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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 17:40:02 GMT
For decades the oil and gas industry paid unlimited sums to any scientist who's opinion carried any weight whatsoever to produce any contradictory evidence they could muster that might throw the slightest of doubt that climate change was real and man-made. They found some rogue, demented, or just plain greedy scientists who were prepared to proselytize themselves. This was sufficient for the powerful industry's misinformation campaigns to take effect, and sufficient to influence governments around the world (along with large slugs of corruption) not to take the necessary actions that could have prevented the situation being anywhere near as bad as it is today, or as bad as it will be tomorrow. The evidence is now so incontrovertible, with virtually the whole of the scientific community in agreement, that there is literally no-one left who is prepared to do this. It's so certain now that even the oil and gas industry accepts it. If there was the slightest of doubt they would still be pursuing it with vigor. Coming back to your point, it isn't "true because everyone says so". It's true because it's proven to be so to the satisfaction of the whole scientific community. Everyone says so because it's true, not the other way round. I could understand your desire to examine the raw data yourself if there was some significant portion of the respected science community that doubted the accepted conclusions, but there isn't. On that basis you will need to prove absolutely every scientific conclusion for yourself, which you're very unlikely to have the skills to do. No one person does. I don't understand how examining 100 years of temperature records for one place would convince you. Surely, you wouldn't be able to discount any discovery from that as a coincidence. You would need to see the effect over a large number of locations, and would then need to see that the same effect didn't occur in several millennia before the industrial revolution. the evidence is clear... WE NEED OIL AND GAS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 25 YRS..... SUCK IT UP..
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 17:46:52 GMT
It wouldn't - my assumption would be that such a tool would allow you to change the location. But if we've gone up a degree or two over the past century or so wouldn't that be blatantly obvious in the data? Most but not all would plot as a gradient of around 1 or 2 in a 100. It would surely be that obvious? If on the other hand, we were trying to prove that average temps increased but only by 0.01 of a degree, then I would agree it would not be obvious and significant statistical processing would be necessary to prove it. But 1 or 2 degrees? Come on - it would be absolutely blatant (hence my suggestion of a site that allows "playing" with the data in the manner I suggested. I've stood back from this since your first post along these lines, bar pointing you to one set of date to look at. I stood back because I was basically incredulous. It is called GLOBAL warming and CLIMATE change for a reason. Looking at the temperature at ONE place on ONE day of the year for 100 years - which was your proposal first time round and second time - and thinking that would give you some insight is just crazy. What if it did show increasing temperature over time - would that demonstrate global warming ? No of course it wouldn't. If it didn't show that, would that invalidate global warming theory ? No, of course it wouldn't. Its ludicrous. One location on one date over 100 years is 100 data points. Its a nothing. Make that 10 different locations. Not just your back garden, but your friends up the road and some of their friends. That is still only 1000 data points. For individual locations, on a specific day. That is called "weather" variation, not global warning and climate change. And heh, with global warming and climate change, some places are probably going to get colder and wetter. Better make sure you don't pick those as your specially self selected locations. So now you are beginning to concede that perhaps that isn't sound and so not what you meant. So it needs to be over many places and dates. Oh, look, that's precisely what scientists have been doing for the last couple of decades, but churning through huge amounts of data, from large number of places, with more computing power than you will ever be able to muster. Here you go, here is some data that has been visually rendered: climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/ Its from NASA. Its not about a single location (Cape Canaveral anyone?), but rather its on global temperatures. Gives quite an interesting graphic showing the temperatures around the globe from around 1880. No doubt some of it has to be by extrapolation since there wouldn't have been measuring stations at every possible location on the planet. I've done no personal checks on whether they have used 'accurate' data, nor whether their extrapolations are valid. But since there are literally 10's of thousands of people working in this domain peer reviewing work, strangely I'm not sure I can meaningfully contribute to that analysis. However, I'm sure if you look at 100 years worth of temperature measurements from Greenwich for precisely March 15th - or perhaps the 16th would be better - you'll be in a good position to either confirm or repudiate it. There was another one I saw today/yesterday about artic/Antarctic ice area (actually it was in the economist today I read it). There is shed loads of this stuff out there. But since I'm not in a position to go measure the ice myself I'll obviously disregard it - its bound to be bogus. You are right there. thats an awful long post to admit the bleeding obvious.
