j
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Post by j on Apr 18, 2014 17:27:25 GMT
But it's good to see S/S growing from a rather inauspicious start to the present position and giving lenders what they really want rather than faffing about with additions which may look and sound nice but in reality add very little. Agreed. Be nice if we could make a little bit of profit from the secondary market too. Disagreed. My vote would be purely for liquidity purposes. Most boaty loans are relatively small, so if there is a profit to be earned on the SS SM, before you know it, every new loan, of which there aren't currently that many, will be bought up by one investor or the few that have the time and funds to do so, then flipped at the highest possible premium. At least for the period that SS are in the process of building their lender base, it's plain to see that AC's AM approach of 'no fee/no premium' works for all, whereas FC's ' profitable' SM is now clogged up with, what was the last count, 23,000 loan parts at par? Apart from than for any other reason, given the short term nature of loans on the SS platform, the smallest seller's premium would have a huge impact on the buyer's rate of return, which could open up a whole can of worms where the FCA are concerned. Couldn't agree more.
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j
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Penguins are very misunderstood!
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Post by j on Apr 18, 2014 17:32:18 GMT
Hi j, after discussion on this point we can confirm the secondary market will be fee free. Thanks for the prompt reply SS. I've dipped my toes in your recent property loans & will now certainly be looking out for more of your upcoming & secondary market opportunities to increase my investments on your platform
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Post by Duane Dibley on Apr 18, 2014 21:55:35 GMT
Disagreed. My vote would be purely for liquidity purposes. Most boaty loans are relatively small, so if there is a profit to be earned on the SS SM, before you know it, every new loan, of which there aren't currently that many, will be bought up by one investor or the few that have the time and funds to do so, then flipped at the highest possible premium. At least for the period that SS are in the process of building their lender base, it's plain to see that AC's AM approach of 'no fee/no premium' works for all, whereas FC's ' profitable' SM is now clogged up with, what was the last count, 23,000 loan parts at par? Apart from than for any other reason, given the short term nature of loans on the SS platform, the smallest seller's premium would have a huge impact on the buyer's rate of return, which could open up a whole can of worms where the FCA are concerned. Nah, can't agree. AC's AM 'works for all'? Seriously? Doesn't seem to be working much for anybody at the moment. There's the usual 3 bridging loans with massive underwriting, and well that's about it. I've never had a problem buying or selling at FC since they started in 2010. All my sales have been at par or at a premium, my latest just being yesterday at over 1% premium. For those who just want to buy whatever they can get their hands on and then sell at a quick profit a few months months later then it's not going to work longterm, but for those who put some time and effort buying and selling at the right time and the right price, a well funded aftermarket operating at both a premium and a discount can be a great advantage. Still each to their own.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Apr 20, 2014 1:16:00 GMT
Disagreed. My vote would be purely for liquidity purposes. Most boaty loans are relatively small, so if there is a profit to be earned on the SS SM, before you know it, every new loan, of which there aren't currently that many, will be bought up by one investor or the few that have the time and funds to do so, then flipped at the highest possible premium. Nah, can't agree. AC's AM 'works for all'? Seriously? Doesn't seem to be working much for anybody at the moment. There's the usual 3 bridging loans with massive underwriting, and well that's about it. My experince with the AC AM is that -- with the exception of a lender wanting to sell loan parts in one of the loans that underwriters are trying to exit, and which have lots of loan parts offered for sale -- it's working for me. Whenever I've wanted to sell any loan parts, they've been bought by others within minutes of being listed for sale on the AM. And, like MONEY, I've managed to pick up some loan parts in the AM, though nothing like the amount MONEY has bought. And that's not for want of trying. What's your secret MONEY? Anyone simply looking at the AM info on the AC website could be forgiven for thinking that nothing's happening except for a few underwriter parts that are being sold. The introduction of AutoInvest, however, has made that AM web page somewhat misleading. Any loan parts offered for sale are pretty much instantly processed and won't ever show up on the AM page because they disappear again so quickly. So parts are being sold and bought, but it's happening so quickly that it isn't clear that's what's going on unless you happen to be in the selling or buying side of one of the indicated 'specials'.
