elliotn
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Post by elliotn on Oct 25, 2016 12:59:20 GMT
Still got it...
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seeingred
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Post by seeingred on Oct 25, 2016 13:31:43 GMT
To answer the point by Oldgrumpy on this thread, yes I did buy into 064 but thankfully only in a small way (low thousands) so not much to worry about. I stopped buying on 10 October. At that time the loan was one of the few on the SM, everything looked OK on the updates, the neighbourhood is OK, and I was aiming to build a portfolio on SS of maybe 100k within a few months. How times change.
In buying into 064 I maybe did what many 'new' investors do - experiment with the site a little yet rely far too much on SS and their updates. I have considerable property holdings via FC and am well aware of the possible problems in all property markets including the possibility of a major systemic downturn - but 650k down to 450k indicates to me that 650 was never realistic. Did the valuers properly investigate the sale history of the land? Much lower figures have been indicated.
Some of the criticism of FC elsewhere is not warranted: if property loans extend for a few months and if interest continues to be paid then I'm happy. That is the nature often of building projects and leases - they can over-run and investors need to be aware of this. But I am not happy about what I regard as highly relevant information being either withheld or delivered only after months of delay.
ALL of this (056 etc) has the bad smell of deals that should maybe never have been offered to investors except perhaps with a warning relating to the history of some of the people involved. I have no idea who DP is.. But it is surely the job of SS - if they wish to continue to be trusted - to tell us not only the good points about borrowers but also the less good points. I'm sure they'd never lend to anyone who had bad points.
I note that people are still buying 064 - including 5000 4 days ago and 500 yesterday. Presumably they read the SS updates to the effect that all remains rosy in the pigsty.
I refer to my previous post here:
"if a borrower has a string of failed companies behind him, then we might be told. In other loan details we are told that (I paraphrase here) the borrower is 'a wealthy man, an highly experienced and successful property developer, a building surveyor with a 27 year history of developing similar sites', etc etc - so as to give prospective investors some extra degree of reassurance. If these 'positive' comments about borrowers are considered relevant to be included by SS in their information to lenders, maybe it could be argued that 'highly negative' characteristics of borrowers should be included by SS also - as an equally valid point of additional information upon which an investment decision could be based?"
The idea of a facebook page or similar, with existing investors invited to join, and outside of the control of the mods, might be one way of retaining the (in)valuable contributions from CD.
This is the information age - if CD is prepared to root around and is further prepared very kindly to make various truffles available for our collective delight, then as far as I am concerned he is to be congratulated. In this instance he is shining a light into dark corners that many of us would not know how to access.
On the point that "the borrower doesn't matter so long as the security is good" - that rather depends also on the valuations being sound.
In these and similar cases where borrowers are known (or should have been known?) to be so reputable, maybe the valuations used should be based more around what could quickly be realised if Inspector Knacker of the Yard came to call.
May we live in interesting times......
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Oct 25, 2016 14:08:42 GMT
Its probably priced for a quick sale. We'll find out soon enough if the valuation was accurate. As lenders, we don't really care if the security yields a net 455k, 456k, or 4 million. We don't see any of the excess. Regarding interest, from the presentations given by Lendy, it seems they take the interest (our cut and their cut), plus the fees upfront. So they should be able to cover a couple of months extra interest, and then theres the provision fund on top of that. If theres a small shortfall, on such a small loan, it could be worth Lendy making lenders whole just for the publicity. @eurasian69: I agree that we don't care how much the net proceeds are if they're over £450k. But they're rather unlikely to reach that level if the asking price is only £450k. There are a lot of costs that will have to come out of the gross sales price -- receivers, estate agents, lawyers, interest being covered by SS (about four months' worth) that wasn't paid upfront, etc., etc. Yes, it could be worth Lendy making investors whole for the good PR it will generate, but they might be reluctant to do that for fear of setting a precedent. And likewise for the use of the discretionary PF. If this were SS's only troubled loan, we might expect that the PF trustees could afford to be generous. Unfortunately, it's not, and so we really haven't a clue how the trustees will deal with this loan, or PBL020, or...
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am
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Post by am on Oct 25, 2016 18:47:06 GMT
Its probably priced for a quick sale. We'll find out soon enough if the valuation was accurate. As lenders, we don't really care if the security yields a net 455k, 456k, or 4 million. We don't see any of the excess. Regarding interest, from the presentations given by Lendy, it seems they take the interest (our cut and their cut), plus the fees upfront. So they should be able to cover a couple of months extra interest, and then theres the provision fund on top of that. If theres a small shortfall, on such a small loan, it could be worth Lendy making lenders whole just for the publicity. @eurasian69 : I agree that we don't care how much the net proceeds are if they're over £450k. But they're rather unlikely to reach that level if the asking price is only £450k. There are a lot of costs that will have to come out of the gross sales price -- receivers, estate agents, lawyers, interest being covered by SS (about four months' worth) that wasn't paid upfront, etc., etc. Yes, it could be worth Lendy making investors whole for the good PR it will generate, but they might be reluctant to do that for fear of setting a precedent. And likewise for the use of the discretionary PF. If this were SS's only troubled loan, we might expect that the PF trustees could afford to be generous. Unfortunately, it's not, and so we really haven't a clue how the trustees will deal with this loan, or PBL020, or... Does anyone know how to find out on the SS website whether a loan is under the old T&Cs (in which case I understand Lendy to be on the hook for losses) or the new T&Cs (in which case youall - I was never in this loan - are dependent on the generosity of the provision fund trustees).
