ptr120
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Post by ptr120 on Jul 6, 2016 12:54:11 GMT
FC are holding an investor evening on 28 July. Sadly I'll be unable to attend as I'd have liked to put some questions to them about their shocking handling of late running property loans. Is anyone planning to attend? It would be great if someone who is going would be prepared to collate a couple of questions and update this thread as to the responses given.
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SteveT
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Post by SteveT on Jul 6, 2016 14:12:00 GMT
Is it really shocking management of over-running property loans or rather a failure to manage borrowers' expectations of how property bridging and development finance loans typically behave?
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Jul 6, 2016 15:14:09 GMT
We could agree that it is "failure to manage the loans in line with lender expectations". IMO the lack of clear overrun strategy (penalty interest rate, refinance after X month late so people can exit, etc. etc) is rather poor compared to AC for instance, however the actual size of the overrun is pretty good compared to SS for instance, where we have several loans more than 6 months past due day. Given the borrowers can always repay early, they really ought to have been a bit more realistic/pessimistic on the end dates, IMO (and there are a couple of loans where what the bridge was for, from where to where, was totally vague).
But sadly I can't attend .. I don't 'do' London (if I can help it) and anyway my doctor says I should reduce my platitude intake. 8>.
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kt
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Post by kt on Jul 6, 2016 16:39:32 GMT
28% of the value of outstanding loans are in property.
Given the current climate is there a plan to reduce the exposure to property?
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happy
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Post by happy on Jul 8, 2016 10:21:06 GMT
I reduced my FC holding by 50% some months ago during the ipad feeding frenzy and apart from a few "nearly done" SME loans FC for me is now purely property (don't have a bot and have better things to do with my day than sitting at home waiting for snippets of D and E loans).
I was concerned about property development exposure to a down-turn after Brexit so I have since have sold any London/SE loans over 60% LTV and only kept a few others closer to 70% that I was comfortable with. This brings my FC holding down to 1/3rd what it was and I now only reinvest interest/repayments in sub 50% property loans if I can. This seems a reasonably safe approach to protecting capital.
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Jul 8, 2016 15:09:53 GMT
/mod hat off
Yes, that sounds reasonable if you can live with the 7 or 8% returns (before tax and fees), and are not too fussed about exactly when you get the capital back. Personally I think there are better property deals (higher rates) elsewhere, and I'd prefer to get more invested in 'anything but property' (especially the ludicrously high London property market), but I'd like some security too (bring back drilling rigs, aeroplanes, boats etc).
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happy
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Post by happy on Jul 8, 2016 16:47:25 GMT
I agree on rates, FC purely for plarform diversity..... however can't imagine drilling rigs providing a solid basis for security at current oil prices
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Jul 8, 2016 20:37:10 GMT
I agree on rates, FC purely for plarform diversity..... however can't imagine drilling rigs providing a solid basis for security at current oil prices They were not, IIRC, those kind of drilling rigs (and piling rigs too).
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Post by marc77 on Aug 31, 2016 0:12:05 GMT
I was at the investor evening, but only joined this site recently. Here are some of the notes I took: On defaults:Would expect x2 as many liquidations in the UK economy in recession relative to today Expect 45p in the £ recovery on average 5 yrs after default (for SME loans) If you expect a recession over lifetime of investment then A+ will give better yield after losses than E; if expect a good economy then E will give better yield than A+ On property lending (which is all I use the site for now):Saw a -19% property price drop around 2008; Have scaled back property lending recently to be below 70% LTV Big lenders moving away from Property lending currently (why? didn't ask this) 8 in property finance team I thought the people who presented on the evening were credible and came across as proficient. They all alluded to having their own personal money at play on the platform. happy your comments in this thread very closely align with my views and approach to FC these days.
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fasty
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Post by fasty on Aug 31, 2016 12:31:59 GMT
marc77 - Many thanks for taking the time to take notes and post for us.
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mikeh
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Post by mikeh on Aug 31, 2016 14:33:27 GMT
Big lenders moving away from Property lending currently (why? didn't ask this) I think this was due to the end of Cashback and better opportunities elsewhere. I still have some property loans here (mainly 10%), a few SMEs which are too good to sell even at 3% premium and some Ds and Es which I'm a little nervous about.
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metoo
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Post by metoo on Aug 31, 2016 15:34:27 GMT
Big lenders moving away from Property lending currently (why? didn't ask this) I think this was due to the end of Cashback and better opportunities elsewhere. I think 'big lenders' means banks, etc? Many thanks for the notes marc77.
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Post by Harland Kearney on Sept 1, 2016 1:31:50 GMT
I agree with FC's over all handling of property to be concerning. However, I have no intentions of holding property loans past the 3 month before maturity point. I think anybody who uses FC for diversification in this way is probs the way too go. I want to fully pull my stake out of other loans on there site as the PG's offered by borrowers are total guess work from what other users experiences expressed on this site, further more there risk bands seem to be totally mis represented for actual risk from what I saw even just 5-6 months ago. Many loans hold 100's k of debt but still achieve the a* risk band rating. I've found that FC do have good liquidity as I was able to sell £700 in roughly 45 mins at .3-.4 percent premiums the other day.
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Post by marc77 on Sept 3, 2016 14:47:16 GMT
Regarding my line:
Big lenders moving away from Property lending currently (why? didn't ask this)
That's verbatim what is in my notebook, including the bracketed section. Adjudicating between MikeH and Meeto's interpretation of it, I'm more inclined to remember it being the 'big banks moving away' angle because I remember a section where they talked about it becoming increasing difficult to get funding for doing a redevelopment in the sub £1m range if you were a mom and pop type company. However, Mike it reads like you may have been there yourself, in which case I defer to your superior memory.
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happy
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Post by happy on Sept 5, 2016 6:15:19 GMT
I was at the investor evening, but only joined this site recently. Here are some of the notes I took: On defaults:Would expect x2 as many liquidations in the UK economy in recession relative to today Expect 45p in the £ recovery on average 5 yrs after default (for SME loans) If you expect a recession over lifetime of investment then A+ will give better yield after losses than E; if expect a good economy then E will give better yield than A+ On property lending (which is all I use the site for now):Saw a -19% property price drop around 2008; Have scaled back property lending recently to be below 70% LTV Big lenders moving away from Property lending currently (why? didn't ask this) 8 in property finance team I thought the people who presented on the evening were credible and came across as proficient. They all alluded to having their own personal money at play on the platform. happy your comments in this thread very closely align with my views and approach to FC these days. Just back from sunnier climes, yes thanks marc77 for taking the trouble to provide us with the FC update. I see a little problem with my current FC strategy though as recently either new property deals have been disappearing before I check the site (once or twice a day) or there are virtually no new property loans of FC at the moment. Has anyone else noticed the recent lack of new property loans?
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