mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Mar 9, 2015 17:09:20 GMT
Perhaps I should have started a new thread, but I decided to re-use an old one. I see there's new info today regarding £5k loan #765593596, which was due for repayment last week... No surprise there, since I expect that a considerable proportion of pawnbroker 'loans' are not repaid. I was most surprised, however, to see a further comment, also dated today... That's great news, but it's an incredible contrast with £500 loan #589148050 which was due a few days before Christmas, and which we're still waiting for resolution on. The latest comment on that loan is... Aside from the fact that 'early March' is just about over and we're about to go into 'mid-March', why does one loan get resolved instantly, and another -- quite small, really -- drag on for three months? Perhaps fundingsecure would care to comment? And, in case anybody was wondering, I have no message from FS about this other than the standard "One of your investments has been completed and closed. All received funds should now have been transferred into your account."
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Post by fundingsecure on Mar 10, 2015 8:47:14 GMT
MikeS,
hopefully I can clarify some of the points you raise.
For every loan we have to plan a route to dispose of assets in the event of a default. This is done, at least in outline, at the time the loan is accepted. In each case we have to make sure that we understand, and obtain, fair market value. This is a legal requirement and can be achieved by offering at auction or by obtaining multiple independant estimates of value.
For some items disposing of them is simple - if one of the valuers has underwritten the amount we can go back to them to sell the asset directly. For other items we may have to wait for a suitable auction - or repeated auctions if they do not sell initially. Clearly if they continually do not sell at auction we have to make other arrangements - with alternative auctions, private sellers etc.
For some assets we are able to set up the necessary arrangements even before the term date - for example if the borrower notifies us in advance that they will not be repaying. In other cases it will take longer. This is especially true if the borrower has previously indicated their intention to repay - and then either is very late or doesn't repay. Of course we still prepare, as much as possible, for a potential default, but it is usually in everyone's interest if the borrower does repay.
The final point is very simple - some assets are very easy to sell, some are more difficult. For example one piece of jewellery may be modern and the market for it extremely good. Another piece of jewellery may simply be out of fashion with a very thin potential market.
Of course, added to the above, we are also constrained by consumer law - which dictates actions and timetables that must be followed in the event of a default.
Hope this helps a little.
FundingSecure
PS: regarding email notification - whenever a loan is completed (whether repaid, renewed,defaulted) an email is sent to all active investors in that loan. The loan will then appear at the top of your list of completed loans in "My Investment History". In the event of a default the actual return information is added to the loan details.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Mar 10, 2015 16:00:27 GMT
In each case we have to make sure that we understand, and obtain, fair market value. This is a legal requirement and can be achieved by offering at auction or by obtaining multiple independant estimates of value. Of course, added to the above, we are also constrained by consumer law - which dictates actions and timetables that must be followed in the event of a default. Hope this helps a little. fundingsecure: It does help. Thank you very much. Is it fair to presume that -- in the case of the loan that was declared a default yesterday and then was settled that same day -- the borrower already had notified FS that they would not be repaying, so that FS could go through all the "actions and timetables that must be followed", such as obtaining multiple valuations and notifying the 'borrower' that their security was about to be sold, before the loan officially was declared to be a default? And finally, could you please indicate exactly when "in early March" the rings from loan #589148050 were, or will be, auctioned and roughly how long after that you expect to be able to tell lenders the result of that?
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spockie
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Post by spockie on Mar 12, 2015 20:50:58 GMT
It would be good if fundingsecure could update us on where we are with the Lubin paintings. The loan was due to repay in November, so more than three months have elapsed and seemingly not a single painting as been sold, given that lenders were going to be paid a sum each time a painting was sold. Can you let us know what is happening please?
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sqh
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Post by sqh on Mar 18, 2015 2:57:14 GMT
It would be good if fundingsecure could update us on where we are with the Lubin paintings. The loan was due to repay in November, so more than three months have elapsed and seemingly not a single painting as been sold, given that lenders were going to be paid a sum each time a painting was sold. Can you let us know what is happening please? Update on the loan posted 16th March and monthly updates to follow.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Mar 18, 2015 4:25:29 GMT
It would be good if fundingsecure could update us on where we are with the Lubin paintings. The loan was due to repay in November, so more than three months have elapsed and seemingly not a single painting as been sold, given that lenders were going to be paid a sum each time a painting was sold. Can you let us know what is happening please? Update on the loan posted 16th March and monthly updates to follow. And a not very encouraging update at that. The conclusion I'm coming to is that if a loan secured on a specialist item defaults then the recovery process could be very slow.
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ramblin rose
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Post by ramblin rose on Mar 18, 2015 8:59:10 GMT
Update on the loan posted 16th March and monthly updates to follow. And a not very encouraging update at that. The conclusion I'm coming to is that if a loan secured on a specialist item defaults then the recovery process could be very slow. Yes, I think you are right. It underlines what we've been saying for a very long time, but what the influx of new lenders might not necessarily have considered properly - nobody should lend p2p money that they might need access to EVEN AT THE END OF THE APPARENT LOAN TERM. A liquid secondary market always helps with that, but even then, there are no guarantees. There are several p2p platforms with very active secondary markets but where lenders are currently locked in to loans until disposal of a tricksy asset is eventually sorted out. Caveat Lender - to mash up a phrase
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merlin
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Post by merlin on Mar 18, 2015 9:26:54 GMT
I would go just a little bit more cautious than RR. So my policy has always been with P2P and other high earning funds, don't lend what you cannot afford to lose. For as sure as God makes little apples in this investment zone you will almost certainly lose something some when.