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Post by oldnick on Apr 20, 2014 7:36:49 GMT
Nah, can't agree. AC's AM 'works for all'? Seriously? Doesn't seem to be working much for anybody at the moment. There's the usual 3 bridging loans with massive underwriting, and well that's about it. My experince with the AC AM is that -- with the exception of a lender wanting to sell loan parts in one of the loans that underwriters are trying to exit, and which have lots of loan parts offered for sale -- it's working for me. Whenever I've wanted to sell any loan parts, they've been bought by others within minutes of being listed for sale on the AM. And, like MONEY, I've managed to pick up some loan parts in the AM, tough nothing like the amount MONEY has bought. And that's not for want of trying. What's your secret MONEY? Anyone simply looking at the AM info on the AC website could be forgiven for thinking that nothing's happening except for a few underwriter parts that are being sold. The introduction of AutoInvest, however, has made that AM web page somewhat misleading. Any loan parts offered for sale are pretty much instantly processed and won't ever show up on the AM page because they disappear again so quickly. So parts are being sold and bought, but it's happening so quickly that it isn't clear that's what's going on unless you happen to be in the selling or buying side of one of the indicated 'specials'. Perhaps, when the immediate demands on the IT team have reduced, they could look at a page on AC's web site listing the existing loans and their associated trading volumes on the after market. This would be a confidence builder for those new to the process, reassuring them that the AM works, and, perhaps, also an aid to the more experienced investor looking to buy or sell - giving an indication of the likelihood of success. A lot of loan parts for sale, but low volumes of buying, will not necessarily indicate a toxic loan, it could be underwriters offloading to an already saturated market for that particular loan. It would however serve as a warning not to bank on early release of money tied up in that loan. Similar volumes of buying and selling equally do not indicate the toxicity or otherwise of a loan, but do show the level of liquidity, which might be important to some looking to 'bank' money in the short term. Of course this conversation should properly be about SS but the issues are common to all platforms with a secondary market.
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james
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Post by james on Apr 20, 2014 7:47:46 GMT
The ability to sell at a profit is useful. Consider the tax implications. A 40% tax payer could sell a loan at a price that is profitable for them compared to their future income tax liability and it could be bought by a 20% tax payer at a price that is still profitable for them just due to the income tax differences. Same for 20% selling to 0%. It's particularly interesting for loans to individuals because those are apparently "simple loans" and not liable to either income tax or capital gains tax on sale. But even for loans for a business purpose the switch from income tax to CGT can be lucrative. What it takes to benefit from this tax treatment is the ability to set a premium over the balance remaining that is sufficient to provide a return reasonably equivalent to the after income tax return of keeping the loan, at some point before the loan ends.
It's not likely to be desirable to allow a sufficiently high premium to make it very profitable to flip a loan by investing and selling on day one. That would distort the market a lot. A little profit for liquidity would be OK but a little would have to be enough to ensure that the annualised return from flipping is below the annual return from holding. That means well under 1% permitted on day one because if a loan could be obtained and sold in a week that's 52 weeks of 1% profit and a very approximate 52% a year return. Rather greater than the interest return. That does assume sufficient loan supply to make this viable, of course. Probably won't be enough supply here for quite a while. A minimum holding period of a month or two eliminates much of the gain from a 1% premium, with an allowance for some "free" sales for non-flipping purposes that most investors would be doing. But a 1% premium isn't enough later in a loan for the tax advantage so some escalating allowable premium may be useful. and investors who really are trying to build their loan books do deserve some payment in lieu of interest for the time it takes to sell unless they get pro-rated loan interest on the loans they sell for the time from offering to sale.
At Bondora this is one reason I look to sell a loan somewhere into the last twelve months of say a 60 month loan. The maximum profit from resale there is 3.5% on the whole balance sold (5% premium less 1.5% seller fee). That has to be compared to the interest to be paid after tax on the loan capital balance that is rapidly declining towards the end of the loan. There's a point where 3.5% with no income tax beats the remaining taxable interest income. Flipping is an issue at Bondora, the 3.5% premium is available from day one. Most investors are still trying to increase their amount lent and the supply doesn't allow flipping of very large amounts so that limits the flipping scope but it's still sub-optimal early on.
Another thing to consider is whether impaired loans can be sold. It's very common at Bondora to sell loans that are late, including loans that have missed one whole payment. Not possible after 60 days when the loan enters default status. The state is very clearly indicated to buyers, who get to see the whole payment and debt collection history. What this does is allow those who want to speculate on collection to buy from those who don't. It's quite likely at Bondora the defaulting loans will turn out to be profitable, particularly if purchased at a discount before default. Not certain but that's how the trend is looking.
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j
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Penguins are very misunderstood!
