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Post by gaspilot on Jun 16, 2016 18:35:20 GMT
Can somebody please explain this to me? Firstly, the FT poll of polls shows (at this moment) a 48%:43% lead for Britain to leave the EU. This seems to be increasingly slightly. The bookies believe that a Remain is the likely result, with the best returns of 1.5 (versus 2.75 to leave). And the odds of remaining are shortening now. This situation seem incongruous. I am aware of the fallibility of polls but this difference seems quite stark. What am I missing?
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Post by earthbound on Jun 16, 2016 18:50:27 GMT
Can somebody please explain this to me? Firstly, the FT poll of polls shows (at this moment) a 48%:43% lead for Britain to leave the EU. This seems to be increasingly slightly. The bookies believe that a Remain is the likely result, with the best returns of 1.5 (versus 2.75 to leave). And the odds of remaining are shortening now. This situation seem incongruous. I am aware of the fallibility of polls but this difference seems quite stark. What am I missing? gaspilot your not missing anything... just don't believe the polls... vote how you feel most comfortable...(tip..out)
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Post by bracknellboy on Jun 16, 2016 19:26:22 GMT
Put a large bet on a Leave vote: view it as a hedging strategy. If the outcome is Leave it will offset some of the asset and other financial losses that you will incur if it happens.
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Liz
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Post by Liz on Jun 16, 2016 19:30:04 GMT
Which one, Remain or Leave, will stop this damn rain.
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Post by earthbound on Jun 16, 2016 20:10:14 GMT
Put a large bet on a Leave vote: Good choice... your on a winner..
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Liz
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Post by Liz on Jun 16, 2016 20:17:23 GMT
Put a large bet on a Leave vote: Good choice... your on a winner.. *you're
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Post by earthbound on Jun 16, 2016 20:22:30 GMT
Good choice... your on a winner.. *you're expand....
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Post by GSV3MIaC on Jun 17, 2016 6:57:55 GMT
*you're expand.... /mod hat off, pedant mode on .. I think she means .. You're = you are Your = belonging to you also It's = it is Its = belonging to it Now we'll have to rename 'chat' as 'grammar, syntax and spelling lessons'. 50% of the population can't manage sight/site/cite either (or maybe it's their dumb iphones) For a good read, try 'Eats, shoots and leaves' by Lynne Truss. 8>.
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Liz
Member of DD Central
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Post by Liz on Jun 17, 2016 8:02:15 GMT
/mod hat off, pedant mode on .. I think she means .. You're = you are Your = belonging to you also It's = it is Its = belonging to it Now we'll have to rename 'chat' as 'grammar, syntax and spelling lessons'. 50% of the population can't manage sight/site/cite either (or maybe it's their dumb iphones) For a good read, try 'Eats, shoots and leaves' by Lynne Truss. 8>. Thanks. Others struggle with lose/loose and to/too, oh and their/there. I blame the schools
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Post by earthbound on Jun 17, 2016 8:08:40 GMT
Speling an gramma lesons ... whood a thuoght it..
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jun 17, 2016 8:12:52 GMT
In case anybody hasn't seen this doing the rounds on Facebook...
Just about sums it up perfectly, imho.
I'm "only" 45. I was two years old when the UK joined the EC, and four at the time of the last referendum. My childhood holidays in France included little green paper stickers in the windscreen of Dad's Cortina as we queued for the "Nothing to Declare" channel, with a couple of bottles of wine and a packet of cigars hidden somewhere at the bottom of the boot. My mother-in-law moved from Sweden to the UK in 1959, and had to register at the local police station every fortnight. Every time my other half's family went to Sweden to visit relatives, they had to have the amount of currency they were taking or bringing back noted in the back of their passports.
The world has changed massively. Some people don't like that change. Well, hey-ho. It's made huge improvements for others. We would not be here on this forum, talking about peer-to-peer investing, if not for those changes. VERY FEW of the changes that are being complained about are nothing whatsoever to do with the UK's membership of the EU. They're just part of the way the world is changing.
The 1950s was not some kind of utopia.
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Steerpike
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Post by Steerpike on Jun 17, 2016 8:51:14 GMT
AA Gill, a fine wordsmith, seen here riffing on a single theme, over and over again ad nauseam, Brexiteers are backward looking xenophobic blinkered old crusties, yawn, is that all you've got AA?
I am heading for the out door and I am not looking backward I am looking forward.
Forward to at least the vague possibility of controlling, not stopping, the continuous stream of migration that most likely will be a major feature of the entire first half of the 21st century.
Forward to not being tied to a fundamentally undemocratic organisation fixated on ever tightening control and regulation.
Forward to restoring sovereignty to our Parliament and to our courts.
Forward to not being dragged down by a currency doomed to failure.
Forward to not contributing billions of pounds to be frittered away on grandiose projects, waste, corruption, and inefficient industry and agriculture across Europe.
Anyway none of them ever votes for us in Eurovision, so there.
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skippyonspeed
Some people think I'm a little bit crazy, but I know my mind's not hazy
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Post by skippyonspeed on Jun 17, 2016 9:23:39 GMT
/mod hat off, pedant mode on .. I think she means .. You're = you are Your = belonging to you also It's = it is Its = belonging to it Now we'll have to rename 'chat' as 'grammar, syntax and spelling lessons'. 50% of the population can't manage sight/site/cite either (or maybe it's their dumb iphones) For a good read, try 'Eats, shoots and leaves' by Lynne Truss. 8>. Thanks. Others struggle with lose/loose and to/too, oh and their/there. I blame the schools Not forgetting of course the correct use of fewer & less, or, I & me. I can still hear ringing in my head the ridiculing tones of my old primary school teacher directed to a poor kid who got it wrong....."Me should be back in the pram"
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jun 17, 2016 10:06:06 GMT
Forward to at least the vague possibility of controlling, not stopping, the continuous stream of migration that most likely will be a major feature of the entire first half of the 21st century. The UK already has 100% control over all non-EU migration. It's very unlikely any favourable trade deal with the EU post-exit will exclude one of the four basic freedoms of movement, but keep the other three. The UK already has a permanent opt-out from further political integration. Meanwhile, most product regulation becomes ever-more global. How about all the other international courts and bodies which we are also bound by? The Council of Europe, the WTO, the IMO, the UN...? The UK already has a permanent opt-out from joining the Euro and from funding any bail-outs of the Eurozone. Own up, who said HS2? Dome? We're more than capable of wasting plenty of money on "grandiose projects" in this country.
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Post by lb on Jun 17, 2016 11:30:38 GMT
This referendum is complete joke. It was only done because Cameron wanted to pacify his right wingers. When he did it, he clearly thought there was not a hope in hell the vote would be for Brexit. Well that looks like it could now backfire.
MP's are elected to make the sensible decisions that the electorate are ill equipped/educated to do. MP's overwhelmingly support Remain.
The referendum vote is NOT binding. MP's will still vote to Remain if it is a close call (40/60).
BREXIT AINT HAPPENING!!
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