adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Dec 5, 2021 8:42:10 GMT
I agree, Grey is partial. But he's also the most informed, cogent, and coherent commentator I know of. I would welcome the equivalent from the Brexit supporting perspective. If anybody is aware of such a commentator / blog then please let me know. I would say www.eureferendum.com/ but he's kind of moved away from Brexit these days on to other issues where he can bash the govt & legacy media. So, just to clarify, the most informed, cogent and coherent brexit-supporting commentator has moved away from supporting Brexit to bashing the architects of the Brexit reality we are faced with...? The government led by the people who led the leave campaign, who were elected on the somewhat unequivocal slogan of "get brexit done", and who delayed the original Brexit date because they preferred the current Brexit? There was a plan?
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registerme
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Post by registerme on Dec 5, 2021 11:40:58 GMT
I would say www.eureferendum.com/ but he's kind of moved away from Brexit these days on to other issues where he can bash the govt & legacy media. However, if youre brave there's about 20 years of Brexit stuff, including the original Brexit plan. Thanks, I'll take a look .
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daveb
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Post by daveb on Dec 5, 2021 16:36:26 GMT
From the site mentioned above: "Dr Richard North is co-author, with Christopher Booker, of The Great Deception - the definitive history of the EU - and before that co-author of two other books on EU-related matters. He was group research director of the EDD group in the European Parliament, and has in that capacity written numerous pamphlets and articles on EU matters."
ISTR that Booker changed his mind to supporting EEA membership after pretty much a lifetime of criticising the EU. Booker always struck me as a highly intelligent and thought-provoking commentator though sometimes hard to agree with
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Post by bernythedolt on Dec 6, 2021 2:35:38 GMT
I'm not going to try and enter into a debate about the glaring partiality in Grey's work as I know that works both ways; but look,given where we are, and speaking as a borderline "Remainer", wouldn't the glittering array of experts oft quoted in Grey's musings be far better employed putting their humungus brain power together in working collaboratively to achieve a more progressive, fairer and wealthy society for all, rather than constantly doing their utmost to show how they were right and the "numbskulls" were WRONG. Especially given that the decision has been made, we ain't going back and the country surely has to unite and look forward with at least a modicum of positivity and optimism? An interesting (and provocative, in a good way) reply, thank you. I agree, Grey is partial. But he's also the most informed, cogent, and coherent commentator I know of. I would welcome the equivalent from the Brexit supporting perspective. If anybody is aware of such a commentator / blog then please let me know. fwiw I really enjoyed the rather anti-EU Charlemagne piece in the Economist this week. I thought it nailed a perfectly valid criticism of the EU that would resonate with some forumites. Yes, the decision has been made. But that's not to say it can't be unmade at some point in the future. I don't want to spend any (more) time on that because we've collectively done it to death before in this thread. If we, as a country, are to "unite and start looking forwards" then we must start from a position of honesty. We must be honest with ourselves, and we must be honest with each other. That honesty is utterly absent from the Leaver side of the public debate. Until I see some evidence of that I am entitled to feel extremely angry about how events played out. Reconciliation is needed. That is dependent on truth. I used those two words deliberately. I'm absolutely for a more progressive, fairer and wealthier society for all. I'm also for a more tolerant society for all. Unfortunately the latter is nastily entangled in the wider debate (culture wars etc). The start of the answer to both issues is to vote the current shower out. As soon as possible. You are normally very balanced in your contributions, registerme, so you'll appreciate that honesty has to work both ways round. I would have to question the honesty of those Remainer politicians and others who used every underhand trick in the book to thwart the democratic will of the people at every turn. - Blair briefing France on how best to negotiate against the UK and exploit our weaknesses. Underhand, dishonest, two sides of the same coin.
- The 'required-to-be-impartial' Speaker - you know, the one riding around with "Bo****ks to Brexit" stickers emblazoned on his vehicles (of great mirth, I'm sure, to those more highly educated Remainers we keep hearing about) - using every means at his disposal to thwart the democratically expressed mandate. The man was a disgrace and made a mockery of this critical appointment requiring impartiality as its prime attribute.
- Pre-referendum, Nick Clegg lecturing Nigel Farage that plans for an EU army were fantasy. Three months post-referendum, Juncker proposing exactly that.
- The mere act of voting to leave, we were assured, would have an immediate impact on the UK economy.... following the vote, GDP rose 3%.
- Cameron, Major, Ashdown, Clegg and others stating the vote is a once-in-a-generation event and we stand by it whatever the outcome... then campaigning shamelessly for a re-run when it went against them.