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Post by Ace on Aug 8, 2023 17:50:25 GMT
For decades the oil and gas industry paid unlimited sums to any scientist who's opinion carried any weight whatsoever to produce any contradictory evidence they could muster that might throw the slightest of doubt that climate change was real and man-made. They found some rogue, demented, or just plain greedy scientists who were prepared to proselytize themselves. This was sufficient for the powerful industry's misinformation campaigns to take effect, and sufficient to influence governments around the world (along with large slugs of corruption) not to take the necessary actions that could have prevented the situation being anywhere near as bad as it is today, or as bad as it will be tomorrow. The evidence is now so incontrovertible, with virtually the whole of the scientific community in agreement, that there is literally no-one left who is prepared to do this. It's so certain now that even the oil and gas industry accepts it. If there was the slightest of doubt they would still be pursuing it with vigor. Coming back to your point, it isn't "true because everyone says so". It's true because it's proven to be so to the satisfaction of the whole scientific community. Everyone says so because it's true, not the other way round. I could understand your desire to examine the raw data yourself if there was some significant portion of the respected science community that doubted the accepted conclusions, but there isn't. On that basis you will need to prove absolutely every scientific conclusion for yourself, which you're very unlikely to have the skills to do. No one person does. I don't understand how examining 100 years of temperature records for one place would convince you. Surely, you wouldn't be able to discount any discovery from that as a coincidence. You would need to see the effect over a large number of locations, and would then need to see that the same effect didn't occur in several millennia before the industrial revolution. the evidence is clear... WE NEED OIL AND GAS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 25 YRS..... SUCK IT UP.. That may or may not be true now. I simply don't know. But, we definitely would have needed far less, and therefore have done far less damage, if it wasn't for the sentence that you've highlighted above.
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 17:56:57 GMT
the evidence is clear... WE NEED OIL AND GAS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 25 YRS..... SUCK IT UP.. That may or may not be true now. I simply don't know. But, we definitely would have needed far less, and therefore have done far less damage, if it wasn't for the sentence that you've highlighted above. look at your silly contradiction .. "i simply dont know"..... "but we definately"..... we will need oil and gas for 25 yrs... if you think we can manage without oil and gas.. then tell me the alternative.
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Post by bracknellboy on Aug 8, 2023 18:02:55 GMT
I've stood back from this since your first post along these lines, bar pointing you to one set of date to look at. I stood back because I was basically incredulous. It is called GLOBAL warming and CLIMATE change for a reason. Looking at the temperature at ONE place on ONE day of the year for 100 years - which was your proposal first time round and second time - and thinking that would give you some insight is just crazy. What if it did show increasing temperature over time - would that demonstrate global warming ? No of course it wouldn't. If it didn't show that, would that invalidate global warming theory ? No, of course it wouldn't. Its ludicrous. One location on one date over 100 years is 100 data points. Its a nothing. Make that 10 different locations. Not just your back garden, but your friends up the road and some of their friends. That is still only 1000 data points. For individual locations, on a specific day. That is called "weather" variation, not global warning and climate change. And heh, with global warming and climate change, some places are probably going to get colder and wetter. Better make sure you don't pick those as your specially self selected locations. So now you are beginning to concede that perhaps that isn't sound and so not what you meant. So it needs to be over many places and dates. Oh, look, that's precisely what scientists have been doing for the last couple of decades, but churning through huge amounts of data, from large number of places, with more computing power than you will ever be able to muster. Here you go, here is some data that has been visually rendered: climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/ Its from NASA. Its not about a single location (Cape Canaveral anyone?), but rather its on global temperatures. Gives quite an interesting graphic showing the temperatures around the globe from around 1880. No doubt some of it has to be by extrapolation since there wouldn't have been measuring stations at every possible location on the planet. I've done no personal checks on whether they have used 'accurate' data, nor whether their extrapolations are valid. But since there are literally 10's of thousands of people working in this domain peer reviewing work, strangely I'm not sure I can meaningfully contribute to that analysis. However, I'm sure if you look at 100 years worth of temperature measurements from Greenwich for precisely March 15th - or perhaps the 16th would be better - you'll be in a good position to either confirm or repudiate it. There was another one I saw today/yesterday about artic/Antarctic ice area (actually it was in the economist today I read it). There is shed loads of this stuff out there. But since I'm not in a position to go measure the ice myself I'll obviously disregard it - its bound to be bogus. You are right there. thats an awful long post to admit the bleeding obvious. the true irony pf course is that missed the deliberately intended irony in the statement you have highlighted.