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Post by j on Apr 20, 2014 16:09:03 GMT
Everyone of us will do what suits them best & good luck to all in their endeavors but, the only time it's worth selling at a profit on AM is when you're talking about significant amounts & thus carries a certain level of risk in not being able to shift units quickly enough. My main & only use of AM is when I need to free up funds, otherwise I prefer to hold my loans till maturity, Hence better to have no fees/markups, imho
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ramblin rose
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“Some people grumble that roses have thorns; I am grateful that thorns have roses.” — Alphonse Karr
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Post by ramblin rose on Apr 20, 2014 16:36:37 GMT
One of the main points of difference and attractiveness for SS to date, for me, is the extreme simplicity and the fact it just "does what it says on the tin". Money in or out takes a matter of minutes, investment takes seconds, I know what return I'm going to get and at least up until now that's always what I've got. I really welcome the fact that there will soon be a way to potentially exit loans early if I find myself needing the money, but more importantly to diversify my loans into some of those I was unable to be involved with when they were initially made. From a purely personal point of view, I want that to remain just as simple as the inital investment - with no having to think about premiums or any other complexity. There are other platforms that allow fancy footwork, arbitrage, flipping, etc, some of which I am also involved with, but I'd hate to see the SS vanilla system get messed up with complexity.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Apr 20, 2014 20:31:26 GMT
and investors who really are trying to build their loan books do deserve some payment in lieu of interest for the time it takes to sell unless they get pro-rated loan interest on the loans they sell for the time from offering to sale. Before using the SM we need to know from savingstream how accrued interest will be handled. The two platforms I'm involved with that have SMs take opposite approaches. With Zopa, all interest accrued since the last payment goes to the buyer. With AC, the buyer gets only the interest that accrues after the date of purchase. AC interest accrued up to the sale date stays with the seller, but it isn't actually paid until the next loan payment is received. SS loans don't pay interest monthly, so there will be a lot of accrued interest five months into a six-month loan. If all that accrued interest went to the buyer then, unless selling at a premium were allowed, only people desperate to sell would use the SM since selling would mean they had earning nothing at all on their investment. I really think SS need to adopt the AC approach and let the accrued interest stay with the seller, so that sales at a premium wouldn't be necessary in order to have a reasonably liquid SM. I agree with ramblin rose that a simpler system is better.
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ramblin rose
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“Some people grumble that roses have thorns; I am grateful that thorns have roses.” — Alphonse Karr
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Post by ramblin rose on Apr 21, 2014 9:42:58 GMT
SS loans don't pay interest monthly, so there will be a lot of accrued interest five months into a six-month loan. With the exception of the two recent property bridges, which will be paying interest monthly. Your point still stands though, of course.
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Post by savingstream on Apr 29, 2014 8:30:52 GMT
This is how we we plan Saving Stream's secondary market is going to work. All feedback welcome.
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ramblin rose
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“Some people grumble that roses have thorns; I am grateful that thorns have roses.” — Alphonse Karr
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Post by ramblin rose on Apr 29, 2014 8:40:10 GMT
If it took a long time to sell the loan part then the seller would obviously have dead money in limbo for all that time. Is there any reason that interest can't accrue to the seller until the point it is actually sold? As it is proposed above I would call that interim period of interest a variable charge for the service, since SS get to keep the interest from that time, and the seller doesn't know up front how much time their money will be dead for.
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Post by savingstream on Apr 29, 2014 9:04:24 GMT
Hi RR, yes we did consider this but we wanted to a) keep the secondary market offering as simple as possible, and b) offer the ability for new investors to invest what value they choose, in the new loan part availability. We don't wish to be paying both the seller and the new investor for any period of crossover (for example if an investor only purchases a small percentage of the available loan part). The system is intended to provide investors with a simple method of releasing their funds if required.
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Post by bengilbert on Apr 29, 2014 9:12:27 GMT
I think the question is - say I offer a part for sale today, and someone buys it in a week. Where does the interest for that week go? To me, to the buyer, or to Saving Stream?
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Post by savingstream on Apr 29, 2014 9:25:17 GMT
Hi Ben, the complication arises when you factor in multiple buyers of the same loan part buying 10% of it today, 20% of it tomorrow etc.. the amount of interest would be reducing on a daily basis and make interest return calculations very complicated for sellers. Our indications from this forum was that investors like the uber simple SS model and we have factored this simplicity in to the secondary market offering. This is why we have chosen to freeze interest at point of placing loan part for sale. If the loan part sells immediately that day, then SS makes nothing. If it takes a day or two to sell then SS does make that interim interest.
We intend to use any surplus interest that the secondary market generates to build a Saving Stream Provision Fund to benefit investor security.
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