adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jan 17, 2024 12:40:09 GMT
for each attack on Israel the size of Gaza to be reduced by 1 sq KM so if they continue to attack they will be in a smaller and smaller area. Would the same apply in reverse? Because... www.ochaopt.org/data/casualties2008-end Sept 2024 Palestine - 6,413 fatalities (3,808 undisputed civilian), 152,973 injuries Israel - 308 fatalities (177 civilian), 6,309 injuries Let's not pretend that 7th October happened out of nowhere, in a complete vacuum.
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agent69
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Post by agent69 on Jan 17, 2024 13:56:23 GMT
My understanding is that the Egyptians do not want the Palestinians any closer than they already are.
A while ago, I read an article that compared the Palestinians to Millwall supporters.
Whilst I would hesitate to go that far, I can see that they might have a point!
MW
Sky news were recently reporting a poll that suggested that 70% of Palestinians supported the Hamas attack on 7th October, and personally I have little sympathy for them at all.
Meanwhile a couple of thousand kilometers to the East, Iran has been attacking what they claim to be terrorist targets inside Pakistan. Now there's a couple of nutty regiemes that could easily kick off.
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michaelc
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Post by michaelc on Jan 17, 2024 14:03:10 GMT
If we take military action off the table, has anybody got any actual suggestions as to what to do about the Houthis shooting at / hijacking international shipping? Tell Israel to stop wiping out civilians in Gaza ?
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jan 17, 2024 14:14:29 GMT
Sky news were recently reporting a poll that suggested that 70% of Palestinians supported the Hamas attack on 7th October www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/poll-shows-palestinians-back-oct-7-attack-israel-support-hamas-rises-2023-12-14/Actual poll: pcpsr.org/en/node/963"The sample size of this poll is 1231 adults, of whom 750 were interviewed face to face in the West Bank and 481 in the Gaza Strip"
"The overwhelming majority of respondents say that they have not seen videos from international or social media showing atrocities committed by Hamas members against Israeli civilians that day, such as the killing of women and children in their homes. Indeed, more than 90% believe that Hamas fighters did not commit the atrocities contained in these videos."
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Post by mostlywrong on Jan 17, 2024 14:50:18 GMT
Speaking of safe passage, history reminds me paying the gatekeeper might get a safe passage, just like paying the toll charge for using a “bridge” or “tunnel”, unless the gatekeeper ceases to exist. Maybe it’s too early start negotiating the “toll”, some “works” are required to get a bargain “deal”. Isn't that what the Somali pirates were doing a while ago? At least until the West deployed naval vessels to the region.
The problem is that the local people with virtually nothing can see ships out at sea passing by. Ships that carry millions of dollars worth of goods.
A fast boat and a few RPG rounds could make a difference to your wealth!
As a lot of that trade is focussed on China and Europe, it is a little surprising that neither bloc appears to be stepping up to the plate.
MW
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keitha
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Post by keitha on Jan 17, 2024 14:57:04 GMT
for each attack on Israel the size of Gaza to be reduced by 1 sq KM so if they continue to attack they will be in a smaller and smaller area. Would the same apply in reverse? Because... www.ochaopt.org/data/casualties2008-end Sept 2024 Palestine - 6,413 fatalities (3,808 undisputed civilian), 152,973 injuries Israel - 308 fatalities (177 civilian), 6,309 injuries Let's not pretend that 7th October happened out of nowhere, in a complete vacuum. remember most Israeli attacks are in response to attacks on them. personally I liken HAMAS to rabid dogs and they need to be put down, but yes if Israel attacks other than in response to being attacked then give gaza 1 sq KM back
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jan 17, 2024 15:01:08 GMT
Would the same apply in reverse? Because... www.ochaopt.org/data/casualties2008-end Sept 2024 Palestine - 6,413 fatalities (3,808 undisputed civilian), 152,973 injuries Israel - 308 fatalities (177 civilian), 6,309 injuries Let's not pretend that 7th October happened out of nowhere, in a complete vacuum. remember most Israeli attacks are in response to attacks on them. Do you think that those figures show proportionate responses?
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keitha
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Post by keitha on Jan 17, 2024 15:13:51 GMT
remember most Israeli attacks are in response to attacks on them. Do you think that those figures show proportionate responses? IMHO yes, Israel protects its citizens, Hamas is happy for Women and Children to be outside of the shelters that the fighters are in then they claim that innocents are being hurt or killed.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jan 17, 2024 15:34:12 GMT
Do you think that those figures show proportionate responses? IMHO yes, Israel protects its citizens, Hamas is happy for Women and Children to be outside of the shelters that the fighters are in then they claim that innocents are being hurt or killed. You think that death rates of nearly 21x, civilian death rates of 21.5x, and injury rates of 24x are proportionate. Gotcha. BTW, they're the total across both West Bank and Gaza. Hamas, of course, are not in charge of the West Bank. 138 of the Israeli fatalities were within the West Bank, 88 of them "settlers" who shouldn't even be there in the first place. Only 52 of the Israeli deaths (all military) were within Gaza. Yet 5,360 of the Palestinian deaths were within Gaza - most of them (3,212) by "air-launched explosives". 2,201 of those were undisputed civilians, including 707 children and 365 women. Another little reminder: Israel - population density 424/km2 West Bank - population density 911/km2 Gaza - population density 6,100/km2 Israel - GDP/capita $52,000 West Bank - GDP/capita $1,900 Gaza - GDP/capita $875 Are they Hamas' fault, too? Even the West Bank figures? When people are that badly oppressed, systematically, over decades, is it really any wonder they turn to violent extremists who promise salvation?
