adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 29, 2024 10:45:16 GMT
3 years of stability? Is that the best you can expect from coalition government? TBF, it's better than we're doing nationally, with a large majority.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 29, 2024 10:01:01 GMT
What a great thing coalition government is.
Weeeelll... He's facing the no-confidence vote because he walked away from the coalition that'd been stable for three years... So the issue isn't coalition, it's a leader of a minority government who none of the other parties trust.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 29, 2024 7:13:12 GMT
As usual out of context (literally lifted mid-sentence) nonsense. The entire paragraph says... "The Home Office has said Rwanda has an initial capacity to take 200 people a year, but there are plans to increase that number when the scheme begins."There are a myriad of other sources, including the Deputy PM being quoted. If you're relying on "but there are plans..." to state that the initial capacity of 200 per year is somehow "nonsense", then I admire your optimism. Also: researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-9568/CBP-9568.pdfThat parliamentary briefing doc also contains the paragraph... (p28) "In terms of accommodation, the evidence before the High Court in 2022 was that “the physical capacity for housing asylum seekers in Rwanda was limited to 100”. The Home Office gave an initial figure of 200 beds"sourced to this parliamentary answer given by the then Immigration Minister - questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2022-11-28/97762So what do you think the capacity is? What are your sources? Actually, my quoted price for the scheme was low. I forgot the £171k/person *on top* of the numbers I quoted, so £1,800,000/person for the first 300. (p4 of that parliamentary briefing doc)
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 20:21:10 GMT
EDIT: Actually, sorry that isn't true. They ensured that they honoured the pledge that Brexit allowed us to 'take back control of our borders'. That'll be the borders we always had 100% control of when it came to non-EU nationals, and a range of things they could have implemented but chose not to for EU nationals...?
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 20:15:37 GMT
2023: "Small boats" arrivals - c.44,000 Asylum applications - 84,000 (81,000 in 2022) Asylum decisions - 42,000 (16,500 in 2022) Asylum application backlog - 129,000 Net migration - 672,000 Immigration - 1,180,000 Rwanda scheme's annual capacity - 200Rwanda scheme contractual cost - £370,000,000 fixed plus contractual £120,000,000 once 300 people have been relocated. Cost per head for first 300 across 18 months - £1,630,000 Amount paid to date - £240,000,000 to end of 2023 Number of people relocated to date - 0 Where does that come from? The Home Office. www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-67656220
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 19:20:45 GMT
2023: "Small boats" arrivals - c.44,000 Asylum applications - 84,000 (81,000 in 2022) Asylum decisions - 42,000 (16,500 in 2022) Asylum application backlog - 129,000 Net migration - 672,000 Immigration - 1,180,000
Rwanda scheme's annual capacity - 200 Rwanda scheme contractual cost - £370,000,000 fixed plus contractual £120,000,000 once 300 people have been relocated. Cost per head for first 300 across 18 months - £1,630,000
Amount paid to date - £240,000,000 to end of 2023 Number of people relocated to date - 0
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 14:51:59 GMT
The likelihood of Russia destroying undersea cables under the English Channel or North Sea is not high.The likelihood of them cutting undersea gas pipelines under the Baltic, otoh... Oh, wait. As for consumption - it's fallen markedly over the last decade or two... Energy efficiency! Low-energy lighting, increased insulation, more efficient machinery and appliances. And, yes, also the move of manufacturing offshore... The peak was around the early '00s, nearly 400TWh. Last year was around 300TWh, lowest since the mid '80s. Evidence? No me neither but I suggest the more war mongering leaders we have in the west with similar views to yourself, the more likely it is we will indeed have the world war you seem to crave. I think you dropped the box of fridge poetry again.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 12:28:00 GMT
Not just generative AI - datacentres of all flavours are a huge energy consumer, not only for powering the kit within, but especially for cooling. Global datacentre consumption was already around the same figure as the UK's total consumption - about 300TWh/year - a couple of years ago, and even with more efficient hardware, it's only going to go up. That figure *excludes* crypto mining, in large part because it's much more clandestine and hard to quantify - but is estimated to be at least another third (similar to the GenAI prediction) so north of 400TWh. More interesting is when you look at per capita consumption. The US is about 2.5x the UK... which puts it outside the global top ten! Both nice green energy-efficient Sweden and Norway are *WAAAAAAY* up in the leagues, topped by Iceland at nearly 5x the US figure, more than 10x UK. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electricity_consumption