- Companies would leave the UK in their droves... Nissan would leave Sunderland.... yet UK car manufacturing went on to increase, prior to Covid.
- All those MPs who stood for re-election on a ticket of completing Brexit... and then did everything in their power to prevent it.
If the defining characteristic here is honesty, I'm not sure either side emerges with a clean bill of health. Overall I agree with your sentiment, but how many politicians are honest these days, be they Leavers or Remainers?
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Dec 6, 2021 8:12:53 GMT
An interesting (and provocative, in a good way) reply, thank you. I agree, Grey is partial. But he's also the most informed, cogent, and coherent commentator I know of. I would welcome the equivalent from the Brexit supporting perspective. If anybody is aware of such a commentator / blog then please let me know. fwiw I really enjoyed the rather anti-EU Charlemagne piece in the Economist this week. I thought it nailed a perfectly valid criticism of the EU that would resonate with some forumites. Yes, the decision has been made. But that's not to say it can't be unmade at some point in the future. I don't want to spend any (more) time on that because we've collectively done it to death before in this thread. If we, as a country, are to "unite and start looking forwards" then we must start from a position of honesty. We must be honest with ourselves, and we must be honest with each other. That honesty is utterly absent from the Leaver side of the public debate. Until I see some evidence of that I am entitled to feel extremely angry about how events played out. Reconciliation is needed. That is dependent on truth. I used those two words deliberately. I'm absolutely for a more progressive, fairer and wealthier society for all. I'm also for a more tolerant society for all. Unfortunately the latter is nastily entangled in the wider debate (culture wars etc). The start of the answer to both issues is to vote the current shower out. As soon as possible. You are normally very balanced in your contributions, registerme , so you'll appreciate that honesty has to work both ways round. I would have to question the honesty of those Remainer politicians and others who used every underhand trick in the book to thwart the democratic will of the people at every turn. - Blair briefing France on how best to negotiate against the UK and exploit our weaknesses. Underhand, dishonest, two sides of the same coin.
- The 'required-to-be-impartial' Speaker - you know, the one riding around with "Bo****ks to Brexit" stickers emblazoned on his vehicles (of great mirth, I'm sure, to those more highly educated Remainers we keep hearing about) - using every means at his disposal to thwart the democratically expressed mandate. The man was a disgrace and made a mockery of this critical appointment requiring impartiality as its prime attribute.
- Pre-referendum, Nick Clegg lecturing Nigel Farage that plans for an EU army were fantasy. Three months post-referendum, Juncker proposing exactly that.
- The mere act of voting to leave, we were assured, would have an immediate impact on the UK economy.... following the vote, GDP rose 3%.
- Cameron, Major, Ashdown, Clegg and others stating the vote is a once-in-a-generation event and we stand by it whatever the outcome... then campaigning shamelessly for a re-run when it went against them.
- Companies would leave the UK in their droves... Nissan would leave Sunderland.... yet UK car manufacturing went on to increase, prior to Covid.
- All those MPs who stood for re-election on a ticket of completing Brexit... and then did everything in their power to prevent it.
If the defining characteristic here is honesty, I'm not sure either side emerges with a clean bill of health. Overall I agree with your sentiment, but how many politicians are honest these days, be they Leavers or Remainers? Do you really believe ANY of that, let alone all of it? Do you not think blatantly lying in the campaigning was "thwarting the democratic will" to a much greater extent? The headline claim, plastered on the side of the campaign bus, was so egregious the government's own statistics agency went public in calling it as a lie before the vote - yet it remained in use. Which MPs did most to "prevent Brexit completing"? The ones who voted for A50 498 to 114 in Feb 2017? Or the ones who lied that starting the two year A50 clock was necessary to "start negotiations"? Or the ones who then delayed the expiry of the A50 clock because they didn't like where the negotiations had got to in that time? As for car manufacturing - Honda announced the closure of Swindon at the start of 2019. Nissan said Brexit threatened the survival of Sunderland in 2018. Toyota warned against no-deal in 2018. PSA threatened to close Ellesmere Port in 2019 if Brexit hit profitability and that no-deal could not be considered. Peak of production of 1.76m units in the rolling year ending April 2017, falling below 1.7m in the rolling year ending starting with the referendum, down to 1.39m in the year ending April 2019. In what way did Bercow "thwart" anything? Do you really believe the EU negotiators needed Blair to brief anything? "The French" didn't even take part in the negotiations. What do you notice about the official photos of the very early stages of negotiation?