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angrysaveruk
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Post by angrysaveruk on Jan 17, 2024 16:44:53 GMT
Do you think that those figures show proportionate responses? IMHO yes, Israel protects its citizens, Hamas is happy for Women and Children to be outside of the shelters that the fighters are in then they claim that innocents are being hurt or killed. Have you thought of the possibility that Israel is falling into a trap? Hamas are probably smarter than most people give them credit and were fully aware of what was going to happen after October the 7th. The only thing Israels response has done has strengthened the position of the people who want to see Israel destroyed, it has certainly not increased the security of the population of Israel.
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agent69
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Post by agent69 on Jan 17, 2024 16:58:03 GMT
Have you thought of the possibility that Israel is falling into a trap? Hamas are probably smarter than most people give them credit and were fully aware of what was going to happen after October the 7th. The only thing Israels response has done has strengthened the position of the people who want to see Israel destroyed, it has certainly not increased the security of the population of Israel. Or possibly they have badly miscalculated?
- they underestimated the strength of the Israeli response
- they overestimated the desire of the west to reign in Israels response
- they overestimated the desire of adjacent arab countries to come to their defence
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Post by bracknellboy on Jan 17, 2024 17:59:17 GMT
IMHO yes, Israel protects its citizens, Hamas is happy for Women and Children to be outside of the shelters that the fighters are in then they claim that innocents are being hurt or killed. Have you thought of the possibility that Israel is falling into a trap? Hamas are probably smarter than most people give them credit and were fully aware of what was going to happen after October the 7th. The only thing Israels response has done has strengthened the position of the people who want to see Israel destroyed, it has certainly not increased the security of the population of Israel. Pushed into, rather than 'fell into'. It's pretty clear that the main motivation of Hamas was to drag Israel into a major military action in the Gaza. Inevitably resulting in significant death of Gazan Palestinians and destruction of Gazan infrastructure - particularly given how Hamas has embedded its military infrastructure in the territory. All in the hope that would spark not just international condemnation but also a wider conflict. I doubt anyone - not just including Israel but especially Israel - were under any illusion that Hamas's actions had any other strategic objective. So we are in violent agreement on one thing: Hamas doesn't give a t*** about the lives of normal Palestinians in Gaza, and was and is very happy to put them on a sacrificial altar to serve its greater god-given objective of the elimination of the State of Israel. They knew as well as we should that no state could simply stand by after those atrocities and not go after those that committed them. Regardless of how they effectively used others as human shields. We can argue till the cows come home about whether the subsequent execution of that has been right, proportionate or legitimate. But the idea that any state faced with that could have have not moved on Gaza is fanciful and denies their legitimate right of self defence and their populations expectation. So, not 'fallen into a trap' but put in a position where they had knowingly no choice but to do what Hamas wanted. Hamas in the meantime may have significantly miscalculated the propensity for others to get drawn in to the extent needed to eliminate Israel. Regardless of popular sentiment, Arab nations are not getting sucked in militarily. Hezbollah is demonstrating a good deal of reluctance to do more than condemn, posture, lob a few rockets and tie up manpower on the border.
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Post by bernythedolt on Jan 17, 2024 18:14:40 GMT
remember most Israeli attacks are in response to attacks on them. Do you think that those figures show proportionate responses? Do you think the sheer animalistic savagery of the atrocity committed on 7th October was in any way proportionate or justifiable? Civilians bound and burned alive, others decapitated or with limbs severed, others raped and sexually mutilated. Torture and depravity beyond all reason to our western senses. There are bombs and drones fired after warnings being issued... and then there's that. It's on a totally different level of barbarity. Israel's response has undoubtedly been swift and necessarily harsh, but thankfully not conducted on anywhere near the same scale of evil murderous brutality.
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adrianc
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Post by adrianc on Jan 17, 2024 18:35:18 GMT
Do you think that those figures show proportionate responses? Do you think the sheer animalistic savagery of the atrocity committed on 7th October was in any way proportionate or justifiable? No, I don't, nor did I say it was. Please don't change the subject like that. Perhaps you will note, though, that the figures I gave were up until the end of September 2023 - precisely for the reason that that was BEFORE the 7th October attacks, in order to illustrate that they did not come from nowhere. 1,139 killed (about 700 civilians). 3,400 wounded. 247 captured. 5 missing. All in one day of terrorism. Really? More than 24,000 Gazans have been killed since then, and more than 60,000 have been wounded. The population of Israel is roughly ten million, the population of Gaza about half a million - so closing on one in five Gazans has been killed or wounded in the last three months. And almost the entire population has been displaced, kettled into a tiny area with no food or water or basic hygiene or medical care. To put that into perspective, that's more deaths in three months than Ukrainians in two years of war. It's roughly four times as many on both sides as in the preceding 16 years.
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agent69
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Post by agent69 on Jan 17, 2024 18:52:24 GMT
Really? More than 24,000 Gazans have been killed since then, and more than 60,000 have been wounded. The population of Israel is roughly ten million, the population of Gaza about half a million - so closing on one in five Gazans has been killed or wounded in the last three months. And almost the entire population has been displaced, kettled into a tiny area with no food or water or basic hygiene or medical care. To put that into perspective, that's more deaths in three months than Ukrainians in two years of war. It's roughly four times as many on both sides as in the preceding 16 years. Population of the Gaza strip is over 2m, so about 1% of the population has been killed. Typically less than 1 death for every Israeli bomb dropped.
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