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 9:26:01 GMT
I agree at one level that the import of fuel from an unstable middle east is the immediate security issue, however if we ,godforbid got in a fisty cuffs with our Russian friends those cables are very vulnerable and lpg transported by sea from the US is also. That spare cheap electric from the EU may not be available for long as transport and heating goes electric in Europe at an increasing rate gobling up capacity. I know people do not like it but solar ,on shore wind and that magic large scale economic storage I think is the long term answer if the tecnical storage issue is solved. Nuclear energy will play a part but it's not really renewable and it is expensive. The likelihood of Russia destroying undersea cables under the English Channel or North Sea is not high. The likelihood of them cutting undersea gas pipelines under the Baltic, otoh... Oh, wait. As for consumption - it's fallen markedly over the last decade or two... Energy efficiency! Low-energy lighting, increased insulation, more efficient machinery and appliances. And, yes, also the move of manufacturing offshore... The peak was around the early '00s, nearly 400TWh. Last year was around 300TWh, lowest since the mid '80s.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 8:57:05 GMT
We're all the kind of people who will have perfectly acceptable photo ID already - passports, driving licences. Youngsters All the oldiewonks have photocards. Everybody who's reached 70... (Also everybody who's changed address in the last quarter of a century)
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 8:11:07 GMT
gridwatch.co.uk/www.ofgem.gov.uk/energy-policy-and-regulation/policy-and-regulatory-programmes/interconnectorsImport France IFA = 1GW (2GW capacity) France IFA2 = 1GW (1GW) France Eleclink = 1GW (1GW) NL = 1GW (1GW) Belgium Nemo = 850MW (1GW) Norway (NSL) = 850MW (1.4GW) Export Ireland Moyle = 450MW (500MW capacity) Ireland EW = 530MW (500MW) Denmark = 60MW (1.4GW) Usage = 28GW I make that net import of 5.1GW, so 18%. UK renewable generation is 37% (includes biomass, excludes nuclear), UK carbon neutral generation is 52% (includes nuclear, excludes biomass) The import countries are all primarily nuclear or renewable generation. UK fossil generation is 16%. It's importing gas and oil from the gulf and from the eastern fringes of eurasia that are the threats to energy security, not importing "green" electricity from next-door neighbours in the EU and EEA.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 28, 2024 7:38:00 GMT
Has everyone sorted out their Voter ID for the elections We're all the kind of people who will have perfectly acceptable photo ID already - passports, driving licences. We're not the ones that the blatant attempt at disenfranchisement and gerrymandering is aimed at. Only Police & Crime Commissioner round here, too. One candidate from each of the main four parties, plus one from a hate-based extremist party. We've had precisely zero from any of the main four, my mother (lives in the same area) has had just one from the bigot. Looking at the online promises, they're all for good things and against bad things, except for the one who's against lots of good things.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 27, 2024 16:27:10 GMT
Quick question... Which general election manifesto was the first to introduce the right to buy council housing? Answer: Labour, 1959... The issue isn't the right to buy. The issue is that local authorities can't replace the stock. The 1959 change didn't give the right to buy, just a possibility to buy, which already existed in a limited way from 1936 apparently. '1.1 Before ‘right to buy’
Legislation on the construction and sale of local authority housing was introduced from the end of the first world war onwards:
The Housing, Town Planning, &c. Act 1919 introduced council housing to the UK for the first time.
The Housing Act 1936 permitted local authorities to sell their social housing stock to tenants with ministerial consent.
The House Purchase and Housing Act 1959 removed the requirement of ministerial consent for sale. Tenants were still unable to purchase their home without agreement from the local authority.
1.2 Housing Act 1980
In 1980, the then government passed legislation which enabled many local authority tenants to buy their home at a discounted rate. This followed a pledge in the 1979 Conservative Party manifesto to give local authority tenants the ‘right to buy’ their own home. The manifesto said that helping people into home ownership was one of party’s “five tasks”. After winning the subsequent general election, the new Conservative government introduced the Housing Act 1980. This act gave the tenants of over 5mn local authority houses in England and Wales the right to purchase their home.....'1959 was a Labour manifesto pledge. They lost the election. It didn't happen. www.labour-party.org.uk/manifestos/1959/1959-labour-manifesto.shtml"Housing Labour's policy has two aims: to help people buy their own homes and to ensure an adequate supply of decent houses to let at a fair rent.
