|
Post by chrisuk on Jun 12, 2016 0:03:34 GMT
As far as I am concerned 10%, 11%, 12% is still far better than the pathetic rates the banks and building societies offer. If SS are able to offer some 'safer' loans at 10% I'd be interested.
|
|
|
Post by GSV3MIaC on Jun 12, 2016 13:45:36 GMT
People should also consider that SS may be monitoring these posts to get a flavour of what lenders are likely to accept. Possible, but it's more likely they'll 'ring round' their top 20 to 50 BHs, whose opinion actually swings most of the funds. 8>.
|
|
adrianc
Member of DD Central
Posts: 10,014
Likes: 5,143
|
Post by adrianc on Jun 12, 2016 14:48:42 GMT
The general LTV's in the early days was around the 65% mark and the valuations seemed to give a more considered opinion. <considers the somewhat topical PBL20>
|
|
ramblin rose
Member of DD Central
“Some people grumble that roses have thorns; I am grateful that thorns have roses.” — Alphonse Karr
Posts: 1,370
Likes: 857
|
Post by ramblin rose on Jun 12, 2016 17:55:58 GMT
It is obvious that different loans have different risk attached to them depending on the circumstances and to me it seems only right that the rates paid to investors should be variable according to that. That way the people who like to gamble on high risk high return stuff can invest in what they want and the people who prefer lower return lower risk Investments are also catered for. Which is all very well when it starts, but generally speaking once the rates on some loans go lower, the higher rate ones become rarer and rarer as time goes by. As one of those who likes to stay at the riskier end of things in return for the higher rates, I now find there's nothing for me on AC, whereas just a year or so ago there were plenty of new loans to suit. If SS start going for lower rate loans and find that plenty of people invest in them, then they'll spend more time chasing that loan market because it's easier to sell a lower rate loan. Then, only the people wanting lower risk investments will end up being catered for in any meaningful way. By definition, most of those who've been in p2p a number of years are happy with higher risk - we adopted early. More and more of the people who come on board now are going to be more risk-averse (posts on the forum these days attest to that), and the platforms will find it easier to cater for them. It's inevitable, and I've been saying similar for a long time, but knowing it and liking it are two different things . I would stick with the 12% loans while available, but let's see how long that turns out to be.
|
|
|
Post by GSV3MIaC on Jun 12, 2016 18:38:11 GMT
Well ZOPA finally had to back out (Zopa+) so maybe it is not all one-way traffic? I guess part of the problem is that the platform has trouble sticking it to the borrowers (FC are not running out of E rated loans, they are just running out of the guts to grade them as what I consider to be Es .. they come through as something higher graded with lower rates, presumably because the borrowers prefer it that way).
|
|
|
Post by mrclondon on Jun 12, 2016 19:25:36 GMT
I think it can be argued that there is a case for selected lower risk loans to be offered at 10% or 11% if that attracts in additional borrowers. PBL 075, 081, 086, & 104 are all single residential properties with plenty of comparables and demand to support the valuations which feel to me slightly over priced for risk at 12%.
However I feel the vast majority of SS loans are under priced for risk at 12%, and reducing the yield on lower risk loans whilst not simultaneously increasing the yield on higher risk loans (as both FS and TC do regularly) is in effect reducing the effective yield vs risk across the whole loan book.
Initially I voted "Yes I would be happy to see lower interest rate loans", but I have on reflection changed my vote to No.
|
|
Jeepers
Member of DD Central
Posts: 818
Likes: 721
|
Post by Jeepers on Jun 12, 2016 19:27:50 GMT
The best time to drop the rates without upsetting investors too much is when they start offering the P2P ISA (which may be what they're planning).
At 10% PA tax free, it would still be better than a taxed 12% even for those on the basic rate.
|
|
|
Post by earthbound on Jun 12, 2016 19:46:13 GMT
If SS are going to change rates, then i can only see it being on a loan risk basis, good loans 10%, average 11%, riskier 12-14%, and personally only acceptable as long as the PF remains.
If SS were to just drop the rate to 10% or 11% and no PF i would then be looking very cynically at whether this just was a simple move to increase their margins.