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bugs4me
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Post by bugs4me on Mar 18, 2015 10:32:45 GMT
Update on the loan posted 16th March and monthly updates to follow. And a not very encouraging update at that. The conclusion I'm coming to is that if a loan secured on a specialist item defaults then the recovery process could be very slow. mikes1531 - spot on and I wish all, sorry ALL P2P lenders were members of this forum. Many though are simply fazed by the headline rate and no doubt the FCA logo. All other warnings are not absorbed into the brain cell. I hope I'm wrong but my gut instinct is that sooner or later a platform will fail and once the media get their teeth into it then expect the FCA to jump in with their doc martin boots big time.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Apr 25, 2015 17:19:05 GMT
Persian Carpet Loan, #1826608530In their 23/Apr (Thursday) update, FS said... 'Tomorrow' has come and gone, and at the moment the loan is not showing either as repaid or as defaulted. fundingsecure: I think an update is overdue. Perhaps I should make it clear that I agree that a consensual solution with the borrower is likely to produce the best result for everyone. So I'm happy to wait a little while for the borrower to raise the funds to either repay or renew the loan. But I would like to be kept informed of the progress. And if FS say that something will happen on a specific day, then I expect them either to do what they've said or provide an update letting their investors know why it didn't happen and where things stand. Am I being unreasonable?
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ilmoro
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Post by ilmoro on Apr 26, 2015 10:45:09 GMT
although the rates of return are also sinking. On that note, think they need to offer a slightly! higher rate on this forthcoming loan 2103187348 'Clock, Posters, Titanic'
Looks doomed from the start
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Apr 26, 2015 13:10:16 GMT
On that note, think they need to offer a slightly! higher rate on this forthcoming loan 2103187348 'Clock, Posters, Titanic'
Looks doomed from the start I don't know what to think about the above loan. It would be a renewal of an existing loan. The amount is the same, the asset value is the same. So I do wonder what's really meant by the Status of 'Asset Checking'. FS looking in their vault to make sure the security hasn't jumped ship? As far as I'm concerned, the issue is communications. This loan was due yesterday, but there's no comment in the loan itself. Does the fact that the loan has appeared on the Coming Soon list mean the borrower has indicated they wish to renew the loan? Or has FS put it on the list just in case the borrower might want to renew?
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bugs4me
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Post by bugs4me on Apr 26, 2015 21:24:26 GMT
I don't know what to think about the above loan. It would be a renewal of an existing loan. The amount is the same, the asset value is the same. So I do wonder what's really meant by the Status of 'Asset Checking'. FS looking in their vault to make sure the security hasn't jumped ship? As far as I'm concerned, the issue is communications. This loan was due yesterday, but there's no comment in the loan itself. Does the fact that the loan has appeared on the Coming Soon list mean the borrower has indicated they wish to renew the loan? Or has FS put it on the list just in case the borrower might want to renew? There are concerns expressed elsewhere on the platform regarding the veracity of valuations and we appear to have "lost" the independent valuations that used to be issued as pdfs. I now only feel comfortable in lending on this platform against gold or watches where I can check values for myself. I expect independent valuations will be the exception rather than the default position. Whilst FS have lenders prepared to 'jump in' then there's really no incentive for them to incur the expense of having them. So I'm only going for items that I am personally comfortable with which equates to a gradual run off in my financial exposure to the platform. IMO though this is not unusual in the P2P world. Once a platform has what they feel are a sufficient number of lenders then the service element towards lenders tends to drift downwards.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Apr 27, 2015 11:07:18 GMT
In the short term this looks good on FS's record but what happens when the loans are due for repayment again. IMHO there isn't a problem as long as all renewals are accompanied by payment of all accrued interest and FS fees. At that point the renewal loan is not really different from a brand new loan. In those circumstances, I think I'd be happy for loans to be renewed multiple times. It is appropriate, of course, that values be rechecked every time there's a renewal to insure the security still is adequate. And if borrowers ever try to do a renewal that increases the loan size to cover the accrued interest/fees, that's probably the time to seriously consider opting out of the renewal, though it might be reasonable if the LTV is low and the valuation is believed to be reliable..
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on May 17, 2015 13:08:26 GMT
The current trend in defaults is concerning and I am glad I stayed away from the property loans on FS. There do seem to have been a lot of defaults recently, but I don't think we should be surprised. Someone quoted a statistic indicating what proportion of pawnbroking loans defaulted and, while I don't remember the number, IIRC the number was large. As long as the initial valuations are correct, recovery of capital and accrued interest should be achievable by selling the security, although the sale of unusual items can take a while and success depends on finding the right buyer. If there's anything to be concerned about, it's the reliability/accuracy of the valuations, and I have to say that does worry me, particularly after recent events at FS and another P2P platform where I have a significant investment. I haven't avoided property loans because I thought that the valuation process for those might be reasonably reliable. But I'm beginning to doubt that based on developments at another platform where the earlier valuations appear to have been generous, possibly because a valuation survey generally doesn't go into enough depth to expose structural problems or deferred maintenance issues that can make it hard to sell a property in a relatively short time if that becomes necessary/appropriate. And, similar to fine art, expensive one-of-a-kind properties can be difficult to sell for a good price in a hurry.
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