As a first step we shall repeal the Rent Act, restore security of tenure to decontrolled houses, stop further decontrol, and ensure fair rents by giving a right of appeal to rent tribunals.
The return of a Tory Government would mean further rent increases and the decontrol of many more houses. We say this despite the official Tory assurance that there will be no decontrol during the life of the next Parliament-for we remember what happened last time.
During the 1955 Election Mr. Bevan prophesied that rents of controlled houses would be increased if the Conservatives came back to power. Two days later the Conservative Central Office denied this, and said there was no truth in his statement. In 1957 the Conservative Government introduced the Rent Act.
Under the Tories, home purchasers have been subject to unpredictable and burden-some increases of interest rates. Labour will bring interest rates down. We shall also reform leasehold law to enable leaseholders with long leases to buy their own homes.
Council building of rented houses has been slashed under the Tories chiefly as a result of higher interest rates and the abolition of the general housing subsidy. We shall reverse their policy by restoring the subsidy and providing cheaper money for housing purposes. We shall encourage councils to press on with slum clearance.
At the last count there were seven million households in Britain with no bath, and over three million sharing or entirely without a w.c. The Tories have tried to induce private land lords to improve their property by means of public grants, with very small success. Labour's plan is that, with reasonable exceptions, local councils shall take over houses which were rent-controlled before 1 January, 1956, and are still tenanted. They will repair and modernise these houses and let them at fair rents. This is a big job which will take time and its speed will vary according to local conditions.
Every tenant, however, will have a chance first to buy from the Council the house he lives in; and all Council tenants in future will enjoy the same security of tenure as rent-restricted tenants."
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 27, 2024 15:32:37 GMT
You do like to pick your sources, don't you? Judge Andrew Napolitano's podcast. Napolitano is a Trump loyalist, who used one of his regular slots on Fox News (before he was sacked amongst sexual harrassment allegations) to claim that British Intelligence were bugging Trump Tower at Obama's request, argued the civil war was about taxes not slavery, that inter-racial marriage and same-sex marriage are indistinguishable (and, obvs, wrong), is a 9/11 denier. Meanwhile, Mearsheimer claimed in the early days of the first Gulf War that it'd be a walkover, has argued for a decade that the US is on a collision course for war with China, thought Ukraine should have kept its post-USSR nukes, and... <drum-roll> thought in 2014 that the annexation of Crimea etc was all the US's fault... Oh, and that Sweden and Finland joining NATO increases their threat from Russia, too. So, yeh. You're not straying far from finding stuff that merely supports your preconceptions, are you? I cant comment on these allegations you are making against these highly respected individuals. They're all very well documented. Simple facts, in other words. www.thedailybeast.com/judge-andrew-napolitano-resurfaces-on-newsmax-after-fox-news-ouster-over-sexual-misconduct-claimswww.huffpost.com/entry/andrew-napolitano-fox-bus_n_788219www.jstor.org/stable/24483306I thought you "did your own research"? A very large part of that is validating the credibility of sources, y'know.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Apr 27, 2024 15:21:03 GMT
An excellent independent summary of the situation in Ukraine. You do like to pick your sources, don't you? Judge Andrew Napolitano's podcast. Napolitano is a Trump loyalist, who used one of his regular slots on Fox News (before he was sacked amongst sexual harrassment allegations) to claim that British Intelligence were bugging Trump Tower at Obama's request, argued the civil war was about taxes not slavery, that inter-racial marriage and same-sex marriage are indistinguishable (and, obvs, wrong), is a 9/11 denier. Meanwhile, Mearsheimer claimed in the early days of the first Gulf War that it'd be a walkover, has argued for a decade that the US is on a collision course for war with China, thought Ukraine should have kept its post-USSR nukes, and... <drum-roll> thought in 2014 that the annexation of Crimea etc was all the US's fault... Oh, and that Sweden and Finland joining NATO increases their threat from Russia, too. So, yeh. You're not straying far from finding stuff that merely supports your preconceptions, are you?
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