And also bear in mind if SS reduce the rate and use the excuse of supplying us better quality loans, then what in 12 months when the demand is still outstripping supply, choice?.. poorer quality loans again, but now at 10% or further drops in lenders rates.
While ever demand outstrips supply, SS hold the best cards.
|
|
MarkT
Member of DD Central
Posts: 190
Likes: 159
|
Post by MarkT on Jun 12, 2016 19:50:14 GMT
The best time to drop the rates without upsetting investors too much is when they start offering the P2P ISA (which may be what they're planning). At 10% PA tax free, it would still be better than a taxed 12% even for those on the basic rate. And for those few that are using their tax free allowance it isn't. But I guess that's a small minority.
|
|
Liz
Member of DD Central
Posts: 2,426
Likes: 1,297
|
Post by Liz on Jun 12, 2016 19:51:39 GMT
I think it can be argued that there is a case for selected lower risk loans to be offered at 10% or 11% if that attracts in additional borrowers. PBL 075, 081, 086, & 104 are all single residential properties with plenty of comparables and demand to support the valuations which feel to me slightly over priced for risk at 12%.
However I feel the vast majority of SS loans are under priced for risk at 12%, and reducing the yield on lower risk loans whilst not simultaneously increasing the yield on higher risk loans (as both FS and TC do regularly) is in effect reducing the effective yield vs risk across the whole loan book.
Initially I voted "Yes I would be happy to see lower interest rate loans", but I have on reflection changed my vote to No.
My worry is that they start pricing to liquidity, which on other platforms provides a great opportunity, on SS with excess liquidity, will lead to underpriced deals compared to risk.
|
|
|
Post by brokenbiscuits on Jun 12, 2016 20:22:37 GMT
I heard back in the beginning of p2p you could get better rates at zopa and now they give one of the lowest rates in p2p.
With Ratesetter I used to get 6.5% to 6.9% and now I struggle to get over 6%.
As far as I'm aware the product hasn't changed, there is now less reward for the same risk.
It comes down to supply and demand.
It's a nice idea that rates will drop and risk will too. Most likely if rates drop you will be getting the same product but either the platform or their true customers, the ones taking out the loans, will get the benefit of the points you have dropped.
Take the good times when you can and vote with your feet if rates drop below your desired number. There are other similar competitors.
|
|
|
Post by GSV3MIaC on Jun 13, 2016 8:23:42 GMT
I note the website changes say 'up to 12%', not 'up to 14%', so it looks like we are being offered lower but nothing higher?
|
|
Liz
Member of DD Central
Posts: 2,426
Likes: 1,297
|
Post by Liz on Jun 13, 2016 8:39:29 GMT
I note the website changes say 'up to 12%', not 'up to 14%', so it looks like we are being offered lower but nothing higher? They can't put upto 14 %(yet) as they would no doubt be breaking some marketing/FCA rules. My guess is they have put upto 12%, because the 12% isn't guaranteed, with losses the return could well be lower than 12%. Agai it could be a precursor to scrapping the PF.
|
|
tx
Member of DD Central
Posts: 300
Likes: 127
|
Post by tx on Jun 13, 2016 12:43:29 GMT
I see this as a way SS to boost profit rather than anything else. For short term loans borrower paying about 20% (SS said in website), which is way lower than short term loan like Wonga, 1500%. Just the amount of money waiting to be lent out had prompted SS to get a few more percent of profit.
I consistently get roughly 25% allocation in pipeline loan, that make SS believe they have 4 times more money waiting, but hope they think again, because I don't always intend to invest the full amount I say I would with the view of 25% allocation.
|
|
|
Post by GSV3MIaC on Jun 13, 2016 12:49:19 GMT
If SS want to know what real demand is like, they just need to look at prefunding on either of the two big DFLs in the pipeline. I'm still guessing 2-3-4 £M (maybe higher end on these, since the ltv looks saner, at least on paper). Prefunding on the smaller loans is game-played to the point where what's asked for bears no relationship to what's actually wanted (and they can probably tell that too). Hull, had it happened, would have been interesting.
|
|