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Post by Ace on Aug 8, 2023 18:05:51 GMT
That may or may not be true now. I simply don't know. But, we definitely would have needed far less, and therefore have done far less damage, if it wasn't for the sentence that you've highlighted above. look at your silly contradiction .. "i simply dont know"..... "but we definately"..... we will need oil and gas for 25 yrs... if you think we can manage without oil and gas.. then tell me the alternative. I don't see anything silly or contradictory. I don't know how much longer we will need oil for. I have not researched that topic. Given the repeated inaccuracies in your previous posts, I'm not prepared to take your word that it's true. Surely it's crystal clear, even to you, that we would need less oil if many had not been fooled by the oil industry's purchase of "false science" as our progress towards a no fossil fuel future would have been more advanced.
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:13:11 GMT
Maybe you have an opinion on how this country can lower its electricity cost? based on the FACT that electricity cost is linked to the cost of gas.. (burning gas produces electricity) maybe its a labour policy of building wind turbines and producing cheap electricity for everyone... i would really be interested in hearing how wind turbine electricity.. linked to spot pricing with gas prices would lower the prices.... IT WILL NOT... WE ARE BEING RIPPED OFF.. IT DOES NOT MATTER WHO MANAGES THE COST OF LECCY... LOOK AT THE ENERGY SUPPLIERS PROFITS.. then link it to global warming.. simple.
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:15:26 GMT
look at your silly contradiction .. "i simply dont know"..... "but we definately"..... we will need oil and gas for 25 yrs... if you think we can manage without oil and gas.. then tell me the alternative. I don't see anything silly or contradictory.
I don't know how much longer we will need oil for. I have not researched that topic. Given the repeated inaccuracies in your previous posts, I'm not prepared to take your word that it's true. Surely it's crystal clear, even to you, that we would need less oil if many had not been fooled by the oil industry's purchase of "false science" as our progress towards a no fossil fuel future would have been more advanced. Geez... i give up.
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:19:14 GMT
You are right there. thats an awful long post to admit the bleeding obvious. the true irony pf course is that missed the deliberately intended irony in the statement you have highlighted. please explain.
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:29:35 GMT
look at your silly contradiction .. "i simply dont know"..... "but we definately"..... we will need oil and gas for 25 yrs... if you think we can manage without oil and gas.. then tell me the alternative. I don't see anything silly or contradictory. I don't know how much longer we will need oil for. I have not researched that topic. Given the repeated inaccuracies in your previous posts, I'm not prepared to take your word that it's true. Surely it's crystal clear, even to you, that we would need less oil if many had not been fooled by the oil industry's purchase of "false science" as our progress towards a no fossil fuel future would have been more advanced. we need less oil do we... how about gas? will we benefit from less gas?..
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Post by Ace on Aug 8, 2023 18:32:20 GMT
I don't see anything silly or contradictory.
I don't know how much longer we will need oil for. I have not researched that topic. Given the repeated inaccuracies in your previous posts, I'm not prepared to take your word that it's true. Surely it's crystal clear, even to you, that we would need less oil if many had not been fooled by the oil industry's purchase of "false science" as our progress towards a no fossil fuel future would have been more advanced. Geez... i give up. Whether we will need oil for 25 years, or a different length of time, is irrelevant. The fact that we would have been better prepared, and therefore would have needed less oil, if we had accepted the fact of man-made global warming earlier is surely incontrovertible.
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Post by Ace on Aug 8, 2023 18:34:24 GMT
I don't see anything silly or contradictory. I don't know how much longer we will need oil for. I have not researched that topic. Given the repeated inaccuracies in your previous posts, I'm not prepared to take your word that it's true. Surely it's crystal clear, even to you, that we would need less oil if many had not been fooled by the oil industry's purchase of "false science" as our progress towards a no fossil fuel future would have been more advanced. we need less oil do we... how about gas? will we benefit from less gas?.. I've decided to accept the advice not to feed the troll.
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:38:20 GMT
we need less oil do we... how about gas? will we benefit from less gas?.. I've decided to accept the advice not to feed the troll. no... what you have accepted is defeat.,
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:40:40 GMT
Whether we will need oil for 25 years, or a different length of time, is irrelevant. The fact that we would have been better prepared, and therefore would have needed less oil, if we had accepted the fact of man-made global warming earlier is surely incontrovertible. ITS NOT IRRELAVENT..../
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Post by martin44 on Aug 8, 2023 18:50:51 GMT
WE WILL NEED OIL AND GAS.... IF THERES AN ALTERNATIVE ...THEN PLEASE LET ME KNOW
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