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Oct 25, 2016 20:32:15 GMT
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Post by dualinvestor on Oct 26, 2016 7:15:50 GMT
Although not foolproof either check the Companies House records of the debtor, if the chargeholdr is shown as Lendy Ltd (eg PBL056) it is likely under the old terms, if as Saving Stream Security Holding Ltd (eg PBL064) it is likely under the new terms. Therefore the cut off appears to be somewhere between the two, care should be taken as loans might have been given numbers in the pipeline and not been issued in chronological order.
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Post by charliebrown on Oct 26, 2016 12:10:04 GMT
As a new investor in this platform (but not to P2P) I bought into 056 in a small way. This was after the chickens were known to be coming home to roost - or maybe it was pigs flying past the full moon. There was nothing on the SS site to indicate a particular problem, no big red box for example. I only later found this forum and including the valuable insights and contributions from CD. Leaving aside for the moment what investors and potential investors were or were not told and when, and what they arguably should have been told, (see previous posts) no-one seems to have questioned the validity of the valuation - which was for £650k in August 2015. Now the site is for sale at £450k (and open to offers??). Lendy might well be funding the interest on the loan for 2 to 3 months (so it looked a reasonable short term investment at a time when the SM was very thin) but if these interest payments are ultimately to be taken from capital - and if the NET sales proceeds are significantly below the £450k figure (as they seem certain to be), where does that leave SS investors? How can we rely on valuations if these are so far off the mark? Are they worth the paper they are written on? Granted values can change, key personnel may die and a business or building project can lose its way - these are risks investors must accept - but I would question £650k down to £450k or less within a year or so unless maybe all farmland has been similarly affected? It does not give confidence in other farm valuations? The other general point is that if a borrower has a string of failed companies behind him, then we might be told. In other loan details we are told that (I paraphrase here) the borrower is 'a wealthy man, an highly experienced and successful property developer, a building surveyor with a 27 year history of developing similar sites', etc etc - so as to give prospective investors some extra degree of reassurance. If these 'positive' comments about borrowers are considered relevant to be included by SS in their information to lenders, maybe it could be argued that 'highly negative' characteristics of borrowers should be included by SS also - as an equally valid point of additional information upon which an investment decision could be based? I'm not casting aspersions, but I've decided not to take any SS updates at face value. There's luckily much more accurate and balanced information on this forum (a big thank you to those that do research and share their findings and insights, it's much appreciated). Should SS be totally open with us and share all the bad news that they know but we don't? Yes, I believe they should. However, we don't live in a fair and transparent world. When Coca-Cola markets their soft drinks they tell you it tastes delicious and makes you look cool, they do NOT tell you it makes you fat and will rot your teeth.
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seeingred
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Post by seeingred on Oct 28, 2016 10:59:29 GMT
Yes, true enough about soft drinks but a wealth of advice is freely available and people should know what high sugar drinks do to their teeth. As with smoking, we were told nearly 50 years ago and are free to accept or reject the medical and scientific advice.
In respect of P2P loans, to a large extent lenders must have trust in the platform under which their money is being lent. If updates "cannot be trusted" or as charliebrown puts it "not take them at face value" where does that leave SS credibility?
I have been sent details of DP and his 60 or so companies (many/most dissolved?) and I replied to the member who sent me the information in the following terms:
Thank you for those few kind words. Not with a disinfected 10 foot barge pole would I have touched loans related to people like this - had I known.
The real point here is (as I have recently posted on the 020 thread) is that valuations should properly have due regard to the borrower history. If a building or site development or other asset is far more likely to have to be sold at a fire-sale or similar valuation, then this should be reflected in the initial LTV valuation.
Fortunately I can afford to lose money (which is a necessary condition before anyone lends on any P2P platform) but that seems no good reason not to question the depth, validity or completeness (or otherwise) of information that P2P platforms provide. If (as they do) they encourage investments via glowing comments about borrowers, then they should also come clean about the decidedly dodgy (DD) history of other borrowers - then we can all make an informed decision.
The only other option is to assume that all loans offered by SS which do not have glowing recommendations as to the history and/or standing of borrowers do not include such statements for a very good reason. Maybe that is the case already and people need to be far more suspicious.