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registerme
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Post by registerme on Dec 6, 2021 10:42:31 GMT
You are normally very balanced in your contributions, registerme , so you'll appreciate that honesty has to work both ways round. I would have to question the honesty of those Remainer politicians and others who used every underhand trick in the book to thwart the democratic will of the people at every turn. - Blair briefing France on how best to negotiate against the UK and exploit our weaknesses. Underhand, dishonest, two sides of the same coin.
- The 'required-to-be-impartial' Speaker - you know, the one riding around with "Bo****ks to Brexit" stickers emblazoned on his vehicles (of great mirth, I'm sure, to those more highly educated Remainers we keep hearing about) - using every means at his disposal to thwart the democratically expressed mandate. The man was a disgrace and made a mockery of this critical appointment requiring impartiality as its prime attribute.
- Pre-referendum, Nick Clegg lecturing Nigel Farage that plans for an EU army were fantasy. Three months post-referendum, Juncker proposing exactly that.
- The mere act of voting to leave, we were assured, would have an immediate impact on the UK economy.... following the vote, GDP rose 3%.
- Cameron, Major, Ashdown, Clegg and others stating the vote is a once-in-a-generation event and we stand by it whatever the outcome... then campaigning shamelessly for a re-run when it went against them.
- Companies would leave the UK in their droves... Nissan would leave Sunderland.... yet UK car manufacturing went on to increase, prior to Covid.
- All those MPs who stood for re-election on a ticket of completing Brexit... and then did everything in their power to prevent it.
If the defining characteristic here is honesty, I'm not sure either side emerges with a clean bill of health. Overall I agree with your sentiment, but how many politicians are honest these days, be they Leavers or Remainers? Hi bernythedolt , Absolutely, honesty has to work both ways. One thing I should clarify though is that by saying "That honesty is utterly absent from the Leaver side of the public debate" is that by using the present tense I meant now, and by "Leaver side" I meant politicians and those in the public eye, not the general public, or forumites in general or specifically. That out of the way:- * If Blair did that then yes, he should be robustly criticised for it. * Re Bercow. I don't remember the details but I seem to think that what he was trying to do was to maintain parliament's constitutional role in events (compare and contrast with Johnson proroguing parliament). I do accept that Bercow is a red rag to a leaver bull though. Certainly some of my leaver friends are extremely angry about him and his behaviour. And I've never really understood it . * As I suspect you know talking of an "EU army" is a gross over-simplification, though I accept that it handed ammunition (sorry) to the Leaver side of the argument at the time. * I agree that the economic doom-mongering was overdone. It would have been far more accurate to talk about the long term drag leaving the EU would have. Where did you get your 3% figure? From data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2020&locations=GB&start=2010&view=chart it looks like GDP growth stayed on a slight downward trend, following the referendum, up until COVID. Anyway, we'll have to see how things play out over the next few years as things like import checks are applied, the changing nature of immigration works out, and any regulatory divergence starts affecting things. * I didn't, and don't, agree with those campaigning for a re-run (though as I implied in my post that wouldn't have stopped Farage et al campaigning to leave had the vote gone against them). I think there are some grounds for complaint about how the referendum was run, but you agree the rules ahead of the game, not after you've lost it. fwiw I don't expect the UK to attempt to rejoin the EU in my lifetime, and if it did try to do so and one of the conditions was that we adopt the Euro I would have to think long and hard about it. * Re companies leaving the UK in droves. Yes, that was overstated, but yes, it is happening. As with the economy bullet above it will take years to play out. * MPs standing for re-election on a ticket of completing Brexit (which hasn't been done yet) and then trying to prevent it - yes, that would anger and frustrate me. Vote them out then! I agree with you, neither side emerges with a clean bill of health, though I am clear in my mind as to which side is currently (I wanted to say "remains" but...) more diseased. And yes, I hold most of our political body, of all sides, in contempt.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Dec 6, 2021 11:20:27 GMT
* As I suspect you know talking of an "EU army" is a gross over-simplification, though I accept that it handed ammunition (sorry) to the Leaver side of the argument at the time. Ramping up the existing military co-operation sounds to me like an excellent idea... Economies of scale, for a start. And that's all that what was being proposed towards the end of 2016. www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-37359196A common headquarters with liaison between members' own forces, like NATO's SHAPE, which has been in Belgium since 1967. shape.nato.int/And, indeed, Farage explicitly said an interview in May 2016, before the vote (when he thought leave would lose), that 52/48 would be "unfinished business". www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/nigel-farage-wants-second-referendum-7985017He also said that 2:1 would "finish it" - clearly, the 1975 result being almost exactly that was not... But would having a second vote, based on the results of the negotiations, have been a bad thing? "This is what leave would look like, do you still want to do it?"It's exactly what JRM proposed in 2011. publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201011/cmhansrd/cm111024/debtext/111024-0003.htm#11102441000299
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Post by bernythedolt on Dec 6, 2021 11:45:06 GMT
Sorry registerme, I didn't have the time or inclination to check every point in depth, it was more to demonstrate in more general terms that both sides lied and used underhand tactics. I took the 3% figure from here. Without checking the ONS source, and taking your chart as gospel, it looks like GDP growth remained at around 2% for 2016. Nevertheless, the bullet point essentially still stands. The vote itself didn't affect GDP as it was predicted to. adrianc ... I see a Frenchman at that table.
