default. What surprises me more is that "investors" are buying this defaulted loan. The other question I have is, does the provisos fund cover interest? A £5m loan that defaults and takes 2 years to sell after default(you never know) will have £1.35m of accrued interest. As payment from the Pro Fund is at the discretion of SS and it hasn't been called upon yet, no one can say how it will be administered. It's going to be a case of wait and see. SS say they have interest in the Garden Centre so it may move quickly and be resolved to everyone's satisfaction. If this happens as quickly and as well as the previous default, SS will come out of it with big kudos. If not ........................................... And after the 11th may update, what do/dont we read into it, (bold is by me) what it fails to say is, what happens to the interest payments if the loan capital is not recovered.? the wording of this suggests to me that interest will only be paid if more than the capital is realized. We have made a slight change to our operating procedures for ‘loans in default’ (we have only ever had one to date) - once we declare a loan to be in default, instead of crediting interest to investor's accounts monthly, interest will accrue on account and will be paid once the loan capital is recovered. This rule will only apply to the loan in default and not other loans, which will operate as usual. Loans in default can continue to be traded on the secondary market. Our solicitors have advised us to implement this as the FCA perceives Lendy's own covering of the interest as a potential cashflow risk to the sustainability of the platform.
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Post by chrisuk on May 29, 2016 9:40:42 GMT
Oops!! Sorry, didn't mean to be prophetic when I posted this just over a week ago ..... You got lotto numbers you want to share There might have been a couple who had a little nudge.... I bet chrisuk was happy by this thread; he got rid of his holdings in PBL20 because of what was discussed! chrisuk was very relieved!!
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on May 29, 2016 18:26:44 GMT
And after the 11th may update, what do/dont we read into it, (bold is by me) what it fails to say is, what happens to the interest payments if the loan capital is not recovered.? the wording of this suggests to me that interest will only be paid if more than the capital is realized. We have made a slight change to our operating procedures for ‘loans in default’ (we have only ever had one to date) - once we declare a loan to be in default, instead of crediting interest to investor's accounts monthly, interest will accrue on account and will be paid once the loan capital is recovered. This rule will only apply to the loan in default and not other loans, which will operate as usual. Loans in default can continue to be traded on the secondary market. Our solicitors have advised us to implement this as the FCA perceives Lendy's own covering of the interest as a potential cashflow risk to the sustainability of the platform. I have a similar interpretation. If the FCA are concerned that Lendy paying the interest monthly was a cashflow risk, then surely they'd consider Lendy paying a lump of unrecovered interest once the final proceeds of the security sale are known also would be a sustainability risk. This seems to suggest that the FCA have told SS/Lendy that they can't honour their commitment to pay all interest accruing on loans written under the Old Ts&Cs. But perhaps the FCA only looked at the New Ts&Cs, and SS expect to have wrapped up all the Old Ts&Cs loans by the time they achieve full authorisation. This also seems to suggest that investors will need to rely on the PF to cover any shortfalls. IMHO, that's as it should be for true P2P loans, though we won't know until it happens whether the PF trustees consider unrecovered accrued interest to be covered by the PF. But where does this put SS's plan to top up the PF back to 2% of the total loan book whenever it pays out? Doesn't that mean SS effectively are covering all PF payouts from their own resources? Wouldn't that also be considered a sustainability risk?
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