What has concerned you in the news today

Must admit, the same thought crossed my mind very fleetingly, but it quickly dawned that even the might of his plaintiff Hewlett Packard probably couldn't drum up a storm force hurricane at sea!    

I was intrigued about "Bayesian" too, but reading that his firm had specialised in statistical-based software for his client companies, the name of the vessel (which I assume was his) would fit. 

million to 1 shots always come up 

11,234 to 1 shots never

What's the relevance of that figure, where does it come from?  

This case is reminiscent of that murder in the Alps mystery from 2012, where the estranged husband of the wife murdered just happened to die of a heart attack in America on the very same day. 

I did some rough, back of an envelope, calculations yesterday.  Given the age of the two men in this latest case, they each had a life expectancy of ~10,000 - 12,000 days ahead of them, broadly speaking.  

An actuary would be more accurate here, but (in the simplest, uniform distribution - which is far from the case) the odds of both dying on the same day would be somewhere around 1 in 11,000.  But the probability of both dying so early in life must surely be much lower.  Perhaps somewhere closer to 1 in 50,000 or 1 in 100,000, as a very 'wet finger in the air'?  So I'm intrigued as to who's mentioned 11,234 and how it was derived.   

I  have to say that there's no way anybody would get me on a yacht if it's CAPTION was "We didn't see it coming"

Not terribly suspicious.

He was out jogging, and was hit by a car. The driver was a middle-aged local woman who stayed on the scene and is helping police with their enquiries.

Coincidences aren't conspiracies.

Also - given that the others missing on the yacht include a senior partner in one of the biggest global law firms and the president of a very major global bank... that'd be some serious collateral damage.

Wasn't that what the captain of the Titanic said