To a large extent P2P platforms rely on their lenders and the confidence that the platform inspires. There are after all, many alternative and competing platforms - and a simple calculation can show that even a small capital loss on a dodgy project can more than wipe out years of interest on good projects.
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Post by dualinvestor on Oct 28, 2016 11:56:01 GMT
I'm not casting aspersions, but I've decided not to take any SS updates at face value. There's luckily much more accurate and balanced information on this forum (a big thank you to those that do research and share their findings and insights, it's much appreciated). Should SS be totally open with us and share all the bad news that they know but we don't? Yes, I believe they should. However, we don't live in a fair and transparent world. When Coca-Cola markets their soft drinks they tell you it tastes delicious and makes you look cool, they do NOT tell you it makes you fat and will rot your teeth. In answer to your point about should SS be totally open etc......, the law requires them to be, they are your agent lhe laws of agency have been developed over many centuries and they have a fiduciary duty to declare everything they know unless the law prohibits it. Not only do they have a legal obligation but IMO also a moral one.
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seeingred
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Post by seeingred on Oct 28, 2016 12:09:29 GMT
Moral obligations have nothing to do with most commercial transactions. Dog eat dog.
But the credibility of a platform in a competitive marketplace has much to do with platform behaviour, and that includes whether they treat their investors with the respect that arguably we deserve.
Copied from the 020 (in default) thread where valuations have been discussed in respect of loans to known decidedly dodgy (DD) borrowers.:
If Lendy/SS were negligent in obtaining and/or using valuations, does the question arise as to whether it is possible to contract out of negligence? The position on commercial contracts may be different to that in H&S legislation, for example. Do they owe lenders any duty of care?
I know even less about laws of agency.
At the moment.
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Post by dualinvestor on Oct 28, 2016 12:54:04 GMT
Moral obligations have nothing to do with most commercial transactions. Dog eat dog. But the credibility of a platform in a competitive marketplace has much to do with platform behaviour, and that includes whether they treat their investors with the respect that arguably we deserve. Copied from the 020 (in default) thread where valuations have been discussed in respect of loans to known decidedly dodgy (DD) borrowers.: If Lendy/SS were negligent in obtaining and/or using valuations, does the question arise as to whether it is possible to contract out of negligence? The position on commercial contracts may be different to that in H&S legislation, for example. Do they owe lenders any duty of care? I know even less about laws of agency. At the moment. I was simply pointing out that, for once, the legal and moral obligation are the same so tell dog eat dog to the judge. Agency comes from a branch of law known as Equity, which is derived from the Latin word for fair. An agent always owes his principal a duty of care, you can try and contract out, by such things as general terms and conditions, but any aggrieved party has the option of testing whather that is valid in court. Given the size of loans SS and other platforms are now engaging in, if someone loses out I would say that is a distinct possibility.
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mikes1531
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Post by mikes1531 on Oct 28, 2016 16:50:41 GMT
... a simple calculation can show that even a small capital loss on a dodgy project can more than wipe out years of interest on good projects. seeingred: Can you please illustrate the 'simple calculation' to which you refer above? I ask because ISTM that it would take a large collection of small capital losses to wipe out years of interest on the good loans in a P2P portfolio. The interest received each month from a diversified collection of, say, 25 equal-sized loans paying 12% p.a. would be the equivalent of a quarter of an individual loan's capital. It therefore would appear that if the portfolio sustained a loss of 25% of a loan's capital every month, it still would not show an overall loss. So the portfolio still would show some profit even if it sustained ten such losses in a year. What am I doing wrong?
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Post by harryvederci on Jan 20, 2017 12:04:12 GMT
somewhat bizzare update
Sales particulars being prepared and property will be advertised over next week.
when the property has been on market, and still is, for 3 months to date eg z****a, e*****s g*****e, c*****n & c*****n
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cooling_dude
Bye Bye's for the PPI
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Post by cooling_dude on Jan 20, 2017 12:39:37 GMT
somewhat bizzare update Sales particulars being prepared and property will be advertised over next week.when the property has been on market, and still is, for 3 months to date eg z****a, e*****s g*****e, c*****n & c*****n Same update for PBL064 I think this is the actual update for PBL064, and SS have just copy and pasted. So we should see the industrial unit on the market soon No receiver appointed for PBL064, so apparently not a forced sale. All very strange.
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ilmoro
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'Wondering which of the bu***rs to blame, and watching for pigs on the wing.' - Pink Floyd
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Post by ilmoro on Jan 20, 2017 12:53:29 GMT
somewhat bizzare update Sales particulars being prepared and property will be advertised over next week.when the property has been on market, and still is, for 3 months to date eg z****a, e*****s g*****e, c*****n & c*****n Probably the borrower who has been advertising it, this will be the receivers. In that context it makes sense. We await the LPA report/proposal which must be due shortly, we dont even know if they have taken possession of the security.
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