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Post by bernythedolt on Dec 6, 2021 11:53:56 GMT
* As I suspect you know talking of an "EU army" is a gross over-simplification, though I accept that it handed ammunition (sorry) to the Leaver side of the argument at the time. Ramping up the existing military co-operation sounds to me like an excellent idea... Economies of scale, for a start. Good idea or not (and not everyone will agree), the point is, Remainer Clegg lied about this and told Farage he was fantasising when he raised it.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Dec 6, 2021 11:59:32 GMT
Ramping up the existing military co-operation sounds to me like an excellent idea... Economies of scale, for a start. Good idea or not (and not everyone will agree), the point is, Remainer Clegg lied about this and told Farage he was fantasising when he raised it. Except for the minor detail that he didn't, and he was. Read the next two sentences from the one you quoted. Is NATO's SHAPE a single NATO army? No. That doesn't mean he was negotiating on behalf of France... What I see is some prepared professionals with a pile of documents... and some smug unprepared amateurs with nothing in front of them. His explanation (a year and a bit later) was just... "But you ask yourself, who’s the person better briefed, the person who’s got it in their head or the person who’s got a foot of papers in front of them. Eh?"
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keitha
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Post by keitha on Dec 6, 2021 12:22:45 GMT
I'll repeat something I've said before:-
the 2 most rabid leavers I know were 2 poles living in the UK, who constantly moaned about the Eastern Europeans ( Latvians etc ) coming to the UK and stealing their jobs.
Many of the other very pro leavers in coastal Lincolnshire, were on the "They are stealing our jobs" bandwagon ( I'm actually related to a couple of them ) whole areas in certain towns were very pro leave, and a great many of those areas are deprived, with high unemployment. These same people would not even consider doing the roles eg Veg picking and packing etc, but they are still "our jobs"
I have to admit to being a leaver, but it still amazes me that people in deprived areas, specifically those that have benefitted from EU funding voted to leave.
I also know of a couple who voted leave "we knew remain would win, but it was a protest", and another successful business owner who voted leave " the EU will make us a good offer to stay".
On the other hand a well educated younger person I know voted remain as if we left the EU flight times to Europe would be longer as we would be further away, he seriously seemed to believe that we would physically move further away.
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JamesFrance
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Post by JamesFrance on Dec 6, 2021 15:47:53 GMT
Do you remember this video? It was why a lot of people favoured Brexit.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Dec 6, 2021 16:38:05 GMT
Do you remember this video? It was why a lot of people favoured Brexit.
It really wasn't. It might be an excuse that the utterly convinced used to pretend they were ever wavering, but its mainstream impact was precisely zero. "140,503 views"And, in a great example of circularity... "According to the film's official website, by the end of production, a total of over £300,000 had been raised by over 1,800 contributors. One of the producers of the film David Shipley was convicted of fraud by false representation and received a jail sentence of three years and nine months in February 2020. The fraud occurred in 2014 when he was attempting to find funding for his corporate finance advisory firm Spitfire Capital. The firm provided £50,000 towards the production of the film."
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JamesFrance
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Post by JamesFrance on Dec 6, 2021 17:07:42 GMT
Your usual copy and paste, this time from Wikipedia adrianc
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Dec 6, 2021 17:08:28 GMT
Your usual copy and paste, this time from Wikipedia adrianc Correct. The italics and quotation marks were a clue that it was a quote. My apologies for not providing a source. Are you suggesting it's a lie, and a sixth of the barely-viewed film wasn't funded from the proceeds of fraud? www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-51404548
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